GUOSHENG SECURITIES(002670)
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江西首家券商实控人拟变更,国资持股3年市值增加90亿
21世纪经济报道· 2025-11-24 02:56
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities has undergone significant changes in its shareholding structure, with the actual controller shifting from the Jiangxi Provincial Department of Transportation to the Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, which is expected to enhance the company's access to provincial resources and improve its financial service system in Jiangxi [1][4][6]. Shareholding Changes - On November 19, Guosheng Securities announced that its controlling shareholder, Jiangxi Provincial Transportation Investment Group, will transfer its 90% stake to Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Capital Operation Holding Group, leading to a change in the actual controller to Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [1][4]. - Following this transfer, Guosheng Securities' governance and operations are not expected to be significantly impacted, although the market is closely watching the recent share reduction announcements from three major shareholders [1][10]. Shareholder Reduction - Three major shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 54.53 million shares, representing 2.82% of the total share capital, with an estimated market value of approximately 1 billion yuan based on the closing price of 18.34 yuan per share [1][10][12]. - The reduction is attributed to the shareholders' operational needs, and it will not lead to a change in the company's control or governance structure [10][12]. Historical Context - The actual controller change can be traced back to a 2022 agreement where Jiangxi State-owned Capital acquired a 50.43% stake in Guosheng Securities, marking a successful case of state-owned asset preservation and appreciation, with the stock price nearly doubling since the acquisition [2][12][13]. - The initial acquisition cost was approximately 9.1 yuan per share, and the current price reflects a significant asset appreciation of around 9 billion yuan [2][12]. Industry Trends - The share transfer at Guosheng Securities is part of a broader trend in the securities industry, where multiple firms are undergoing similar ownership changes, primarily through state-owned capital restructuring aimed at optimizing operations and enhancing control [6][7].
力盛体育不超3.3亿元定增获深交所通过 国盛证券建功
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-23 06:52
Core Viewpoint - Lisheng Sports has received approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for its application to issue shares to specific investors, pending final approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [1][4]. Summary by Sections Issuance Details - The company plans to raise a total of no more than 33 million yuan (approximately 4.6 million USD) through this issuance, which will be used for the Hainan New Energy Vehicle Experience Center International Racing Track project [1][3]. - The total investment for the racing track project is 635.8 million yuan (approximately 89.5 million USD) [3]. Share Issuance Structure - The shares will be domestic listed ordinary shares (A-shares) with a par value of 1.00 yuan per share [3]. - The issuance will target no more than 35 specific investors, including qualified institutional investors such as securities investment fund management companies, securities companies, trust companies, financial companies, insurance institutions, and qualified foreign institutional investors [4][5]. Pricing and Limitations - The issuance price will be no less than 80% of the average trading price of the company's shares over the 20 trading days prior to the pricing date [4]. - The number of shares issued will not exceed 30% of the company's total share capital before the issuance, capped at 48.0142 million shares [4]. Control and Governance - To maintain control stability, the company will set limits on the number of shares that a single investor can subscribe to and will require commitments from investors not to seek control of the company [5]. - After the issuance, the controlling shareholders' stake will decrease but will not lead to a change in control of the company [5]. Underwriting - The lead underwriter for this issuance is Guosheng Securities Co., Ltd., with representatives Wang Chenjie and Jiang Xiang [6].
国盛证券:重申小米集团-W(01810)“买入”评级 长期趋势不改 高端化推进
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 09:31
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities has set a target price of HKD 52 for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) and reiterated a "Buy" rating, citing strong Q3 performance with a 22.3% year-on-year revenue growth to CNY 113.1 billion and a record adjusted net profit of CNY 11.3 billion, up 80.9% year-on-year, driven by the high-end smartphone strategy and automotive business [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Xiaomi Group achieved revenue of CNY 113.1 billion, a 22.3% increase year-on-year. Revenue breakdown includes approximately CNY 46 billion from smartphones, CNY 27.6 billion from IoT, CNY 9.4 billion from internet services, and CNY 29 billion from automotive and AI businesses. The adjusted net profit reached CNY 11.3 billion, marking a historical high with an 80.9% year-on-year growth [2]. Business Aspects - **Smartphones**: Xiaomi continues to push for high-end market penetration, with global smartphone shipments reaching 43.3 million units, a 0.5% year-on-year increase. The global market share stands at approximately 13.6%, ranking in the top three, while the domestic market share is about 16.7%, ranking second. High-end smartphone sales in mainland China accounted for 24.1% of total sales, with a market share of 18.9% in the CNY 4,000-6,000 price range. The Xiaomi 17 series, particularly the Pro and Pro Max models, accounted for over 80% of sales, indicating an optimized product structure [3]. - **IoT**: Xiaomi's AIoT platform has surpassed 1 billion connected devices, reflecting a 20.2% year-on-year growth. The company ranks among the top five in global tablet shipments, second in TWS earphones, and first in wearable wristband devices. Monthly active users for the Mi Home app and Xiao Ai exceeded 110 million and 150 million, respectively. The launch of a smart home appliance factory in October 2025 marks a significant step in closing the industry loop from design to production [3]. Automotive and AI Innovation - Xiaomi's automotive and AI innovation business achieved its first quarterly profit, with vehicle deliveries reaching approximately 109,000 units, a historical high. The Xiaomi YU7 series ranked first in the mainland SUV sales chart in October 2025, and the operating profit for this segment was around CNY 700 million [4]. Profit Forecast and Rating - Guosheng Securities anticipates that in the short term, Xiaomi's smartphone and automotive sectors may face challenges due to subsidy adjustments and rising raw material costs. However, Xiaomi's strong market position and high-end strategy provide a competitive edge. The long-term outlook remains positive due to the "full ecosystem" strategy. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 470 billion, CNY 557 billion, and CNY 694 billion, with non-GAAP net profits of approximately CNY 44 billion, CNY 50.1 billion, and CNY 65 billion, respectively. The target price of HKD 52 is based on a 20x P/E for the consumer electronics segment and a 2.5x P/S for the automotive and AI innovation business, reaffirming the "Buy" rating [5].
国盛证券:重申小米集团-W“买入”评级 长期趋势不改 高端化推进
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities has given Xiaomi Group-W (01810) a target price of HKD 52 and reiterated a "Buy" rating, citing strong Q3 performance with a 22.3% year-on-year revenue growth to CNY 113.1 billion and a record adjusted net profit of CNY 11.3 billion, up 80.9% year-on-year, driven by the high-end smartphone strategy and automotive business [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Xiaomi Group achieved revenue of CNY 113.1 billion, a 22.3% increase year-on-year. Revenue breakdown includes approximately CNY 46 billion from smartphones, CNY 27.6 billion from IoT, CNY 9.4 billion from internet services, and CNY 29 billion from automotive and AI businesses. The adjusted net profit reached CNY 11.3 billion, marking a historical high with an 80.9% year-on-year growth [2]. Business Aspects - **Smartphones**: Xiaomi continues to push for high-end market penetration, with global smartphone shipments reaching 43.3 million units, a 0.5% year-on-year increase. The company holds approximately 13.6% of the global market share, ranking in the top three, and 16.7% in mainland China, ranking second. High-end smartphone sales in mainland China accounted for 24.1% of total sales, with a market share of 18.9% in the CNY 4,000-6,000 price range. The Xiaomi 17 series, particularly the Pro and Pro Max models, accounted for over 80% of sales, indicating an optimized product structure [3]. - **IoT**: Xiaomi's AIoT platform has surpassed 1 billion connected devices, reflecting a 20.2% year-on-year growth. The company ranks first in global shipments of wearable wristbands and second in TWS earphones. The launch of a smart home appliance factory in October 2025 marks a significant step in closing the design, R&D, production, and validation loop for its major appliance business [3]. Automotive and AI Innovation - Xiaomi's automotive and AI innovation business achieved its first quarterly profit, with approximately 109,000 vehicles delivered, setting a new record. The Xiaomi YU7 series ranked first in the SUV sales chart in mainland China in October 2025, with operating income from this segment reaching approximately CNY 700 million [4]. Profit Forecast and Rating - Guosheng Securities anticipates that Xiaomi Group will maintain relative competitiveness in the face of short-term industry disruptions, given its leading market share and successful high-end strategy. The company projects revenues of CNY 470 billion, CNY 557 billion, and CNY 694 billion for 2025-2027, with non-GAAP net profits of approximately CNY 44 billion, CNY 50.1 billion, and CNY 65 billion respectively. The target price of HKD 52 is based on a 20x P/E for the consumer electronics segment and a 2.5x P/S for the automotive and AI innovation business, reaffirming the "Buy" rating [5].
国盛证券实控人拟变更!国资股东持股三年市值翻倍,增值90亿元
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-21 06:59
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities is undergoing significant changes in its shareholding structure, including a shift in its actual controller from the Jiangxi Provincial Department of Transportation to the Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, which is expected to enhance the company's access to provincial resources and improve its financial service capabilities in Jiangxi [1][4][5]. Shareholding Changes - On November 19, Guosheng Securities announced that its controlling shareholder, Jiangxi Provincial Transportation Investment Group, will transfer its 90% stake to Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Capital Operation Holding Group, leading to a change in the actual controller to Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [1][4]. - Following this transfer, Jiangxi Transportation Investment will remain the controlling shareholder, and the company asserts that this change will not significantly impact its governance or operations [1][11]. Shareholder Reduction - Three major shareholders of Guosheng Securities plan to reduce their holdings by a total of up to 54.53 million shares, representing 2.82% of the company's total share capital, with an estimated market value of approximately 1 billion yuan based on the closing price of 18.34 yuan per share [1][10][13]. - The reduction is attributed to the shareholders' operational needs, and it will not lead to a change in the company's control or governance structure [11][12]. Historical Context - Three years ago, a consortium of state-owned enterprises, including the aforementioned shareholders, acquired a 50.43% stake in Guosheng Securities for 8.879 billion yuan, with an average purchase price of approximately 9.1 yuan per share. The current share price has nearly doubled, resulting in an asset appreciation of about 9 billion yuan [2][14]. - The restructuring of Guosheng Securities is part of a broader trend in the securities industry, where state-owned enterprises are actively adjusting their shareholdings to optimize their structures and enhance efficiency [7][8]. Financial Performance - Guosheng Securities reported a revenue of 720 million yuan for the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 78.17%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15% to 32.8 million yuan. For the first three quarters, revenue reached 1.856 billion yuan, up 46.84%, with a net profit of 242 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 191.21% [15].
国盛证券:维持滔搏买入”评级 卓越零售能力与高分红回馈
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 03:36
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tabo, highlighting its position as a leading sports retail platform in China, despite short-term fluctuations in its main brand Nike, while Adidas shows strong growth momentum [1] Business Overview - Tabo is the largest sports retail and service platform in China, partnering with major brands including Nike and Adidas, as well as others like Puma and Vans. The company anticipates a revenue decline of 7% and 6% year-on-year for FY2025 and FY2026H1, respectively, reaching 27 billion and 12.3 billion yuan. Net profit is expected to drop by 42% and 10% to 1.29 billion and 790 million yuan for the same periods [1] Brand Performance - In FY2026H1, revenue from main brands decreased by 4.8% to 10.8 billion yuan, accounting for 88% of total revenue. Adidas has consistently outperformed expectations since 2024, with a 8% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025 on a currency-neutral basis, while Nike's performance has been more volatile. Tabo has expanded its brand matrix by partnering with domestic brands like Li Ning and outdoor brands such as Kailas and Norda since 2022 [2] Retail Operations - Tabo leads the industry in retail operations, establishing a foundation for long-term growth. The company has optimized offline stores based on brand characteristics, with over 1,056 self-operated stores larger than 300 square meters by FY2023, representing 16.1% of total stores. The company is shifting to a "one product, one strategy" approach to enhance store efficiency. Tabo has also significantly increased its private domain and live e-commerce efforts, with over 3,600 mini-program stores by FY2026H1, and e-commerce sales expected to account for around 40% of total sales [3] Mid-term Trends - The launch schedule for new Nike products is expected to improve in FY2027, potentially benefiting Tabo's revenue and profit margins. Adidas continues to perform well, while Nike's performance in the Greater China region is recovering. The company anticipates that profits will remain stable in FY2026, with a positive outlook for FY2027 as new Nike products are released [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - Since its IPO in 2019, Tabo has maintained a cumulative dividend payout ratio of 107.3%. As of FY2026H1, the company holds 2.54 billion yuan in cash and cash equivalents. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.297 billion, 1.481 billion, and 1.666 billion yuan for FY2026 to FY2028, with a current price corresponding to a FY2026 PE ratio of 14.6 times and a dividend yield of 7%. The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the stock [5]
国盛证券:维持滔搏(06110)买入”评级 卓越零售能力与高分红回馈
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 03:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Tabo (06110), highlighting its position as a leading sports retail platform in China, despite short-term fluctuations in its main brand Nike, while Adidas shows strong growth momentum [1] Business Overview - Tabo is the largest sports retail and service platform in China, with partnerships including Nike, Adidas, Puma, Converse, and Vans. The company anticipates a revenue decline of 7% and 6% year-on-year for FY2025 and FY2026H1, respectively, reaching 27 billion and 12.3 billion RMB. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to drop by 42% and 10% to 1.29 billion and 790 million RMB for the same periods [1][2] Brand Performance - Revenue from main brands decreased by 4.8% to 10.8 billion RMB in FY2026H1, accounting for 88% of total revenue. Adidas has consistently outperformed expectations, with a 8% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025 on a currency-neutral basis, while Nike's performance has been more volatile [2] Retail Operations - Tabo has optimized its offline stores based on brand characteristics, with 1,056 self-operated stores over 300 square meters as of FY2023, representing 16.1% of total stores. The company is shifting its "big store strategy" to a more tailored approach to enhance store efficiency. The company has also expanded its private domain and live e-commerce initiatives, with over 3,600 mini-program stores by FY2026H1, and e-commerce sales expected to account for around 40% of total sales [3] Membership and Digitalization - Tabo has achieved a cumulative registered membership of 89.1 million by FY2025H1, with ongoing efforts to enhance user engagement and conversion rates. The company's digital transformation strategy, initiated in 2019, focuses on empowering frontline employees, optimizing store operations, and improving product management [3] Mid-term Trends - The release schedule for new Nike products is expected to improve in FY2027, potentially benefiting Tabo's revenue and profit margins. Adidas continues to perform well, while Nike's performance in the Greater China region is recovering. The company anticipates that FY2026 profits will remain stable, with a positive outlook for FY2027 as new Nike products are launched [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - Since its IPO in 2019, Tabo has maintained a cumulative dividend payout ratio of 107.3%. As of FY2026H1, the company holds 2.54 billion RMB in cash and cash equivalents. The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.297 billion, 1.481 billion, and 1.666 billion RMB for FY2026 to FY2028, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6 times and a dividend yield of 7%. The "buy" rating is maintained [5]
国盛证券:首予贝壳-W(02423)买入评级 经纪服务业态重构者
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 03:09
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Beike-W (02423), highlighting its position as a leading residential service platform in China, supported by a unique ACN cooperation network and a vast "property dictionary" database, which creates strong competitive barriers [1] Group 1: Performance Overview - Beike, as the first stock of China's residential service platform, has a diverse business model including existing home transactions, new home transactions, home decoration, rental services, and emerging businesses, with projected revenue contributions in 2024 being 30%, 36%, 16%, 15%, and 3% respectively [1] - The company has achieved a total transaction volume of 3.3 trillion yuan and revenue of 93.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a three-year CAGR of 24% and adjusted net profits of 2.9 billion, 9.8 billion, and 7.2 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024 [1] Group 2: Competitive Barriers - The construction of the ACN network and the property dictionary has redefined the industry ecosystem, creating competitive barriers that are difficult to replicate due to the significant time and capital investment required [2] - The property dictionary, which has recorded over 289 million real housing units by 2024, serves as a foundational data asset for the company, enhancing its platform capabilities [2] Group 3: Market Performance - In the existing home transaction service, the company's GTV for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 is projected to be 2 trillion, 2.2 trillion, and 1.2 trillion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.6%, 10.8%, and 13.7%, achieving a market share of 31.1% in 2024 [3] - For new home transactions, the GTV is expected to be 1 trillion, 0.97 trillion, and 0.49 trillion yuan for the same periods, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.6%, -3.3%, and 26%, outperforming national residential sales growth rates [3] Group 4: Home Decoration Business - The home decoration business is rapidly expanding, with GTV of 16.9 billion and 7.5 billion yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 27% and 16.5% respectively, and profit margins increasing to 30.7% and 32.3% [4] - The synergy from the real estate transaction business significantly reduces customer acquisition costs, enhancing profitability and positioning the home decoration business as an industry leader [4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 94.6 billion, 95.3 billion, and 100.5 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.2%, 0.8%, and 5.5%, while net profits are expected to be 3.71 billion, 5.28 billion, and 6.1 billion yuan, with growth rates of -8.7%, 42.4%, and 15.5% [5] - The target price calculated using the DCF model is 61.3 yuan per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 40.7 times for 2026, indicating a price upside of 54.5% [6]
券商前三季度科创债承销额同比增长近58%;实控人变更!国盛证券划归江西省国资委 | 券商基金早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-21 01:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in the underwriting amount of technology innovation bonds by securities firms, which grew nearly 58% year-on-year, surpassing 700 billion yuan, indicating strong support from the capital market for technological innovation [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the underwriting amount for technology innovation bonds reached over 700 billion yuan, reflecting a robust response from securities firms to the financing needs of key sectors in the real economy [1] - The underwriting amount for private enterprise bonds also showed impressive growth, reaching 391.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.46%, further emphasizing the strong performance of these two segments [1] Group 2 - The change in the actual controller of Guosheng Securities to the Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission marks a strengthening of its state-owned background, potentially providing new momentum for resource integration and business expansion [2][3] - Despite the holding ratio of the controlling shareholder remaining unchanged, the elevation of the actual controller level may enhance market expectations for policy support [3] - The simultaneous reduction plans by the three major shareholders may create short-term market sentiment disturbances, necessitating attention to the pace and purpose of these reductions [3] Group 3 - The total scale of bond ETFs has surged to 710 billion yuan, reflecting a sustained preference among investors for stable assets [4] - The significant expansion of leading products like the Hai Fu Tong Short-term Bond ETF and the Bosera Convertible Bond ETF indicates a growing demand for liquidity and diversified allocation [4] - The rapid growth of bond ETFs is expected to enrich investment tools and support the deepening development of the financial market [4] Group 4 - Vanguard's ETF annual fund inflow is approaching 350 billion USD, breaking the previous record set in 2021, showcasing the deepening trend of passive investment [5][6] - The dominance of ETF giants like Vanguard and BlackRock is solidifying, putting greater competitive pressure on smaller asset management firms [6] - The massive inflow of funds into ETFs may exacerbate liquidity differentiation among index constituent stocks, leading to more pronounced structural market characteristics [6]
实控人变更!国盛证券划归江西省国资委
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-20 15:17
Group 1: Change of Actual Controller - The actual controller of Guosheng Securities will change to Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (Jiangxi State-owned Assets Commission) from Jiangxi Provincial Department of Transportation [2][4][6] - Before the transfer, Jiangxi Transportation Investment Group held 25.52% of Guosheng Securities directly and 4.06% indirectly, making it the controlling shareholder [4][6] - The transfer is approved by the government and complies with relevant laws and regulations, and it is stated that it will not have a significant impact on the company's governance and operations [8] Group 2: Shareholder Reduction Plans - Three shareholders holding more than 5% of Guosheng Securities announced their plans to reduce their stakes just before the change of actual controller [10][15] - Nanchang Financial Holdings plans to reduce up to 19.35 million shares (1% of total shares), Jiangxi Investment Fund plans to reduce up to 15.82 million shares (0.82%), and Jiangxi Building Materials Group plans to reduce up to 19.35 million shares (1%) [13][14] - The reduction period is set from December 8, 2025, to March 7, 2026, with the reason cited as "self-operating development needs" [13][14] Group 3: Market Reactions and Implications - The simultaneous occurrence of the actual controller change and the reduction plans has drawn market attention, with analysts suggesting that these actions reflect a strategic adjustment within the industry [15][16] - Analysts believe that the changes will enhance the company's governance structure and focus on capital operation efficiency and the preservation and appreciation of state-owned assets [8][16] - The trend of local state-owned assets increasing their presence in the securities industry is seen as part of a broader strategy to enhance regional financial competitiveness and support the local economy [18][19]