23 December 2025 | 7:14AM CST Equity Research CHINA PROPERTY WEEKLY WRAP Week 51 Wrap - Steady transaction volumes toward year-end; MTD secondary price cut pace decelerating Key highlights for the week: On the policy front, on the central level, we note authorities reiterated their focus on guiding the property sector toward a new development model, with the MOHURD emphasizing shifts from high-speed to high-quality growth, prioritizing product quality over scale expansion, and targeting a balanced, stable m ...

1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents a comprehensive overview of the macro - economic data, commodity investment trends, financial news, and stock market conditions. It shows that the global economy is facing various factors such as geopolitical tensions, policy changes, and market fluctuations, which have different impacts on different industries and markets. For example, geopolitical factors in Venezuela and the EU's sanctions on Russia affect the energy market, while the "aluminum - for - copper" trend in the home appliance industry is influenced by the soaring copper price [5][9][10]. 3. Summary by Directory Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew at a 4.8% year - on - year rate, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter but up from 4.6% in the same period last year. - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, slightly up from 49% in the previous month but down from 50.3% in the same period last year; the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 49.5%, down from 50.1% in the previous month and 50% in the same period last year. - The year - on - year growth rates of M0, M1, and M2 in November 2025 were 10.6%, 4.9%, and 8% respectively. The growth rate of M1 decreased from 6.2% in the previous month, while M2 decreased from 8.2% in the previous month [1]. Commodity Investment Comprehensive - The 1 - year and 5 - year - plus LPRs remained unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively in December 2025, for the seventh consecutive month, due to stable policy rates and pressure on the banking industry's net interest margin. - Starting from December 23, 2025, China will impose temporary counter - subsidy measures on imported dairy products from the EU, with ad - valorem subsidy rates ranging from 21.9% to 42.7%. - Multiple exchanges, including the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, Dalian Commodity Exchange, Shanghai Gold Exchange, and China Financial Futures Exchange, have announced fee - reduction or exemption policies for 2026. The Shanghai Futures Exchange has adjusted the trading fees for silver futures to cool the market [2][3][4]. Metals - On December 22, platinum and palladium futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange hit the daily limit, with the platinum futures main contract 2606 closing at 568.45 yuan/gram, up 6.99%, and the palladium futures main contract 2606 at 508.45 yuan/gram, up 7%. The spot platinum in the overseas market broke through the $2000/ounce mark for the first time since 2008. - Spot gold reached $4400/ounce for the first time, up about 1.4%. The long - term upward trend of precious metals remains strong due to factors like the reconstruction of the credit currency system and central banks' continuous gold purchases. - The "aluminum - for - copper" trend in the home appliance industry has become a hot topic due to the soaring copper price. The China Household Electrical Appliances Association has put forward five initiatives. - Precious metals and rare metals such as silver and tungsten have seen significant price increases. The annual increase of silver has reached 137%, and that of tungsten concentrate 202%. In the past week, silver rose 8.27%, and tungsten powder rose about 18%. - Hong Kong plans to focus on developing the gold market next year, aiming to increase its gold storage to at least 2000 tons in the next three years and launch a central settlement system for gold contract trading [5][6][7]. Coal, Coking, Steel and Minerals - Six special working groups have carried out inspections in 12 key regions across the country to crack down on illegal mining and seal up abandoned mine holes. - In November 2025, India's major industries showed mixed growth. Crude oil production decreased by 3.2% year - on - year, while coal, steel, cement, and fertilizer production increased by 2.1%, 6.1%, 14.5%, and 5.6% respectively. Electricity production decreased by 2.2% [8]. Energy and Chemicals - On December 22, 2025, domestic refined oil prices were lowered. Gasoline and diesel prices were reduced by 170 yuan/ton and 165 yuan/ton respectively. - On December 22, the main contract of US crude oil rose due to the escalating situation in Venezuela, which raised concerns about supply. - The EU decided to extend economic sanctions against Russia for six more months until July 31, 2026, and introduced special counter - measures against sanctions - evading behaviors [9][10]. Agricultural Products - CBOT wheat and soybean prices rose due to the escalating Russia - Ukraine tension, which raised concerns about agricultural product exports in the Black Sea region. Chicago wheat futures rose up to 1.7%, and soybean futures up to 0.7%. - The US Department of Agriculture reported the export inspection volumes of soybeans, wheat, and corn, as well as the weekly export sales of various agricultural products in the next sales year [11]. Financial News Open Market - On December 22, the central bank conducted 67.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40%. With 130.9 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal was 63.6 billion yuan. - The central bank issued 40 billion yuan of 6 - month RMB central bank bills in Hong Kong at a winning bid rate of 1.67% [12]. Key News - The central bank introduced a one - time credit repair policy for personal overdue information from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2025, with a single amount not exceeding 10,000 yuan. If the overdue debt is fully repaid by March 31, 2026, the information will not be shown in the credit report. - Vanke's 2 - billion - yuan bond extension plan was rejected again, but it won a 30 - trading - day grace period. Vanke's subsidiary also extended the investment term of a 2.62 - billion - yuan insurance - related debt plan by one year. - The State Council is working on the "15th Five - Year Plan" and plans to launch major projects to drive economic growth. - The 1 - year and 5 - year - plus LPRs in December 2025 remained unchanged for the seventh consecutive month. - The Ministry of Commerce imposed temporary counter - subsidy measures on imported dairy products from the EU. - The Central Economic Work Conference deployed key reform tasks for next year, aiming to enhance economic vitality. - The draft revision of the Banking Supervision and Management Law was submitted for the first review, aiming to strengthen supervision of major shareholders and actual controllers of banking financial institutions. - The China Financial Futures Exchange will halve the delivery fees for stock index futures and treasury bond futures and the exercise (performance) fees for stock index options in 2026. - In November and December 2025, institutions increased their bond allocation. Insurance companies accelerated their bond issuance, and many banks adjusted their deposit business to stabilize the net interest margin. - There were multiple bond - related events, including Vanke's bond extension issues, and some companies' credit rating changes [14][15][16][17][18]. Bond Market - The Chinese bond market weakened overall. The yield of the 30 - year active bond "25 Super Long Special Treasury Bond 06" rose by more than 1bp, and the 30 - year main contract of treasury bond futures fell 0.28%. - In the exchange - traded bond market, Vanke's bonds showed mixed performance. The Wande Real Estate Bond 30 Index and the Wande High - Yield Urban Investment Bond Index rose slightly. - The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.55%, and the Wande Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted Index rose 0.61%. - Most money market interest rates declined, while the performance of European and US bond yields was mixed [19][20][21][22]. Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar closed at 7.0382 on December 22, up 28 points from the previous trading day. The central parity rate was 7.0572, down 22 points. - The US dollar index fell 0.46% in New York trading, and non - US currencies showed mixed performance [23]. Research Reports - CITIC Securities believes that the long - term and ultra - long - term bond yields are volatile at the end of the year, mainly due to the pressure on banks' liability side. In the long run, ultra - long - term bonds still have allocation value. - Huatai Fixed Income suggests continuing to layout convertible bonds on dips, paying attention to style switching, and taking weight - based varieties as the bottom position. - Huatai Fixed Income also believes that the bond market is currently desensitized to fundamentals, and institutions should focus on short - term and medium - term bonds. - CITIC Securities' chief economist Ming Ming believes that the US employment market is weak, and the Fed may cut interest rates by about 50bps next year [24][25]. Today's Reminders - On December 23, 205 bonds will be listed, 112 bonds will be issued, 72 bonds will require payment, and 135 bonds will pay principal and interest [26][27]. Stock Market - The A - share market rose significantly, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index up 2.23%. The trading volume reached 1.88 trillion yuan. Hainan Free Trade Port concept stocks and the semiconductor industry chain were strong, while pharmaceutical business stocks declined. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.43%, the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 0.87%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 0.43%. Semiconductor and gold stocks rose, and four new stocks broke their issue prices [28].

22日晚，万科发布公告，表示公司2022年度第四期中期票据（"22万科MTN004"）展期一年的议案在12 月15日到期后，再次未获债券持有人通过。但债权人同意将本金和利息的支付宽限期由原本的5个交易 日大幅延长至30个交易日，截止日期顺延至2026年1月28日。 万科这笔债券展期一年的议案，此前为何两次均未获通过，持有人主要的担忧是什么？据智通财经报 道，一位房地产行业分析师向记者表示，这其中或反映出投资人对万科偿债能力信心不足。"当前房地 产市场持续调整，万科经营性现金流改善有限，且2026年仍有大规模债务到期，债权人担忧展期只 是'拖延时间'，未来仍不排除可能会违约的概率。 "而按照市场上公开的最新信息，万科在第二次持有人会议上，并未能拿出令债权人满意的"新筹码"。 虽然公司承诺在宽限期内支付6000万元的到期利息，并提出了本金展期12个月的方案，但核心争议点在 于增信措施的缺失。 目前对万科来说最为紧迫的事情，就是需要在这短暂而宝贵的缓冲期内，推动新展期方案获得通过。 这意味着，万科在1月28日前无需立即支付该笔票据的本金和利息，也不必承担违约带来的额外财务成 本，为万科的现金流提供了缓冲时间。 然而 ...

Group 1 - The Chinese government is implementing temporary anti-subsidy measures on dairy products imported from the EU starting December 23, 2025 [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose to 3917.36 points, marking a 0.69% increase, with significant trading volume of 188.22 billion yuan on December 22 [4] - The AI and computing power sectors are expected to continue benefiting from growth opportunities, as indicated by the bullish outlook from fund managers [5] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced a credit repair policy for individuals with overdue debts, which may impact consumer spending and financial services [7] - The National Medical Insurance Administration has released procurement documents for medical consumables, indicating ongoing reforms in the healthcare sector [7] - Japan's largest nuclear power plant, Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, is set to restart, reflecting a global recovery in nuclear energy and potential investment opportunities in the sector [10] Group 3 - Ningbo Huaxiang's subsidiary has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shenzhen Dahuang Robotics to enhance collaboration in humanoid robot development [13] - Leading companies in the semiconductor and storage sectors are experiencing increased demand, with Aisen Co. receiving significant institutional investment [15] - The recent surge in net subscriptions for equity ETFs, totaling 68.66 billion yuan, indicates strong institutional interest in the market [16]

Macro News - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, is planning major projects and initiatives to drive overall development, emphasizing the need for detailed and practical measures in the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - The National Audit Office reported that 98% of the 2,186 issues identified in the 2024 budget audit have been rectified, with a total of 1.04 trillion yuan involved in the corrections [3] Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced temporary anti-subsidy measures on dairy products imported from the EU, effective December 23, 2025, due to identified subsidies causing substantial harm to the domestic dairy industry [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 170 yuan and 165 yuan per ton, respectively, marking the last price adjustment of the year [7] - The National Medical Insurance Administration released a procurement document for high-value medical consumables, aiming to reduce costs for public medical institutions [7] - Nvidia's GB300 AI server cabinet shipments are expected to reach 55,000 units in the coming year, a 129% increase driven by major companies like Microsoft and Meta [7] - The Chinese stock market is experiencing a strong rebound, with Goldman Sachs predicting continued growth into 2026 due to investor re-evaluation of the tech sector [8] Company News - BYD confirmed reports of salary increases for its R&D personnel [9] - China Communications Construction Company and Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism announced that their actual controller has been taken into criminal custody [10] - Tongyu Communication plans to increase capital and introduce investors to enhance its financial strength for satellite communication product development [10] - Huaxia Happiness rejected five temporary proposals from China Ping An Life for the upcoming shareholders' meeting [10] - Zhaoran Co. signed a contract for a 4.033 billion yuan project for producing biodegradable polyester, representing 142% of its audited revenue for 2024 [10]

曾经以"稳健"著称的房企"优等生"万科，终究没能躲过行业调整与债务洪峰的双重冲击，如今正走上市场化化债自救之路。 2024年曾以790亿元现金大额兑付债务、2025年上半年仍坚守兑付承诺的万科，在年末57亿元境内债集中到期的压力下，突然披露余额20亿元、原本于 2025年12月15日到期的中期票据"22万科MTN004"展期计划，打破成立以来无债务展期的纪录。 12月22日， "22 万科 MTN004" 第二次持有人会议传来消息——唯一展期方案仍未达90%通过门槛，仅获得20.2%有效表决同意，反对比例高达78.3%。但 30个交易日宽限期议案以90.7%的投票同意率获通过，为化债争取到喘息空间。 与此同时，另一笔37亿元到期债券 "22 万科 MTN005" 也在同步推进展期 议案表决。从结果来，尽管当下万科首次展期议案未通过，但各方仍在避免让万科出现实质性违约，只是这场围绕债务化解的市场化博弈仍在继续。 1 20亿元展期方案仍未通过 为寻求共识，在本轮"22万科MTN004"展期博弈中，万科抛出过三次展期方案。先是初始展期方案——展期一年，期间不付首付、不派利息，受到部分投 资人强烈反对。 "连利息都不 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the S&P 500 up 0.64%, the Nasdaq up 0.52%, and the Dow Jones up 0.47% [4] - Major tech stocks had mixed results, with Tesla and Nvidia rising over 1%, while Intel and Netflix fell over 1% [4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.58%, with most Chinese concept stocks rising, including iQIYI up nearly 3% and JD.com up nearly 1% [4] Group 2 - International oil prices rose, with U.S. crude oil up 2.48% at $57.92 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 2.38% at $61.48 per barrel [5] - International gold prices also increased, with spot gold reaching a record high of $4,449.16 per ounce, up 2.42% [5] Group 3 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced an initial ruling on anti-subsidy investigations into imported dairy products from the EU, with preliminary evidence indicating subsidies exist, leading to a proposed subsidy rate of 21.9% to 42.7% [9] - The Ministry of Commerce also addressed semiconductor supply issues related to Anshi Semiconductor, indicating ongoing discussions to restore supply chains [10] Group 4 - The National Medical Products Administration released new regulations to further standardize the management of internet pharmaceutical and medical device information services [11] - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced a pilot reform for CCC certification marks on high-risk products, including power banks and electric bicycles [11] Group 5 - BYD confirmed salary increases for its technical research staff, with the company reporting a revenue of 566.27 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, a year-on-year increase of approximately 13% [19] - Xiaomi announced a subsidy program for automotive dealers, with over 100 million yuan allocated to support "car integration stores" [20][21] Group 6 - Porsche announced plans to gradually shut down its self-built charging network starting March 1, 2026, while maintaining partnerships with leading charging operators [27] - Apple was fined nearly 98.64 million euros by the Italian Competition Authority for abusing its market dominance through its App Tracking Transparency policy [29]

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's bondholders meeting resulted in the approval of two proposals, extending the grace period for bond principal and interest payments from 5 working days to 30 trading days, while the proposal to adjust the payment arrangement was not approved [2][3][4]. Group 1: Meeting Outcomes - Proposal 1, which waived the procedural time requirements for convening the bondholders meeting, was approved by 8 out of 20 institutions, representing 91.20% of the voting rights [2][3]. - Proposal 2, aimed at adjusting the payment arrangement for the bond's principal and interest, was rejected, with 14 institutions voting against it, accounting for 78.30% of the voting rights [3]. - Proposal 3, which extended the grace period for the bond, was approved by 7 institutions, representing 90.70% of the voting rights [3][4]. Group 2: Company Commitments - Vanke accepted the voting results and committed to ongoing communication with stakeholders to seek solutions for the bond issue, ensuring that the payment order for the current bond will not be worse than that of any subsequent bonds maturing after December 15, 2025 [4]. - The company pledged not to pay principal on any subsequent bonds until the current bond's principal and interest are fully paid [4]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Industry experts noted that the approval of Proposal 3 effectively postpones the debt default deadline by 30 trading days, allowing Vanke to negotiate new plans with bondholders [5]. - There is a prevailing expectation among bondholders that Vanke will still meet its debt obligations [5].

本报记者 李昱丞 此前在12月18日，"22万科MTN004"第二次持有人会议召开，表决三项议案，分别是《关于豁免本次持 有人会议召集、召开程序的相关时限要求的议案（特别议案）》（以下简称"议案一"）《调整中期票据 本息兑付安排的议案（特别议案）》（以下简称"议案二"）以及《议案三：延长本期中期票据的宽限期 的议案（特别议案）》（以下简称"议案三"）。 其中，议案一和议案三获得超90%表决权数额后生效，给了万科"以时间换空间"的宝贵窗口；主张先行 偿付利息、本金展期一年、公司提供增信措施的议案二未能生效。 万科方面称，公司接受持有人会议的表决结果，后续将与各方坦诚沟通协商，研究完善举措，继续寻求 本期债券解决方案，维护各方长远共同利益。 12月22日晚间，万科企业股份有限公司（以下简称"万科"）发布公告称，万科2022年度第四期中期票据 （"22万科MTN004"）存续期内的本息兑付日之宽限期由5个工作日延长至30个交易日（即宽限期届满 日为2026年1月28日）。 公告显示，如在30个交易日的宽限期内对"22万科MTN004"本息进行了足额偿付、消除违约事件或通过 债券持有人会议予以豁免的，则不构成万科对" ...

Group 1 - The actual controller of Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, Yu Faxiang, has been subjected to criminal coercive measures due to suspected criminal activities, but the company's control has not changed and operations remain normal [2] - The actual controller of Jiaojian Co., Yu Faxiang, is also facing criminal coercive measures, with no impact on the company's operations or control [3] - Huaxia Happiness's board rejected five temporary proposals from China Ping An Life Insurance for the upcoming shareholder meeting, citing legal violations and conflicts with company matters [4] Group 2 - Hualian Holdings plans to acquire 100% of Argentum Lithium S.A. for approximately 1.75 billion USD (12.35 billion RMB), aiming to gain 80% interest in the Arizaro project located in Argentina [5] - Tianji Technology is facing a lawsuit for alleged collusion in bidding, but the company reports that operations are normal and the event has not significantly impacted it [6] - Jinpan Technology intends to issue convertible bonds totaling 1.672 billion RMB to fund projects related to data center power modules and energy-efficient equipment [7] Group 3 - Xusheng Group's actual controller is changing to Guangzhou Municipal Government, with stock resuming trading on December 23, 2025, after a share transfer agreement [8][9] - Lingyi Zhizao plans to acquire 35% of Limin Da for 875 million RMB, gaining control over 52.78% of the voting rights in the company [10] - Vanke A has extended the grace period for the repayment of its mid-term notes from 5 working days to 30 trading days, with no penalties during this period [11] Group 4 - Tianpu Co. has completed a tender offer, resulting in a total control of 68.29% of the shares, with stock resuming trading on December 23, 2025 [12] - Chuangshi Technology's actual controller is under investigation and has been subjected to detention measures, but has resigned from all positions within the company [13] Group 5 - Sanhua Intelligent Controls expects a net profit of 3.874 billion to 4.649 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25% to 50% [15] - Dong'a Ejiao plans to repurchase shares worth 100 to 200 million RMB, with the repurchased shares to be canceled and registered capital reduced [17] Group 6 - Hongqi Chain's major shareholder, Yonghui Supermarket, plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% [20] - Yingwei Ke's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 0.56% [21] - Tianyin Electromechanical's director plans to reduce his holdings by up to 155.81 million shares [22] Group 7 - Zhuoran Co.'s subsidiary has signed a significant order worth 4.033 billion RMB for a project in Inner Mongolia [24] - Nacronor has signed a procurement contract worth 301 million RMB with a leading domestic customer [25]