近日，理想 汽车 与中国国际航空达成"航空+车企"跨界创新合作。作为国航"出行生态"领域的重要合作 伙伴，双方将共同探索航空服务与汽车出行的融合，为用户提供创新的价值体验。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines' stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a year-to-date increase of 11.13%, indicating a mixed performance in the market [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 22, the stock price of China National Airlines was reported at 8.79 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.81 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.17%, leading to a total market capitalization of 153.37 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 5.02% over the last five trading days, 5.78% over the last twenty days, and 12.12% over the last sixty days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, China National Airlines achieved an operating revenue of 129.83 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion CNY, which is a 37.31% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for China National Airlines was 129,100, showing a slight decrease of 0.12% from the previous period [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed dividends amounting to 13.32 billion CNY since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include China Securities Finance Corporation, holding 311 million shares, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which reduced its holdings by 123 million shares [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" and is maintained [15] Core Insights - The report provides a forward-looking analysis of the transportation industry for Q4 2025, highlighting improvements in passenger demand and operational efficiencies across various sub-sectors [2][6] Aviation - The aviation sector is expected to see marginal demand improvements, with significant reductions in losses anticipated for Q4 2025. Domestic business demand is stabilizing, and international flights continue to perform well despite short-term disruptions from flight cancellations [6][23] Airports - Domestic airport traffic is projected to increase, with international flights also climbing. Revenue is expected to improve as a result of rising passenger volumes and operational efficiencies [7][26] Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is experiencing a slowdown in growth but is improving profitability through price adjustments and a focus on high-value services. The net profit is expected to turn positive in Q4 2025 [8][29] Logistics - The logistics sector is stabilizing at the bottom of its performance cycle, with cross-border logistics showing signs of recovery. However, overall demand remains weak, leading to a slight decline in performance for major supply chain players [9][31] Maritime Transport - The maritime sector is witnessing a divergence in profitability among different vessel types. While container shipping faces pressure on earnings, oil and bulk shipping are expected to see improvements due to increased demand and operational efficiencies [10][32] Ports - Port operations are expected to benefit from improved handling of bulk goods and stable container throughput, supported by easing trade tensions and increased exports to ASEAN and EU regions [11][38] Highways - The highway sector is projected to see limited growth, with stable profitability expected as truck traffic shows slight improvements compared to the previous year [12][40] Railways - The railway sector is experiencing a split in performance, with passenger transport growth accelerating while freight transport growth is slowing down. The focus on expanding non-coal business is expected to impact profitability negatively [13][42]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 12 21 年 月 日 交通运输 关注元旦航旅出行预定数据与委内瑞拉油轮进展 周观点：航旅纵横大数据显示，截至 12 月 17 日，元旦假期国内、跨境航线 机票预订量同比分别增长 46%、18%；16 日，ICE 布油收 58.84 美元（盘中 最低 58.72 美元），为 5 月来首次。继续看好"扩内需"及"反内卷"下航空 板块中长期景气度，在油汇环境友好环境下航司盈利有望不断改善。基于周期 视角，在制裁趋严、OPEC+增产逐步反馈到出口的背景下，行业周期逻辑渐 明，可关注板块回调中的布局机会，重点关注招商轮船、中远海能 H/A。 行情回顾：本周交通运输板块行业指数上涨 2.04%，跑赢上证指数 2.01 个百 分点（上证指数上涨 0.03%）。从申万交通运输行业三级分类看，涨幅前三名 的板块分别为航空运输、跨境物流、公交，涨幅分别为 6.84%、3.10%、2.82%； 仅公路货运板块下跌，跌幅为-1.76%。 出行：航旅纵横大数据显示，截至 12 月 17 日，元旦假期国内、跨境航线机 票预订量同比分别增长 46%、18%。继续看好"扩内需 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the logistics sector, specifically highlighting companies such as SF Holding and ZTO Express due to their valuation and operational resilience [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a 5% year-on-year increase in business volume in November, with some companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition. The total express delivery volume reached 18.06 billion pieces, with revenue at 137.65 billion yuan, a 3.7% decline year-on-year [2]. - The logistics sector is focusing on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. recommended due to improved demand. The chemical product price index decreased by 11.5% year-on-year, indicating a challenging pricing environment [3]. - The aviation sector experienced a slight increase in flight operations, with an average of 14,421 flights per day, a 2.34% increase year-on-year. The report anticipates profit elasticity for airlines due to supply constraints and rising ticket prices [4]. - The shipping sector's container transport index increased by 0.6% week-on-week, while the shipping rates remain under pressure due to fluctuating demand. The report notes a significant year-on-year decline in shipping rates [5]. - The road and rail sector showed a decline in truck traffic on highways, with a 2% decrease week-on-week. However, the Daqin Railway reported a 1.75% increase in freight volume year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The transportation index rose by 2.0% from December 13 to December 19, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.3% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The shipping sector is experiencing a slowdown in container shipping rates, with the CCFI index at 1124.73 points, down 24.6% year-on-year. The report highlights the need to monitor demand and pricing trends closely [22][23]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - The aviation sector is seeing a positive trend in passenger traffic, with a year-on-year increase of 8% in October. The report expects significant profit growth in Q4 due to high load factors and rising ticket prices [58][80]. 2.3 Rail and Road - The rail sector reported a year-on-year increase in passenger traffic of 8.94% in November, while road freight volume increased by 3.57% year-on-year. The report indicates a stable outlook for both sectors [85][90].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly recommending stocks such as China Shipbuilding, China Power, and Sumec [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the first shipping industry index fund on December 19, 2025, and notes a continued increase in second-hand ship prices, with a 5-year-old VLCC price rising by $2 million to $120 million [4]. - Seasonal fluctuations are observed in freight rates, with oil and bulk carrier second-hand prices increasing. The report recommends stocks like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger demand, recommending stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - The second-hand ship price index increased by 0.38% to 194.32 points, with a recommendation for COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - VLCC freight rates decreased by 11% to $101,623 per day, while Suezmax rates increased by 9% to $78,107 per day [4]. Airline Sector - The report indicates that the global aircraft manufacturing chain is facing unprecedented challenges, with an aging fleet and supply constraints expected to continue [4]. - Airlines are projected to experience significant profitability improvements, with recommendations for stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for industry performance [4]. - Recommended stocks include Shentong Express and Yunda Holdings, with a focus on companies benefiting from Southeast Asian e-commerce growth [4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volume and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with data showing a slight decrease in freight volume [4]. - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines through 2025 [4].

这也是中国国航在抛出160亿元巨额股权融资计划的首期融资。此前，中国国航曾在8月公告，计划分为两期，中国国航将对深圳航空增资总金额不超过81.6 亿元。这便意味着，另外接近78.4亿元的融资，将从其他渠道获得。 21世纪经济报道记者 林典驰 深圳报道 12月18日，中国国航（601111.SH）公告称，公司和深国际全程物流（深圳）有限公司、深圳市鲲航投资合伙企业（有限合伙）（简称：鲲航投资）及深圳 航空共同签署协议。 根据协议，鲲航投资以20亿元向深圳航空增资，认购深圳航空新增注册资本19.56亿元，持有增资后深圳航空20.91%股权。作为控股方，中国国航也将以非 公开方式同步参与，以20.82亿元向深圳航空增资，认购深圳航空新增注册资本20.35亿元，增资后的中国国航对深圳航空持股比例维持51%，仍将维持控股 地位。原有股东方深国际持股比例将从原来的49%降至28.09%。 近2年，深圳航空的业绩表现一般，截至今年7月，深圳航空营收达到196.67亿元，净利润亏损6.45亿元；2024年全年为330.70亿元，净利润亏损28.07亿元。 值得注意的是，中国航空在本轮160亿元的增资中，将按照持股比例对深圳航 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、本次交易概述 中国国际航空股份有限公司（以下简称"中国国航"或者"公司"）控股子公司深圳航空拟进行股权融资， 融资总金额为160亿元人民币， 拟分期实施。中国国航将按照持股比例认购深圳航空的融资额度，对深 圳航空增资总金额不超过81.6亿元人民币（以下简称"本次交易"）。 2025年8月28日，中国国际航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"中国国航"）召开第七届董事会第六 次会议，会议审议通过了《关于〈深圳航空引战增资实施方案〉的议案》，同意深圳航空有限责任公司 （以下简称"深圳航空"）通过深圳联合产权交易所征集1名投资方（以下简称"投资方"）进行现金融资 20亿元人民币，中国国航通过非公开协议方式同步以现金增资20.82亿元人民币（针对投资方和/或中国 国航以下简称"首期增资"），首期增资完成后，投资方持股比例不高于20.9134%，中国国航持股比例为 51.0000%。本次交易相关安排详见公司于2025年8月29日披露的《 ...

Group 1: Airline Industry - Goldman Sachs forecasts that international demand will rise while supply constraints persist, leading to an expected return on equity (ROE) of 22% for airlines by 2027, surpassing the industry cycle average [1] - Despite risks associated with Japan in the first half of the year, the outlook for airline stocks remains positive, with further upward potential for ticket prices [1] - Preferred stocks include China National Aviation Holding (601111) H-shares (00753) and China Eastern Airlines (600115) A-shares (600115.SH) [1] Group 2: Container Shipping - The firm adopts a more cautious stance on container shipping due to supply recovery, which is expected to compress industry profit margins [1] - New ship orders this year have exceeded expectations, resulting in an order-to-existing capacity ratio of 33% [1] - Potential reopening of the Red Sea may pose additional downside risks, potentially releasing about 10% of effective capacity, which could lead to China COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) (01919, 601919.SH) entering a cash consumption state [1] Group 3: Oil Tankers - The outlook for oil tankers remains optimistic, with expectations of rising spot freight rates during the sustained upward cycle in 2026 [1] - The oil reserve process in China may take up to a year, longer than the market's three-month expectation, while effective capacity is predicted to grow by only 1% [1] - China COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation (600026) (01138, 600026.SH) is expected to benefit due to its significant exposure to oil tankers and the Chinese import market [1] Group 4: Stock Ratings and Target Prices - China National Aviation (00753): Buy, target price raised from 7.3 to 8.2 HKD [2] - China Eastern Airlines (00670): Buy, target price raised from 3.7 to 5.1 HKD [2] - China Southern Airlines (01055): Buy, target price raised from 4.6 to 5.8 HKD [2] - China COSCO Shipping Energy (01138): Buy, target price raised from 8.8 to 10.8 HKD [2] - China COSCO Shipping Ports (01199): Buy, target price raised from 6 to 6.8 HKD [2] - China Merchants Port (00144): Neutral, target price raised from 14.2 to 15.7 HKD [2] - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919): Neutral to Sell, target price lowered from 12.5 to 10.4 HKD [2] - Meilan Airport (00357): Sell, target price raised from 7.6 to 8.4 HKD [2]

Core Insights - The aviation industry experienced an expansion in supply and demand growth year-on-year in November, with domestic routes showing significant improvement and international routes surpassing 2019 levels [1][3] - The overall passenger load factor increased by 2.5 percentage points to 85.6%, with domestic routes seeing a 2.1 percentage point increase to 86.6% [1] - Despite short-term demand pressure on China-Japan international routes, the long-term recovery trend remains intact, supported by resilient demand and price elasticity [3] Industry Performance - In November, the total supply and demand for six listed airlines increased by 7.1% and 10.3% year-on-year, respectively, reaching 110.4% and 116.7% of the levels seen in the same month of 2019 [1] - Domestic routes saw supply and demand growth of 4.2% and 6.8%, while international routes experienced a more robust increase of 15.0% and 20.7% [1] - The three major airlines reported a supply and demand increase of 6.7% and 10.3% year-on-year, with Eastern Airlines leading in passenger load factor at 87.4% [2] Airline-Specific Insights - Spring Airlines and Eastern Airlines led in passenger load factors among private carriers, with Spring Airlines achieving a 92.3% load factor [2] - China National Airlines showed the fastest recovery in load factor, increasing by 3.9 percentage points to 83.3% in November [2] - Hainan Airlines and China National Airlines are highlighted as preferred investment choices due to their performance and recovery potential [3]