股票市场早已预料到美联储决策结果，收市时美股各大指数较前日几乎没有什么变化。以蓝筹股为主的 道琼斯30种工业股票平均指数微涨0.02%，具有广泛代表性的标准普尔500指数盘中曾一度摸高7000点 后回落，全日微涨0.01%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数涨0.17%。 南方财经 21世纪经济报道特约撰稿 王应贵 与市场预期完全一致，美联储暂停减息，股票市场反应极其平淡，但其他市场去美元化趋势似乎加速。 联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）认为，美国经济增长强劲，失业率稳定在低水平，就业市场依然强劲， 通胀水平依然偏高，目前货币政策适度，因此维持现状。 科技巨头股以微软、META（脸书）、特斯拉率先登场。从市场反应看，投资者对微软的预期偏高。尽 管微软公司经调整后的第二个财务季度每股收益4.14美元，高于预期的3.97美元，营业收入812.7亿美 元，高于预期的802.7亿美元，但公司季度资本支出和融资租赁达到375亿美元，高于预期的343亿美 元，且云端业务增长39%，低于上个季度的40%。微软预测第三个财季的营业毛利为45.1%，低于市场 预期的45.5%。投资者对微软的AI投资规模相当不满，盘后微软股价下跌6.14 ...

特斯拉公司将斥资超 200 亿美元对工厂产线进行大规模重组，此次调整也体现出埃隆・马斯克在公司经 历多年销量下滑后，对这家车企发展战略的重新布局。特斯拉 2026 年规划的这笔资本支出，较去年投 入翻倍以上，也几乎达到华尔街预期的两倍，资金将用于旗下六家工厂扩大汽车、电池及机器人的产 能。为为新一代擎天柱人形机器人的生产腾出产能空间，特斯拉将停产旗下两款最老牌车型 ——Model S 轿车与 Model X 运动型多用途车。 ...

今天特斯拉CEO马斯克在财报电话会议上宣布将停产Model S和Model X。 据报道，马斯克表示"现在是时候让Model S和Model X项目光荣退役了，因为我们正真正迈向以自动驾驶为核心的未来"，特斯拉将在下个季度正式停产 Model S和Model X车型，正将加州弗里蒙特工厂的Model S和Model X生产线替换为Optimus生产线，同时特斯拉也会继续为现有车主提供支持，"只要车主 还在用车的话。" 作为补充，特斯拉Model S于2012年推出，被外界普遍认为是第一款真正让电动汽车走向主流、获得广泛认可的车型，Model X则于2015年推出，不知道大 家平时在路上有没有见到过~ 另外，今天是奔驰140周年，各大车企官方微博也纷纷送上了生日祝福。（"奔驰140年"旨在纪念1886年1月29日卡尔·本茨递交奔驰一号专利申请这一历史 时刻） 梅赛德斯-奔驰 · 26-1-29 09:48 发布于 上海 来自 微博网页版 感谢这份懂我的祝福♥从底特律到斯图加特,"打破秩序"的我们从不独行。为了创 造下一个ICON，咱们一起大步奔驰下去！ #奔驰140年＃#跨越140年的热爱 # @凯迪拉克 ▽ ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, presenting significant opportunities in the market [3]. Group 1: AI Chip Development - Chinese researchers have developed the FLEXI series of fully flexible digital storage-computing integrated chips, overcoming limitations in flexible electronics for high-performance AI computing [5]. - The FLEXI chip utilizes low-temperature polycrystalline silicon thin-film transistors, is extremely thin, and can be bent freely, offering advantages such as ultra-low power consumption, high energy efficiency, robustness, and low cost [5]. Group 2: Company Developments - ByteDance is set to launch the official version of its Doubao mobile assistant by the end of 2025, with expectations for significant improvements over the first-generation test version [6]. - Alibaba has unveiled its self-developed high-end AI chip "Zhenwu 810E," which has been deployed in multiple large-scale clusters on Alibaba Cloud, serving over 400 clients including State Grid and Xpeng [8]. Group 3: Investment and Market Trends - Tesla announced a $2 billion investment in CEO Elon Musk's AI company xAI, aligning with its strategy to transition from an electric vehicle manufacturer to an AI company, which is crucial for its market valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion [10]. - Tesla's CFO indicated that the company is accelerating the production of humanoid robots as part of its factory investment plans, with capital expenditures expected to exceed $20 billion this year, more than double the $8.5 billion projected for 2025 [10]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment - EU authorities and at least 37 U.S. state attorneys general are investigating xAI's Grok tool for generating non-consensual pornographic images, prompting restrictions on related features on the X platform [11].

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's recent quarterly earnings report slightly exceeded market expectations, but the actual operational data is underwhelming, leading analysts to conclude that Tesla currently lacks investment value [2][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue and profit metrics slightly surpassed market consensus, but the overall performance is disappointing, with a year-over-year revenue decline in Q4 [3]. - Q4 revenue dropped 11% year-over-year, with a more significant 17% decline quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to weak automotive sales [3][6]. - Adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 16.9% to 16.7%, indicating a continuous decline in profit margins [7]. - Q4 earnings per share (EPS) dropped 60% year-over-year under GAAP, and adjusted EPS fell 17% [7]. Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - Operating cash flow for Q4 was $3.8 billion, down over 20% year-over-year, while free cash flow decreased by 30% to $1.4 billion [8]. - The projected annual free cash flow is between $5 billion and $6 billion, resulting in a historical free cash flow P/E ratio of approximately 250 times [8][10]. - Despite a year-over-year decrease in capital expenditures, free cash flow still declined, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth plans [9]. Market Position and Valuation - Tesla's automotive revenue is declining while the energy business, which grew 25% year-over-year, is too small to offset the automotive downturn [6][10]. - Analysts believe Tesla is significantly overvalued, with a historical free cash flow P/E ratio of 250 times and a P/E ratio of about 400 times based on the last 12 months' earnings [10]. - The company's future growth is heavily reliant on the autonomous taxi and robotics sectors, where it lags behind competitors like Waymo [10][11]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a bearish outlook on Tesla, citing the struggles in its core automotive business and the lack of progress in its future ventures as reasons for skepticism [12].

Group 1 - Major US tech companies are competing fiercely for dominance in next-generation technology, with Meta planning to double its capital expenditure to a maximum of $135 billion, focusing heavily on artificial intelligence [1][5] - Tesla is set to invest $20 billion in artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, and robotics, nearly double Wall Street's expectations, and will also invest an additional $2 billion in CEO Elon Musk's xAI startup [1][6] - Meta's CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced that the company will launch new AI models and related products after a comprehensive overhaul of its AI projects by 2025, leading to a 7.9% increase in Meta's stock price due to strong advertising performance [1][6] Group 2 - The investment boom in Silicon Valley has triggered a global ripple effect, with hardware suppliers like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix reporting multiple-fold profit increases, reflecting the growing demand for AI-related technologies [2][7] - The global leader in advanced semiconductor manufacturing, ASML Holding, also exceeded market expectations in its earnings report, indicating strong demand for cutting-edge technology [2] - Concerns are rising over the supply-demand imbalance in the semiconductor industry due to the massive demand driven by AI, which could impact various sectors including smartphones and automotive manufacturing [3][8] Group 3 - Musk has indicated the necessity for Tesla to establish its own semiconductor manufacturing facility to avoid potential supply bottlenecks, stating that without building a fab, the company will face significant challenges [3][8] - The upcoming release of next-generation high-bandwidth memory chips (HBM4) by Samsung is crucial for competing with SK Hynix, although Samsung's stock has seen a decline despite this development [4][9] - The market is closely watching the competition for dominance in the HBM4 chip sector, which will integrate with NVIDIA's upcoming flagship product, the Hopper processor [4][9]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is transitioning from a traditional automotive company to a technology-oriented firm focused on AI and robotics, as evidenced by its decision to discontinue the Model S and X EVs to prioritize the production of the Optimus humanoid robot and its investment in AI initiatives [1][4][7]. Financial Performance - Tesla reported its first-ever annual revenue decline, with profits falling by 46% last year and car sales revenue decreasing by 11% year-over-year in the last quarter [2]. - Despite these challenges, Tesla exceeded Wall Street expectations, leading to a 3% increase in its stock price after earnings [5]. Strategic Shift - The company is phasing out traditional vehicle sales as its primary revenue source, with a significant focus on robotics and AI services [6][7]. - Tesla's executives believe that the future of transportation will be dominated by autonomous vehicles, predicting that less than 5% of miles driven will involve human drivers [5]. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Strategy - Tesla has transitioned its FSD software to a subscription model, removing the one-time purchase option, which analysts view as a move to monetize its technology and drive adoption [8][9]. - Currently, only 12% of Tesla owners have purchased FSD, with a significant portion of these being upfront purchases rather than subscriptions [11]. Robotaxi and Optimus Initiatives - The company is heavily investing in its robotaxi service and the Optimus humanoid robot, which are seen as critical to its future valuation [13][14]. - Tesla aims to have robotaxis operating in a significant portion of the U.S. by the end of the year, pending regulatory approval, with production of the Cybercab robotaxi set to begin in April [17]. Market Dynamics - Tesla continues to dominate the U.S. electric vehicle market, but faces increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD, which are gaining market share globally [20][21]. - The end of the $7,500 tax credit has contributed to a slowdown in the EV market, impacting Tesla's sales [20]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Tesla's transition to a tech-oriented business model could lead to higher margins and revenue, transforming it from a capital-intensive automotive company to a high-margin services business [19][24]. - The company is expected to spend over $20 billion this year on new production lines and AI infrastructure to support this transition [19].

Market Overview - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%, aligning with market expectations[9] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,827, down 2.58% for the day but up 8.57% year-to-date[3] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,978, with a slight decrease of 0.01% for the day and a year-to-date increase of 1.94%[3] Stock Performance - Gold prices surged, with spot gold exceeding $5,280 per ounce, marking a monthly increase of over 22%[9] - Semiconductor stocks saw significant gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 2.34%[9] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Intel up 11.04% and Microsoft down 6% post-earnings report[9] Sector Highlights - Oil stocks continued to rise, with Shanghai Petrochemical gaining over 5% due to geopolitical tensions driving oil prices up by 3%[9] - New consumer concept stocks performed well, with a snack retail chain soaring 69% on its debut[9] - Airline stocks faced pressure, with China Southern Airlines down 6.83% due to rising operational costs[9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index fell to 95.51, the lowest since February 2022, contributing to the rise in gold prices[9] - The Japanese yen strengthened, impacting export-related stocks negatively, with Toyota down 3.24%[13] - The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years, indicating a cautious approach to future rate hikes[13]

Market Overview - Global markets are absorbing a significant amount of new information regarding earnings, currency, and political developments, yet they are maintaining stability, with the S&P 500 briefly surpassing 7,000 points [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, with Chair Jerome Powell indicating a "clearly improving" economic outlook and expressing a relaxed stance on labor market pressures and inflation above target levels [5] - Powell suggested that any potential easing of monetary policy is unlikely to occur until mid-year, placing the decision in the hands of his successor as he nears the end of his term in May [5] Corporate Earnings and Market Reactions - The earnings reports from major U.S. tech companies revealed mixed results; Meta's stock surged by up to 10% due to a planned 73% increase in capital spending, while Microsoft saw a decline of over 6% following disappointing results in its cloud computing segment [4] - Tesla's stock rose by 2% as the company shifted its focus from declining electric vehicle sales to investments in AI and robotaxis [5] - Apple is scheduled to report its earnings later on Thursday, which could further influence market dynamics [5] Oil Market and Geopolitical Tensions - Long-term Treasury yields are rising, with attention shifting to increasing oil prices, which have risen by more than 1% amid escalating U.S.-Iran military tensions [7] - President Trump has threatened Iran with severe military action if a nuclear deal is not reached, prompting a strong response from Tehran, which vowed to retaliate [7] - Reports indicate that Trump is considering targeted strikes against Iranian leaders to incite protests, aiming for potential regime change, although no final decision has been made [8]

Market Overview - Electrified vehicles have surpassed gasoline vehicles in market share within the European auto sector [1] - Gasoline registrations in the EU dropped by 18.7% in 2025, with market share falling to 26.6% from 33.3% the previous year [2] Electrified Vehicle Performance - Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) accounted for 34.5% of the market, while Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) held 17.4% in 2025, with BEV sales reaching 1,880,370 units, a nearly 30% increase year-over-year [3] Company Performance - Tesla Inc. experienced a decline in sales, with December sales at 35,280 units, down 20.2% from 44,190 units the previous year, and annual sales dropping almost 27% to 238,656 units in 2025 from 326,525 units in 2024 [4] - BYD Co. Ltd. saw a significant increase in sales, with December sales up 229.7% to 27,678 units compared to 8,395 units in 2024, and year-to-date sales reaching over 187,657 units, a 268.6% increase from 50,912 units last year [5] Market Position - BYD has become the world's largest EV maker, surpassing Tesla for the first time last year, and Chinese automakers captured a record 12.8% market share in Europe [6] - However, BYD's domestic performance in December showed an 18.34% year-over-year decline, with 420,398 units sold [6]