Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive parts industry, suggesting an "Overweight" rating, indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][11]. Core Insights - The automotive parts sector is experiencing a sustained rally, driven by developments in the robotics sector, particularly influenced by Tesla's supply chain. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring Tesla's dynamics and suggests focusing on bottom opportunities as many stocks in the sector have reached relatively high levels [2][3]. - Key companies to watch include Xingyu, Changshu Automotive Trim, Daimay, and Ningbo Huaxiang, which are expected to benefit from upcoming quarterly performance releases and fundamental changes [2][3]. Company Summaries Xingyu - Xingyu is shifting its strategic focus from domestic new energy vehicle clients to expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Europe, with strengthened collaborations with Volkswagen and BMW. The company anticipates securing headlight project designations by the end of this year or next year, with production ramping up in overseas factories starting in 2027 [4]. - The domestic market growth from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be driven by the adoption of high-end headlights by new energy vehicle clients, with potential increases in per-vehicle value from over 1,000 yuan for standard LEDs to over 4,000 yuan for HD headlights and even 10,000 yuan for DLP headlights [4]. - The competitive landscape is favorable for domestic leaders like Xingyu, as international competitors face operational pressures, providing a conducive environment for growth [4]. Changshu Automotive Trim - The company is focusing on applications involving PEEK materials, leveraging its core capabilities in injection molding. A recent strategic partnership with a Dutch sensor company aims to develop next-generation tactile sensing technology for automotive and robotics manufacturing, with plans for mass production in China [5]. Ningbo Huaxiang - Ningbo Huaxiang is entering the robotics sector through its unique ODM model, which is considered rare. The company has established a presence in the PEEK materials field, which may yield cost advantages. Expected profits for next year are around 1.5 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 20 times for 2026 [5]. Daimay - As an interior parts supplier, Daimay's capabilities align with the transformation into biomimetic materials and robotic skin. The company is a supplier for Tesla and has a mature overseas customer base, suggesting potential developments in the robotics field [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic leading manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and XPeng, as well as companies with strong performance growth and capabilities in robotics or overseas expansion, including Fuyao Glass, Xinquan, Fuda, Shuanghuan Transmission, and Yinlun [2].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it provides insights into the ESG performance of central enterprises in the real estate sector, indicating a mixed performance across various metrics [3][4]. Core Insights - The report evaluates the ESG performance of 10 central enterprises in the real estate sector, revealing that over half of the companies scored above 60 points, with social responsibility and governance aspects performing relatively well, while climate and environmental disclosures need improvement [10][23]. - The overall scores show significant variation, with three companies scoring below 60, three between 80-89 (including China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and Joy City), and one company, China Merchants Jinling, scoring above 90 [10][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Overall Scores and Climate Disclosure - More than half of the companies scored above 60 points, indicating a need for improvement in climate disclosures [10]. - Companies with scores below 60: 3; scores between 80-89: 3; scores above 90: 1 [10]. 2. Environmental Performance - The environmental indicators scored relatively high, with most companies showing strong awareness of environmental protection [16]. - Five companies scored between 17-20 points, and four scored between 14-16 points, reflecting a commitment to resource utilization and emission reduction [16]. 3. Climate Performance - The climate indicators scored lower, with over half of the companies needing to enhance their climate disclosures [23]. - Three companies scored between 14-19 points, while five scored between 0-6 points, indicating a lack of emphasis on climate disclosures [23]. 4. Social Responsibility - The social indicators scored high, with five companies scoring between 23-29 points, demonstrating a strong commitment to social responsibility [29]. - Companies actively engaged in rural revitalization and public welfare initiatives, with detailed disclosures on consumer rights protection [29]. 5. Governance - The governance indicators scored high, with most companies having well-structured governance frameworks [41]. - Six companies scored between 17-22 points, indicating robust internal control and compliance management systems [41].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is suggested to be "actively participate" in the new share subscription [23]. Core Viewpoints - The company is recognized as a "small giant" in the domestic tire sector, specializing in engineering radial tires and all-steel truck tires, focusing on the mining and construction tire market. It has a strong market position and plans to use the raised funds for product upgrades, R&D center construction, and enhancing a specialized tire intelligent management system [23][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2007 and headquartered in Qingdao, Shandong, specializes in the design, R&D, sales, and service of mining and construction tires. It ranks 3rd among Chinese brands and 8th globally in engineering radial tires as of 2023 [8][9]. 2. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 2.295 billion yuan in 2024, with a 3-year CAGR of +12.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 156.65 million yuan, with a 3-year CAGR of +20.25%. The gross margin is forecasted at 18.79%, and the net margin at 6.82% for 2024 [9][14]. 3. Issuance Plan - The new share issuance will adopt a direct pricing method with an issue price of 7.50 yuan per share. The initial issuance scale is 44.25 million shares, accounting for 20% of the total share capital post-issuance. The expected market capitalization after issuance is 1.659 billion yuan [13][14]. 4. Industry Situation - The Chinese tire industry is on the rise, with a decreasing concentration in the global tire market. The demand for tires is expected to grow due to the increasing ownership of automobiles and engineering machinery, alongside the promotion of new infrastructure and new energy initiatives [15][16]. 5. Competitive Advantages - The company has several competitive advantages, including a strong focus on technological innovation, a localized service model, and effective supply resource integration. It has developed over 700 types of tires suitable for various operational environments [17]. 6. Comparable Companies - The company is relatively small in scale compared to its peers, with a gross margin that is in the mid-range of the industry. The financial comparison with similar companies shows that it has a lower PE ratio compared to the median of comparable firms [22][24]. 7. Subscription Analysis - The report suggests that the company's initial valuation is low, with a low proportion of shares available for circulation. It is recommended to actively participate in the subscription due to these favorable conditions [23].

Investment Rating - The report gives a positive outlook on the central state-owned real estate industry, rating it as "Look Favorably" [3] Core Insights - The report evaluates the ESG performance of 10 central state-owned enterprises in the real estate sector, highlighting that over half of the companies scored above 60 points, with strong performance in social responsibility and governance, but needing improvement in climate and environmental disclosures [4][12] - The scoring results show a significant disparity, with three companies scoring below 60, three between 80-89 (including China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and Dayuecheng), and one company, China Merchants Jinling, scoring above 90 [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing climate disclosures, as over half of the companies still need to improve in this area [27] Summary by Sections Overall Score Distribution - More than half of the companies scored above 60 points, indicating a relatively good performance in social responsibility and environmental aspects, while climate disclosures require further enhancement [12][27] Environmental Performance - Most central state-owned real estate companies show strong awareness of environmental protection, with five companies scoring between 17-20 points and four companies scoring between 14-16 points [18][22] - Companies have disclosed resource utilization and emission reduction measures, with high scores in "green low-carbon measures," "green buildings," and "green construction" [18][22] Climate Performance - The climate indicators received lower scores, with three companies scoring between 14-19 points and five companies scoring between 0-6 points, indicating a need for improved climate disclosures [27][32] - Only one company, China Merchants Jinling, fully disclosed its climate governance measures, while eight companies disclosed their climate response strategies, but only one did so completely [29][33] Social Responsibility - The social indicators scored relatively high, with five companies scoring between 23-29 points, demonstrating good performance in fulfilling social responsibilities, including rural revitalization and consumer rights protection [35][39] - Nine companies disclosed rural revitalization cases, and five companies reported measures for constructing affordable housing [39] Governance - The governance indicators also scored high, with most companies having well-structured governance frameworks. Six companies scored between 17-22 points, while four scored between 14-16 points [47][52] - All ten companies disclosed their governance structures, indicating a commitment to transparency and compliance [52][56]

Domestic Flight Schedule - Domestic airlines' average daily flight schedule for winter 2025 is 15,439 flights, a decrease of 1.8% compared to 2024 and an increase of 20% compared to 2019[4] - Total average daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is 16,911 flights, down 1.6% from 2024 and up 15% from 2019[4] - The average daily flight schedule for international flights is 1,276, an increase of 1.8% from 2024 but a decrease of 19% from 2019[4] International and Regional Flight Recovery - International flight schedules are recovering to 81% of 2019 levels, with domestic airlines' international flights averaging 1,472, maintaining the same recovery rate as 2024[6] - Flights to Australia, North America, Southeast Asia, and Europe are recovering to 79%, 25%, 77%, and 129% of 2019 levels respectively[6] - The average daily flight schedule for international and regional flights is 2,403, recovering to 77% of 2019 levels[52] Investment Insights - The aviation sector is expected to see significant improvements in profitability, driven by strong supply logic and elastic demand[6] - Recommended stocks include China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, China National Aviation, and others, with a focus on the aviation sector's recovery potential[6] - Risks include fluctuations in oil prices, economic growth not meeting expectations, and aviation safety incidents[6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [4] Core Insights - Q3 is traditionally a low season for downstream chemical products, with prices of chemical products retreating from high levels. However, high demand in sub-sectors like agricultural chemicals supports performance [3][4] - The supply side of the chemical sector is nearing the end of capital expenditure, and policies aimed at reducing excess capacity are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity. Demand is anticipated to trend upward in the long term due to stabilizing oil prices and easing liquidity [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Agricultural Chemicals - The agricultural chain is expected to see steady growth in fertilizer demand due to increasing cultivated areas and higher penetration of genetically modified crops. Key companies to watch include Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy for nitrogen fertilizers, Yuntianhua and Xingfa Group for phosphate fertilizers, and Yara International for potash fertilizers [4] Textile and Apparel Chain - The textile and apparel chain has maintained high growth rates, with supply-side production peaks having passed. Companies like Luxi Chemical and Tongkun Co. are highlighted for their potential in this sector [4] Export-Related Chemicals - With overall overseas inventory at historical lows and expectations of interest rate cuts, demand for export-related chemical products is expected to rise. Key companies include Juhua Co. and Sanmei Co. in the fluorochemical sector, and Wanhua Chemical in the MDI segment [4] New Materials - The report emphasizes the acceleration of domestic self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor materials and OLED panel materials. Companies like Yake Technology and Ruijie New Materials are noted for their growth potential [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the public utility sector, particularly highlighting the recovery in hydropower and the continued cost reduction in thermal power [4][6]. Core Insights - The thermal power sector is experiencing improved profitability due to a decrease in coal prices, with the average spot price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Qinhuangdao at 672 RMB/ton, down 176 RMB/ton year-on-year [4]. - Hydropower generation is expected to recover in Q4 2025, following a significant improvement in autumn rainfall, which is projected to enhance the generation capacity of major hydropower companies [4]. - Nuclear power generation has shown a year-on-year growth of 11.33% in the first three quarters of 2025, with new units expected to come online, further boosting output [4]. - The natural gas sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in consumption, with a total apparent consumption of 2845.6 billion m³ from January to August 2025, reflecting a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.1% [4]. Summary by Sections Thermal Power - In Q3 2025, the average utilization hours for thermal power equipment were 2783 hours, a decrease of 144 hours year-on-year, but profitability is expected to remain positive [4]. - The report anticipates that thermal power companies in northern China will continue to achieve above-average performance due to stable electricity prices [4]. Hydropower - The report notes a decline in hydropower generation in July and August 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% and 10.1% respectively, but forecasts a recovery in Q4 due to improved rainfall [4]. - The Yangtze River power generation saw a slight decline of 0.29% year-on-year from January to September 2025, but significant improvements are expected in October [4]. Nuclear Power - The report highlights that new nuclear units are expected to contribute to steady growth in electricity generation, with a strong approval rate for new projects [4]. - The long-term outlook for nuclear power remains positive, with a strong certainty of growth in installed capacity [4]. Natural Gas - The report indicates that the natural gas consumption has been recovering since May 2025, with a notable increase in demand expected due to stable supply and geopolitical factors [4]. - The report projects that the reduction in LNG prices and the adjustment of residential gas prices will benefit city gas companies' profitability [4]. Company Performance Forecast - The report provides a performance forecast for key companies in the public utility sector for the first nine months of 2025, with notable growth expected for companies like Datang Power and Huaneng International [5]. - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Guotou Power, Chuanwei Energy, and Longjiang Power, based on their expected performance recovery [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report rates the public utility industry as "Overweight" indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights improvements in hydropower water inflow and continued cost reductions in thermal power generation, suggesting a positive outlook for the industry [5]. - It notes that the average utilization hours for thermal power equipment in China decreased by 144 hours year-on-year, but the profitability per kilowatt-hour is expected to maintain positive growth [5]. - The report anticipates a recovery in hydropower generation due to improved autumn rainfall, which is expected to enhance the financial performance of hydropower companies [5]. - Nuclear power generation is projected to grow steadily with new units coming online, contributing to overall electricity generation growth [5]. - The natural gas sector is seeing a gradual recovery in consumption, with expectations for continued cost reductions due to falling LNG prices and improved supply conditions [5]. Summary by Sections Thermal Power - In Q3 2025, the average spot price of 5500 kcal thermal coal was 672 RMB/ton, down 176 RMB/ton year-on-year but up 41 RMB/ton quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The report predicts that thermal power companies in northern China will continue to achieve above-average performance due to stable electricity prices [5]. Hydropower - The report indicates a 9.8% and 10.1% year-on-year decline in hydropower generation in July and August 2025, respectively, due to poor rainfall during the main flood season [5]. - However, significant improvements in autumn rainfall are expected to enhance hydropower generation capacity in Q4 2025 [5]. Nuclear Power - Nuclear power generation in China increased by 11.33% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [5]. - The report mentions that new nuclear units are expected to come online in Q4 2025, further boosting generation capacity [5]. Natural Gas - The apparent consumption of natural gas in China for January to August 2025 was 284.56 billion cubic meters, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year [5]. - The report notes that natural gas prices are expected to decline further due to increased supply from major exporting regions [5]. Company Performance Forecast - The report provides performance forecasts for key companies in the public utility sector, indicating varying growth rates across different segments [6]. - For instance, Datang Power is expected to see a profit growth rate of 20%-50%, while companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are projected to have negative growth [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment based on their expected performance, including Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and China Nuclear Power, among others [5][7].

6 M M F - 1 - 2025 年 10 月 14 日 证券分析师 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 李蕾 A0230519080008 lilei@swsresearch.com 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 研究支持 胡书捷 A0230524070007 husj@swsresearch.com 苏萌 A0230122080001 sumeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 何佳霖 (8621)23297818× hejl@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 H传寸/分别幸 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 板块盈利修复进行时,推荐价 表 1：机械行业重点公司 2025Q3 业绩预测 转+科技赋能 机械行业 2025 年三季报业绩前瞻 F = 1.6 ● 机器人&零部件：人形机器人产业化进程持续推进，看好长期产业趋势。2024 年以来全 球机器人产业链扩容，人形机器人进入工厂进行场景测试；英伟达、华为入局，机器人 从硬件走向系统，包括特种机器人在内的各种 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported that its performance for the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from 1.524 to 1.646 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 172% to 193% [7] - The increase in profits is primarily attributed to a significant rise in the average price of fluorinated refrigerants, leading to improved profitability [7] - The company anticipates continued upward momentum in refrigerant prices and profitability in the fourth quarter, supported by expected recovery in export volumes and ongoing price increases [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 4,040 million yuan - 2025: 6,569 million yuan (62.6% year-on-year growth) - 2026: 7,822 million yuan - 2027: 8,770 million yuan [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be: - 2025: 2,212 million yuan (184.1% year-on-year growth) - 2026: 2,984 million yuan - 2027: 3,723 million yuan [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2025: 3.62 yuan - 2026: 4.89 yuan - 2027: 6.10 yuan [6] Market and Price Trends - The average prices of mainstream refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a increased in the third quarter of 2025, with R32 reaching 57,647 yuan/ton, R125 at 45,500 yuan/ton, and R134a at 50,821 yuan/ton [7] - The company holds a total quota of 121,502 tons for various types of third-generation refrigerants, indicating significant pricing flexibility [7] - The company is also progressing with its fourth-generation refrigerant project, which aims to enhance its integrated industrial chain in fluorochemicals [7]