Group 1 - FTSE Russell announced the quarterly review results for the FTSE China Index Series, effective from December 22, 2025 [1] - The FTSE China A50 Index added two constituents: Luoyang Molybdenum and Sunshine Energy, while removing SF Express and Jiangsu Bank [1] - The FTSE China 50 Index added three constituents: China Hongqiao, CATL, and Heng Rui Medicine, while removing CITIC Securities, Great Wall Motors, and Li Auto [1] - The next quarterly review for the FTSE China Index will be announced in March [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for non-ferrous metals continues to rise, driven by factors such as a weakening dollar, supply concerns, and tight supply in LME registered warehouses, leading to record high copper prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Non-ferrous metal stocks in the A-share market saw significant gains, with Xiyang Co. rising by 6% and Western Mining increasing by over 5% [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 1.3%, expanding its year-to-date increase to 82% [1] - The ETF has experienced a net inflow of 325 million yuan over the past five days [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - LME copper prices reached $11,540 per ton, the highest level since 2013, while Shanghai copper futures surpassed 90,000 yuan per ton, marking a historical peak [1] - The ongoing tight supply of refined copper globally, particularly in non-American regions, is contributing to upward price pressure [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The non-ferrous metal ETF is the only one tracking the Zhongzheng Shenwan Non-ferrous Metal Index, with a current scale of 16.2 billion yuan, covering key sectors such as copper, aluminum, lithium, rare earths, and gold [1] - Key holdings in the ETF include leading companies in the non-ferrous sector such as Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and China Aluminum [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - With rising premiums for American copper and ongoing supply tightness in non-American regions, there is a bullish sentiment in the market [1] - The anticipated demand from the artificial intelligence sector is expected to provide a broad demand outlook for copper, suggesting potential upward price movement in the short term [1]

Core Viewpoint - The copper sector in Hong Kong stocks has shown strong performance, driven by record-high copper prices and positive outlooks from major financial institutions like JPMorgan [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On December 4, Hong Kong copper stocks collectively surged, with Minmetals Resources and Luoyang Molybdenum rising by 6%, while Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and China Nonferrous Mining increased by over 4% [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper price reached a historical high of $11,540 per ton, influenced by a weaker dollar, supply concerns, and tight supply in LME registered warehouses [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - JPMorgan remains optimistic about copper prices and copper stocks due to a structural supply-demand gap that is expected to support upward momentum [1] - The report forecasts zero growth in global mine supply by 2025, with only a modest recovery of 1.4% in 2026 [1] - The China Smelters Purchase Team (CSPT) has decided to reduce copper mine capacity utilization by over 10% by 2026, increasing the downside risk for global electrolytic copper supply and tightening market conditions [1] Group 3: Company Projections - JPMorgan identifies Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum as top picks due to strong profit growth and diversified asset portfolios [1] - The expected refined copper market deficit is approximately 330,000 tons by 2026, with Zijin and Luoyang Molybdenum's profits projected to grow by 30% and 17% respectively, primarily driven by increased copper production [1] - Jiangxi Copper's profit growth is anticipated at 10%, maintaining a relatively low allocation [1]

本文源自：金融界AI电报 港股铜概念股集体走强，五矿资源、洛阳钼业一度涨6%，紫金矿业、江西铜业股份、中国有色矿业一 度涨超4%。 ...

摩通报告称，预计2025年全球矿山供给零增长，2026年仅温和回升1.4%。此外，中国铜原料联合谈判 小组(CSPT)近期决定将2026年铜矿产能利用率削减逾10%，将进一步加大全球电解铜供应下行风险，加 剧市场趋紧格局。摩通指出，中国铜需求近期因高价等因素趋缓，但下游买家并未停购，只是改为按需 采购。预计2026年全球精炼铜市场缺口约33万吨，预计2026财年紫金、洛钼盈利分别增长30%及17%， 主要由铜产量增长驱动。预计江西铜业盈利增速为10%，维持相对低配。 格隆汇12月4日｜港股铜概念股集体走强，五矿资源、洛阳钼业一度涨6%，紫金矿业、江西铜业股份、 中国有色矿业一度涨超4%。消息面上，伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜价周三每吨价格一度触及11540美元， 创下历史新高，受美元走软、供应忧虑和LME注册仓库供应紧张影响。 摩根大通表示，仍然看好铜价和铜业股，因结构性供需缺口将持续支撑上行势头。其中，紫金矿业与洛 阳钼业为首选，因受益于强劲盈利增长和多元化资产布局。 ...

Flash | 03 Dec 2025 09:56:58 ET │ 11 pages China Materials Reiterating Our Key Calls, Aluminum and Copper Most Preferred, Followed by Battery Chain CITI'S TAKE As we approach year-end, we reiterate our key calls: 1) prefer aluminum and copper ahead of potential Fed rate cut; 2) bullish battery chain price hike cycle; 3) we have turned more cautious on anti-involution sectors. Sector pecking order: Aluminum > Copper > Battery > Gold > Battery Materials > Coal > Cement > Steel. Cross-sector top picks: Hongqia ...

Market Overview - The three major indices rebounded collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.06%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.22%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.4% as of 9:40 AM [1] Active Sectors 1. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector was active, with Junya Technology, Longxi Co., and Ruineng Technology hitting the daily limit, while Daying Electronics, Huichen Co., and Siling Co. also saw gains. The sector's growth is supported by Tesla's release of a running video of its "Optimus" humanoid robot, indicating rapid advancements in the industry [4] 2. Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector opened higher, with Luoyang Molybdenum rising over 4% and Jiangxi Copper up over 3%. The surge in copper prices is attributed to a significant increase in orders for copper extraction from London Metal Exchange warehouses, raising supply concerns. Analysts expect continued high copper prices due to supply shortages and low domestic inventory levels [3] Institutional Insights 1. Investment Recommendations - According to招商证券, December is expected to favor large-cap stocks, particularly in coal and basic chemicals, as the market is likely to break upward after three months of consolidation. The firm highlights the importance of upcoming economic policy announcements in December [5] 2. Market Trends - 广发证券 suggests that the market will shift from large-cap to small-cap stocks as the correlation between market movements and fundamentals strengthens in December. The period from December to January is seen as an excellent time for spring rally positioning, especially in sectors with positive earnings forecasts [6] 3. Fund Flow Dynamics - 华西证券 notes that the slowdown in incremental capital entering the market has led to faster sector rotation. With year-end approaching, investor risk appetite is decreasing, prompting a focus on sectors that align with upcoming policy changes and economic goals for 2026 [7]

A股高开，沪指涨0.04%，创业板涨0.01%。机器人产业链走强，铜业股活跃。超硬材料、CPO、6G、卫星导航、消费电子、光伏题材走弱。 港股高开，恒生指数高开0.17%，恒生科技指数涨0.21%。京东健康、紫金矿业、携程集团涨逾3%；新能源车概念股再度走低，理想汽车、小鹏汽 车、蔚来均下跌。 消息面，美国媒体称，特朗普政府考虑"明年对机器人实施行政令"。特朗普政府开始转向机器人，商务部长卢特尼克一直在与机器人行业的CEO 们会面，并"全力以赴"地加速该行业发展。交通部也正准备宣布成立一个机器人工作组，可能在年底前公布。 商品期市开盘多数下跌。橡胶跌1.58%，玻璃跌1.47%，集运指数(欧线)跌1.45%，碳酸锂跌1.31%，焦煤跌1.02%，燃油跌0.45%，沪锡涨3.59%， 沪银涨0.31%。 国债期货全线低开低走，中国30年期国债期货跌幅扩大至0.96%，至2024年11月来新低，10年期主力合约跌0.4%，5年期主力合约跌0.2%，2年期 主力合约跌0.04%。 9:45 洛阳钼业A股、H股创下盘中新高。摩根大通称，仍然看好铜价和铜业股，结构性供需缺口将持续支撑上行势头；紫金矿业与洛阳钼业为首选标 ...

渤海证券指出，供给端，受自由港印尼Grasberg矿和刚果（金）卡莫阿-卡库拉铜矿的事故影响，全球2026年铜矿供应预期 进一步收紧，将为铜价提供底部支撑，国内铜冶炼加工端的"反内卷"预期有望进一步改善行业竞争格局；需求端，铜是电 力电网、新能源汽车、AI服务器等领域重要原材料，在全球主要经济体进入降息周期背景下需求有望得到提振。 分析指出，锡价上涨主要由于矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响。供应端上，缅甸锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低位。 此外，新兴领域需求增长亦为锡价提供强劲支撑。从需求端来看，当前锡的下游需求主要由新兴领域拉动，半导体与消费 电子是锡焊料的传统基本盘，今年以来全球半导体行业景气度上升，直接拉动锡焊料需求。 降息预期提振大宗商品整体价格，二级市场有色金属矿业大涨，12月4日开盘，矿业ETF（159690）跳涨2.49%，锡业股份 涨超8%，洛阳钼业、西部矿业、紫金矿业、江西铜业等跟涨。 商品价格方面，12月3日，沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关，创历史新高。锡平均价达到30.97万元/吨，已连续5日处于 30万元上方。 宏观层面，根据CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示，美联储在12月议息会议降 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，12月4日，早盘有色板块震荡走强，铜方向领涨，洛阳钼业、藏格矿业涨超4%，均创历史 新高，盛屯矿业涨超8%，锡业股份、金诚信、西部矿业、江西铜业涨幅靠前。 ...