中国海油高管在会上表示，公司始终把天然气业务作为重要发展方向。一方面，天然气项目相较于原油 项目而言，稳产期较长，收采率更高，作业成本相对偏低，且天然气销售以长期协议为主，能给公司带 来较稳定的现金流。 [ 中国石油前三季度原油平均售价同比下降14.7%至65.55美元/桶，拖累公司油气和新能源业务分部营业 收入同比下滑8.3%至6223.9亿元。 ] 国际油价下跌的阴霾持续蔓延至整个行业，作为产业链龙头，"三桶油"业绩因此承受较大影响。 前三季度，中国石化（600028.SH）、中国石油（601857.SH）、中国海油（600938.SH）分别实现归母 净利润299.84亿元、1262.79亿元、1019.71亿元，同比下跌32.2%、4.9%、12.6%。净利润共比上年同期 减少了350多亿元，相当于每天少赚约3.8亿元。 石油业务是"三桶油"最主要收入来源，因此，三家公司均在财报中着重提及国际石油市场形势对公司业 绩负面影响。综合"三桶油"统计口径，今年前三季度国际原油市场供需总体宽松，国际油价震荡下行， 布伦特（Brent）原油现货均价同比跌幅在14%左右。 受此影响，中国石油前三季度原油平均售价同比 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Huazhong Securities has given China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) a "buy" rating due to its steady growth in oil and gas net production and strengthened cost competitiveness [1] - CNOOC is actively advancing new project launches, which will contribute to continuous reserve increases and production growth [1] Group 2 - The report highlights the risk factors, including the potential for new project progress to fall short of expectations, changes in industry policies, and significant fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices [1]

中国石化集团资本、中国石油集团昆仑资本、中国电信集团投资等均为各自领域龙头央企的专业投资平台，代表着产业端的核心需求与技术积 淀，或使基金突破单纯的资金供给属性。比如， 在新一代信息技术领域，中移资本与中国电信集团投资可提供5G场景验证与产业链协同；在 新能源与新材料领域，中国石化、中国石油的资本平台能衔接能源化工产业的技术转化需求与应用场景，为被投企业提供从技术研发到商业化 落地的全链条支撑。 近年来，在政策层面一直在积极引导国资央企发展战略新兴产业。其中，在2024年年底，国务院国资委、国家发展改革委联合出台政策措施， 推动中央企业创业投资基金高质量发展，支持中央企业发起设立创业投资基金， 重点投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技。 今年7月，全国首批首支中央企业创业投资母基金—— 诚通科创投资基金正式落地，规划总规模300亿元，首期规模100亿元，由中国诚通牵 头，联合中国石化、中国航油及海淀区政府共同出资设立，重点布局 新材料、先进制造、新一代信息技术三大核心领域。 | 1 | | 中国国新控股有限责任公司 居 | 29.4118% | 1500000 | 2030-10-20 | 0.01% > | 中国国 ...

Group 1 - The Central Enterprise Strategic Emerging Industry Development Special Fund, initiated by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), has been launched in Beijing with an initial scale of 51 billion yuan [1] - China Reform Holdings Corporation Limited (China Guoxin) is the largest shareholder with a contribution of 15 billion yuan, holding 34.8837% of the fund [1] - Other contributors include major state-owned enterprises such as Sinopec, CNOOC, and China Mobile, among others, indicating strong backing from leading companies in various sectors [1][2] Group 2 - The fund aims to support the development of strategic emerging industries, focusing on areas such as artificial intelligence, aerospace, high-end equipment, and quantum technology [2][3] - It will adopt a strategy of "combining production and investment" and prioritize early, small, hard, and long-term investments in key future industries [2][3] - The fund is positioned to enhance the core functions and competitiveness of state-owned enterprises by addressing industrial weaknesses and promoting innovation [2][3] Group 3 - Recent policy initiatives emphasize the development of strategic emerging industries, with a focus on new energy, new materials, and low-altitude economy, which are expected to create significant market opportunities [3][4] - The fund is part of a broader effort to establish venture capital funds that support early-stage investments in hard technology, aligning with national economic development goals [4] - The establishment of the fund reflects a trend towards leveraging state-owned enterprise resources to foster innovation and technological advancement in key sectors [3][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Guosen Securities has given China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) an "outperform" rating based on strong performance indicators [1] - The company's oil and gas net production has reached a new high, with robust natural gas production and significant cost control achievements [1] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for the year remains stable, with exploration, development, and production progressing in an orderly manner [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the third quarter of 2025 is projected to be 32.4 billion yuan, aligning with expectations [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Views - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in demand, driven by government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and transforming the industry [4][5] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to rise significantly due to increased orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines in Europe and the US, leading to a projected supply gap by 2028 [8] - The report highlights the potential for high dividend yields and improved cash flow for leading companies in the chemical sector as capacity expansion slows down globally [4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 23.0% over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2] Government Initiatives - A joint announcement from seven government departments outlines a plan for stable growth in the petrochemical industry, targeting an average annual growth of over 5% in value-added output from 2025 to 2026 [5] Market Dynamics - The price of chromium salts is on the rise, with significant increases noted in the prices of chromium metal and chromium oxide in October 2025 [8][18] - The report indicates that the chemical industry is transitioning from a "cash-consuming" phase to a "cash-generating" phase, with a focus on high-quality development and innovation [4][5] Investment Opportunities - Key investment opportunities identified include low-cost expansion in leading companies, improving market conditions for chromium salts, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [9][10][11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - As of the week ending October 31, 2025, international oil prices experienced a slight decline due to market skepticism regarding the effectiveness of sanctions on Russia, OPEC+'s inclination to continue modest production increases in December, and increased Iraqi exports in September, leading to concerns about oversupply. However, positive EIA inventory data, optimistic news from US-China leadership talks, and a Federal Reserve interest rate cut contributed to a rebound in oil prices later in the week [2][9] - Brent crude oil futures settled at $64.77 per barrel, down $0.43 (-0.66%) from the previous week, while WTI crude oil futures settled at $60.98 per barrel, down $0.52 (-0.85%) [2][31] - The oil and petrochemical sector showed a slight increase of 0.05% during the same week, while the broader Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 0.43% [10][13] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude oil price decreased by 0.66% and WTI crude oil price decreased by 0.85% as of October 31, 2025 [2][31] - The price of Russian Urals crude remained stable, while ESPO crude saw a decline of 1.71% [31] Offshore Drilling Services - As of October 27, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 369, a decrease of 1 from the previous week, while the number of floating drilling platforms was 130, down by 2 [37] US Oil Supply - As of October 24, 2025, US crude oil production was 13.644 million barrels per day, an increase of 15,000 barrels per day from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs decreased by 6 to 414 [61][70] US Oil Demand - US refinery crude processing volume was 15.219 million barrels per day, down by 511,000 barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 86.60%, a decrease of 2.0 percentage points [66][73] US Oil Inventory - As of October 24, 2025, total US crude oil inventory was 825 million barrels, a decrease of 6.325 million barrels (-0.76%). Strategic oil inventory increased by 533,000 barrels (+0.13%), while commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 6.858 million barrels (-1.62%) [82]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][25] Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32.4 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, which met expectations. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 312.5 billion yuan (down 4.2% year-on-year) and a net profit of 101.97 billion yuan (down 12.6% year-on-year), primarily due to declining oil prices [1][11] - The company's oil and gas production reached a new high, with a net production of 578.3 million barrels of oil equivalent for the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 6.7% year-on-year. Domestic production accounted for 69.3% of total production, benefiting from contributions from various oil and gas fields [2][14] - The company maintained stable capital expenditures, with a total of 86 billion yuan spent in the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 9.8% year-on-year. The full-year capital expenditure is expected to remain unchanged at 125-135 billion yuan [3][21] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 312.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 101.97 billion yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year. The third quarter alone saw revenue of 104.9 billion yuan (up 5.7% year-on-year) and a net profit of 32.4 billion yuan (down 12.2% year-on-year) [1][11] - The average realized price for oil liquids was 68.3 USD/barrel (down 13.6% year-on-year), while the average gas price was 7.86 USD/thousand cubic feet (up 1.0% year-on-year) [19][2] Production and Operations - The company achieved a net production of 193.7 million barrels of oil equivalent in the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year. The total net production for the first three quarters was 578.3 million barrels of oil equivalent, with domestic production at 400.8 million barrels (up 8.6% year-on-year) [2][14] - The company successfully evaluated 22 oil and gas structures and made five new discoveries in the first three quarters of 2025, with four new projects launched in the third quarter [3][21] Investment Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 126.3 billion yuan, 129.7 billion yuan, and 135 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.66, 2.73, and 2.84 yuan [4][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 312.5 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.15%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 102 billion RMB, down 12.59% year-on-year [1]. - The average realized oil price for the first three quarters was 68.29 USD per barrel, a decrease of 13.6% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price increased by 1.0% to 7.86 USD per thousand cubic feet [5]. - The company achieved a net production of 578.3 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 6.7% year-on-year, with significant contributions from new projects [5]. - The company continues to maintain its position as a leading international energy company, with a strong resource base and production growth capabilities [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 454.1 billion RMB, 485.4 billion RMB, and 509.7 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 145.6 billion RMB, 154.1 billion RMB, and 159.3 billion RMB [6]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.8 times for 2025, 8.4 times for 2026, and 8.1 times for 2027 [6]. - The company has a low debt-to-asset ratio of 30.1%, indicating strong financial stability [2]. Production and Development - The company successfully evaluated 22 oil and gas structures and made 5 new discoveries in the first three quarters of 2025 [5]. - A total of 14 new projects were put into production during the first three quarters, including significant developments in offshore oil fields [5]. Market Position - The company is the largest oil and gas producer in China's offshore areas, with a well-established exploration and production infrastructure [5]. - The company has diversified its asset structure globally, holding interests in major oil and gas projects in regions such as Guyana and Brazil [5].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the "Big Three" oil companies in China has declined in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to falling international oil prices, continuing the trend observed in the first half of the year [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) reported a net profit of 126.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, the smallest decline among the three [1][2]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) had a net profit of 29.98 billion yuan, down 32.2%, marking the largest decline [1][2]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) achieved a net profit of 101.97 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.6% [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability Analysis - CNPC's revenue was 2169.26 billion yuan, with a revenue decline of 3.9% [2]. - Sinopec's revenue was 2113.44 billion yuan, experiencing a 10.7% drop [2]. - CNOOC's revenue stood at 312.50 billion yuan, down 4.1% [2]. - CNOOC had the highest net profit margin at 32.63%, compared to CNPC's 5.82% and Sinopec's 1.42% [4]. Cash Flow and Production Insights - CNPC led in net cash flow from operating activities with 343.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3% [4]. - CNOOC followed with a net cash flow of 171.75 billion yuan, down 6% [4]. - Sinopec reported a net cash flow of 114.78 billion yuan, up 13%, the largest increase among the three [4]. - All three companies saw an increase in oil and gas equivalent production, with CNPC at 1.377 billion barrels (up 2.6%), CNOOC at 578 million barrels (up 6.7%), and Sinopec at 394 million barrels (up 2.2%) [8]. Market Conditions and Price Trends - The average price of Brent crude oil was $70.93 per barrel, down 14.3% year-on-year, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) averaged $66.73 per barrel, a decrease of 14.1% [5]. - The average oil prices realized by the companies also fell, with CNOOC down 13.6%, CNPC down 14.7%, and Sinopec down 13.3% [6]. - Natural gas prices saw a slight increase for CNOOC (up 1%) while CNPC and Sinopec experienced declines [6]. Strategic Outlook - Sinopec and CNPC are focusing on upgrading their refining businesses, but their chemical segments have underperformed, impacting their net profit margins [9]. - Sinopec's chemical segment reported a loss of 7.43 billion yuan, worsening from a loss of 5.58 billion yuan the previous year [9]. - Domestic demand for refined oil products is declining, affecting sales for both CNPC and Sinopec [9]. - CNOOC plans to engage in hedging activities to mitigate risks associated with market price fluctuations [12].