Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the coal industry [5][27]. Core Insights - The coal sector's fund holdings have rebounded from historical lows, confirming the cyclical bottom in Q2 2025, with a reversal in the supply-demand dynamics now evident [3][5]. - The report recommends core stocks such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, while also suggesting continued investment in Yanzhou Coal and Jinneng Holding [5][6]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - As of Q4 2025, the coal sector's fund holdings increased by 0.03% to 0.61%, with the top ten coal stocks' market value ratio rising from 0.49% in Q3 to 0.53% [5][9]. - The number of coal stocks in the top ten holdings decreased from 26 in Q3 2025 to 22 in Q4 2025, indicating a higher allocation to industry leaders with strong profit certainty [5][9]. Major Holdings - The top five coal stocks held by funds are China Shenhua (0.58%), Shaanxi Coal (1.70%), Yanzhou Coal (2.93%), Lu'an Environmental Energy (5.86%), and China Coal Energy (1.60%) [9][12]. - Notable increases in holdings were observed in Shanxi Coal International (5.00%), Pingmei Shenma (4.82%), and Hengyuan Coal Power (2.44%) [13]. Market Performance - The coal industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index in Q4 2025, indicating a positive market trend for coal stocks [6][18]. - The report highlights significant changes in holdings by the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with increased stakes in Jiangxi Tungsten, Zhengzhou Coal, and Kailuan Energy [13][14]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics for key coal companies, with China Shenhua's estimated PE ratio for 2025 at 15.50 and for 2026 at 14.62, indicating a favorable investment outlook [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Foton Motor, with a target price of 4.74 CNY, up from the previous target of 3.56 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - Foton Motor's heavy truck sales have doubled, significantly outperforming industry growth rates. The company is committed to its new energy transition strategy, reinforcing its leadership position in the commercial vehicle sector [2][12]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.33 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1551% [12]. - Heavy truck sales are projected to reach 1.145 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 26.98%. The company achieved a remarkable 103.6% increase in heavy truck sales, significantly outpacing industry growth [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 56,097 million CNY, with projections of 51,262 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a 7.5% increase from the previous year [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 81 million CNY in 2024 to 1,327 million CNY in 2025, marking a substantial recovery [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.17 CNY in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.50 [4][12]. Market Position and Strategy - Foton Motor has established 32 localized factories globally, enhancing its international presence and supporting its export strategy, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, South America, and the Middle East [12]. - The company aims to solidify its technological advantages in the new energy sector through continuous research and development, with a focus on its smart ecological brand, Aike [12].

本报告导读： 公司在 2025 年实现负极出货量大幅增长，随着行业需求逐步释放和公司成本管控能 力进一步增强，看好公司盈利抬升的可能性。 出货量持续高增，盈利提升存潜力 中科电气(300035) 中科电气 2025 年业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,908 | 5,581 | 8,279 | 11,268 | 13,764 | | (+/-)% | -6.6% | 13.7% | 48.3% | 3 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On January 29, the first batch of commercial real - estate REITs were submitted to the exchange. With policy support, the project progress was rapid. The listing of REITs will drive up the valuation of traditional commercial real - estate, reconstruct the asset pricing logic, and bring value discovery on the asset side. It can also effectively revitalize the stock, relieve risks, and contribute to the long - term stable development of the industry. Additionally, the diversification of REITs' underlying asset types helps with the market - based pricing of infrastructure REITs [5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Policy Boosts the First Submission of Commercial Real - estate REITs - On January 29, the first batch of commercial real - estate REITs, namely Huaan Jinjiang Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Shanghai Real - estate Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, and CICC Vipshop Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, were submitted to the exchange [5][7]. - REITs policies have promoted the rapid formation of a multi - level market. On the supply side, a multi - level product system including infrastructure REITs, commercial real - estate REITs, and inter - institutional REITs has been formed. On the investment side, various funds such as wealth - management subsidiaries, annuities, and public funds have participated, which is expected to further improve liquidity [8]. - In terms of policy, the issuance process has become more efficient and flexible, entering the normal - stage from the pilot stage. The requirements for the number of pilots and phased scale are no longer emphasized, and the market is given more power to judge future cash flows. State - owned enterprises, local platforms, and private enterprises can use REITs as a regular financing tool. The regulations on REITs expansion have also been significantly adjusted, supporting the transformation of REITs into capital operation platforms [9]. - The scope of underlying assets has expanded from traditional infrastructure to both infrastructure and operating real - estate. Many types of assets such as data centers, AI new computing power, and commercial complexes have been added or clearly allowed, and commercial real - estate forms a separate REITs system [9]. - The restrictions on the use of project recovery funds have been significantly relaxed, making REITs an active business adjustment tool. In terms of investment, the professionalism of REITs pricing, the diversity of participating institutions, and the asset liquidity have all been enhanced [10]. 3.2 Reconstruction of Traditional Asset Logic - Three Benefits of Commercial Real - estate REITs - The listing of REITs will drive up the valuation of traditional commercial real - estate (office buildings, hotels, shopping malls, etc.) and bring about the reconstruction of asset pricing logic. By referring to Huaan Waigaoqiao and Zhangjiang High - tech, during the REITs issuance and listing period, the corresponding targets had significant excess returns compared to the sector [12]. - Commercial real - estate REITs can effectively revitalize the stock, recover funds, relieve risks, and contribute to the long - term stable development of the industry. They enrich the financing channels for the commercial real - estate industry [13]. - The diversification of REITs' underlying asset types helps with the market - based pricing of infrastructure REITs, enabling high - quality underlying assets to stand out and have more fair market pricing and liquidity [13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [4]. Core Insights - The liquor industry has entered a deep adjustment period, but recent positive changes in the real estate and domestic demand sectors, along with the market-oriented transformation of Moutai, are stimulating incremental demand and driving up prices, leading to a valuation recovery [2]. - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as those expected to clear inventory like Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, Zhenjiu Lidu, Shede Jiuye, and Jinhui Jiu [4]. Summary by Sections Market Environment - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, and policies are becoming more favorable. The liquor industry is a typical cyclical sector, with market pricing influenced by both internal demand and real estate conditions. The government has prioritized boosting domestic demand as a key task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - The real estate market is gradually bottoming out after years of adjustment, with recent government actions aimed at stabilizing market expectations and improving conditions [4]. Moutai's Market Transformation - Moutai's market-oriented reform has sparked incremental demand, with significant attention on liquor sales during the Spring Festival. Moutai has introduced various products on its iMoutai platform, leading to a surge in online purchases and stable price performance [4]. - As of January 29, Moutai's price has increased by over 1,600 RMB, with transaction prices exceeding 1,700 RMB, indicating successful price-volume strategies [4]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its cycle, with liquidity improvements and expectations likely to catalyze stock prices. The report anticipates that if prices stabilize, the pressure on stock prices will lessen, and further positive signals from policies could enhance stock performance [4]. - The report includes earnings forecasts for key liquor companies, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% for Moutai from 2024 to 2026, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 21 to 19 [5].

业绩再超预期，浆纸一体化驱动价值重构 玖龙纸业(2689) [Table_Industry] 林纸产品 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 7.46 | [Table_Market] 交易数据 玖龙纸业公司更新报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘佳昆(分析师) | 021-38038184 | liujiakun@gtht.com | S0880524040004 | | 毛宇翔(分析师) | 021-38038672 | maoyuxiang@gtht.com | S0880524080013 | 本报告导读： 玖龙业绩再超预期，FY26H1 预计盈利 19.5-20.5 亿元，浆纸一体化驱动公司价值重 构 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万元人民币) | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints - In the future, there is a possibility of newly establishing ONRRP-like tools and two-way overnight repos after the benchmark interest rate changes from DR007 to DR001 [7][9] - The goal of the central bank's monetary policy iteration in the past two years is to further reduce the volatility of capital interest rates and capital stratification [7][12] - The current "OMO high-frequency, buyout/MLF/treasury bond trading medium-frequency, reserve requirement ratio cut low-frequency" tool system is effective, and there is limited necessity to introduce new tools in the short term [7][16] Summary by Relevant Catalogs ONRRP-like tools and two-way overnight repos may have impacts Conjecture about ONRRP-like tools - A new tool for non-bank institutions may be similar to the Fed's ONRRP, but currently, there is no motivation to directly regulate the lower limit of capital interest rates. The new tool is more likely to be a liquidity injection rather than a withdrawal [10][12] - The new mechanism for non-bank institutions is used in "specific scenarios" and aims to reduce capital stratification and volatility, similar to the Fed's PDCF [12][13] How to view two-way overnight repos - Logically, a newly created two-way overnight repo for banks is a natural extension after DR001 becomes the benchmark interest rate and should replace the 7-day OMO as the new policy rate [15] - In the short term, there is limited necessity to introduce new two-way overnight repos as they overlap with the functions of the 7-day OMO and temporary repos [16]

Macro Research - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in January 2026 maintained interest rates, aligning with market expectations, while showing a more optimistic outlook on the economy, employment, and inflation, adding uncertainty to future rate cuts [1][2] - Silver prices have surged to new highs since 2025, driven by a combination of industrial and financial demand, with potential pressure on silver prices if gold experiences volatility [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's internal division was evident in the recent rate decision, with a 10:2 vote, indicating differing opinions on the need for a 25 basis point cut [2] Silver Market Analysis - Silver's price dynamics differ from gold, with stronger commodity attributes and broader industrial demand, while its monetary attributes have weakened significantly [7] - Historical price surges in silver have been driven by speculative funds and macroeconomic factors, with the current surge attributed to geopolitical risks and a turbulent international monetary system [8] - Industrial demand for silver is expected to remain robust, particularly from emerging industries like photovoltaics and electric vehicles, supporting price resilience [8][9] Company Analysis: Qingdao Bank - Qingdao Bank has shown strong balance sheet expansion and continuous improvement in asset quality, with a non-performing loan ratio dropping below 1% [10][11] - The bank's net profit is projected to grow by 22% in 2025, with a target price set at 6.40 CNY, maintaining a buy rating [11][12] - The bank's revenue growth is supported by an increase in asset and loan growth rates, with a focus on optimizing cost structures to enhance profitability [12][14]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the robotics industry, indicating a projected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the breakthrough of Figure Helix 02, which achieves full-body autonomous control in humanoid robots, enabling them to perform complex tasks in various scenarios. This advancement opens new commercial opportunities for humanoid robots [2][4]. - The report emphasizes that the humanoid robotics sector is undergoing significant technological transformations and exploring practical applications, with 2026 expected to be a pivotal year for commercialization [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The humanoid robotics industry is experiencing rapid advancements, particularly with the introduction of Figure Helix 02, which marks a significant leap in autonomous control capabilities [2][4]. Key Developments - Figure Helix 02 can autonomously perform 61 coordinated actions without human intervention, showcasing its potential in household and restaurant environments. It can execute tasks such as walking, picking, stacking, and precise operations like opening bottle caps and sorting items in cluttered environments [4]. Technical Breakthroughs - The Helix 02 model introduces a "three-level collaborative" control architecture, utilizing a single neural network to replace millions of lines of code, thus achieving human-like natural movements. It integrates high-sensitivity tactile sensors and multi-dimensional cameras for precise control [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on core component suppliers in the robotics sector, specifically highlighting companies such as Changying Precision, Hengli Hydraulic, and others for their growth potential [4][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Insights - The company has exceeded performance expectations, with FY26H1 projected earnings between 1.95 billion to 2.05 billion RMB, driven by the integration of pulp and paper operations [2][9] - The integration of pulp and paper production is expected to significantly enhance profitability, with major contributions from new capacities in Hubei and Beihai [9] - The company anticipates further price increases in short-fiber pulp and improvements in profitability for cultural and white card paper, which are currently at historical low levels [9] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections are as follows: - FY2024A: 59.50 billion RMB - FY2025A: 63.24 billion RMB - FY2026E: 69.30 billion RMB - FY2027E: 76.29 billion RMB - FY2028E: 84.02 billion RMB - Revenue growth rates are expected to be 4.9%, 6.3%, 9.6%, 10.1%, and 10.1% respectively [3][10] - Net profit projections are as follows: - FY2024A: 750.68 million RMB - FY2025A: 1.77 billion RMB - FY2026E: 4.00 billion RMB - FY2027E: 4.40 billion RMB - FY2028E: 4.84 billion RMB - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 131.5%, 135.4%, 126.6%, 9.8%, and 10.2% respectively [3][10] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 20.31 in FY2024A to 7.23 in FY2028E, indicating increasing valuation attractiveness [3][10] Market Data - The current stock price is 7.46 HKD, with a market capitalization of 35.00 billion HKD and a 52-week price range of 2.82 to 7.46 HKD [6][10]