Group 1 - The report highlights that industrial metal prices have shown a significant upward trend, particularly for copper and tin, which are constrained by supply issues. Prices have gradually increased throughout the year, with copper reaching a historical high [14][15][39]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector has been impressive, with a year-to-date weighted average increase of 100.46% as of December 11, 2025, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [26][33]. - The macroeconomic environment is expected to remain favorable for industrial metals in 2026, with continued liquidity support from the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and domestic policies aimed at boosting demand [39][10]. Group 2 - The report identifies AI and energy storage as significant drivers of marginal demand growth for copper and aluminum, with substantial capital expenditures from major cloud service providers expected to continue [45][58]. - For copper, the demand from AI data centers is projected to add approximately 26.8 thousand tons to total copper demand in 2026, driven by increased infrastructure investments [58][59]. - In the aluminum sector, while demand growth is anticipated, it is expected to be more limited compared to copper, with projected aluminum demand from data centers reaching around 78 thousand tons globally by 2026 [64][66]. Group 3 - The supply side for copper remains constrained due to ongoing production cuts and delays in new mining projects, which are expected to exacerbate structural shortages in the market [42][43]. - The aluminum market is facing a rigid supply ceiling domestically, with limited growth in production capacity and risks of shutdowns due to high electricity costs [43][44]. - The report recommends several companies with strong growth potential in the copper sector, including Shengtun Mining, Zangge Mining, and Zijin Mining, as well as companies in the aluminum sector like China Aluminum and China Hongqiao [11][39].

格隆汇1月4日｜入选逻辑：手握全球约23%钴储量及世界级铜钴矿集群，核心矿山铜钴品位远超行业平 均，KFM二期投产后将再增10万吨铜产能，叠加刚果(金)钴出口配额红利，量价共振支撑业绩高增。 通过资源禀赋优势与数字化改革降本，铜生产成本处在相对低位，"矿山+贸易"模式平滑周期波动，抗 风险能力行业领先。 铜钴受益新能源需求扩容，巴西金矿并购落地与厄瓜多尔金矿布局构建"铜金双极"，H股股权激励绑定 核心团队，长期成长确定性强。 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the significant growth potential of Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. (洛阳钼业), highlighting its transformation into a global leader in copper and cobalt production, with a projected stock price increase of over 200% by 2025 and a market capitalization exceeding 400 billion yuan [1]. Group 1: Business Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum's revenue structure for the first three quarters of 2025 shows that mineral trading accounted for 61.1% of total revenue, with copper and cobalt contributing 26.5% and 4.3% respectively [3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 2024, with a net profit of 135.32 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 64.03% [12]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1,454.85 billion yuan and a net profit of 142.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 72.61% [12]. Group 2: Market Position and Demand - The company is deeply integrated into the domestic new energy industry chain, benefiting from the rising demand for copper and cobalt, which are essential for electric vehicles and batteries [6]. - Luoyang Molybdenum's cobalt products are primarily supplied to leading domestic battery manufacturers such as CATL and BYD, creating a closed-loop from raw materials to end demand [6]. - The supply-demand dynamics are favorable, with copper prices expected to exceed $12,000 per ton by 2025 and cobalt prices rising over 154% from the beginning of the year [6]. Group 3: Global Resource Strategy - The company has established a global presence through strategic acquisitions in Asia, Africa, and South America, securing significant reserves of copper, cobalt, niobium, phosphate, molybdenum, and tungsten [8]. - Luoyang Molybdenum's operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo include TFM, one of the largest copper-cobalt mines globally, ensuring a stable supply for the domestic new energy industry [9]. Group 4: Future Growth and Expansion - The company aims to produce 66,000 tons of copper and 12,000 tons of cobalt by 2026, with ongoing expansion projects expected to enhance production capacity significantly [21]. - The KFM Phase II project, set to be operational by 2027, will add 100,000 tons of copper production capacity, supporting the company's long-term growth objectives [17]. - The acquisition of gold mines in Brazil is expected to diversify revenue streams and enhance profitability, with projected annual gold production reaching 8 tons [20].

Precious Metals - The report highlights that gold remains a strong investment, with central banks continuing to increase their gold holdings, and gold ETFs experiencing sustained inflows during the interest rate cut cycle, indicating a bullish trend for gold prices [1][20] - Silver is expected to see significant price increases, driven by financial demand rather than industrial demand, with the gold-silver ratio indicating that silver is undervalued compared to gold [1][20] Industrial Metals - Copper is projected to experience a bullish market due to a clear supply-demand gap, supported by macroeconomic factors such as tariff reductions and increased capital expenditures, alongside strong demand from the energy and AI sectors [2][3] - Aluminum supply may face constraints due to high demand from data centers, with potential production risks and a tightening global supply-demand balance expected in 2026 [3] - Tin supply is limited due to global resource scarcity, while demand is expected to rise from the semiconductor and AI sectors, leading to a price increase [4] - Nickel prices are anticipated to recover as supply disruptions in Indonesia continue to impact the market [4] Energy Metals - Lithium demand is expected to surge, particularly from energy storage applications, with supply growth projected to slow down due to reduced capital expenditures by producers [7] - Cobalt prices are likely to rise due to export controls from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which will create a supply gap that cannot be compensated by increases in Indonesian production [8] Minor Metals - Tungsten prices are expected to rise due to persistent supply-demand imbalances, with limited new supply expected before 2027 [9] - Antimony prices are projected to remain high due to rigid supply constraints and potential easing of export controls, which could enhance price elasticity [10] - The rare earth sector is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics, with prices likely to rise as demand from electric vehicles and robotics increases [11]

时代浪潮奔涌，国运与产业共振催生核心资产价值。当全球供应链重构遇上新能源产业革命， 掌握核心资源、具备全球竞争力的龙头企业，早已成为格隆汇"下注中国"的关键标的。 洛阳钼业（603993.SH、3993.HK）这家从中国栾川走出的矿企，如今已成长为全球领先的 铜钴生产商，2025年股价暴涨超200%，市值突破4000亿元，正以"资源+贸易+新增长极"三 驾马车，书写中国矿业的全球化传奇。 | | 菅收（亿元） | 문다 | | --- | --- | --- | | 矿产贸易 | 888.9 | 61.1% | | | 386.2 | 26.5% | | 1 | 61.8 | 4.3% | | RE | 46.6 | 3.2% | | 磷肥 | 30.7 | 2.1% | | 三年 | 24.8 | www.gogudata.con1.7% | | F | 15.9 | 1.1% | 01 为什么是洛阳钼业？硬核逻辑梳理 洛阳钼业能从众多企业中脱颖而出，核心在于踩准了中国新能源转型的风口，更手握"需求绑 定+资源布局+业绩确定性"三大王牌。 1.铜钴高景气周期持续加码 它的核心优势，是深度绑定国内新能源产业链 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant performance of the non-ferrous metals industry in 2025, which achieved an annual index increase of 94.73%, marking it as the top-performing sector in the A-share market [1][4]. - The surge in non-ferrous metal prices, including gold, silver, copper, aluminum, and lithium, is attributed to a combination of rigid supply constraints and structural demand growth, leading to a strong bull market for metals [4][5]. Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Performance - By the end of 2025, the A-share market capitalization of the non-ferrous metals industry approached 5 trillion yuan, with 12 stocks surpassing the 1 billion yuan market cap [5]. - Notable stocks such as Zijin Mining saw a remarkable increase of 133.09% in 2025, with its market cap exceeding 710 billion yuan [5]. - A total of 46 stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector reached historical highs in 2025, with key players like Luoyang Molybdenum and Tianshan Aluminum achieving significant gains [4]. Group 3: Technology Sector Activity - The technology sector experienced high trading activity, with an average daily trading volume of 1.73 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a record high [8]. - The electronic industry led the trading activity with an average daily turnover of 266.57 billion yuan, driven by the AI revolution and domestic substitution trends [8][12]. - The market capitalization of the electronic sector reached 13.77 trillion yuan, surpassing the banking sector for the first time, with a year-on-year increase of 5.56 trillion yuan [8]. Group 4: Financing Trends - In 2025, financing funds significantly flowed into the technology sector, with the electronic industry receiving a net buy of 165.53 billion yuan, the highest among all sectors [12][15]. - The financing balance for the electronic industry stood at 382.06 billion yuan, leading the market and indicating a shift in capital towards technology-focused investments [15]. Group 5: Outlook for 2026 - Institutions maintain an optimistic outlook for the A-share market in 2026, focusing on sectors such as technology growth, cyclical reversals, and domestic demand expansion [16][17]. - Key areas of interest for investment include AI applications, resource stocks, and innovative technologies like quantum technology and controlled nuclear fusion [16][17].

Group 1 - The Congolese mining regulatory authority has decided to extend the cobalt export quotas set for Q4 2025 until March 31, 2026, to ensure a smooth implementation of the new quota system [1] - The total cobalt export cap for the year 2025 has been established at 96,600 tons, with the Democratic Republic of the Congo accounting for approximately 70% of global cobalt production [1] - The demand for cobalt has surged due to the rapid growth of the global electric vehicle industry, which has led to increased international cobalt prices following previous export restrictions [1] Group 2 - Glencore is expected to be one of the first companies to initiate shipments under the new quota system, while China Molybdenum has been preparing for its first cobalt exports [2] - China Molybdenum has been allocated a cobalt export quota of 6,650 tons for Q4 2025, and the company is working to comply with the Congolese government's export procedures [2] - Several administrative processes, including shipping, customs declaration, and final approvals, must be completed before the exports can officially commence [2] Group 3 - The Congolese government announced a suspension of cobalt exports in February 2025, initially set for four months, to address the oversupply in the international market that was causing a decline in prices [3]

Core Insights - The 2026 "Bet on China" top ten core assets have been announced by Gelonghui, a well-known independent research institution in China, based on votes from millions of members across over 70 countries [1][3] - The selection process involved over half a month of voting, resulting in hundreds of thousands of valid votes, emphasizing the collective wisdom of global investors [3] Selection Criteria - The selected listed companies must meet four key principles, reflecting the uncertainties in the Chinese investment market for 2025, including fluctuating recovery expectations, real estate stability concerns, and the ambiguity in investment directions related to AI and new energy [2] Performance Metrics - Since the end of 2018, the "Bet on China" top ten core assets index has achieved a cumulative increase of 318.67%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index (+56.2%), Hang Seng index (-0.82%), and S&P 500 index (+175.3%) [3] - In 2025, the equal-weighted return of the top ten core assets reached 35.1%, again surpassing the CSI 300 index (+17.7%), Hang Seng index (+27.8%), and S&P 500 index (+17.3%) [3] Core Assets Overview 1. **Zhongji Xuchuang (300308)**: Expected to benefit from the acceleration of AI computing infrastructure in China, with a projected demand for optical modules reaching 18 billion yuan, and a 50% annual growth in domestic demand for 800G optical modules [5] 2. **Tencent Holdings (00700.HK)**: With a massive user base, Tencent is expected to see its advertising revenue exceed 40 billion yuan in 2026, driven by its social media platforms and AI efficiency improvements [6][7] 3. **Alibaba (09988.HK)**: Anticipated to achieve 170 billion yuan in revenue from cloud services, with a growth rate of 34%, while also focusing on domestic consumption upgrades [7][8] 4. **Gold ETF (518880)**: Positioned as a key hedging tool for domestic investors, with a forecasted gold price potentially reaching 5,000 USD per ounce, supported by liquidity and geopolitical factors [8] 5. **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993/03993.HK)**: Expected to produce 660,000 tons of copper and 120,000 tons of cobalt in 2026, benefiting from the growth of the domestic electric vehicle market [9] 6. **Ping An Insurance (601318/02318.HK)**: Projected to see a 20%-25% increase in market value, benefiting from the domestic interest rate cycle and a focus on quality equity assets [10] 7. **Dongfang Caifu (300059)**: Anticipated to see a 22%-28% growth in market value, driven by increased capital market activity and AI-driven wealth management services [11] 8. **Wanhua Chemical (600309)**: Expected to achieve a net profit of 15.5-16.2 billion yuan in 2026, supported by domestic demand for MDI and new materials [12] 9. **WuXi AppTec (02268.HK)**: Positioned as a leader in the ADC field, with over 60% of its pipeline serving domestic clients, reflecting the growth of China's biopharmaceutical industry [13] 10. **Trip.com Group (09961.HK)**: Projected to see a revenue growth of over 25%, benefiting from the recovery of domestic travel and tourism [14] Conclusion - The ten core assets are aligned with China's key sectors such as AI computing, new energy, consumption, finance, and biomedicine, reflecting the country's new productive forces and upgrading of livelihoods [14]

Core Insights - The article presents the "Top 10 Core Assets for 2026" as voted by millions of members from over 70 countries, highlighting the collective wisdom of global investors in navigating market uncertainties [2][5]. Summary by Categories Core Assets - The selected core assets include: - **Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创)**: Market cap of 6,778 million RMB, focusing on AI and advanced manufacturing [3] - **Tencent (腾讯)**: Market cap of 49,160 million RMB, centered on AI applications [3] - **Alibaba (阿里巴巴)**: Market cap of 24,500 million RMB, involved in AI and cloud computing [3] - **Gold ETF (黄金ETF)**: Market cap of 1 million RMB, categorized under precious metals [3] - **Luoyang Molybdenum (洛阳钼业)**: Market cap of 4,279 million RMB, with no specific industry listed [3] - **China Ping An (中国平安)**: Market cap of 12,400 million RMB, in the financial sector [3] - **Dongfang Caifu (东方财富)**: Market cap of 3,663 million RMB, with no specific industry listed [3] - **Wanhua Chemical (万华化学)**: Market cap of 2,400 million RMB, in the chemical industry [3] - **WuXi AppTec (药明合联)**: Market cap of 1,515 million RMB, in the pharmaceutical sector [3] - **Trip.com Group (携程集团)**: Market cap of 3,250 million RMB, in consumer discretionary [3] Market Context - The investment landscape in China for 2025 is characterized by uncertainties, including fluctuating recovery expectations, geopolitical tensions, and evolving trends in real estate and AI [4]. - The article emphasizes the importance of collective intelligence in investment decisions, asserting that the aggregated insights from millions can effectively guide investors through market complexities [5][7]. Performance Metrics - From 2019 to 2025, the "Top 10 Core Assets Index" achieved a cumulative growth of 318.67%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index (+56.2%) and the Hang Seng Index (-0.82%) [11]. - In 2025, the equal-weighted return of the top assets reached 35.1%, again surpassing the performance of major indices [11]. Selection Criteria - The selected companies must meet four key principles: 1. Represent Chinese enterprises with a domestic market focus 2. Align with future economic directions and create long-term value 3. Possess competitive advantages or potential in emerging sectors 4. Have a projected market cap growth of 20% or more in 2026 [10] Individual Company Insights - **Zhongji Xuchuang**: Expected to benefit from a surge in AI-related demand, with a projected market cap growth of 25%-30% [12]. - **Tencent**: Anticipated to see a 25%-30% increase in adjusted net profit, driven by its strong domestic user base and advertising revenue [13]. - **Alibaba**: Forecasted to achieve a 25%-28% stock price increase, supported by its dual focus on AI and consumer markets [14]. - **Gold ETF**: Positioned as a key hedging tool, with a projected 28%-32% growth in fund inflows [15]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum**: Expected to maintain its leading position in the battery materials sector, with a projected net profit of 320-350 million RMB [16]. - **China Ping An**: Anticipated to grow its market cap by 20%-25%, benefiting from the domestic financial market's recovery [17]. - **Dongfang Caifu**: Projected to see a 22%-28% increase in market cap, driven by the growth in wealth management services [18]. - **Wanhua Chemical**: Expected to achieve a net profit of 155-162 million RMB, supported by domestic demand [19]. - **WuXi AppTec**: Positioned as a leader in the ADC field, with significant growth driven by domestic innovation [20]. - **Trip.com Group**: Forecasted to grow revenue by over 25%, capitalizing on the recovery of domestic travel [21]. Conclusion - The selected core assets reflect a strategic alignment with China's economic growth and key sectors, including AI, renewable energy, finance, and healthcare, emphasizing their potential for long-term value creation [22].

截至今天下午收盘，洛阳钼业大涨超过3.39%，有的投资者朋友问我：还可以买洛阳钼业吗？还能继续 持有吗？今天我就跟大家从基本面、技术面、未来成长潜力三个方面来聊一聊。 洛阳钼业是稀缺战略性矿产的龙头，下面我们来看一下其基本面： 首先，该公司在中国、非洲、南美洲布局了核心矿产资源，资源规模和质量都是排名全球前列。 1、在刚果金布局了铜和钴的矿产资源。持有两大世界级的铜矿，控制铜资源量超过3000万吨，钴资源 量超过200万吨，矿山铜品位、钴品位远超行业平均水平。2023年跻身全球第一大钴生产商。2024年跻 身全球前十铜矿生产商。 其铜生产成本为每吨3200美元，而行业平均值为每吨4800美元，每吨铜的生产成本比同行业低1600美 元。其钼的生产成本也稳居中国前三甲。其生产成本优势全球领先，这就增加了其利润。 第三，其子公司IXM为全球第三大金属贸易商，成功实现了生产、贸易的全产业链闭环，业绩确定性 强。同时与需求方宁德时代签订股权协议，宁德时代控股8.5%，意味着其订单具有稳定性。 其次，我们再来看看其具体的业绩 1、2025年前三季度其归母净利润142.8亿元，超越2024年全年的135.32亿元，5年5倍 ...