有9家酒企归母净利润低于10亿元，4家净利润低于1亿元。去年只有金种子酒一家酒企亏损，亏损金额 从上年的0.22亿元扩大到2.58亿元。 出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者：浪头饮食/ 郝显 2024年，白酒行业进入深度调整！ "行业产销双线下滑、终端动销整体放缓、消费场景萎缩、消费信心不足，诸多产品价格不同程度倒 挂，"茅台集团党委副书记、总经理王莉2024年中曾对白酒行业发展趋势作出过这样的判断。 在这种背景下，渠道库存问题凸显，头部酒企也频频通过停货稳定价格体系。白酒企业分化进一步加 剧，头部酒企仍能维持稳健增长，中小酒企则开始面对压力。 从上市公司层面来看，2024年酒企收入增速大幅放缓，收入下滑酒企数量从上年的2家增至6家。酒鬼酒 和顺鑫农业已经连续大幅下滑两年。 19家上市白酒公司归母净利润增长7.6% 贵州茅台一家占比达到52% 2024年19家上市白酒公司（剔除*ST岩石（维权）），总共实现归母净利润1668.48亿元，同比增长 7.6%。 贵州茅台去年净利润达到862.28亿元，占上市白酒净利润的近52%，提升了3.48个百分点。其次是五粮 液、泸州老窖和山西汾酒，归母净利润分别为318.5 ...

从中证全指食品、饮料与烟草指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比61.17%、深圳证券交易 所占比38.83%。 从中证全指食品、饮料与烟草指数持仓样本的行业来看，白酒占比47.83%、调味品与食用油占比 12.10%、乳制品占比12.04%、其他食品占比7.46%、软饮料占比6.48%、啤酒占比4.76%、休闲食品占比 4.02%、肉制品占比3.31%、葡萄酒及其他占比1.33%、黄酒占比0.66%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。遇临时调整时，当中证全指指数调整样本时，中证全指行业指数样 本随之进行相应调整。在样本公司有特殊事件发生，导致其行业归属发生变更时，将对中证全指行业指 数样本进行相应调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形 的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 据了解，为反映中证全指指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整体表现，为投资者提供分析工具，将中证全 指指数样本按中证行业分类 ...

白酒：1190亿元分红创新高 所谓冰，是整个白酒板块上市企业2024年净利润增速普遍下滑；而所谓火，则是2024年年度行业分红总金额高达1190亿元，逆势创下历史新高。 在行业竞争不断加剧的背景下，白酒这张高分红的"牌"能否达到想要的效果？从2024年第四季度与2025年一季度基金的持仓态度来看，机构投资者的信心已 然回暖。 随着2024年年报披露完毕，白酒企业2024年派发"红包"金额也随之出炉，由于多家头部酒企增加了分红频次，最终让白酒企业2024年全年分红总金额定格在 1190亿元，分红总金额同比增长近10%，而整个行业股息支付率也达到71.34%，仅次于2022年的74.28%，排在历史第二。 | 年度 | 归母净利润(亿元) | 现金分红总额(亿元) | 股息支付率 | 分红公司数量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | 1,668.48 | 1.190.26 | 71.34% | 17 | | 2023 | 1.550.59 | 1.094.86 | 70.61% | 16 | | 2022 | 1.304.73 | 969.19 | 74.28% ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the increase in investment hotspots has weakened the performance of consumer stocks in China [1] - The consumer sector is experiencing slow growth, with a lack of fundamental catalysts in the short term, although long-term asset revaluation logic remains intact [8] Industry Overview - In April 2025, five out of eight tracked industries maintained positive growth, while two experienced negative growth and one remained flat. The industries with single-digit growth included dairy (+3.4%), dining (+3.1%), soft drinks (+2.7%), condiments (+2.3%), and frozen foods (+1.5%). The declining sectors were mass-market and below liquor (-10.7%) and mid-to-high-end liquor (-1.5%), with the beer industry remaining flat [3][10] - The revenue for the high-end liquor sector in April was 26.4 billion yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year, while the cumulative revenue for the first four months was 167 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year [12] - The mass-market liquor sector saw a revenue of 15 billion yuan in April, down 10.7% year-on-year, with a cumulative revenue of 75.2 billion yuan for the first four months, down 13.9% year-on-year [13] - The beer industry reported a revenue of 14 billion yuan in April, remaining flat year-on-year, with a cumulative revenue of 60.6 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.2% [14] Price Trends - In April, the wholesale prices of high-end liquor such as Feitian Moutai continued to decline, with prices for whole boxes and individual bottles down by 70 yuan compared to the previous month [4][22] - The prices of most high-end liquor remained stable, while mid-range and lower-end liquor prices saw more declines than increases [12][13] Cost Analysis - The cost indices for various products in April showed increases for beer (+2.69%), frozen foods (+1.67%), dairy (+1.09%), while condiments (-0.12%), instant noodles (-0.18%), and soft drinks (-1.58%) experienced declines [5] - The prices of packaging materials varied, with aluminum can prices rising by 8.37% year-on-year, while glass, plastic, and pulp prices fell by 23.17%, 20.90%, and 4.59% respectively [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests waiting for the right opportunity to increase positions in consumer stocks, particularly in the dairy sector, soft drinks, and liquor, with specific companies highlighted for potential investment [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting employment trends in the beer and liquor industries during the current adjustment period, highlighting that while beer companies have reduced their workforce significantly, liquor companies, particularly leading brands, have increased their employee numbers despite facing revenue declines [2][11]. Employment Trends in Beer Industry - Over the past year, the beer industry has seen a reduction of over 6,000 employees across 10 listed companies, with major players like Budweiser APAC and China Resources Beer each reducing their workforce by over 1,000 [5][8]. - The overall employment in the beer sector has decreased to below 300,000, primarily due to declining sales and revenue in the industry [2][5]. - The reduction in workforce is attributed to decreased demand for production and sales roles, particularly for temporary workers during peak seasons [8][9]. Employment Trends in Liquor Industry - In contrast, the liquor industry has experienced an increase of over 3,900 employees, with only 7 out of 22 listed liquor companies reporting reductions [9][12]. - Leading liquor companies such as Kweichow Moutai and Yanghe Brewery have added over 1,000 employees each, indicating a robust demand for production roles [9][12]. - The increase in employment is partly driven by the need to meet production demands and the social responsibility of state-owned enterprises to maintain employment levels [12][13]. Salary Adjustments - While the overall employment levels in liquor companies have increased, there has been a notable reduction in executive compensation, with many high-ranking officials seeing salary cuts of hundreds of thousands [16][17]. - In contrast, the average salary for non-executive employees has remained stable or even increased in some companies, such as Water Well and Kweichow Moutai, which reported a rise in average non-executive salaries [20][21]. Future Outlook - The article suggests that the current adjustment period for the liquor industry is not yet over, and further developments in cost-cutting measures and employee compensation will need to be monitored [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry, indicating a positive outlook for the mid-term [1]. Core Insights - The liquor industry is experiencing continued pressure, with a focus on quality over speed in growth. The recovery in demand is showing signs of being uneven, leading companies to prioritize prudent growth strategies [12][18]. - The high-end liquor segment is seeing stable pricing control, while the mid-range segment is under pressure, indicating a divergence in performance across different price tiers [1][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Demand Recovery and Quality Focus - The liquor sector's revenue for FY 2024 grew by 8.2% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 7.2%. For Q1 2025, revenue growth slowed to 2.3% and net profit to 2.6% [12][18]. - Consumer confidence remains weak, particularly in the mid to low-end segments, while high-end banquet consumption is showing signs of recovery from a low base [12][18]. 2. Revenue Trends - Revenue growth is gradually bottoming out, with increasing differentiation among companies. The high-end segment remains relatively stable, while the mid-range segment faces significant challenges [18][27]. - The report highlights that many liquor companies are tightening control over distributors and focusing on core products to drive sales [18][27]. 3. Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for the liquor sector in FY 2024 was 82.93%, a slight increase from the previous year. However, many companies are facing pressure on their gross margins due to pricing and product mix challenges [2][3]. - Sales and management expense ratios have seen slight increases, indicating a cautious approach to spending amid a challenging market environment [2][3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that leading liquor companies are expected to show resilient growth, supported by effective channel management and digital tracking strategies. Companies like Guizhou Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu are recommended for their solid performance and valuation safety margins [3][12].

Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry is entering a phase of bottoming out, with signs of pressure relief expected in the second quarter of 2025, leading to potential recovery in the second half of the year [1][3] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is showing signs of bottoming out, with significant structural differentiation among companies, particularly the resilience of leading brands [1][2] - In 2024, the overall demand for liquor is expected to weaken, leading to a decline in cash flow and profit for most listed liquor companies, except for Moutai [1][2] - For Q1 2025, major liquor companies have adopted a more pragmatic approach, with revenue growth of 1.6% and profit growth of 0.3% compared to the previous year [2] Leading Brands - Moutai's revenue grew by 11.7% and profit by 13.8%, significantly outperforming the industry, while Wuliangye achieved positive growth in the thousand-yuan price segment [2] - Regional leaders like Gujing and Jinshiyuan have also shown stronger performance compared to their competitors [2][4] Capital Market - Major liquor companies are enhancing shareholder returns through high dividends and significant buybacks, which helps to bolster market confidence [2] Consumer Goods Sector - The dairy and beer sectors have emerged from their bottoming phase, while snacks and beverages are performing well [2][3] - The overall revenue and profit for the consumer goods sector increased by 2.4% and 8.4% respectively in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [2] New Opportunities - New channels and product categories are driving growth in the snack and beverage sectors, with significant expansion in snack retail and innovative beverage offerings [3][4] - The food and beverage industry is expected to gradually recover, with potential for both fundamental and valuation improvements in the second half of the year [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the food and beverage industry, indicating a gradual bottoming out for the liquor sector and a positive outlook for consumer goods [2]. Core Insights - The liquor sector is showing signs of bottoming out with significant structural differentiation among companies, while the consumer goods sector is recovering from a downturn [4][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery, suggesting that new market scenarios and product categories present structural investment opportunities [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Liquor Sector: Signs of Bottoming Out and Structural Differentiation - The liquor industry experienced a slowdown in Q4 2024, but maintained positive growth in Q1 2025 despite high base effects, with significant differentiation among companies [7]. - Major liquor companies like Moutai and Wuliangye are outperforming the market, with Moutai's revenue growth at 10.7% and profit growth at 11.6% in Q1 2025 [12][16]. - The overall revenue for the liquor sector in 2024 was 4,417.7 billion, with a growth rate of 7.7%, while Q1 2025 saw a revenue of 1,533.6 billion, reflecting a growth of 1.8% [12][15]. 2. Consumer Goods Sector: Recovery and Bright Spots - The consumer goods sector, including dairy and beer, is showing signs of recovery, with revenue and profit growth of 2.4% and 8.4% respectively in Q1 2025 [4][16]. - New channels and product categories are driving growth in snacks and beverages, with companies like Dongpeng and Nongfu showing strong performance [4][16]. - The report suggests a positive outlook for the consumer goods sector, with expectations of a dual boost in fundamentals and valuations in the latter half of the year [4][16]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the liquor sector, such as Moutai and Wuliangye, as they are expected to benefit from the recovery phase [4][16]. - For consumer goods, it suggests investing in snack and beverage companies that are leveraging new channels and product innovations, highlighting the potential for significant growth [4][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the Chinese consumer staples sector is generally positive, with multiple companies rated as "Outperform" [1]. Core Insights - In April 2025, five out of eight tracked industries maintained positive growth, two experienced negative growth, and one remained flat. The sectors with single-digit growth include dairy, food and beverage, soft drinks, condiments, and frozen foods. The declining sectors are mass and below liquor and sub-high-end and above liquor, while the beer industry remained flat. Compared to the previous month, six industries showed improved growth rates, while two saw a deterioration. Overall demand has not significantly increased or decreased [10][34]. Summary by Category Liquor Industry - **Sub-high-end and above liquor**: In April, revenue was 26.4 billion yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 167 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year. Inventory levels increased as demand entered a low season [4][14]. - **Mass and below liquor**: Revenue in April was 15 billion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year, marking 15 consecutive months of negative growth. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 75.2 billion yuan, down 13.9% year-on-year [16]. Beer Industry - Revenue in April was 14 billion yuan, flat compared to the same period last year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 60.6 billion yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year. The industry is preparing for the upcoming sales season with low inventory levels [5][19]. Condiments - Revenue in April was 36.3 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 155.4 billion yuan, growing 1.3% year-on-year. The industry is experiencing weak sales due to external consumption pressures [21]. Dairy Products - Revenue in April was 33.6 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year, while cumulative revenue for January to April was 156 billion yuan, down 0.6% year-on-year. The industry showed positive growth due to a low base effect from the previous year [23]. Frozen Foods - Revenue in April was 6.7 billion yuan, up 1.5% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 43.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year. The industry faces challenges due to lower consumer spending and increased competition [25]. Soft Drinks - Revenue in April was 50 billion yuan, up 2.7% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 235.6 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year. The industry is entering its peak season with intensified competition [27]. Restaurant Sector - Revenue for listed restaurant companies in April was 13.4 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 57.1 billion yuan, up 2.6% year-on-year. The sector is seeing recovery, particularly in tea and Western fast food segments [29].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 23.578 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.517 billion yuan, up 20.22% year-on-year [2][4][10] - In Q4 2024, the company reported an operating revenue of 4.509 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.85%, and a net profit of 0.771 billion yuan, down 0.74% year-on-year [2][4][10] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded an operating revenue of 9.146 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.38%, and a net profit of 2.33 billion yuan, up 12.78% year-on-year [2][4][10] Financial Performance - The company's product breakdown for 2024 shows that the revenue from "Year Original" was 18.086 billion yuan (up 17.31% year-on-year), "Gu Jing Gong Jiu" was 2.241 billion yuan (up 11.17% year-on-year), and "Huang He Lou and Others" was 2.538 billion yuan (up 15.08% year-on-year) [10] - Total sales volume in 2024 was 128,300 tons, an increase of 8.44% year-on-year, with "Year Original" sales at 71,100 tons (up 11.99% year-on-year) and "Gu Jing Gong Jiu" sales at 32,300 tons (up 8.97% year-on-year) [10] - The company's net profit margin improved to 23.4% in 2024, with a gross margin of 79.9% [10] Strategic Outlook - The company is steadily advancing its "nationalization and mid-to-high-end" strategy, with a solid foundation in its home market and gradual expansion into other regions [10] - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 12.13 yuan and 13.63 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14 and 13 times based on the current stock price [10]