Core Viewpoint - Jiaxing City is advancing the construction of a strong manufacturing innovation city by focusing on the high-end, intelligent, and green development paths, establishing a modern industrial structure through the "135N" advanced manufacturing cluster system [1][14]. Group 1: New Quality Productive Forces - New Quality Productive Forces, introduced by President Xi Jinping, emphasize innovation as the main driving force, characterized by high technology, efficiency, and quality, aligning with the new development concept [2]. - This concept is crucial for promoting high-quality economic development and constructing a modern industrial system [2]. Group 2: Economic Performance of Jiaxing City - Jiaxing's GDP reached 756.95 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, surpassing the national average [4]. - The industrial structure is optimized, with the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries contributing 2.0%, 49.5%, and 48.5% respectively [4]. Group 3: Industrial Development and Innovation - Jiaxing has implemented a strong manufacturing strategy, achieving a 6.5% year-on-year increase in industrial added value, contributing 45.2% to economic growth [6]. - In 2024, 24 out of 33 major industrial sectors experienced growth, with advanced manufacturing sectors like electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing showing significant increases of 19.8% and 17.7% respectively [7]. Group 4: Technological Innovation and Intellectual Property - Jiaxing saw a total of 39,500 patent authorizations in 2024, with a notable 5,953 invention patents, marking a 22.2% increase [9]. - The city has recognized 579 new national high-tech enterprises, bringing the total to 4,509, and 1,500 new provincial technology-based SMEs, totaling 10,694 [9]. Group 5: Policy Framework for New Quality Productive Forces - The "New Quality Productive Forces" strategy was included in the State Council's work report, guiding the construction of a modern industrial system [11]. - Jiaxing has established a "1+N" policy system to support the development of new quality productive forces, with various policies targeting emerging industries and traditional industry upgrades [11]. Group 6: Modern Industrial System - Jiaxing's modern industrial system is supported by three major industries: chemical new materials, intelligent photovoltaics, and high-end equipment, with emerging industries like integrated circuits and hydrogen energy as growth drivers [22]. - The city aims to create a significant impact in the Yangtze River Delta region through its advanced manufacturing clusters [14][15]. Group 7: Future Development Trends - Jiaxing is expected to see a rise in strategic emerging industries, with a target of over 45% by 2027, and aims to establish 2-3 globally leading technology standard clusters [26]. - The city plans to enhance digital transformation, with 80% of large-scale enterprises expected to complete intelligent upgrades [27].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% in the next six months [66]. Core Insights - The report highlights a continued decline in the prices of coking coal and coke, with coking coal averaging 1141 yuan/ton and coke at 1240 yuan/ton, reflecting a decrease of 18 yuan and 34 yuan respectively [10][40]. - The polyurethane sector shows mixed performance, with pure MDI prices increasing by 260 yuan/ton to 17880 yuan/ton, while polymer MDI prices decreased by 70 yuan/ton to 16230 yuan/ton [2][17]. - The oil, coal, and gas olefin sector reported an increase in ethylene prices to 5617 yuan/ton, while propylene prices decreased slightly to 5768 yuan/ton [10][26]. - The coal chemical sector experienced a drop in average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid, with synthetic ammonia averaging 2334 yuan/ton, down by 59 yuan [10][45]. Summary by Sections 2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trends - The basic chemical index has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 1.2% over the past week [8]. 2.2 Polyurethane Sector - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are 17880, 16230, and 12118 yuan/ton respectively, with corresponding gross profits of 4438, 3859, and 1103 yuan/ton [2][19]. 2.3 Oil, Coal, and Gas Olefin Sector - Ethane and propane prices are reported at 1382 and 4302 yuan/ton, with ethylene averaging 5617 yuan/ton [10][34]. 2.4 Coal Chemical Sector - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2334, 1875, 4025, and 2431 yuan/ton respectively, with synthetic ammonia showing a decrease of 59 yuan [10][45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, highlighting a divergence in aromatics profitability with PX strengthening while pure benzene weakens [4][5]. Core Insights - Aromatics prices have followed a downward trend alongside oil prices, with pure benzene margins at 619 CNY/ton, near historical lows, and PX margins at -41 USD/ton, showing some recovery from previous lows [4][5]. - The demand for pure benzene is suppressed due to low profitability in downstream products, while PX demand is positively influenced by the recovery in PTA production and margins [4][13]. - The report anticipates a short-term stabilization for pure benzene and a gradual recovery in the medium to long term as overseas refineries exit the market [4][8]. - The upstream sector is experiencing mixed trends, with oil prices declining and drilling day rates showing variability, indicating potential for future increases as global capital expenditures rise [4][26]. - The refining sector is seeing improved profitability due to a rebound in oil prices, although the overall margins remain low [4][19]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices decreased to 64.78 USD/barrel, with a weekly decline of 1.54%, while WTI prices also fell [4][26]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased to 443 million barrels, with gasoline inventories rising as well, indicating a widening supply-demand trend [4][28]. - The number of U.S. drilling rigs decreased to 566, reflecting a reduction in exploration activity [4][36]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin decreased to 12.23 USD/barrel, while the U.S. gasoline crack spread also saw a slight decline [4][19]. - The report notes that refining profitability is expected to improve as economic recovery progresses [4][19]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have been rising, with the average price reaching 4922 CNY/ton, indicating a positive trend in the polyester supply chain [4][19]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry remains average, with a need to monitor demand changes closely [4][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to favorable competitive dynamics [4][19]. - It also highlights the potential for valuation recovery in companies like Satellite Chemical and Tongkun Co., Ltd. in the polyester sector [4][19].

Group 1 - The chemical sector showed strong performance on May 23, with the chemical ETF (159870.SZ) rising by 0.53% and the related index, the segmented chemical index (000813.CSI), increasing by 0.57% [1] - Key constituent stocks such as Wanhua Chemical, Yalake Co., and Guangwei Composites saw gains of 0.75%, 1.00%, and 1.62% respectively, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - The price of polyester FDY increased by 8.92% from the beginning of the month to 7424 yuan/ton, driven by rising raw material costs, which improved profit expectations for related companies [1] Group 2 - Securities research from Industrial Securities highlighted that the valuation of core chemical assets is currently at historically low levels, with significant safety margins [1] - For example, the historical PB percentiles for Wanhua Chemical and Huafeng Chemical are both below 1%, while Baofeng Energy and Hualu Hengsheng are below 20%, indicating strong investment value [1] - Huibo Intelligent Investment Research emphasized that AI technology is transforming R&D paradigms and production models in the chemical industry, with leading companies enhancing efficiency and reducing costs through technologies like intelligent coal blending systems [1]

Group 1 - The epoxy propylene sector experienced a decline of 3.41%, ranking among the top losers in the market, with notable declines in stocks such as Hongqiang Co., which hit the daily limit down, and others like Hongbaoli, Yida Co., and Bohai Chemical [1][2] - The sector saw a net outflow of 9.23 billion yuan in principal funds, with 18 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 6 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 30 million yuan. Hongbaoli led the outflow with 5.56 billion yuan, followed by Hangjin Technology, Wanhua Chemical, and Hongqiang Co. [2][3] - The top stocks with net inflows included Satellite Chemical, Zhongchumai, and Shida Shenghua, with inflows of 332.33 million yuan, 2.50 million yuan, and 1.99 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 2 - The top losers in the epoxy propylene sector included Hongbaoli (-8.60%), Hangjin Technology (-3.77%), and Hongqiang Co. (-9.98%), with significant trading volumes and turnover rates [2][3] - The overall market sentiment reflected a bearish trend, with various sectors such as sodium-ion batteries and transgenic technology also experiencing declines, indicating a broader market pullback [2]

Core Viewpoint - The peroxide industry in China has shown stable growth, driven by increasing demand from downstream sectors such as chemicals, plastics, rubber, and textiles, with the market size expected to reach 14.152 billion RMB in 2024 [1][9]. Industry Definition and Classification - Peroxides are compounds containing peroxide groups (-O-O-), characterized by their ability to form covalent bonds with other atoms or groups, leading to diverse structures and properties [2]. Industry Chain Overview - The peroxide industry chain includes upstream raw material supply, midstream production, and downstream applications. Upstream involves basic chemical raw materials like hydrogen and oxygen, while midstream focuses on the production processes. Downstream applications span various sectors, including chemical reactions, textile bleaching, and environmental treatment [4][5]. Development History - The Chinese peroxide industry has evolved over 70 years, transitioning from reliance on imports to developing a domestic production system. The industry has moved from a growth phase to an innovation stage, emphasizing technological advancements and integration into emerging sectors [6][9]. Current Market Analysis - The global peroxide market is projected to reach 40.757 billion RMB in 2024, with significant growth in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly in China, which is a major consumer and producer [8][9]. China's peroxide demand is expected to reach 1.15 million tons in 2024, reflecting a 6.8% year-on-year increase [12]. Key Enterprises in the Industry - Major players include: - **LUXI Chemical**: Dominates the industrial-grade hydrogen peroxide market with a focus on low-cost production [16]. - **Strong Functional Chemicals**: Specializes in organic peroxides, leveraging safety control technologies [16]. - **Yake Technology**: Focuses on electronic-grade hydrogen peroxide, achieving a purity of ≥99.999% [18]. - **Aladdin Biochemical**: Serves the research market with high-purity peroxide products [16]. - **Satellite Chemical**: Expands into hydrogen peroxide production using by-products from ethylene projects [16]. Future Development Trends - The industry is moving towards high-end products, driven by increasing performance requirements in sectors like electronics and pharmaceuticals [20]. - There is a strong emphasis on green and environmentally friendly production methods, with a focus on reducing pollution and developing biodegradable products [21]. - Strict safety regulations are shaping the industry, necessitating enhanced safety measures and management practices [22].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with prices and spreads still stabilizing, while demand is expected to improve with government policies aimed at economic recovery [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The chemical industry is experiencing a bottoming phase, with most chemical prices and spreads still in a stabilization process [1] - Domestic capacity is gradually being released, leading to a significant slowdown in supply growth [1] - The report suggests focusing on sectors with relatively certain demand, such as agricultural chemicals and the civil explosives industry benefiting from western development [1] Group 2: Key Recommendations - Emphasis on long-term value of leading companies in the chemical sector, as core assets are expected to see profit and valuation recovery [1] - Recommended leading companies include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Huafeng Chemical, Longbai Group, Yangnong Chemical, New Hecheng, Satellite Chemical, Baofeng Energy, Hengli Petrochemical, and Rongsheng Petrochemical [1] Group 3: Subsector Insights - Agricultural chemicals show rigid demand, with steady growth in grain planting area and recovery in compound fertilizer volume and profit [2] - The civil explosives industry is driven by domestic demand, particularly in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet, with increasing concentration benefiting leading companies [2] Group 4: New Material Opportunities - The domestic replacement of chemical new materials is accelerating due to trade tariffs and anti-monopoly pressures [3] - Key areas include adsorption separation materials, lubricating oil components, OLED materials, and high-end photoresists, with specific companies recommended for investment [3] Group 5: Price Recovery Potential - Certain sectors may see profit improvements as supply growth slows and policy constraints are anticipated, particularly in organic silicon and spandex industries [4] - The petrochemical sector may present strategic opportunities following a potential bottoming of oil prices, with recommendations for strategic layouts in refining and downstream polyester filament industries [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook based on expected economic recovery and demand improvement [1]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with 2024 revenues projected to reach CNY 2,219.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, while net profit is expected to decline by 8.18% to CNY 108.87 billion [6][26]. - The oil and petrochemical sector is anticipated to maintain stable revenues and profits, with 2024 revenues estimated at CNY 7,941.40 billion, a decrease of 2.81%, and net profit expected to grow by 0.58% to CNY 372.14 billion [1][26]. - The report highlights that 23 out of 33 sub-industries in the basic chemical sector experienced revenue growth in 2024, with significant increases in chlor-alkali and textile chemicals [6][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The basic chemical industry is experiencing a decline in profitability, with gross and net profit margins at 16.27% and 5.13%, respectively, both down from 2023 [26]. - The report notes that the industry has been in a continuous decline in profitability from 2022 to 2024, but signs of stabilization are emerging [26]. Sub-Industry Performance - In 2024, chlor-alkali and textile chemicals showed the highest profit growth rates at 262.84% and 125.27%, respectively [15][26]. - Conversely, non-metallic materials and other plastic products faced significant profit declines of 79.24% and 67.49% [15][26]. Quarterly Analysis - For Q4 2024, the basic chemical industry reported revenues of CNY 565.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.15%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.90% [6][7]. - Net profit for Q4 2024 was CNY 14.16 billion, down 10.73% year-on-year and 51.03% quarter-on-quarter [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in rapidly developing downstream sectors, particularly in new materials, energy security, and policy-driven demand recovery [1][26]. - Recommended companies include China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and various technology firms in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [1][26].

截至5月19日收盘，环氧丙烷概念下跌0.43%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，红墙股份、惠通科 技、红宝丽等跌幅居前，股价上涨的有8只，涨幅居前的有渤海化学、中触媒、怡达股份等，分别上涨 5.85%、3.37%、3.32%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 300721 | 怡达股份 | 3.32 | 15.71 | -130.74 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002768 | 国恩股份 | -2.00 | 2.22 | -96.84 | | 600955 | 维远股份 | -0.29 | 0.20 | -79.12 | | 688267 | 中触媒 | 3.37 | 2.49 | 50.40 | | 603026 | 石大胜华 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 69.20 | | 601117 | 中国化学 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 602.15 | | 002648 | 卫星化学 | -0.49 | 0.90 | 2265.43 | | 600800 | 渤海化学 | 5.85 | 10.64 | 3242.12 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential revaluation of phosphate rock value due to ongoing supply-demand tensions, with increasing demand for phosphate fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate batteries [6][4]. - The chemical industry is expected to enter a restocking cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability among leading chemical companies [5][27]. - The report emphasizes the expansion of phosphate production capacity by Batian Co., which is set to increase its phosphate rock extraction capacity to 2 million tons per year [4][6]. Summary by Sections Core Target Tracking - The report tracks key companies in the chemical sector, including Batian Co., which is expanding its phosphate production capacity significantly [4][6]. - It also notes the performance of various chemical products, with a focus on price increases for butadiene and polyester filament due to favorable market conditions [10][14]. Market Observation - The chemical sector has shown a relative performance of 6.7% over the past month, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2]. - The report indicates that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with several companies poised for growth due to favorable market dynamics [5][27]. Data Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of price movements for key chemical products, including butadiene, polyester filament, and various fertilizers, indicating a general upward trend in prices [10][12][17]. - It also highlights the current chemical industry sentiment index at 93.10, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [6][33]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhua Chemical and various tire manufacturers, as well as those benefiting from rising product prices [5][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of high dividend yield companies in the chemical sector, particularly state-owned enterprises with stable financials [8][29].