Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [5] Core Insights - The company's 2025 performance forecast meets expectations, driven by technology empowerment, breakthroughs in key industries and clients, overseas improvements, government subsidies, and asset sales contributing to significant growth [2][12] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be between 267 million and 334 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth rate of 30% to 62.5% [12] - The report highlights the focus on mid-to-high-end positions and the continuous efficiency improvements driven by AI technology [12] Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 9,778 million yuan in 2023 to 14,581 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.7% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 201 million yuan in 2023 to 305 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant recovery with a growth rate of 48.6% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.02 yuan in 2023 to 1.55 yuan in 2025 [4] Market Data - The target price for the company's stock is set at 40.80 yuan [5] - The stock has a market capitalization of 6,048 million yuan, with a 52-week price range of 21.14 to 38.60 yuan [6] Performance Metrics - The report anticipates a net asset return (ROE) of 13.6% for 2025, indicating improved profitability [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 30.16 in 2023 to 19.82 in 2025, suggesting a more attractive valuation as earnings grow [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 40.80 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - The company's 2025 performance forecast meets expectations, driven by technology empowerment, breakthroughs in key industries and clients, overseas improvements, government subsidies, and asset sales contributing to significant growth [2][12]. - The core drivers of growth for 2025 include: 1) Empowerment through technology platforms, focusing on high-end positions and niche markets; 2) Improvement in overseas revenue and profits; 3) Contributions from government subsidies and the sale of subsidiary equity [12]. - The company maintains a focus on high-end positions, leveraging AI to enhance efficiency and capitalize on the growing demand in high-tech industries [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 9,778 million CNY in 2023 to 14,581 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 23.7% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 201 million CNY in 2023 to 305 million CNY in 2025, representing a growth of 48.6% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.02 CNY in 2023 to 1.55 CNY in 2025 [4]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is 6,048 million CNY, with a 52-week stock price range of 21.14 to 38.60 CNY [6]. - The current stock price is 30.73 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.16 for 2023, decreasing to 19.82 for 2025 [4][12]. Balance Sheet Overview - Shareholder equity stands at 2,172 million CNY, with a book value per share of 11.03 CNY [7]. - The company has a net debt ratio of -0.32%, indicating a strong financial position [7].

风险提示：金价持续下行，门店扩张不及预期，行业竞争加剧。 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 16,552 | 20,233 | 29,573 | 38,012 | 41,778 | | (+/-)% | 50.6% | 22.2% | 46.2% | 28.5% | 9.9% | | 净利润(归母) | 707 | 719 | 1,204 | 1,524 | 1,689 | | (+/-)% | 53.6% | 1.7% | 67.5% | 26.5% | 10.8% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.55 | 1.96 | 2.17 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 18.7% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 24.0% | | 市盈率(现价&最新股本摊薄) | 23.19 | 22.79 | 13.61 | 10.75 | 9.70 | 股票研究 /[Table ...

公 司 研 金价上行投资金高增，持续受益黄金税收新政 菜百股份(605599) 菜百股份 2025 年业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 宋小寒(分析师) | 010-83939087 | songxiaohan@gtht.com | S0880524080011 | 本报告导读： 投资要点： 风险提示：金价持续下行，门店扩张不及预期，行业竞争加剧。 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 16,552 | 20,233 | 29,573 | 38,012 | 41,778 | | (+/-)% | 50.6% | 22.2% | 46.2% | 28.5% | 9.9% | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% [4][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights the five-year follow-up results of Moderna's personalized mRNA cancer vaccine V940 in high-risk melanoma, supporting the vaccine's mechanism to provide durable immune responses, which strengthens the clinical basis for subsequent Phase III and registration advancements [2][5]. - The KEYNOTE-942 study results show that the combination of V940 and Keytruda reduces the risk of recurrence or death in high-risk melanoma patients by 49%, with efficacy maintaining from 44% at the two-year follow-up to 49% at the three-year and five-year follow-ups, without new safety signals being reported [5]. - V940 is advancing ahead of similar projects, with eight ongoing Phase II/III clinical studies covering various solid tumors, including melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer, bladder cancer, and renal cell carcinoma. The Phase III trial for melanoma has completed enrollment and is expected to yield critical data in 2026, with the project also receiving FDA breakthrough therapy designation [5]. Summary by Sections - **Investment Highlights**: The report emphasizes the sustained efficacy of V940 in inducing durable immune responses, differentiating it from previous unsuccessful cancer vaccine attempts, and providing long-term clinical data support for mRNA tumor vaccine technology [5]. - **Clinical Data**: The report details that V940 can encode up to 34 new antigens, activating T-cell responses with immune memory characteristics, complementing PD-1 inhibitors [5].

公司全面实施 AI 驱动战略，凭借 "云-管-边-端-芯" 全链条技术布局与 "算力+平台 +算法+应用" 国产化方案，深耕电力数字化主赛道并实现跨领域延伸，有望持续领 跑行业转型。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,234 | 6,090 | 6,619 | 7,556 | 8,857 | | (+/-)% | -25.5% | 43.8% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 17.2% | | 净利润(归母) | 377 | 570 | 593 | 707 | 854 | | (+/-)% | -42.2% | 51.1% | 4.0% | 19.3% | 20.8% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.27 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | | 市盈率(现价&最新股本摊薄 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5] Core Views - The company is implementing an AI-driven strategy, leveraging a comprehensive technology layout of "cloud-network-edge-terminal-core" and a domestic solution of "computing power + platform + algorithm + application" to lead the digital transformation in the power sector [2] - The company is positioned as a key player in the digital grid construction, with expected revenues of 6.619 billion, 7.556 billion, and 8.857 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, and EPS of 0.19, 0.22, and 0.27 yuan for the same years [10][12] - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness in the vertical field of electricity through the integration of AI and business, focusing on digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure [10] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline by 25.5% in 2023, followed by a significant increase of 43.8% in 2024, and steady growth in subsequent years [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease by 42.2% in 2023, then increase by 51.1% in 2024, with further growth in the following years [4] - The company’s net asset return rate is forecasted to improve from 5.1% in 2023 to 6.7% in 2027 [4] Revenue Breakdown - The digital grid segment is expected to see revenue growth of 42% in 2024, with a projected revenue of 2.389 billion yuan, and further growth in subsequent years [15] - The enterprise digitalization segment is anticipated to grow at a rate of 7% in 2024, with revenue reaching 2.035 billion yuan [13] - The digital infrastructure segment is projected to grow by 9% in 2024, with revenue of 1.540 billion yuan [14] Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 81.361 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 25.59 yuan based on a PE of 115 for 2026 [19][25] - The average PS for comparable companies is estimated at 9.53, with the company being assigned a PS of 10.80 for 2026, leading to a valuation of 81.606 billion yuan [23][24]

债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.30 承接"存款搬家"，理财投了什么，收 益如何 2025 理财市场回顾与 2026 展望 规模承接行业增量，获取"无风险"收益下探，机构分层加深。 投资要点： | [Table_Authors] | 唐元懋(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 0755-23976753 | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 汤志宇(分析师) | | | 021-38031036 | | | tangzhiyu@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070031 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 如何理解 ONRRP 类工具与双向隔夜回购 2026.01.30 债券 ETF 规模跃升之后：业绩归因、策略优化与 未来挑战 2026.01.29 强者恒强，关注业绩筑底走向 2026.01.27 配置力度不减，高久期偏好更趋明确 2026.01.27 人民币升值结汇如何影响银行间流动性 2026.01.25 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条 ...

出货量持续高增，盈利提升存潜力 中科电气(300035) 中科电气 2025 年业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | 本报告导读： 公司在 2025 年实现负极出货量大幅增长，随着行业需求逐步释放和公司成本管控能 力进一步增强，看好公司盈利抬升的可能性。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,908 | 5,581 | 8,279 | 11,268 | 13,764 | | (+/-)% | -6.6% | 13.7% | 48.3% | 3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Foton Motor, with a target price of 4.74 CNY, up from the previous 3.56 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - Foton Motor's heavy truck sales have doubled, significantly outperforming industry growth rates. The company is committed to its new energy transition strategy, reinforcing its leadership position in the commercial vehicle sector [2][12]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.33 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1551% [12]. - Heavy truck sales are projected to reach 1.145 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 26.98%. The company achieved a remarkable 103.6% increase in heavy truck sales, significantly outpacing industry growth [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 56,097 million CNY, with projections of 51,262 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a 7.5% increase from the previous year [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 81 million CNY in 2024 to 1,327 million CNY in 2025, marking a substantial recovery [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.17 CNY in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.50 [4][12]. Market Data - The stock has a market capitalization of 24,544 million CNY, with a current price of 3.10 CNY and a 52-week price range of 2.29 to 3.28 CNY [6]. - The company has a net asset value per share of 1.94 CNY, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6 [7]. Sales and Production Insights - The new energy vehicle segment is expected to achieve sales of 101,000 units in 2025, representing an 87.2% increase year-on-year [12]. - Foton Motor has established 32 localized factories globally, enhancing its international presence and supporting its export strategy [12].