Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The communication industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index in December 2025, rising by 12.82% compared to +2.06% for the Shanghai Composite Index and +2.28% for the CSI 300 Index [8][14]. - Key material supply for optical modules remains tight, with major players like Longfei and Hengtong winning bids for China Unicom's hollow-core fiber cable procurement [8][9]. - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [8][41]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market [8][29]. - The export value of optical modules from China decreased by 15.6% year-on-year in 2025, while Thailand's communication equipment exports surged by 152.1% [8][9]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The communication industry index rose by 12.82% in December 2025, outperforming major indices [14]. - Sub-sectors such as cables and network equipment saw significant gains, with increases of 22.05% and 19.44% respectively [15][19]. Industry Tracking - The capital expenditure of major cloud providers in North America reached $112.43 billion in Q3 2025, a 76.9% increase year-on-year [25][28]. - AI applications are driving cloud business growth, with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta significantly increasing their capital expenditures [25][29]. - The Chinese ICT market is expected to grow to approximately $889.43 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 7.0% [39][40]. Domestic Telecom Industry - Telecom business revenue in China reached 1.6096 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [48]. - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion by November 2025, accounting for 65.3% of total mobile phone users [49]. - The number of fixed broadband users with gigabit access reached 239 million, representing 34.3% of total users [52].

广告收入承压、传统搜索边界被不断侵蚀，百度早已不再满足于"有没有AI应用"，而是在更现实地追问：还有哪些AI能力，能够跑出高ROI的商业回报。 PSIG的成立，正是这一转向的集中呈现：在AI应用进入规模化竞争阶段，百度需要创始人亲自下场，将已验证商业潜力的C端资产独立出来，抬升战略权 重，其背后，是对AI投入回报的重新排序。 最近，百度在To C领域的排兵布阵明显加快了节奏。 相比之下，百度的AI叙事显得极为克制，甚至更像一场"结算"，其对外口径并未强调未来投入规模，而是称自23年文心大模型推出后，在AI领域已累计投 入超1000亿元。 这种"谨慎"，并非是财力不足，恰恰相反，百度的现金及等价物占总资产比例高达45%，在互联网大厂中居于首位，根源还是百度营收支柱的结构性承 压。 流量广告作为百度的生命线，近两年在短视频分流与生成式 AI 的冲击下持续萎缩。 原散落在各部门（如大搜索）的数字人团队统一收拢至电商部门，由百度集团副总裁平晓黎统一负责。 又将AI商业化跑得最好的两大业务百度网盘和百度文库合并，组建了个人超级智能事业群组（PSIG），由百度集团副总裁王颖挂帅，直接向李彦宏汇 报。 C端AI应用正式脱离 ...

Market Performance - The market showed mixed performance from January 19 to January 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.84% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11%[5] - The average daily trading volume was 2.80 trillion yuan, a decrease compared to the previous week[5] Healthcare Sector - At the JPM 2026 conference, over 20 Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies showcased their products, with significant business development (BD) transactions announced[16] - In 2025, the value of China's innovative drug patent licensing transactions reached approximately $135.7 billion, a 143% increase year-on-year, with 157 total transactions[20] Consumer Sector - The Qianwen APP integrated with Alibaba's ecosystem, achieving over 100 million monthly active users within two months of launch, marking its entry into the "billion-level club"[25] - This integration allows for a seamless process from search to decision-making and payment, establishing a comprehensive AI application ecosystem[26] Hard Technology Sector - The supply of storage and logic chips remains tight, leading to widespread price increases across the industry[32] - The price of enterprise SSDs continues to rise, with a projected increase of 33-38% for NAND Flash products due to supply constraints[36] High-end Manufacturing - The State Grid announced a total fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), a 40% increase from the previous period, averaging 800 billion yuan annually[42] - The goal is to achieve a 30% share of renewable energy in total power generation by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for the solar and wind energy sectors[46]

春节成为多家AI应用厂商的"营销档"。先是字节跳动旗下火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，接 着，1月25日，腾讯宣布元宝将在2月1日上线春节活动，用户可以在元宝App上分10亿现金红包。同日，百度也宣布入局春节现金红包活 动。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了更多差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦 点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的时刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席 马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带动微信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微 信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现金小马卡。 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用文心助手，最高奖励为1万元。百度App还将以"首席AI合作伙伴"身 份亮相《2026北京广播电视 ...

作者 | 第一财经 郑栩彤 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现 金小马卡。 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用文心助手，最高奖励为1万元。百 度App还将以"首席AI合作伙伴"身份亮相《2026北京广播电视台春节联欢晚会》。 这波春节营销大战开启之前，AI已完成了最初的一波普及。中国互联网络信息中心去年10月发布的相 关报告显示，国内生成式AI用户规模去年6月已达5.15亿人，用户规模半年翻番，普及率36.5%。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了 更多差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的 时刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带 动微信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 营销大战的背景还包括更多A ...

2026.01. 28 春节成为多家AI应用厂商的"营销档"。先是字节跳动旗下火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、 豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，接着，1月25日，腾讯宣布元宝将在2月1日上线春节活动，用户可以在元宝App 上分10亿现金红包。同日，百度也宣布入局春节现金红包活动。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了更多 差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的时 刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带动微 信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 本文字数：2199，阅读时长大约4分钟 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现金 小马卡。 作者 | 第一财 经 郑栩彤 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用 ...

每经记者｜宋欣悦 高涵 每经编辑｜陈柯名 兰素英 春节，是大厂打造"国民级产品"的黄金契机。 "摇一摇抢红包"让微信从"社交附属功能"升级为主流移动支付工具；"集五福"让支付宝从"理财/支付工具"转向"国民级生活服务平台"；快手和抖音通过央 视春晚独家红包互动，坐稳头部短视频平台…… 今年春节，四家AI大厂——腾讯、百度、字节和阿里将集体发力，推出抢红包、晚会合作以及新功能。 2025年，豆包月活翻倍至2.26亿，元宝稳坐第三，千问四季度实现900%的爆炸式增长，而文心跌出前十。 四大巨头扎堆春节档，能否带来增量用户，行业格局会被打破？移动互联网时代的玩法，在AI时代还有效吗？ "重现当年盛况"？ AI四巨头红包+春晚花式"揽客" 1月25日，腾讯宣布，2月1日开启新春活动，用户上元宝App分10亿现金红包，单个红包金额可达万元。 腾讯董事会主席马化腾直言，"希望重现当年微信红包的盛况"。 同时，腾讯布局AI社交新玩法。1月26日消息，腾讯开始内测"元宝派"，用户可以选择创建或加入"派"，体验"问元宝""共享屏幕""一起看电影""一起听音 乐"等全新社交功能，相关玩法将于近期陆续灰度上线。 同日，百度也宣布， ...

人工智能(AI)企业数量超过6000家，AI核心产业规模预计突破1.2万亿元，同比增长近30%；国产开源大 模型全球累计下载量突破100亿次；中国成为AI专利最大拥有国…… 这些数据勾勒出2025年中国AI发展的图景。一边是AI技术突破，走出一条不同于美国硅谷的"开源创 新"之路，另一边是AI与经济社会的融合由浅入深。 1月以来，多家国内AI企业上市；行业专家形成共识：以对话为核心的"Chat"范式已告终结，AI竞争转 向"能办事"的智能体时代。 2026年是"十五五"开局之年。根据"十五五"规划建议，中国将加强人工智能同产业发展、文化建设、民 生保障、社会治理相结合，全方位赋能千行百业。新华社记者广泛采访，前瞻AI发展新趋势。 技术范式：AI从"聊天"走向"做事" 1月，DeepSeek连发两篇公司创始人梁文锋参与署名的论文，再次将这家AI企业推到聚光灯下。业界评 价，新一代大模型模样更清晰了。 "DeepSeek标志着中国AI技术路线分化突破的出现。"清华大学智能产业研究院创始院长张亚勤说，"中 国转向拥抱更轻的模型、更聪明的架构、更高的效率和更低的价格。" 眼下，AI发展正沿两条主线并进：技术向上冲刺， ...

涨价视角下解读火山云和行业竞争格局 20260127 摘要 云服务厂商面临综合成本上涨挑战，提价策略效果受限。大型厂商如字 节跳动、阿里巴巴和百度可能受益于提价，但中小型厂商如金山、青云、 UCloud 因议价能力弱，盈利能力受影响。 国内外云服务市场应对涨价策略差异显著。海外厂商如 AWS、Azure 和 Oracle 议价能力强，能有效转嫁成本；国内厂商议价能力较弱，被动跟 随上游价格变化，盈利增长面临挑战。 国内云服务市场价格谈判初期，下游客户对涨价反应强烈，认为不应承 担扩展成本。市场若形成共识性涨价趋势，小型公司将被迫接受，私有 化部署成本也将上升。 火山引擎采取逆周期扩张策略，利用算力储备优势，在其他厂商涨价时 保持低价，吸引客户，扩大市场份额，目标是从金山、青云、UCloud 等竞争对手处获取客户。 存储成本上涨显著影响云服务提供商，存储在通算服务器成本占比从 10%增至 25%。阿里云通过涨价筛选客户，缓解资源紧张，但可能导 致部分客户流失。 Q&A 如何看待基础云资源涨价的现象？ 基础云资源涨价的逻辑非常简单，主要原因是供需关系的变化。当前通用 CPU 机器在中国大陆境内的交付周期大约为 4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic AI large model sector is experiencing a vigorous development characterized by simultaneous "technological breakthroughs and commercial implementation," shifting from mere parameter competition to a fierce contest for actual value creation [1]. Group 1: General Large Models - Alibaba released its flagship reasoning model Qwen3-Max-Thinking in January 2026, achieving multiple global records with over one trillion parameters and a new "test-time expansion" mechanism that significantly enhances reasoning efficiency and performance, scoring 58.3 in the "Human Last Test" (HLE), surpassing GPT-5.2-Thinking and Gemini 3 Pro [3]. - Baidu launched its native multimodal model Wenxin 5.0 in December 2025, featuring over 2.4 trillion parameters and topping the LMArena text leaderboard with a score of 1451, marking it as the best in China [3]. - ByteDance's Doubao model version 1.8, released in December 2025, optimized for multimodal agent scenarios, has shown impressive growth with a daily token usage exceeding 50 trillion [3]. Group 2: Vertical Models - Baidu's Wenxin 5.0 has been applied in the education sector, collaborating with publishers to create "AI picture books" for special needs children [5]. - iFLYTEK continues to leverage its voice interaction advantages with its Xinghuo model, achieving significant commercial success in medical and government sectors through voice transcription and meeting minutes generation [5]. - Tencent's Mixuan model has made breakthroughs in 3D generation, with the open-source Mixuan World model 1.1 enabling rapid 3D world creation for industries like gaming and design [5]. - Baichuan Intelligent announced the full opening of the M3 Plus API, with its Baichuan-M3 model ranking first globally in the HealthBench medical evaluation with a score of 65.1, surpassing GPT-5.2 [5]. Group 3: Hardware Developments - The year is marked as the "Battle of Hundreds of Chips," with companies like Birun Technology delivering over 12,000 GPU chips and holding unfulfilled orders worth 822 million yuan as of December 2025 [8]. - Baidu's Kunlun chip is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having released multiple AI processing units and achieving significant shipment volumes [8]. - Alibaba's Pingtouge plans to pursue a separate listing, alongside other companies like Moer Thread and Muxi Integrated Circuit, which are also preparing for IPOs [9]. - Current policies are supportive of the AI hardware sector, with overall positive trends in the market, exemplified by the strong performance of the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) [10][11].