来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月3日，有色金属ETF（512400）开盘涨3.99%，报2.189元。有色金属ETF（512400）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨3.36%，洛阳钼业涨3.12%，北方稀土涨2.41%，华友钴业涨2.33%，中国铝业涨2.99%，赣 锋锂业涨2.91%，山东黄金跌7.33%，云铝股份涨2.70%，中金黄金跌8.16%，藏格矿业涨3.34%。 有色金属ETF（512400）业绩比较基准为中证申万有色金属指数收益率，管理人为南方基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为崔蕾，成立（2017-08-03）以来回报为123.28%，近一个月回报为13.45%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable amounts leaving the communication equipment and precious metals sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a capital outflow of 1.647 billion, with a slight increase in stock price of 0.37% [2] - Xinyi Sheng saw a capital outflow of 1.169 billion, with a decline in stock price of 1.7% [2] - BlueFocus Media had a capital outflow of 1.067 billion, with a stock price increase of 2.48% [2] - Industrial Fulian faced a capital outflow of 1.022 billion, with a decrease in stock price of 0.32% [2] - Zijin Mining reported a capital outflow of 0.844 billion, with a stock price increase of 3.88% [2] - Western Materials had a capital outflow of 0.747 billion, with a notable stock price increase of 7.73% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The communication equipment sector is facing significant capital outflows, with Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng leading the outflows [1][2] - The precious metals sector, including companies like Shandong Gold and Zijin Mining, is also experiencing notable capital outflows [1][3] - The automotive sector, represented by BYD, has a capital outflow of 0.396 billion, with a slight decrease in stock price of 0.25% [3]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of rare metal ETFs and the underlying stocks, with the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index rising by 1.05% as of February 3, 2026, and the rare metal ETF fund increasing by 0.84% [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.71% of the index, with significant contributors including Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [1] - The strategic attributes of minor metals are becoming increasingly prominent, with tungsten prices rising due to supply constraints and strong demand, while uranium prices are expected to continue increasing due to rigid supply and accelerated nuclear power construction [1] Group 2 - Dongfang Securities emphasizes the clear investment value of core lithium and cobalt stocks, suggesting active positioning despite short-term price corrections due to regulatory impacts and market fluctuations [2] - The lithium market is projected to have a significant gap by 2026, with rising raw material costs and limited supply contributing to an upward trend in lithium prices [2] - The rare metal ETF fund tracks the CS Rare Metal Index, which primarily allocates to lithium carbonate, minor metals, and rare earths, making it an excellent investment tool for market participants looking to invest in the rare metal sector [2]

值得关注的是，今日现货黄金开盘反弹，截至发稿，重回4800美元/盎司，日内涨超3%。分析指出，量 化基金去杠杆化、杠杆ETF和趋势跟踪策略头寸调整所引发的强制抛售潮，其主体部分可能已基本释 放。 消息面上，特朗普称正在与伊朗对话。当地时间2月2日，针对伊朗问题，美国总统特朗普表示，美方已 向相关地区调动大型军舰，同时与伊朗保持沟通，"将观察事态如何发展"。 新湖期货认为，黄金价格中长期支撑仍存，指出沃什获提名及由此引发的汇率波动属于短期扰动，中期 市场焦点仍将集中于地缘政治风险升温与特朗普政府政策的高度不确定性；而长期来看，全球债务可持 续性恶化与去美元化趋势的深化，是支撑黄金结构性走强的核心变量。目前，上述中长期逻辑并未发生 根本性逆转。 中信证券指出，在经历2025年的大涨行情后，有色金属价格与股票行情的上涨动能依然充足，供应扰 动、需求局部高景气和囤货行为为金属价格带来强支撑，流动性宽松带来的交易活跃度上升以及地缘冲 突带来的避险情绪升温有望放大金属的价格弹性。看好贵金属、工业金属、电池金属和战略金属板块的 配置价值。 今日（2月3日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘中涨超 ...

截至2026年2月3日 09:30，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)上涨0.39%，成分股中钨高新上涨 4.98%，电投能源上涨3.71%，紫金矿业上涨3.36%，洛阳钼业上涨3.12%，中国铝业上涨2.99%。工业有 色ETF鹏华(159162)上涨2.84%，最新价报0.94元。 工业有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，中证工业有色金属主题指数选取市值较大的30 只业务涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀土金属等行业的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映工业有色金属主题上 市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、 北方稀土、中国铝业、兴业银锡、云铝股份、铜陵有色、江西铜业、厦门钨业、中金黄金、西部矿业， 前十大权重股合计占比55.71%。 消息面上，工业金属昨日大跌后筑底反弹，国内商品期货早盘开盘，氧化铝涨超1%。 东方证券指出，金融属性波动加剧，供需支撑价格底线。宽松叙事短期受挫，工业品跟随贵金属均有大 幅波动，但降息仍然是美联储的政策方向（而非加息），考虑近期特朗普试图通过提振地产市场来应对 支持率下降，海外地产修 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the copper industry and strategic metals, highlighting recent trends in pricing and demand dynamics [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Decline and Recovery in Orders**: - A significant drop in copper prices has led to a surge in downstream purchasing activity. According to a survey by Mysteel, 31 domestic copper rod manufacturers and 6 traders reported an order volume of 43,000 tons, an increase of 28,600 tons from the previous day, representing a 197.73% week-on-week growth [1]. - Specifically, the order volume for refined copper rods reached 41,700 tons, marking a historical high since the survey began, with a week-on-week increase of 29,000 tons, or 228.75% [1]. - This indicates that as copper prices fall, downstream demand is beginning to materialize, with companies moving to fulfill delayed orders from December [1]. - **Strategic Metals and Resource Stocks**: - The value of strategic resources will determine the positioning of resource stocks in the market. The external manifestation of this value is reflected in the pricing of strategic metals [2]. - There is confidence in the long-term prospects for strategic metals, particularly tin and nickel, with a strong outlook for these commodities through 2026 [3][4]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Opportunities in Resource Companies**: - Recommendations for bottom-fishing in quality companies include: - **Copper**: Zijin Mining (900 billion as a bottom), Western Mining (70 billion bottom), and Luoyang Molybdenum (around 450 billion bottom). Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining are noted for their low valuations [4]. - **Aluminum**: China Aluminum (200 billion bottom, 22 billion profit) based on a price assumption of 23,000 [4]. - **Tin**: Huaxi Nonferrous (300 billion, with profits expected around 2 billion) and Tin Industry Co. (already low valuation) based on a price assumption of 350,000 [4]. - **Nickel**: Huayou Cobalt with profits of 8 billion at a nickel price of 15,000, considered very cheap [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [11]. Core Insights - The domestic copper inventory is beginning to decrease, which may lead to stronger prices [6]. - The gold market is expected to stabilize and rise further due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The aluminum supply remains rigid, supporting the investment outlook for the aluminum sector [11]. - Tin prices are expected to be supported by tight supply conditions [11]. - Antimony prices are rebounding after a six-month decline, indicating potential investment opportunities [11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) has shown significant performance with a 1-month increase of 22.6%, a 3-month increase of 35.7%, and a 12-month increase of 128.5% [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices reached $4981.85 per ounce, with a week-on-week increase of $35.60, or 0.72%. Silver prices were $103.19 per ounce, up $4.19, or 4.23% [4]. Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices closed at $13,440 per ton on the LME, up $460 per ton, or 3.54%. SHFE copper closed at ¥103,170 per ton, up ¥2,120, or 2.10% [6]. - Domestic aluminum prices were ¥24,640 per ton, with a week-on-week increase of ¥510 [7]. Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices were ¥423,630 per ton, down ¥110, or 0.03%. The supply and demand for tin are weak, leading to a price fluctuation around high levels [9]. - Antimony prices remain supported due to tight supply conditions, with current prices at ¥160,000 per ton [10]. Recommended Stocks - For the gold sector, recommended stocks include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold International. In the copper sector, recommended stocks include Zijin Mining and Western Mining. For aluminum, recommended stocks are Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, and Tianshan Aluminum [12].

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期 ——有色及贵金属周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：流动性预期回摆，错杀品修复可期。近日特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主 席，短期贵金属乐观预期的回摆导致金属价格大幅波动，建议关注错杀品种的修复机 会。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 02 日 看好维持 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 兰洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120002 | | | lanyang@orientsec.com ...