沪指6月6日上涨0.04%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有13个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信，涨 幅分别为1.16%、1.00%。石油石化行业位居今日涨幅榜第三。跌幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服 饰，跌幅分别为1.70%、1.18%。 | 600339 | 中油工程 | 1.28 | 0.82 | -244.86 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300839 | 博汇股份 | -0.94 | 1.67 | -261.11 | | 002221 | 东华能源 | 0.61 | 0.96 | -262.04 | | 002207 | 准油股份 | 2.00 | 2.70 | -285.37 | | 000968 | 蓝焰控股 | 1.66 | 0.85 | -341.09 | | 002377 | 国创高新 | 0.34 | 1.07 | -357.52 | | 002408 | 齐翔腾达 | 0.43 | 0.47 | -497.83 | | 300135 | 宝利国际 | 0.79 | 1.38 | -527.10 | | 600871 | 石化油服 | 1.06 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhang Chuanjiang has been appointed as the new Chairman and Party Secretary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), succeeding Wang Dongjin, who had been in the position until early May 2023 [1][3]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Zhang Chuanjiang's appointment comes after a month-long vacancy in the chairman position following the removal of Wang Dongjin in April 2023 [3]. - Prior to this role, Zhang held various significant positions, including General Manager of China Datang Corporation and Chairman of China Shenhua Coal to Liquid and Chemical Company [4][6]. Group 2: Background of Zhang Chuanjiang - Zhang Chuanjiang, born in 1968 in Jingmen, Hubei, holds a master's degree in engineering and has extensive experience in the oil and coal chemical sectors [3]. - His previous roles include serving as the Assistant General Manager of the National Energy Group and various leadership positions within China Shenhua [4][5]. Group 3: CNOOC's Current Status and Future Direction - In 2024, CNOOC's crude oil production reached 56.3 million tons, accounting for 19% of the national total, while its revenue from renewable energy remains below 5% [8]. - The company is in the midst of a critical evaluation of its "14th Five-Year Plan," with Zhang's leadership expected to guide the transition towards cleaner energy in line with national carbon neutrality goals [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry, specifically highlighting the potential in the pesticide sector due to recent price increases and supply constraints [5]. Core Insights - The pesticide industry in China is undergoing structural optimization driven by stringent environmental regulations, leading to a gradual increase in the market share of high-efficiency, low-risk pesticides while phasing out older, more toxic products [1][2]. - The recent explosion at Youdao Chemical has impacted the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which is expected to drive up prices due to supply constraints [2][3]. - The price index for pesticide raw materials has reached a low point, with a slight increase noted, indicating a potential turning point for channel inventory [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Pesticide Industry Overview - China's pesticide product structure is being optimized, with a focus on reducing the use of high-risk products and increasing the market share of new, efficient pesticides [1]. - The pesticide raw material price index as of May 30, 2025, is 73.33 points, reflecting a 0.44 point increase since the beginning of the year [1]. 2. Supply Chain Impact - The explosion at Youdao Chemical on May 27, 2025, has disrupted the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which is the largest production facility globally with a capacity of 11,000 tons [2]. - The incident is expected to lead to stricter approvals and regulations for high-risk chemical reactions, benefiting leading chemical companies with better safety protocols and production technologies [2]. 3. Price Adjustments - ST Hongtai has raised the price of chlorantraniliprole to 300,000 yuan per ton due to increased costs from upstream raw material shortages [3]. - As of May 30, 2025, the market price for chlorantraniliprole was reported at 230,000 yuan per ton, marking a 2.22% increase from the previous day [3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend, and well-performing companies in the oil and gas sector, as well as those benefiting from domestic substitution trends in materials [4]. - Specific companies to watch include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, and Wanhu Chemical, among others [4].

金十数据6月6日讯，"中国海油"微信公众号消息，6月6日，中国海洋石油集团有限公司召开中层以上管 理人员大会。中央组织部有关负责同志宣布了中央关于中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记任 职的决定：张传江同志任中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记，免去其中国大唐集团有限公司 董事、总经理、党组副书记职务。相关职务任免按有关法律和章程的规定办理。 张传江任中国海洋石油集团有限公司董事长、党组书记 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the refining industry. Core Insights - The Chinese refining industry is undergoing significant structural changes, focusing on "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" as the main strategy for transformation and upgrading [47][50]. - The industry is expected to see a capacity expansion, with refining capacity projected to exceed 980 million tons per year by 2025, driven by large integrated refining and chemical projects [5][6]. - The shift towards a more integrated and green development model is anticipated to dominate the industry over the next 5-10 years [5]. Summary by Sections Part 1: Industry Status and Background - The refining industry is experiencing a dual drive from energy structure transformation and chemical industry upgrades, leading to a structural upgrade in capacity [5]. Part 2: Key Project Layout and Capacity Upgrade - Major projects are set to come online between 2024 and 2030, including a 6 million tons per year crude distillation unit in Shandong and a 1.6 million tons per year unit in Fujian, enhancing the overall refining capacity [8][13]. Part 3: Market Structure Changes and Industry Impact - The regional refining capacity is expected to reach 220 million tons per year, accounting for 25% of the national total, with a significant increase in local chemical production [18]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with large state-owned enterprises like Sinopec and PetroChina leveraging scale and technology to dominate the high-end chemical market [20]. Part 4: Future Demand Changes Post-Integration - The demand for refined oil products is projected to decline, with the share of refined oil products decreasing from 62% in 2023 to below 50% by 2030, while high-end lubricants and specialty fuels will increase [23]. Part 5: Challenges from Future New Energy Impact and Chemical Capacity Release - The rapid development of electric vehicles is expected to pressure traditional fuel markets, leading to a potential decline in refined oil consumption [29]. Part 6: Future Directions of the Refining Market - Refining enterprises are encouraged to deepen their integration with chemical production, enhancing resource efficiency and product quality [41]. Part 7: Conclusion - The industry is transitioning from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with a focus on sustainable development and the transformation of traditional refining bases into green facilities [50].

证券研究报告 中国海油 (883 HK/600938 CH) 2025 年中期策略会速递— 天然气增量可期，提高分红彰显信心 | 华泰研究 | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 6 月 | 05 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 石油（天然气）开采 | 6 月 4 日中国海油出席了我们组织的 2025 年中期策略会，会上公司详细描 述了今年一季度的经营情况，重申了 25 年全年的产量、资本开支以及分红 指引，同时简要介绍了海外区块及天然气业务的主要成果及未来规划。考虑 公司稳油增气、提质降本效果卓越，抵御油价波动的韧性显著提升，维持 A/H"买入"评级。 关税预期修正，OPEC 连续上调产量目标，5 月油价先反弹后回落 5月中美经贸会谈取得实质性进展，而 OPEC集团连续上调 5-7月产量目标， 油价先反弹后回落。据 Wind，6 月 4 日 WTI/Brent 期货收于 62.85/66.61 美元/桶，较 5 月初上涨 6.1%/4.4%。考虑贸易政策扰动下全球宏观经济及 石油需求预期不确定性仍存，以及 OPEC+内部协同意愿显著趋弱，我们维 持 25-26 年布伦特原 ...

Industry Overview and Transformation Needs - The petrochemical industry is a pillar of the national economy, characterized by a long industrial chain, complex processes, and high safety and environmental requirements. The industry faces challenges such as increasing resource and environmental constraints, high safety production pressure, and low efficiency of traditional production models. Digital transformation is key to improving total factor productivity. As of the end of 2023, the application rate of industrial cloud platforms in the petrochemical industry reached 56.5%, and the CNC rate of key processes was 80.6%, but issues like data silos and insufficient system collaboration remain. The industrial internet can optimize production processes, enhance safety control, and promote green and low-carbon initiatives, becoming the core driving force for industry transformation [1][2][3]. Integration Application Overall Architecture - The integration of the industrial internet and petrochemical industry is centered around "data + platform + model," forming a three-tier architecture: 1. Edge Layer: Collects data from production equipment and process parameters through sensors and smart instruments, achieving real-time connection between physical assets and virtual systems [2]. 2. Platform Layer: Builds an industrial internet platform that integrates data resources and develops industrial models for process optimization and predictive maintenance, forming general PaaS capabilities [3]. 3. Application Layer: Focuses on production, safety, and management scenarios, developing intelligent applications such as smart scheduling, supply chain collaboration, and environmental monitoring to achieve business loop optimization [4]. Core Application Scenarios - The guide proposes an "8+2" application model covering the entire design, production, and management chain: - Intelligent Production: Optimizes process parameters using advanced process control (APC) and digital twin technologies, enhancing production stability and efficiency [5]. - Safety Production: Establishes an "industrial internet + safety production" system, utilizing IoT and AI visual technologies to monitor hazards and manage emergency responses, reducing safety accident risks [5]. - Green and Low-Carbon: Uses energy management systems (EMS) and carbon emission monitoring to optimize energy allocation and promote applications like waste heat recovery and circular economy in chemical parks, supporting carbon neutrality goals [5]. - Supply Chain Collaboration: Integrates production, logistics, and sales data to achieve demand forecasting, inventory optimization, and cross-enterprise collaboration [5]. Implementation Path and Key Capability Building - Infrastructure Upgrade: - Promotes the deployment of 5G and industrial PON networks to achieve coordination between internal and external networks, addressing traditional network wiring complexity and high latency [6][7]. - Establishes an identification and resolution system to provide unique identification for equipment and products throughout their lifecycle, supporting data interoperability and supply chain traceability [7]. - Data System Construction: - Builds an industrial data lake to integrate multi-source heterogeneous data, enhancing data quality through governance to support data-driven decision-making in process optimization and energy consumption analysis [8]. - Security Assurance: - Constructs a security protection system covering equipment, networks, and data, strengthening industrial control security monitoring, data encryption, and access control to prevent cyberattacks and data breaches [9]. Typical Cases and Achievements - The guide includes several practical cases demonstrating the effectiveness of integration applications: - CNOOC's identification resolution secondary node: Achieved supply chain collaboration and product traceability, connecting 64 enterprises with over 370 million identification registrations, enhancing fertilizer anti-counterfeiting traceability efficiency, resulting in an annual economic benefit exceeding 4.7 million yuan [10]. - PetroChina's Longqing ethane-to-ethylene intelligent factory: Achieved a 100% stability rate in equipment operation and a 20% increase in labor productivity, saving 12,500 tons of standard coal annually [10]. - Maonan Petrochemical Industrial Park's safety risk prevention platform: Integrated environmental and safety data for real-time monitoring of pollutant emissions and emergency response, achieving a 97.34% hazard rectification rate, enhancing the park's inherent safety level [10]. Summary - The integration of the industrial internet and the petrochemical industry represents a resonance of technological innovation and industrial transformation. The industry is transitioning from "experience-driven" to "data-driven" through data-driven, intelligent decision-making, and ecological collaboration. Future efforts should focus on strengthening standard systems, cultivating cross-disciplinary talent, and empowering small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the scaling and intelligent evolution of integration applications, building a safe, efficient, and green modern petrochemical industry system [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the oil and gas industry [6][7]. Core Views - OPEC+ has announced a continuation of production increases of 411,000 barrels per day for July, significantly impacting oil prices due to geopolitical tensions and tariff policies [1][2]. - The Brent crude oil price is expected to stabilize between $65 and $75 per barrel in 2025, while WTI crude oil is projected to be between $60 and $70 per barrel [3][18]. Summary by Sections 1. May Oil Price Review - In May 2025, the average price of Brent crude oil futures was $64.0 per barrel, down by $2.5 from the previous month, while WTI averaged $61.3 per barrel, down by $1.5 [1][14]. - The fluctuations in oil prices were influenced by the "reciprocal tariff" policy, OPEC+ production announcements, and geopolitical events in the Middle East [1][14]. 2. Oil Price Outlook - OPEC+ has decided to extend production increases of 411,000 barrels per day, which is three times the original increase plan [2][16]. - Major energy agencies forecast an increase in global oil demand of 730,000 to 1,300,000 barrels per day in 2025, and 760,000 to 1,280,000 barrels per day in 2026 [3][17]. 3. Key Data Tracking - As of May 30, 2025, WTI crude oil futures settled at $60.79 per barrel, a 4.4% increase from the previous month, while Brent settled at $63.90 per barrel, a 1.2% increase [36]. - The average production of U.S. crude oil in May 2025 was 13.4 million barrels per day, a decrease of 0.3% from the previous month [44]. - The report highlights that the capital expenditure willingness in overseas markets is low, indicating a lack of conditions for significant production increases [44][29]. 4. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends key stocks including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), Satellite Chemical, CNOOC Development, and Guanghui Energy [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprises Dividend Index, which has shown significant growth over various time frames, including an 8.25% increase in the past month and a 6.87% increase year-to-date [1][2]. - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of listed companies controlled by central enterprises within the Hong Kong Stock Connect that have stable dividend levels and high dividend yields [1][2]. - The index's top ten holdings include major companies such as COSCO Shipping Holdings (7.14%), Orient Overseas International (3.28%), and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (2.76%) [1][2]. Group 2 - The industry composition of the index shows that finance accounts for 33.25%, industrials for 29.84%, and energy for 15.31%, indicating a diverse sector representation [2]. - The index undergoes annual adjustments, with the next scheduled adjustment occurring on the trading day following the second Friday of December each year [2]. - Public funds tracking the index include the Huaxia CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprises Dividend Link A and C, as well as the Huaxia CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprises Dividend ETF [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the oil and gas industry [6][7]. Core Views - OPEC+ has announced a continuation of production increases of 411,000 barrels per day for July, significantly impacting oil prices due to geopolitical tensions and tariff policies [1][2]. - The Brent crude oil price is expected to stabilize between $65 and $75 per barrel in 2025, while WTI crude oil is projected to be between $60 and $70 per barrel [3][18]. Summary by Sections 1. May Oil Price Review - In May 2025, the average price of Brent crude oil futures was $64.0 per barrel, down $2.5 from the previous month, while WTI averaged $61.3 per barrel, down $1.5 [1][14]. - Oil prices experienced significant fluctuations due to tariff policies and geopolitical tensions, with OPEC+ planning to accelerate production in June [1][14]. 2. Oil Price Outlook - OPEC+ has extended its production increase plan, with a significant rise in output expected to be completed by October 2025, ahead of the original schedule [2][19]. - Major energy agencies forecast an increase in global oil demand of 730,000 to 1.3 million barrels per day in 2025, and 760,000 to 1.28 million barrels per day in 2026 [3][17]. 3. Key Data Tracking 3.1 Crude Oil Prices and Spreads - As of May 30, 2025, WTI crude oil settled at $60.79 per barrel, up $2.6 (+4.4%), while Brent settled at $63.90, up $0.8 (+1.2%) [36]. - The average Brent-WTI price spread was $3.07 per barrel, narrowing by $0.45 from the previous month [36]. 3.2 Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.4 million barrels per day in May 2025, a decrease of 42,000 barrels per day (-0.3%) [44]. - The number of active oil rigs in the U.S. decreased by 13 to an average of 468 rigs [44]. 4. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends investing in China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), Satellite Chemical, CNOOC Development, and Guanghui Energy, all rated as "Outperform" [4][6].