Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests a short - biased trading strategy [2] Group 2: Core View of the Report - At the end of the month, supply pressure eases briefly, demand recovers, and second - fattening entry supports a small increase in the spot price, followed by a stable and volatile trend. However, after the price increase, second - fattening entry becomes cautious, terminal demand's carrying capacity is poor, market sentiment weakens, and the 2601 contract closes down 2.3% [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures and Spot Market - Futures: The closing price of the main futures contract for live pigs is 11,880 yuan/ton, down 305 yuan; the main contract's open interest is 135,813 lots, up 16,025 lots; the number of warehouse receipts is 206 lots, unchanged; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 31,311 lots, down 1,076 lots [2] - Spot: The live pig price in Henan Zhumadian is 12,600 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Jilin Siping, it is 12,500 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan; in Guangdong Yunfu, it is 13,100 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan; the main live pig basis is 720 yuan/ton, up 305 yuan [2] 2. Upstream Situation - Pig inventory is 42,4470,000 heads, up 7160,000 heads; the inventory of breeding sows is 4,0380,000 heads, down 40,000 heads; CPI year - on - year is - 0.3%, up 0.1 percentage points; the spot price of soybean meal in Zhangjiagang is 2,970 yuan/ton, unchanged; the spot price of corn is 2,242.16 yuan/ton, down 0.59 yuan; the Dalian Commodity Exchange pig feed cost index is 879.54, up 0.69; the monthly output of feed is 31,287,000 tons, up 2,015,000 tons; the price of binary breeding sows is 1,530 yuan/head, unchanged; the breeding profit of purchased piglets is - 289.07 yuan/head, up 86.22 yuan; the breeding profit of self - bred and self - raised pigs is - 185.68 yuan/head, up 59.02 yuan; the monthly import volume of pork is 80,000 tons, unchanged; the average price of white - striped chicken in the main producing areas is 14.1 yuan/kg, down 0.2 yuan [2] 3. Downstream Situation - The slaughter volume of designated live pig slaughtering enterprises is 33,500,000 heads, up 1,840,000 heads; the monthly retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry is 450.86 billion yuan, up 12.9 billion yuan [2] 4. Industry News - On October 30, 2025, the daily national live pig出栏量 of key breeding enterprises was 284,450 heads, a 2.57% decrease from the previous day. At the supply end, the出栏 rhythm of large - scale farms slowed down at the end of the month and the beginning of the month, and the average出栏 weight decreased slightly, reducing supply pressure. In the second - fattening aspect, there was concentrated entry for supplementary stocking in the middle and late ten - day periods, supporting the spot market price to stop falling and rebound, but the enthusiasm for second - fattening entry cooled down as the price rose [2] 5. Key Points of Concern - There is no news today [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The lithium carbonate market shows a pattern of increasing supply and demand with inventory reduction. The main contract is oscillating strongly, with increasing positions, spot discounts, and strengthening basis. The option market sentiment is bullish, and the implied volatility is slightly rising. The technical indicator shows that the 60 - minute MACD has double - lines above the 0 - axis with the initial appearance of green columns. The operation suggestion is to conduct light - position oscillating trading and control risks [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 83,400 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan; the net position of the top 20 is - 195,625 hands, up 8,348 hands; the position of the main contract is 532,871 hands, up 25,989 hands; the spread between near and far - month contracts is - 1,160 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt is 27,641 hands/ton, up 116 hands [2] 现货市场 - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 80,000 yuan/ton, up 850 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 77,800 yuan/ton, up 850 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract is - 3,400 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) is 983 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite is 9,075 yuan/ton, up 250 yuan; the price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) is 3,060 yuan/ton, up 125 yuan [2] Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate is 47,140 tons, up 1,260 tons; the monthly import volume is 19,596.9 tons, down 2,250.01 tons; the monthly export volume is 150.82 tons, down 218.09 tons; the monthly operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises is 47%, up 1%; the monthly output of power batteries is 151,200 MWh, up 11,600 MWh; the price of lithium manganate is 33,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate is 105,000 yuan/ton, up 25,000 yuan; the price of lithium cobalt oxide is 343,500 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of ternary material (811 type) in China is 163,500 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan; the price of ternary material (622 power type) in China is 143,500 yuan/ton, up 1,000 yuan [2] Downstream and Application Situation - The price of ternary material (523 single - crystal type) in China is 155,000 yuan/ton, up 1,000 yuan; the monthly operating rate of ternary cathode materials is 53%, down 2%; the price of lithium iron phosphate is 34,800 yuan/ton, unchanged; the monthly operating rate of lithium iron phosphate cathodes is 59%, up 2%; the monthly output of new energy vehicles is 1,617,000, up 226,000; the monthly sales volume is 1,604,000, up 209,000; the cumulative sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles is 46.09%, up 0.55%; the cumulative sales volume of new energy vehicles is 11,228,000, up 2,908,000; the monthly export volume of new energy vehicles is 222,000, down 2,000; the cumulative export volume of new energy vehicles is 1,758,000, up 830,000; the 20 - day average volatility of the underlying is 22.82%, down 0.82%; the 40 - day average volatility of the underlying is 25.92%, up 0.01% [2] Option Situation - The total subscription position is 166,407, up 7,024; the total put position is 95,396, up 9,624; the total position put - call ratio is 57.33%, up 3.5119%; the at - the - money IV implied volatility is 0.34%, up 0.0008% [2] Industry News - China has built a complete lithium product supply system, with the output of basic lithium salts, metal lithium and its alloys, lithium - ion battery cathode materials, electrolytes and other products ranking first in the world for many years. Leading battery manufacturers are placing large orders for lithium iron phosphate, and lithium iron phosphate manufacturers are starting a new round of capacity expansion. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, ending the balance - sheet reduction from December 1st. The inventory coefficient of automobile dealers in September was 1.35, up 3.1% month - on - month and 4.7% year - on - year [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - BZ2603 showed a slight fluctuation, closing at 5,526 yuan/ton. Last week, the operating load of petroleum benzene decreased while the operating rate of hydrobenzene increased, resulting in an overall decline in domestic pure benzene production. The operating rates of downstream industries mostly decreased, with the weighted operating rate of pure benzene downstream industries declining on a week-on-week basis. Inventory was reduced to a neutral level. The profit of petroleum benzene changed little and was at a low valuation level due to weak supply and demand. This week, petroleum benzene plants are expected to operate with a slight reduction in load, but with the increase in the load of hydrobenzene and the arrival of imported resources, the domestic supply of pure benzene is still expected to be at a relatively high level. Terminal demand is weak, and downstream plants are expected to mainly reduce their operating rates. The recent new capacity launch in the downstream is difficult to offset the negative impact of the reduction in the load of existing plants. In terms of cost, the market expects a slight increase in production by OPEC+ in December, and combined with the weak demand side of crude oil, international oil prices are under pressure. In the short term, BZ2603 is expected to show a fluctuating trend, and technically, attention should be paid to the previous low support around 5,440 and the previous high pressure around 5,640 [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract of pure benzene was 5,526 yuan/ton, up 31 yuan; the settlement price was 5,501 yuan/ton, down 28 yuan. The trading volume was 6,746 lots, up 1,863 lots; the open interest was down 65 lots. The mainstream price in the East China market was 5,450 yuan/ton, unchanged; in the North China market, it was 5,495 yuan/ton, up 495 yuan [2]. Spot Market - The mainstream price of pure benzene in the South China market was 5,435 - 5,450 yuan/ton, unchanged; in the Northeast region, it was 5,130 - 5,170 yuan/ton, down 21 - 100 yuan. The mainstream price of hydrobenzene in Jiangsu was 5,325 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan; in Shanxi, it was 5,105 yuan/ton. The FOB mid - price of pure benzene in South Korea was 660 US dollars/ton, down 11 US dollars; the CFR mid - price of pure benzene in China was 675.84 US dollars/ton, down 11.13 US dollars [2]. Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil was 64.5 US dollars/barrel, down 1.96 US dollars. The CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan was 568.63 US dollars/ton, down 9 US dollars. The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene was 78.14%, up 0.13 percentage points; the weekly output was 42.61 tons, down 1.19 tons [2]. Industry Situation - The port inventory of pure benzene was 9.9 tons, up 0.9 tons. The production cost of pure benzene was 5,327.8 yuan/ton, down 118.2 yuan; the production profit was 737 yuan/ton, up 76 yuan [2]. Downstream Situation - The total operating rate of styrene was 69.25%, down 2.63 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of caprolactam was 95.72%, up 6.41 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of phenol was 78.54%, down 0.46 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of aniline was 69.24%, down 0.1 percentage point; the capacity utilization rate of adipic acid was 64.3%, up 2 percentage points [2]. Industry News - From October 18th to 24th, the capacity utilization rate of petroleum benzene decreased by 2.75% to 72.73% week - on - week, while the capacity utilization rate of hydrobenzene increased by 1.07% to 63.46%. The operating rates of styrene, caprolactam, and adipic acid decreased, the operating rate of phenol remained stable, and the operating rate of aniline increased. The weighted operating rate of pure benzene downstream industries decreased by 1.97% to 73.40% week - on - week. As of October 27th, the port inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu decreased by 14.14% to 8.5 tons week - on - week. From October 17th to 23rd, the profit of petroleum benzene in China was 385 yuan/ton [2].

Core Viewpoint - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasizes the importance of deepening reforms and modernizing the national governance system, outlining strategic goals and key tasks for the development of the financial industry and the futures market [1][2]. Group 1: Development Direction - The "15th Five-Year" period is identified as a crucial time for achieving socialist modernization, with a focus on high-quality development, technological self-reliance, and comprehensive reforms [2]. - Key goals include significant improvements in economic strength, technological capabilities, and living standards by 2035, aiming for a substantial increase in national power and international influence [2]. Group 2: Political Leadership - The session stresses the integration of the Party's leadership into all aspects of corporate governance, ensuring that political construction is prioritized [3]. - The company aims to enhance the political awareness and theoretical literacy of its members through various educational initiatives, aligning corporate governance with Party advantages [3]. Group 3: Service to the Real Economy - The focus is on building a modern industrial system and strengthening the real economy, with an emphasis on intelligent, green, and integrated development [4]. - The company is committed to serving the real economy by implementing projects like "insurance + futures" to help farmers mitigate price risks and by promoting financial literacy among investors [4]. Group 4: Risk Management - The session highlights the need for a modern national security system and the importance of preventing systemic financial risks [6]. - The company plans to enhance its risk management framework and ensure compliance with regulations to contribute to the stable development of the futures market [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Looking ahead, the company will continue to strengthen the role of Party leadership and focus on core business areas such as asset management and risk management [7]. - The company aims to align its efforts with national strategies and contribute to the modernization of China through its services in the futures market [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - The rapeseed meal market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. Driven by optimistic trade sentiment, the two meals have rebounded synchronously recently, and rapeseed meal will continue to fluctuate strongly. The trade policies between China and Canada and between China and the US should be monitored [2]. - International trade relations are expected to improve, causing rapeseed oil prices to decline again. It is advisable to wait and see in the short term. The trade policy direction between China and Canada should be continuously monitored [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Futures closing prices of rapeseed oil, rapeseed meal, and domestic rapeseed decreased, while ICE rapeseed futures increased. Most of the month - to - month spreads, positions, and net long positions decreased, and the number of rapeseed oil warrants remained unchanged while that of rapeseed meal decreased [2]. Spot Market - Spot prices of rapeseed oil and soybean oil decreased, while that of rapeseed meal increased. The average price of rapeseed oil decreased, and the import cost of rapeseed increased. The oil - meal ratio decreased, and the basis of the main contracts of rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal increased. The spot price differences between rapeseed oil and soybean oil, and between rapeseed oil and palm oil decreased, and the spot price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal also decreased [2]. Upstream Situation - Global rapeseed production is expected to increase, and China's rapeseed imports decreased. The inventory of rapeseed in oil mills decreased, and the weekly startup rate of imported rapeseed decreased. The import cost of rapeseed increased, and the import rapeseed crushing profit increased [2]. Industry Situation - The import volume of rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal increased, while the inventory of rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal in coastal and eastern regions decreased. The weekly提货量 of rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal decreased [2]. Downstream Situation - The production of feed and edible vegetable oil increased, and the total retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry increased [2]. Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call and put options of rapeseed meal decreased, and the historical volatility of 20 - day and 60 - day rapeseed meal decreased and increased respectively. The implied volatility of at - the - money call and put options of rapeseed oil increased, and the historical volatility of 20 - day and 60 - day rapeseed oil decreased [2]. Industry News - ICE rapeseed futures rose due to continued optimism about China - US trade negotiations in the Chicago soybean market. The US soybean harvest rate reached 84%, and the supply - side pressure continued to restrain its market price. China and the US held economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, and President Xi Jinping will meet with President Trump in Busan, South Korea [2]. Rapeseed Meal Summary - The rapeseed meal market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. The trade optimism supports the sharp rise of the US soybean market price, and domestic rapeseed meal continues to fluctuate strongly [2]. Rapeseed Oil Summary - The harvest of Canadian rapeseed is over, and the supply - side pressure is high. The GAPKI expects an increase in Indonesian palm oil production, and the B50 biodiesel plan is uncertain. The initial ruling on anti - dumping policies for Canadian rapeseed has been implemented, and domestic rapeseed oil will continue to reduce inventory, but the demand is mainly for rigid needs [3]. Key Focus - Monitor the rapeseed startup rate and rapeseed oil and meal inventory in various regions on Myagric website on Monday, as well as the trade relations between China and Canada and between China and the US [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The precious metals market regained upward momentum during intraday trading as the meeting between the top leaders of China and the US and the FOMC meeting approached. The London gold price rebounded after a sharp correction, and the London silver price regained the $48 mark. The tariff news was optimistic, causing market risk aversion to recede and increasing market volatility. Trump's tariff negotiations with Southeast Asian countries and the initial optimistic Sino - US tariff consultations were short - term negative for the gold price. The US September CPI was lower than expected, and the market fully priced in two interest rate cuts this year. Affected by the previous sharp correction, the trading sentiment was cautious, with strong profit - taking sentiment among bulls, but there was also strong buying demand at key support levels. Most Fed voting members supported restarting the easing path, and two 25 - basis - point interest rate cuts this year were the market's general expectation. Before the meeting between the top leaders of China and the US, the long - short game in the market intensified. The Fed's interest rate cut expectation and the continued US government shutdown provided bottom support. However, if the Sino - US talks achieved substantial results, the gold price might continue to correct. It is recommended to focus on range - bound trading. The recommended trading range for the Shanghai Gold 2512 contract is 880 - 920 yuan/gram, and for the Shanghai Silver 2512 contract is 11000 - 11600 yuan/kilogram [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Shanghai Gold main contract closing price: 910.88 yuan/gram, up 9.5 yuan; Shanghai Silver main contract closing price: 11338 yuan/kilogram, up 289 yuan - Shanghai Gold main contract open interest: 168691 lots, down 7225 lots; Shanghai Silver main contract open interest: 304414 lots, down 17462 lots - Shanghai Gold main contract top 20 net open interest: 110656 lots, up 2063 lots; Shanghai Silver main contract top 20 net open interest: 85919 lots, up 3368 lots - Gold warehouse receipts: 87816 kilograms, up 801 kilograms; Silver warehouse receipts: 653828 kilograms, down 3599 kilograms [2] 3.2现货市场 - Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network gold spot price: 904.7 yuan/gram, down 6.71 yuan; Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network silver spot price: 11272 yuan/kilogram, up 109 yuan - Shanghai Gold main contract basis: - 6.18 yuan/gram, up 0.53 yuan; Shanghai Silver main contract basis: - 66 yuan/kilogram, down 175 yuan [2] 3.3 Supply and Demand Situation - Gold ETF holdings: 1038.92 tons, unchanged; Silver ETF holdings: 15209.57 tons, down 131.22 tons - Gold CFTC non - commercial net open interest (weekly): 266749 contracts, up 339 contracts; Silver CTFC non - commercial net open interest (weekly): 52276 contracts, up 738 contracts - Gold total supply (quarterly): 1313.01 tons, up 54.84 tons; Silver total supply (yearly): 987.8 million troy ounces, down 21.4 million troy ounces - Gold total demand (quarterly): 1313.01 tons, up 54.83 tons; Silver global total demand (yearly): 1195 million ounces, down 47.4 million ounces [2] 3.4 Option Market - 20 - day historical volatility of gold: 36.03%, up 2.69 percentage points; 40 - day historical volatility of gold: 26.86%, up 1.96 percentage points - At - the - money call option implied volatility of gold: 26.17%, down 1.51 percentage points; At - the - money put option implied volatility of gold: 26.18%, down 1.51 percentage points [2] 3.5 Industry News - The US Senate, with a 54 - to - 45 vote, failed again in a procedural vote to advance the "2025 Fiscal Year Continuing Appropriations and Extension Act" aimed at ending the government shutdown. The bill, passed by the House of Representatives, proposed to temporarily resume government operations at the current funding level and needed 60 votes in the Senate to proceed. This was the 13th vote on the bill, and it still failed to reach the required threshold, meaning the government shutdown would continue - On October 28, Japanese Prime Minister Hayasuna Kōichi and US President Trump signed an agreement to promote Japan's $550 billion investment plan in the US - ADP, the "small non - farm" data publisher, announced that it would launch weekly employment data from this week to track the US labor market dynamics more frequently. The first report showed that in the four weeks ending October 11, the average number of private - sector jobs in the US increased by 14,250 - The Conference Board data showed that the US consumer confidence index in October declined for the third consecutive month, falling from 95.6 in September to 94.6, the lowest level since April this year. The expectation index dropped to 71.5, the lowest since June [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - On Wednesday, the freight index (European line) futures prices rose significantly, with the main contract EC2512 up 5.08% and the far - month contracts up 1 - 4%. The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight index was 1312.71, up 172.33 points from last week, a 15.1% MoM increase. Spot index gains have expanded, potentially supporting short - term freight rate increases. Mainstream shipping companies have issued price increase notices for November, and Maersk's successful price support in mid - to - late October has boosted market confidence. The suspension of container handling at Rotterdam Port and the easing of the trade war situation, along with the substantial mitigation of geopolitical conflicts and the arrival of the fourth - quarter shipping peak season, have led to a rapid recovery in futures prices. However, the freight rate market is highly influenced by news, and futures prices are expected to fluctuate more severely. Investors are advised to be cautious, control risks, and track geopolitical, capacity, and cargo volume data [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - EC main contract closing price: 1871.000, up 90.5; EC second - main contract closing price: 1606, up 56.7 [1]. - EC2512 - EC2602 spread: 265.00, up 25.40; EC2512 - EC2604 spread: 676.60, up 51.00 [1]. - EC contract basis: - 558.29, down 82.70 [1]. - EC main contract open interest: 31906, up 3006 [1]. 3.2 Spot Market Data - SCFIS (European line) (weekly): 1312.71, up 172.33; SCFIS (US West Coast line) (weekly): 863.46, down 14.34 [1]. - SCFI (composite index) (weekly): 1403.46, up 93.14; Container ship capacity (10,000 TEUs): 1227.97, up 1.66 [1]. - CCFI (composite index) (weekly): 992.74, up 19.63; CCFI (European line) (weekly): 1293.12, up 25.21 [1]. - Baltic Dry Index (daily): 1950.00, up 26.00; Panamax Freight Index (daily): 1904.00, up 17.00 [1]. - Average charter price (Panamax ship): 17564.00, unchanged; Average charter price (Capesize ship): 23479.00, down 1512.00 [1]. 3.3 Industry News - The "15th Five - Year Plan" proposal was released, with economic growth in a reasonable range, improved total factor productivity, and other goals [1]. - On October 28, Japanese Prime Minister Kaoichi Sanae and US President Trump signed an agreement to promote Japan's $550 billion investment plan in the US, with $100 billion for Westinghouse Electric to build nuclear reactors [1]. - The US Senate failed to pass a procedural vote on the "2025 Fiscal Year Continuing Appropriations and Extension Act" for the 13th time, and the government shutdown will continue [1]. 3.4 Key Events to Watch - October 30, 02:00: US Fed interest rate decision (upper limit) as of October 29 [1]. - October 30, 14:30: France's preliminary Q3 GDP annual rate [1]. - October 30, 16:55: Germany's seasonally - adjusted unemployment rate in October [1]. - October 30, 17:00: Germany's preliminary unadjusted Q3 GDP annual rate [1]. - October 30, 18:00: Eurozone's preliminary Q3 GDP annual rate, September unemployment rate, and October industrial sentiment index [1]. - October 30, 21:00: Germany's preliminary October CPI monthly rate [1]. - October 30, 21:15: Eurozone's ECB deposit facility rate as of October 30 [1].

Report Investment Rating - No report industry investment rating is provided in the content [1][2][3] Core Viewpoints - The yield of treasury bond cash bonds on Wednesday was strong in the short - term and weak in the ultra - long - term. The yields of 1 - 7Y maturities declined by about 0.40 - 4.0bp, while the 10Y and 30Y yields changed by about - 0.4 and 0.5bp to 1.81% and 2.17% respectively. Treasury bond futures were also strong in the short - term and weak in the ultra - long - term. The TS, TF, and T main contracts rose by 0.10%, 0.16%, and 0.13% respectively, while the TL main contract fell by 0.27%. The weighted average rate of DR007 fluctuated around 1.54%. [3] - Domestically, in September, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size continued to recover due to the low - base effect, with a year - on - year increase of 3.2%. In Q3, China's GDP grew by 4.8% year - on - year, with a stable growth rate but a slowdown compared to the previous value. In September, industrial added value increased significantly year - on - year, social retail growth slowed down, and fixed - asset investment continued to shrink. [3] - Policy - wise, the communiqué of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee pointed out that the current economic development faces a complex environment, emphasizing that the steady - growth policy will continue to exert force, enhancing the endogenous driving force of the economy through expanding domestic demand, promoting consumption, and stabilizing investment, and requiring the firm completion of the annual economic and social development goals. [3] - The central bank governor, Pan Gongsheng, said at the Financial Street Forum that the bond market is currently operating well, and the central bank will resume open - market treasury bond trading operations. Overseas, the US CPI in September was lower than expected; ADP data showed that the employment market in October was recovering. The new round of Sino - US trade consultations ended with positive signals, alleviating market concerns about the escalation of trade frictions. [3] - The central bank's resumption of treasury bond trading will inject stable liquidity into the market, driving down long - term interest rates by lowering short - term rates, boosting the bullish sentiment in the bond market. The weak fundamentals may push the bond market to fluctuate upwards. It is recommended to take a small - position long - trial strategy. [3] Summary by Directory Futures Disk - T main contract closing price was 108.570, up 0.13%; trading volume was 91,358, an increase of 16,290. TF main contract closing price was 106.070, up 0.16%; trading volume was 99,318, an increase of 31,449. TS main contract closing price was 102.576, up 0.1%; trading volume was 56,118, an increase of 16,695. TL main contract closing price was 115.830, down 0.27%; trading volume was 125,436, an increase of 2,105. [2] Futures Spread - TL2512 - 2603 spread was 0.31, up 0.04; T12 - TL12 spread was - 7.26, up 0.28. T2512 - 2603 spread was 0.33, up 0.01; TF12 - T12 spread was - 2.50, up 0.02. TF2512 - 2603 spread was 0.13, up 0.01; TS12 - T12 spread was - 5.99, down 0.04. TS2512 - 2603 spread was 0.09, up 0.00; TS12 - TF12 spread was - 3.49, down 0.06. [2] Futures Positions - T main contract open interest was 246,279, an increase of 7,086. The long positions of the top 20 were 229,274, an increase of 7,125; the short positions of the top 20 were 244,936, an increase of 7,726; the net short positions of the top 20 were 15,662, an increase of 601. [2] - TF main contract open interest was 149,109, an increase of 10,861. The long positions of the top 20 were 134,888, an increase of 11,395; the short positions of the top 20 were 157,956, an increase of 12,895; the net short positions of the top 20 were 23,068, an increase of 1,500. [2] - TS main contract open interest was 71,222, an increase of 2,282. The long positions of the top 20 were 56,899, an increase of 2,394; the short positions of the top 20 were 64,700, an increase of 3,412; the net short positions of the top 20 were 7,801, an increase of 1,018. [2] - TL main contract open interest was 146,041, a decrease of 1,892. The long positions of the top 20 were 141,200, an increase of 914; the short positions of the top 20 were 158,654, a decrease of 1,625; the net short positions of the top 20 were 17,454, a decrease of 2,539. [2] Top Two CTD (Clean Prices) - 220017.IB (4y) was 106.6589, up 0.0971; 250018.IB (4y) was 99.0955, up 0.1290. 250003.IB (4y) was 99.6819, up 0.1426; 240020.IB (4y) was 100.8844, up 0.0843. 220016.IB (1.7y) was 101.9407, up 0.0838; 250012.IB (2y) was 100.1099, up 0.0800. 210005.IB (17y) was 130.7675, down 0.3477; 220008.IB (18y) was 122.7161, down 0.2279. [2] Active Treasury Bonds - The yield of 1 - year bond was 1.4300%, down 0.5bp; 3 - year was 1.4600%, down 5bp; 5 - year was 1.5600%, up 1bp; 7 - year was 1.6725%, down 0.25bp; 10 - year was 1.8130%, up 1.8bp. [2] Short - term Interest Rates - The overnight inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.3515%, up 5.15bp; Shibor overnight was 1.4140%, down 5.5bp. The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.5318%, up 5.18bp; Shibor 7 - day was 1.5120%, down 1.8bp. The 14 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.5900%, unchanged; Shibor 14 - day was 1.5590%, down 8.8bp. [2] LPR Rates - The 1 - year LPR was 3.00%, unchanged; the 5 - year LPR was 3.5%, unchanged. [2] Open Market Operations - The issuance scale was 557.7 billion yuan, the maturity scale was 138.2 billion yuan, and the interest rate was 1.4% for 7 - day. The net investment was 419.5 billion yuan. [2] Industry News - On October 29, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet with US President Trump in Busan, South Korea on October 30 to exchange views on Sino - US relations and issues of common concern. [2] - Central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said in a report on financial work that the next step is to prevent and resolve financial risks in key areas, strengthen the monitoring and assessment of systemic financial risks, continue to support the debt - to - equity swap of financing platforms, and improve the financing system suitable for the new model of real estate development. [2] - On October 29, the general offices of five departments including the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Action Plan for Improving the Quality of Urban Commerce", aiming to promote the integrated development of online and offline, encourage cooperation between e - commerce and express delivery companies, and improve the efficiency and quality of last - mile delivery. [2] Key Events to Watch - The 2025 Financial Street Forum Annual Conference is held from October 27 to 30. The US Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision (upper limit) as of October 29 at 2:00 on October 30. [3]

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core Views - For corn, with the U.S. corn harvest advancing, supply pressure will gradually increase, but the expected lower U.S. corn yield and the Sino - U.S. trade agreement expectation support the market. In China, the new corn supply is increasing, leading to a slight decline in purchase prices. Corn futures prices are in a low - level consolidation [2]. - For corn starch, the increasing supply of raw corn weakens cost support, and the substitution of tapioca starch squeezes market demand. However, the lower - than - usual industry operation rate, good order fulfillment, and slightly decreased inventory are positive factors. Starch futures prices move in sync with the corn market and are recommended for short - term observation [2][3]. Section Summaries Futures Market - Corn futures closing price (active contract) is 2116 yuan/ton, down 105 yuan/ton; corn starch futures closing price (active contract) is 2427 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan/ton. Corn futures open interest (active contract) is 925389 hands, and corn starch futures open interest (active contract) is 208744 hands, down 1335 hands [2]. Outer - market - CBOT corn futures closing price (active contract) is 3.75 cents/bushel, and the total open interest is 1543065 contracts, up 13269 contracts. Non - commercial net long positions are - 51186 contracts, down 15017 contracts [2]. Spot Market - The average spot price of corn is 2242.75 yuan/ton, and the ex - factory price of corn starch in Changchun is 2510 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Upstream - Forecasted corn planting areas in the U.S., Brazil, Argentina, China, and Ukraine are 427.11, 36.44, 22.6, 44.3, and 32 million hectares respectively, with forecasted yields of 53, 7.5, 295, 44.3, and 32 million tons respectively, all unchanged [2]. Industry - Corn inventories in southern and northern ports are 9.3 and 11 million tons respectively, and the starch enterprise weekly inventory is 112.8 million tons, down 1.2 million tons [2]. Downstream - The monthly output of feed is 201.5 million tons, and the processing profit of corn starch in Shandong is 128 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan/ton [2]. Options Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of corn is 8.48%, down 0.43%, and the implied volatility of at - the - money call options is 10.24%, up 0.74% [2]. Industry News - As of October 26, the U.S. corn harvest was 72% complete, up from 59% a week ago. As of October 25, Brazil's 2025/26 first - season corn planting was 40.0% complete, up from 33.2% last week [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The supply side of the domestic cotton market shows that Xinjiang cotton has entered the large - scale harvesting stage with over 50% progress, faster than last year, and the processing cost of ginning factories has slightly increased. Inland cotton acquisition is slow due to continuous rainfall. The demand side shows that the demand of downstream textile enterprises is relatively weak, and the "Silver October" replenishment has not improved significantly. New cotton is in the listing stage, and the upward space of cotton prices is expected to be limited in the short term due to hedging pressure [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closing price is 13,620 yuan/ton, up 55; cotton futures top 20 net positions are - 113,788 hands, down 3,097; main contract holdings of cotton are 578,488 hands, down 596; cotton warehouse receipts are 2,460, down 11. Cotton yarn main contract closing price is 19,865 yuan/ton, up 95; cotton yarn futures top 20 net positions are - 181 hands, down 40; main contract holdings of cotton yarn are 23,749 hands, down 346; cotton yarn warehouse receipts are 4, down 2 [2] Spot Market - China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) is 14,840 yuan/ton, up 10; China Yarn Price Index of pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 20,475 yuan/ton, down 25. China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:1% tariff) is 13,116 yuan/ton, up 60; China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:sliding - scale duty) is 14,050 yuan/ton. The arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index of pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 21,146 yuan/ton, up 1; the arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index of pure - combed 32 - count combed cotton yarn is 22,493 yuan/ton, up 2 [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area is 2,838.3 thousand hectares, up 48.3; the national cotton output is 6.16 million tons, up 540,000 tons [2] Industry Situation - The cotton - yarn price difference is 5,635 yuan/ton, down 10; industrial inventory of cotton is 861,000 tons, down 9,000 tons; cotton import volume is 100,000 tons, up 30,000 tons; cotton yarn import volume is 130,000 tons, unchanged. Imported cotton profit is 780 yuan/ton, down 43; commercial inventory of cotton is 1.0217 million tons, down 460,000 tons [2] Downstream Situation - Yarn inventory days are 25.24 days, up 0.39; grey fabric inventory days are 31.43 days, up 0.31. Cloth output is 2.811 billion meters, up 110 million meters; yarn output is 2.0738 million tons, up 45,900 tons. The monthly export value of clothing and clothing accessories is 12453247000 dollars, down 169265700 dollars; the monthly export value of textile yarns, fabrics and products is 11966516000 dollars, down 42668600 dollars [2] Option Market - The implied volatility of cotton at - the - money call options is 9.08%, up 2.58; the implied volatility of cotton at - the - money put options is 9.08%, up 2.58. The 20 - day historical volatility of cotton is 7.71%, down 0.49; the 60 - day historical volatility of cotton is 7.95%, down 0.02 [2] Industry News - Brazil exported 255,000 tons of cotton in the first four weeks of October, with a daily average of 14,200 tons, 11% more than the daily average in October last year. The total export volume in October last year was 280,900 tons. ICE cotton futures rose on Tuesday, with the December contract up 0.49 cents, or 0.76%, to settle at 65.05 cents per pound [2]