Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Galaxy has given Midea Group (000333.SZ) a "recommended" rating based on its strategic moves and market performance [1] - Midea Group's 2B business is advancing further with the acquisition of the international business of Ruike Medical [1] - The domestic home appliance business is supported by ongoing national subsidies, and Midea has raised the price of its air conditioners during the New Year [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks experienced a rapid increase on January 6, with Guotai Junan International rising over 10% [1] - Zhongzhou Securities saw an increase of over 6% [1] - Other firms such as China International Capital Corporation, China Galaxy Securities, and CITIC Securities rose by more than 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Under the backdrop of domestic and international monetary policy easing, foreign capital and southbound funds are expected to continue their net inflow trend, leading to a substantial improvement in the profitability of Hong Kong-listed companies, resulting in a market environment of rising profits and valuations [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The fundamentals of the Hong Kong stock market largely depend on the domestic macroeconomic environment, with stable macro policies expected to maintain economic resilience and inflation likely to recover from low levels [2] - For 2026, the earnings growth forecast for major indices includes a 9.64% year-on-year increase in the Hang Seng Index, a 34.63% increase in the Hang Seng Tech Index, and a 9.9% increase in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [2] Group 2: Capital Flow - As of December 19, 2025, the market value of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings accounted for approximately 13.1%, while international intermediaries held about 40.1%, indicating a net increase in domestic capital holdings compared to foreign capital [3] - From the beginning of the year to December 19, 2025, the cumulative net inflow into the Hong Kong stock market via Stock Connect reached HKD 1.4 trillion, a 74% year-on-year increase [3] - Cumulative net inflow from foreign capital into the Hong Kong market from early 2025 to December 17, 2025, was USD 17.689 billion, with expectations of a continued low interest rate environment encouraging further inflows [3] Group 3: Market Performance - As of December 19, 2025, the price-to-earnings ratio of the Hang Seng Tech Index was 23.1 times, an 11.91% increase from the end of 2024, indicating significant room for valuation recovery compared to historical highs [5] - The Hang Seng Tech Index's earnings per share increased by 9.58% compared to the end of the previous year, and its valuation is notably lower than other major global tech indices [5] Group 4: Investment Themes - The technology innovation theme is expected to be a major investment focus, with significant valuation recovery potential for the Hang Seng Tech Index and strong performance anticipated from leading companies [6] - In the context of supply-side reform, sectors such as steel, building materials, electrical equipment, and paper are expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics and rising profit margins [6] - Under the strategy of expanding domestic demand, sectors with growth potential and historically low valuations, particularly in service consumption and new consumption models, are expected to perform well [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to remain active and experience an upward trend due to multiple positive factors, with a focus on the technology and consumer sectors for medium to long-term investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market rose by 2.01% last week, with the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 4.31% [2] - Among the primary sectors, 7 sectors saw gains while 4 sectors declined, with notable increases in Information Technology (4.54%), Energy (3.97%), and Materials (2.98%) [2] - In the secondary sectors, Semiconductor, Defense, Oil & Petrochemicals, Software Services, and Paper & Packaging led the gains, while Household Products, Durable Goods, Consumer Services, Daily Consumer Retail, and Textiles & Apparel faced declines [2] Group 2: Market Liquidity - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 171.19 billion, an increase of HKD 31.26 billion from the previous week [3] - The average daily short-selling amount was HKD 19.93 billion, up by HKD 2.96 billion from the previous week, with short-selling accounting for 11.78% of the trading volume, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points [3] - There was a net outflow of HKD 3.81 billion from southbound funds, a decrease of HKD 6.37 billion compared to the previous week [3] Group 3: Valuation and Risk Appetite - As of January 2, 2026, the Hang Seng Index had a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.09 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.23, both up by 2.36% from the previous week, positioned at the 79% and 56% percentiles since 2010 [4] - The Hang Seng Technology Index had a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.8 and a price-to-book ratio of 3.15, at the 36% and 66% percentiles since 2010 [4] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was 4.08%, which is 1.82 standard deviations below the 3-year rolling mean, placing it at the 4% percentile since 2010 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial sector for 2026, indicating strong upward momentum for the industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector is expected to experience a significant upward breakthrough in 2026, driven by improved chip structure, reduced turnover rates, and a favorable valuation environment. The sector is currently undervalued compared to its earnings potential [4]. - The insurance sector shows signs of stabilization post the interest rate switch, with premium growth expected to improve in 2026, particularly in the life insurance segment [4]. - Regulatory changes, including the completion of public fund fee reforms, are anticipated to benefit the non-bank financial sector by reducing costs for investors and enhancing market participation [4][22]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,629.94 with a decline of 0.59% over the week. The non-bank index fell by 1.84%, with brokerages and insurance indices declining by 1.37% and 3.33%, respectively [8][10]. Non-Bank Financial Insights - The brokerage sector's index underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.78 percentage points in 2025, with a total decline of 2.05% for the year. In contrast, major A-share indices saw significant gains [4]. - The insurance sector's original premium income reached 5.76 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.6%. The life insurance segment grew by 9.2% during the same period [4][31]. Investment Analysis - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on leading firms with strong competitive advantages, such as Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities, as well as those with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [4]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life and Ping An are highlighted for their potential in the upcoming market revaluation, with a focus on the growth of new business premiums [4]. Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented new rules for public real estate investment trusts (REITs), expanding financing options for commercial properties [21]. - The completion of the public fund fee reform is expected to lower overall fund costs by approximately 20%, saving investors around 51 billion yuan annually [22].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Tianjin Qiyi Er (603712) has initiated the filing process for guidance with the Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau on January 5, 2026, with China Galaxy Securities (601881) as the counseling institution [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the recovery of service consumption driven by the resurgence of travel during the New Year holiday, which has become the main force for domestic demand recovery [1] - The report highlights the optimistic outlook for the development of overseas business in the consumer sector by 2026, alongside a focus on high-dividend quality companies during market style shifts [1] - The report notes that the 2026 policy direction will significantly boost consumption, with a particular emphasis on experiential service consumption as a key growth area [1] Group 2 - During the New Year holiday, transportation data indicates a total of 590 million people traveled across regions, with an average of 198 million daily, marking a 19.5% year-on-year increase [1] - Railway passenger volume is expected to reach 48.22 million, a 53.1% increase year-on-year, while road travel is projected at 540 million, up 15.5% [1] - The report mentions that inbound tourism is continuing to grow, with ticket bookings for inbound travel during the New Year holiday increasing by 110% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - The first batch of national subsidies for 2026 has been issued, with 62.5 billion yuan allocated to support the replacement of consumer goods, benefiting categories such as air conditioners and refrigerators [3] - Midea has initiated a price increase for air conditioners, implementing a tiered pricing strategy with a 2% increase on January 3 and an additional 4% on January 5 [3] - The report indicates that Midea's price increase is a response to rising copper costs and aims to improve the competitive landscape in the air conditioning industry [3] Group 4 - CES 2026 is set to take place from January 6 to 9, 2026, in Las Vegas, showcasing Chinese technology consumer products transitioning from innovative to mainstream [4] - The focus will be on smart home devices, electric vehicles, and various consumer electronics, with particular attention to stair-climbing vacuum cleaners for the European and American markets [4]

人民财讯1月5日电，银河证券指出，消费行业需要重视"十五五"规划中消费的中长期目标；短期关注针 对2026年消费相关具体政策落地。银河证券对消费行业2026年海外业务的发展持乐观观点。消费个股方 面，关注市场风格切换(高切低)过程中的高分红率优质公司，以及各细分赛道中有阿尔法的公司。 ...

Core Insights - The capital market showed positive trends in 2025, with active trading reflected in the turnover data of the "Long Hu Bang" (龙虎榜) trading departments, reaching 3.34 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 40% [1][2] - The competition among brokerage firms intensified, with significant changes in the rankings of the top 100 trading departments, highlighting the emergence of several "dark horse" departments [1][3] Trading Volume and Rankings - In 2025, a total of 7,029 brokerage departments appeared on the Long Hu Bang 123,900 times, with a total trading volume of 3.34 trillion yuan, marking a 42.6% year-on-year increase [2] - The top 100 trading departments accounted for 2.26 trillion yuan, representing 67.66% of the total trading volume, indicating a strong head effect [2] - The top ten positions saw significant representation from Oriental Fortune Securities, which held three spots, with the top position taken by the Lhasa Tuanjie Road department at 127.87 billion yuan [2] Emergence of New Players - New entrants made notable advancements, such as Kaiyuan Securities' Xi'an Xidajie department rising from 27th to 3rd place, and UBS and Goldman Sachs' Shanghai departments entering the top ten [2][3] - Several "dark horse" departments made significant leaps, including Guotai Junan's Shanghai Jing'an New Zha Road department moving from 559th to 14th, and Guosheng Securities' Ningbo Tiantong South Road department from 1014th to 48th [3] Growth of Branch Offices - The rankings of many brokerage branch offices improved significantly, showcasing their growth potential, with 22 branch offices appearing in the top 100 list [3] - Notably, Guoxin Securities' Zhejiang Internet branch, established only about five years ago, entered the top ten, while Guojin Securities' Shenzhen branch improved from 65th to 26th [3] Foreign Brokerage Participation - Six foreign brokerage departments made it into the top 50, reflecting their increasing importance in the market [4] - UBS's Shanghai Garden Shiqiao Road department and Goldman Sachs' Shanghai Pudong Century Avenue department ranked 8th and 9th, respectively, with significant improvements from the previous year [4] Market Trends and Insights - The changes in the Long Hu Bang rankings reflect the competitive landscape among brokerages, indicating differences in client scale, market share, and overall strength [5] - The trading activities of the top departments suggest a preference for sectors such as general equipment, chemical products, computer software, automotive, and semiconductors [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the securities industry, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [9]. Core Insights - The public fund sales fee reform has been smoothly implemented, with a focus on benefiting investors and addressing market concerns. The reform is expected to save approximately 51 billion CNY in investment costs annually, with a comprehensive fee rate reduction of about 20% [5]. - The new rules on redemption fees have been established to protect market liquidity while benefiting investors. The differentiation in redemption fees is aimed at encouraging long-term investment practices [5]. - The classification of products and supporting policies have been upgraded to create a more refined fee rate regulatory system, promoting the development of index funds and equity funds [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of wealth management institutions' service capabilities in the context of the growing equity fund market, suggesting a focus on companies like Huatai Securities, CICC, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities [5]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued new regulations on public fund sales fees, effective from January 1, 2026, marking the completion of a three-phase fee reduction process [5]. - The third phase of the reform is projected to provide approximately 30 billion CNY in annual benefits to investors [5]. Product Classification - The new regulations simplify redemption fee structures into three tiers and allow flexible arrangements for different types of funds, particularly benefiting individual investors in index funds [5]. - The maximum subscription fee rates have been refined, with specific caps for different fund types, encouraging the growth of index funds [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the reforms and the anticipated growth in the equity fund market, including Huatai Securities (AH), CICC (H), Guotai Junan (AH), and CITIC Securities (AH) [5].