Group 1: Financial Performance - Borouge's Q2 2025 revenue reached $1.305 billion, exceeding market expectations of $1.214 billion[2] - The EBITDA margin for Q2 2025 was 34%, down from 41% in Q2 2024 and below the expected 37%[2] - Net profit for Q2 2025 was $192 million, lower than the consensus estimate of $199 million[6] Group 2: Dividend and Guidance - Borouge announced an interim dividend of 8.1 fils per share, consistent with previous guidance of 16.2 fils per share for FY 2025[1] - The company reaffirmed its dividend policy, committing to distribute $1.3 billion in dividends for FY 2025 until the completion of the Borouge Group International transaction[4] Group 3: Strategic Developments - ADNOC Group and OMV proposed a strategic merger of Borouge and Borealis, aiming for a combined nominal capacity of 13.6 million tons per year[3] - The new entity is expected to achieve approximately $7 billion in EBITDA over its lifecycle, with annual synergies of $500 million[3] Group 4: Market Position and Risks - Borouge maintains a cost leadership position in the global petrochemical industry, primarily due to the use of low-cost natural gas liquids[4] - Key risks include declining demand for petrochemical products, narrowing price spreads, and project execution risks[4]

政策连续，兼顾长短 [Table_Authors] 黄汝南(分析师) ——2025 年 7 月政治局会议点评 本报告导读： 政策依旧留有后手，密切关注外部风险可能的反复和国内基本面的变化，以及"十五 五"规划中确定性的产业线索。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 中共中央政治局 7 月 30 日召开会议，决定 2025 年 10 月召开中共 四中全会，研究制定"十五五"规划的建议，并分析研究当前经济形 势和部署下半年经济工作。总的来看有三个特征：一是对内外部形 势的判断相较 4 月政治局会议更加积极；二是强调政策连续性，下 半年有望迎来"适时加力"的窗口期；三是适逢"十五五"规划起草在 即，政策兼顾短期稳增长和长期促改革。与 2020 年 7 月政治局会 议对"十四五"的相关表述相比，亮点是增加了"推动人的全面发展、 全体人民共同富裕迈出坚实步伐"的表述，这与此前强调的"投资于 人"一脉相承。 从对下半年工作的具体部署来看，有以下几个亮点： huangrunan@gtht.com 登记编号 S0880523080001 证 券 研 究 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.30 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to Luckin Coffee, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark by more than 10% [14]. Core Insights - Luckin Coffee reported a revenue of RMB 12.4 billion for Q2, representing a year-on-year growth of 47%. The adjusted net profit reached RMB 1.4 billion, up 44% year-on-year [5][2]. - The company continues to focus on market share and scale growth, with an average monthly transacting customer count of 91.7 million, a 32% increase year-on-year. The total number of stores reached 26,206, with a net increase of 2,109 stores quarter-on-quarter [5][1]. - The company is expanding its international presence, with new stores opening in Singapore and New York, marking a significant step in its internationalization strategy [1][2]. Financial Performance - Directly operated stores generated revenue of RMB 9.14 billion, a 46% increase year-on-year, with same-store sales growth of 13.4% [1][2]. - Franchise stores contributed RMB 2.87 billion in revenue, reflecting a 55% year-on-year increase, driven by significant growth in delivery fees due to participation in delivery platform subsidy activities [1][2]. - The adjusted operating profit was RMB 1.85 billion, a 61% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 15%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][1]. Future Outlook - The company aims to continue expanding market share and maintain a high pace of store openings to capitalize on growing consumer demand, achieving rapid revenue growth [3][6]. - Luckin Coffee plans to leverage scale advantages and operational efficiency to offset the impact of delivery fee fluctuations, thereby sustaining relatively stable profitability [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for MediaTek, but it highlights solid performance and growth potential in AI SoC and ASIC businesses, suggesting a positive outlook for the company. Core Insights - MediaTek reported 2Q25 revenue of NTD 150.4 billion, slightly below market consensus of NTD 151.2 billion, representing a 1.9% QoQ decrease and an 18.1% YoY increase. EPS reached NTD 17.5, exceeding market expectations. The gross margin was 49.1%, up 1 percentage point QoQ, aided by a one-off contribution from a long-term supply agreement [1][5][9]. - The ASIC business is a significant growth driver, with a total addressable market (TAM) exceeding USD 40 billion. MediaTek is expanding its ASIC R&D resources and expects substantial revenue contributions starting in 2026, with a target of reaching USD 1 billion in revenue by the end of 2026 [2][6][10]. - MediaTek is actively investing in 2nm process technology, with the first 2nm chip expected to tape out in September 2023, which will enhance performance and power efficiency for both SoC and ASIC businesses [3][7][10]. - Collaboration with NVIDIA continues to deepen, with the GB10 chip entering mass production in Q3, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth [4][8][10]. - For 3Q25, MediaTek expects revenue between NTD 130.1 billion and NTD 140 billion, a QoQ decrease of 7% to 13%, but a YoY increase of 10% to 18%. The gross margin is projected at 47% [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 2Q25 revenue: NTD 150.4 billion, -1.9% QoQ, +18.1% YoY [1][5] - EPS: NTD 17.5, exceeding expectations [1][5] - Gross margin: 49.1%, +1 ppt QoQ [1][5] ASIC Business - Strong performance in enterprise ASIC sector with TAM over USD 40 billion [2][6] - Rapid expansion of ASIC R&D resources [2][6] - Expected revenue contributions starting in 2026, targeting USD 1 billion by end of 2026 [2][6][10] 2nm Process Development - Active investment in 2nm process technology [3][7] - First 2nm chip expected to tape out in September 2023 [3][7] Collaboration with NVIDIA - Ongoing collaboration in chip business and automotive cockpit chips [4][8] - GB10 chip to enter mass production in Q3 [4][8] Future Guidance - 3Q25 revenue guidance: NTD 130.1 billion to NTD 140 billion [9][10] - Expected gross margin: 47% [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or company [23]. Core Insights - The overall operating profit for Samsung Electronics in Q2 2025 was 4.7 trillion KRW (approximately $3.37 billion), a significant decline of 55.2% compared to 10.44 trillion KRW in the same period of 2024, marking a six-quarter low [1][9]. - Revenue for the same period was 74.6 trillion KRW (approximately $53.5 billion), showing a slight increase of 0.7% from 74.07 trillion KRW year-over-year [1][9]. - The semiconductor and device solutions division reported an operating profit of only 400 billion KRW, down 93.8% from 6.5 trillion KRW year-on-year, indicating a major impact on profitability due to weak chip sales [1][9]. Business Guidance and Performance - DRAM business guidance for Q3 2025 anticipates high single-digit percentage growth in shipments quarter-over-quarter, with Q2 2025 performance showing low double-digit percentage growth [2][10]. - NAND business guidance for Q3 2025 expects approximately single-digit percentage growth, while Q2 2025 performance exceeded guidance with over 20% growth quarter-over-quarter [2][10]. - The mobile (MX) division expects growth in smartphone shipments and average selling price (ASP) for Q3 2025, while tablet shipments are forecasted to decline [2][10]. Profitability and Cost Control - The overall operating profit margin contracted by 2.2 percentage points to 6.3% in Q2 2025 [3][11]. - The mobile division maintained double-digit profitability despite declines in some component prices [3][11]. - Measures to improve NAND profit margins include increasing the sales share of server SSDs [3][12]. AI Strategy and Related Products - Samsung is experiencing strong demand related to AI, particularly for HBM3E and high-density DDR5 server products, driving a recovery in its memory business [4][13]. - The company is developing next-generation AI memory products, including HBM4, which offers twice the performance of HBM3E [4][14]. - Samsung is collaborating with major tech firms like Google to develop AI functionalities, including Cross App interfaces and Gemini Live [4][14]. Order Situation - Samsung secured a significant order worth $16.5 billion from Tesla for next-generation products utilizing advanced process technologies [5][15]. Inventory Status - DRAM inventory decreased to below normal levels in Q2 2025, while NAND inventory has significantly reduced for two consecutive quarters [5][16].

Performance Overview - ADNOC Drilling reported Q2 2025 revenue of $1.197 billion, exceeding market expectations of $1.172 billion[2] - Adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 was $351 million, higher than the anticipated $345 million[2] - EBITDA margin for Q2 2025 remained stable at 46%, aligning with market expectations[2] Fiscal Year Guidance - The revenue guidance for FY 2025 has been raised to a range of $4.65 billion to $4.8 billion, up from the previous range of $4.6 billion to $4.8 billion[3] - Net profit guidance for FY 2025 is now projected between $1.375 billion and $1.45 billion, compared to the prior range of $1.35 billion to $1.45 billion[3] - Capital expenditure guidance for FY 2025 remains unchanged at $350 million to $550 million[3] Dividend Policy - ADNOC Drilling aims for a minimum annual dividend growth rate of 10% over the next five years, with FY 2025 dividends expected to reach at least $867 million[4] Unconventional Projects - The company has eight drilling rigs operational in its unconventional projects, with a potential EBITDA margin of over 20% in the long term[5] - Final investment decision (FID) for the second phase of unconventional projects is expected by the end of FY 2025 or early FY 2026[5] Growth Strategy - ADNOC Drilling plans to increase its total number of drilling rigs from 149 to over 151 by FY 2028, with a target of 190 rigs by FY 2030[6]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or company Core Insights - Meta reported strong Q2 2025 results, with revenue rising 22% YoY to $47.5 billion, exceeding consensus estimates of $44.8 billion. GAAP net income reached $18.3 billion, up 36% YoY, with an EPS of $7.14 [13][14] - The advertising business remained robust, with Family of Apps ad revenue up 21% YoY to $46.6 billion, driven by a 9% increase in ad pricing and 11% growth in impressions [13][14] - Meta's strategic goal is "personal superintelligence," with the establishment of Meta Superintelligence Labs to advance next-gen AI models and multimodal systems [14][15] - Total expenses for Q2 2025 rose 12% YoY to $27.1 billion, with R&D expenses increasing by 23%, primarily for AI and infrastructure investments [14][15] - Meta plans to return capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, with $9.8 billion in stock buybacks and $1.3 billion in dividends during the quarter [14][15] Summary by Sections Q2 2025 Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $47.5 billion, a 22% increase YoY, with net income at $18.3 billion, a 36% increase YoY, and an EPS of $7.14 [13][14] - Family of Apps ad revenue reached $46.6 billion, up 21% YoY, with an operating income of $20.4 billion and an operating margin of 43% [13][14] AI Strategy and Investment - Meta's AI strategy focuses on five major initiatives, including the development of next-gen models and AI systems [14][15] - The company raised its full-year expense guidance to $114–118 billion, reflecting a 20–24% YoY increase, with expectations for faster expense growth in 2026 [15] Q3 2025 Outlook - Meta expects Q3 2025 revenue to be between $47.5 billion and $50.5 billion, with growth dependent on ad monetization efficiency and user engagement [16] - The company plans to expand ad inventory on platforms like Threads and WhatsApp, although short-term contributions are expected to be limited [17] Advertising System Enhancements - New AI recommendation models have improved conversion rates, with Instagram ads up 5% and Facebook ads up 3% [19] - AI enhancements have led to increased user engagement, with Facebook usage time up 5% and Instagram up 6% [19]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for Microsoft, with strong revenue growth and performance across various segments, suggesting an "Outperform" rating for the stock in the upcoming 12-18 months [15][21]. Core Insights - Microsoft reported a robust Q4 FY25, achieving an 18% year-over-year revenue growth to $76.4 billion, driven by significant contributions from cloud and AI services, with Azure revenue growing by 39% [15][17]. - The company’s cloud business, particularly Azure, has seen accelerated growth due to increased enterprise AI deployments and cloud migration, marking a pivotal moment in its service offerings [3][17]. - Microsoft’s investment in AI infrastructure is substantial, with capital expenditures reaching $24.2 billion in Q4, and expectations for continued increases in FY26 to meet ongoing demand [20][21]. Summary by Sections Productivity & Business Processes - Revenue grew 16% year-over-year to $33.1 billion, driven by strong performance in Microsoft 365 commercial and consumer segments, with M365 Commercial cloud revenue increasing by 18% [16][12]. - LinkedIn revenue rose by 9%, and Dynamics 365 saw a 23% increase, reflecting broad-based demand across workloads [16][18]. Intelligent Cloud - Intelligent Cloud revenue increased by 27% year-over-year to $29.9 billion, significantly exceeding expectations, primarily due to Azure's 39% growth [17][12]. - Azure's growth was fueled by enterprise AI deployments and successful cloud migrations, including a notable SAP migration case [3][17]. More Personal Computing - Revenue in this segment rose by 9% year-over-year to $13.5 billion, with notable contributions from Windows OEM and Xbox [18][12]. - Xbox content and services revenue increased by 13%, supported by successful game launches and higher user engagement [18][12]. AI Strategy & Capital Expenditures - Microsoft continues to expand its AI capabilities, with over 100 million monthly active users engaging with AI features across its products [19][20]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 reached $24.2 billion, with expectations for Q1 FY26 to exceed $30 billion, reflecting the company's commitment to AI infrastructure [20][21]. Outlook - For Q1 FY26, Microsoft anticipates Azure revenue growth of approximately 37% year-over-year, with total revenue guidance set between $74.6 billion and $75.7 billion [21][23].

Group 1: Financial Performance - VISA achieved net revenue of $10.2 billion in Q3 FY25, a year-on-year increase of 14%, exceeding expectations[2] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 23% year-on-year, also surpassing company forecasts[2] - Service revenue grew by 9% year-on-year, outperforming the previous quarter's growth of 8%[2] Group 2: Revenue Composition - Data processing revenue rose by 15%, with transaction processing volume increasing by 10%[2] - International transaction revenue increased by 14%, higher than the 11% growth in cross-border transaction volume[2] - Other revenue saw a significant increase of 32%, driven by consulting and value-added services[2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - VISA's stablecoin strategy supports four stablecoins and facilitates settlements with 25 fiat currencies, enhancing its platform capabilities[4] - The company emphasizes the unique advantages of stablecoins in emerging markets and cross-border fund transfers[4] - Management expects "high single digits to low double digits" growth in adjusted net revenue for Q4 FY25[5] Group 4: Market Trends - The consumer payment sector maintained steady expansion, with payment vouchers increasing by 7% year-on-year[3] - The global penetration rate of contactless payments reached 78%, with major U.S. cities achieving rates as high as 85%[3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Outperform" for L'Oreal, expecting a relative return exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% over the next 12-18 months [19]. Core Insights - L'Oreal's H1 2025 sales reached €22.473 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.6%, driven by like-for-like sales growth despite a negative impact from foreign exchange fluctuations [2][8]. - The company anticipates a full-year growth rate of 4% for 2025, supported by a robust brand portfolio and innovation initiatives [3][9]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - All divisions of L'Oreal experienced positive like-for-like growth in H1 2025, with a 3.0% increase in comparable store sales, driven by balanced growth across all business units and strong performance in emerging markets [2][8]. - The Professional Products Division, Consumer Products Division, L'Oreal Luxe Division, and Dermatological Beauty Division reported like-for-like sales growth of +6.5%, +2.8%, +2.0%, and +3.1% respectively [2][8]. Market Trends - Emerging markets have become significant growth drivers, with double-digit sales growth in regions such as Latin America (10.3%) and SAPMENA-SSA (10.4%) [2][8]. - The global beauty market is expected to grow approximately 4% in 2025, with L'Oreal confident in outperforming competitors due to its strong brand and innovation strategies [3][9]. Financial Metrics - L'Oreal's gross margin remained stable with a slight decrease of 10 basis points, while the operating margin increased by 30 basis points, reaching a record high of 21.1% for the first half of the year [4][10]. - Operating profit for H1 2025 was €4.74 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Recent acquisitions, including the UK-based Medik8 and the US-based Color Wow, enhance L'Oreal's presence in health-focused skincare and professional haircare segments [5][11]. - The company is focusing on innovation, including the development of AI technologies and new product lines, to maintain its competitive edge [5][11].