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比亚迪(002594):系列点评三十七:批发环比提升,出口表现亮眼
Minsheng Securities· 2025-12-04 02:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD (002594.SZ) with a current price of 95.05 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in wholesale sales, with a month-on-month growth of 8.7% in November, driven by strong overseas sales performance [8]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 777.1 billion CNY in 2024 to 1,104.5 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to rise from 40.3 billion CNY in 2024 to 58.6 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue Forecast: - 2024: 777.1 billion CNY - 2025: 866.5 billion CNY - 2026: 981.3 billion CNY - 2027: 1,104.5 billion CNY - Growth Rates: 29.0% in 2024, 11.5% in 2025, 13.3% in 2026, 12.6% in 2027 [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024: 40.3 billion CNY - 2025: 37.2 billion CNY - 2026: 47.5 billion CNY - 2027: 58.6 billion CNY - Growth Rates: 34.0% in 2024, -7.5% in 2025, 27.4% in 2026, 23.4% in 2027 [2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024: 4.42 CNY - 2025: 4.09 CNY - 2026: 5.21 CNY - 2027: 6.43 CNY [2]. - Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio: - 2025: 23 - 2026: 18 - 2027: 15 [2]. - Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio: - 2025: 3.3 - 2026: 3.2 - 2027: 2.7 [2]. Sales Performance - In November, BYD's wholesale sales of new energy vehicles reached 480,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% but a month-on-month increase of 8.7% [8]. - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to November totaled 4.131 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [8]. - The export volume of new energy vehicles in November was 132,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 325.9% and a month-on-month increase of 57.2% [8].
机构:特斯拉11月英国销量同比下降19%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 00:24
比亚迪11月份在英国的销量为3217辆,同比飙升229%,包括混动和插电式混动车型在内。 比亚迪11月份在英国的销量为3217辆,同比飙升229%,包括混动和插电式混动车型在内。 根据New AutoMotive的数据,总体而言,11月份英国新车注册量较去年同期下降6.3%,至146780辆。 其中,纯电动汽车的注册量下降1.1%,至38,742辆,插电式混合动力汽车的注册量增长3.8%,至 16526辆。 责任编辑:于健 SF069 研究机构New AutoMotive周四公布的初步数据显示,特斯拉11月份在英国的汽车销量同比下降19%,至 3784辆上。 研究机构New AutoMotive周四公布的初步数据显示,特斯拉11月份在英国的汽车销量同比下降19%,至 3784辆上。 根据New AutoMotive的数据,总体而言,11月份英国新车注册量较去年同期下降6.3%,至146780辆。 其中,纯电动汽车的注册量下降1.1%,至38,742辆,插电式混合动力汽车的注册量增长3.8%,至 16526辆。 责任编辑:于健 SF069 ...
当传统巨头收缩战线:比亚迪的研发“豪赌”为何赢了?
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:22
当传统巨头收缩战线之际,比亚迪以"研发投入连续13年超净 利润"的长期主义,驱动销量跻身全球前五,诠释"技术为 王"的逆袭逻辑。 作者:薛致以 封图:图片资料室 近日,11月产销数据出炉。作为年末冲销量的晴雨表,11月销量是车企全年销量冲刺期的效果显 现,其中中国新能源汽车的月度成绩单再次成为焦点。龙头比亚迪11月单月新能源汽车销量达48 万辆,创下年内新高;此外上汽集团、吉利汽车的新能源汽车销量以及新势力品牌的销量均有不俗 的表现。 在全球汽车产业格局重塑的当下,中国新能源汽车正以前所未有的速度崛起,在全球市场渗透率不 断提升。在这股行业浪潮中,比亚迪的表现尤为突出,其不仅月度销量持续保持绝对领先优势,前 11个月累计销量更是达到418.2万辆,同比增长11.30%,继续保持行业榜首地位。 值得关注的是,在11月产销数据发布前夕,国内外车企相继发布三季度财报。不难发现,以比亚 迪为首的中国车企与全球巨头相比出现业绩分化现象,呈现出"东升西落"的态势。一边是外资巨 头增长乏力,甚至有车企出现利润腰斩,一边是中国车企普遍业绩向好,这不禁让人发问,为 何"比亚迪们"能够逆势保持平稳发展? 具体来看,财报中一组差异 ...
比亚迪电子:增长潜力待兑现,Q4一致预期营收549.69~672.63亿元,同比-0.4%~21.9%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 13:21
1. 比亚迪电子第四季度业绩预期怎么样? 截至2025年12月03日,根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据: 预测公司Q4一致预期营业收入549.69~672.63亿元,同比变动-0.4%~21.9%; 预测公司Q4一致预期净利润11.34~15.46亿元,同比变动-5.7%~28.6%。 关注后续财报数据披露后能否超预期,朝阳永续港股季度业绩前瞻数据将为投资者提供业绩鉴定。 | | | | 同比 | 净利润 | 同比 | 调整净利润 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卖方预测区间 | | 549.69~672.63 | -0.4%~21.9% | 11.34~15.46 | -5.7%~28.6% | - | | | 平均数 | | 582.71 | 5.6% | 12.35 | 2.7% | - | -- | | 中位数 | | 570.67 | 3.4% | 11.86 | -1.3% | - | - | | 中信建投 | 2025-12-01 | 596.07 | 8.0% | 11.58 | -3.7% | -- | | | ...
多家车企年度目标完成率已超90% 车市第二梯队开启“三国杀”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-03 12:56
Core Insights - The competition in China's automotive market has intensified as 2025 approaches, with leading companies maintaining steady growth while the second-tier companies, including Geely, Changan, and Chery, are engaged in fierce sales battles [1][2][3] Group 1: Sales Performance - BYD's sales in November reached approximately 480,000 units, a slight decrease from 507,000 units in the same month last year, with a cumulative sales of about 4.182 million units from January to November, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.3% [2] - SAIC Motor's November sales were around 461,000 units, with a cumulative total of approximately 4.108 million units for the first eleven months, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.4% [2] - China FAW's November sales were 306,000 units, with a total of 2.995 million units sold from January to November, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [3] - Geely's cumulative sales for the first eleven months reached 2.788 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 42% [3] - Changan's sales for the first eleven months were approximately 2.658 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 9.25% [4] - Chery's cumulative sales for the first eleven months were about 2.5615 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.1% [5] Group 2: Market Trends - The market share of domestic brands has been expanding, with a market share of 68.6% for domestic passenger cars in October and 65.2% for the first ten months of the year [6] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) continue to be a major driver of market growth, with retail sales of NEVs reaching approximately 849,000 units from November 1 to 23, a year-on-year increase of 3% [7] - The penetration rate of NEVs in the passenger car market reached 61.3% in November, with a wholesale penetration rate of 58.8% [7] - Joint venture brands, previously lagging in the NEV sector, are now accelerating their efforts, with several new plug-in hybrid models set to launch in the coming year [7]
比亚迪股份(01211.HK)今年1-11月汽车销量418万辆 同比增长11.3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-03 12:33
比亚迪股份(01211.HK)11月汽车销量480186辆,去年同期506,804辆。今年1-11月,汽车销量418万辆, 同比增长11.3%。公司2025年11月新能源汽车动力电池及储能电池装机总量约为27.669GWh,2025年累 计装机总量约为258.282GWh。 ...
“先富带后富”怎么带?“深汕”给出了广东答案
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-03 12:24
Core Insights - The Shenzhen-led Shenshan Special Cooperation Zone has experienced significant economic growth, with GDP increasing from 3.895 billion to 24.215 billion from 2018 to 2024, averaging a growth rate of 35.6% annually [1][3] - The development of Shenshan is a strategic initiative to address regional development imbalances in Guangdong, aiming to achieve the goal of "common prosperity" in China [3][4] Group 1: Development Strategy - Shenshan represents a new model of "poverty alleviation," focusing on creating sustainable growth rather than merely transferring resources from developed to underdeveloped areas [4][5] - The zone is designed to replicate Shenzhen's successful economic model, with high standards for planning, industry thresholds, and public services [5][7] - The establishment of Shenshan is governed by a specific regulation that allows Shenzhen to fully manage the zone, avoiding issues of unclear responsibilities [7][9] Group 2: Industrial Focus - Shenshan aims to build a globally competitive industrial cluster, with a primary focus on the new energy vehicle industry, supported by new energy storage, new materials, and intelligent manufacturing [9][11] - BYD has invested over 31.5 billion in Shenshan, establishing a significant manufacturing base for high-end vehicles [11][12] - The logistics infrastructure, including the Xiaomo International Logistics Port, enhances the efficiency of vehicle exports, reducing the time from production to shipping to just five minutes [11][12] Group 3: Public Services and Living Standards - Shenshan integrates high-quality public services with industrial development, ensuring that educational and healthcare resources from Shenzhen are directly available in the zone [17][18] - The establishment of top-tier educational institutions and healthcare facilities aims to attract and retain high-end talent [17][18] - Housing projects are being developed to provide quality living conditions for workers and their families, ensuring stability in the workforce [18][19] Group 4: Success Factors - The success of Shenshan can be attributed to a clear and consistent development blueprint, avoiding the pitfalls of previous new district projects that lacked focus [22][23] - The zone benefits from starting with a clean slate, allowing for modern planning without the constraints of historical baggage [23][25] - The simultaneous development of industry and public services fosters a cohesive community, preventing the common issues of "ghost towns" seen in other new districts [25][20]
汽车智能化系列专题之决策篇(7):各厂商技术持续突破,robotaxi商业化进展迎拐点
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-03 11:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The development of intelligent driving is an inevitable trend supported by national strategies and policies, leading to multi-dimensional improvements in society and industry [2] - Tesla and Huawei are leading the breakthrough in L4 autonomous driving with their end-to-end algorithms, significantly enhancing performance and capabilities [2] - The Robotaxi global market is projected to reach nearly 10 trillion, with ongoing commercialization efforts [2] Summary by Sections 01 Intelligent Driving Regulations: Gradual Policy Implementation - Domestic and international policies are progressively supporting the automation of driving applications, with various local governments exploring intelligent driving scenarios [6][7] 02 High-End Intelligent Driving: Tesla and Huawei's End-to-End Technology - Tesla's FSD V12 and Huawei's ADS 3.0 are leading advancements in L4 capabilities, with significant improvements in algorithm performance and urban coverage [2][20] 03 Intelligent Driving Equality: 2025 Penetration Rate Inflection Point - The penetration rates for highway NOA are expected to grow from 11.3% in 2024 to 39.0% in 2025, while urban NOA is projected to increase from 6.1% to 9.6% [41] - The high-end intelligent driving market is anticipated to reach 23,866 billion by 2025, doubling from 2024 due to increased penetration and market expansion [41] 04 Industry Chain and Component Manufacturer Analysis - BYD's "Tian Shen Zhi Yan" system is set to penetrate the mid-range market, with plans to offer intelligent driving features in vehicles priced below 100,000 [25][29] 05 Robotaxi: The Best Commercialization Scenario for Intelligent Driving - Companies like Waymo and Apollo are leading in the Robotaxi sector, with PONY AI achieving operational cost balance and WeRide aiming for a fleet of 100,000 by 2030 [2]
Tesla scored a win in China just as its biggest rival stumbled
Business Insider· 2025-12-03 11:02
Group 1: Tesla's Performance in China - Tesla's sales in China rose by 9.9% in November compared to the same month last year, marking a rare positive outcome for the company amid a challenging year in major markets [1] - The company has faced significant sales declines in Europe and intense competition in China, leading to an anticipated overall sales decline for the second consecutive year [1] Group 2: BYD's Challenges and Performance - BYD, Tesla's largest competitor in China, has experienced three consecutive months of sales declines, selling just over 480,000 EVs and hybrids in November, which is approximately 5.3% less than the same period in 2024 [2] - The company is navigating a renewed price war in China's competitive EV market and a government crackdown on aggressive discounting, yet it remains on track to potentially surpass Tesla as the world's largest seller of battery EVs this year [3] - BYD's overseas sales reached a record 131,935 in November, significantly outselling Tesla in Europe, with a ratio of more than two to one in October [4]
比亚迪首入韩国月销前五,超越雷克萨斯丰田大众
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-12-03 10:16
Core Insights - BYD has entered the top five in monthly car sales in South Korea, surpassing brands like Lexus, Toyota, and Volkswagen [1] - The total number of new registrations for imported passenger cars in November was 29,357, marking a 23.4% increase year-on-year and a 22% increase month-on-month [1][2] - Cumulative registrations from January to November reached 278,769, up 16.3% compared to the same period last year [1] Brand Performance - Tesla led the brand registrations with 7,632 units, followed by BMW with 6,526 units, and Mercedes-Benz with 6,139 units [1] - BYD registered 1,164 units, moving up to fifth place, overtaking Lexus which registered 1,039 units [1] - The ranking of brands saw BMW and Mercedes-Benz drop from first and second to second and third respectively, while Tesla moved to the first position [1] Vehicle Types - The best-selling model was Tesla Model Y with 4,604 units, followed by Mercedes-Benz E 200 with 1,658 units [2] - Electric vehicles accounted for 10,757 units (36.6%), while hybrid vehicles totaled 15,064 units, gasoline vehicles 3,210 units, and diesel vehicles 326 units [2] - By region, Europe had the highest registrations at 17,996 units (61.3%), followed by the United States with 8,139 units (27.7%) [2] Market Dynamics - The increase in new registrations in November was attributed to a base effect from the previous month’s lower registrations due to the Chuseok holiday and active marketing efforts from various brands [2]