Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5] Core Views - The company is implementing an AI-driven strategy, leveraging a comprehensive technology layout of "cloud-network-edge-terminal-core" and a domestic solution of "computing power + platform + algorithm + application" to lead the digital transformation in the power sector [2] - The company is positioned as a key player in the digital grid construction, with expected revenues of 6.619 billion, 7.556 billion, and 8.857 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, and EPS of 0.19, 0.22, and 0.27 yuan for the same years [10][12] - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness in the vertical field of electricity through the integration of AI and business, focusing on digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure [10] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline by 25.5% in 2023, followed by a significant increase of 43.8% in 2024, and steady growth in subsequent years [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease by 42.2% in 2023, then increase by 51.1% in 2024, with further growth in the following years [4] - The company’s net asset return rate is forecasted to improve from 5.1% in 2023 to 6.7% in 2027 [4] Revenue Breakdown - The digital grid segment is expected to see revenue growth of 42% in 2024, with a projected revenue of 2.389 billion yuan, and further growth in subsequent years [15] - The enterprise digitalization segment is anticipated to grow at a rate of 7% in 2024, with revenue reaching 2.035 billion yuan [13] - The digital infrastructure segment is projected to grow by 9% in 2024, with revenue of 1.540 billion yuan [14] Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 81.361 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 25.59 yuan based on a PE of 115 for 2026 [19][25] - The average PS for comparable companies is estimated at 9.53, with the company being assigned a PS of 10.80 for 2026, leading to a valuation of 81.606 billion yuan [23][24]

债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.30 承接"存款搬家"，理财投了什么，收 益如何 2025 理财市场回顾与 2026 展望 规模承接行业增量，获取"无风险"收益下探，机构分层加深。 投资要点： | [Table_Authors] | 唐元懋(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 0755-23976753 | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 汤志宇(分析师) | | | 021-38031036 | | | tangzhiyu@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070031 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 如何理解 ONRRP 类工具与双向隔夜回购 2026.01.30 债券 ETF 规模跃升之后：业绩归因、策略优化与 未来挑战 2026.01.29 强者恒强，关注业绩筑底走向 2026.01.27 配置力度不减，高久期偏好更趋明确 2026.01.27 人民币升值结汇如何影响银行间流动性 2026.01.25 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条 ...

出货量持续高增，盈利提升存潜力 中科电气(300035) 中科电气 2025 年业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | 本报告导读： 公司在 2025 年实现负极出货量大幅增长，随着行业需求逐步释放和公司成本管控能 力进一步增强，看好公司盈利抬升的可能性。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,908 | 5,581 | 8,279 | 11,268 | 13,764 | | (+/-)% | -6.6% | 13.7% | 48.3% | 3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Foton Motor, with a target price of 4.74 CNY, up from the previous 3.56 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - Foton Motor's heavy truck sales have doubled, significantly outperforming industry growth rates. The company is committed to its new energy transition strategy, reinforcing its leadership position in the commercial vehicle sector [2][12]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.33 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1551% [12]. - Heavy truck sales are projected to reach 1.145 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 26.98%. The company achieved a remarkable 103.6% increase in heavy truck sales, significantly outpacing industry growth [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 56,097 million CNY, with projections of 51,262 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a 7.5% increase from the previous year [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 81 million CNY in 2024 to 1,327 million CNY in 2025, marking a substantial recovery [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.17 CNY in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.50 [4][12]. Market Data - The stock has a market capitalization of 24,544 million CNY, with a current price of 3.10 CNY and a 52-week price range of 2.29 to 3.28 CNY [6]. - The company has a net asset value per share of 1.94 CNY, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6 [7]. Sales and Production Insights - The new energy vehicle segment is expected to achieve sales of 101,000 units in 2025, representing an 87.2% increase year-on-year [12]. - Foton Motor has established 32 localized factories globally, enhancing its international presence and supporting its export strategy [12].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the coal industry [5][27]. Core Insights - The coal sector's fund holdings have rebounded from historical lows, confirming the cyclical bottom in Q2 2025, with a reversal in the supply-demand dynamics now evident [3][5]. - The report recommends core stocks such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, while also suggesting continued investment in Yanzhou Coal and Jinneng Holding [5][6]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - As of Q4 2025, the coal sector's fund holdings increased by 0.03% to 0.61%, with the top ten coal stocks' market value ratio rising from 0.49% in Q3 to 0.53% [5][9]. - The number of coal stocks in the top ten holdings decreased from 26 in Q3 2025 to 22 in Q4 2025, indicating a higher allocation to industry leaders with strong profit certainty [5][9]. Major Holdings - The top five coal stocks held by funds are China Shenhua (0.58%), Shaanxi Coal (1.70%), Yanzhou Coal (2.93%), Lu'an Environmental Energy (5.86%), and China Coal Energy (1.60%) [9][12]. - Notable increases in holdings were observed in Shanxi Coal International (5.00%), Pingmei Shenma (4.82%), and Hengyuan Coal Power (2.44%) [13]. Market Performance - The coal industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index in Q4 2025, indicating a positive market trend for coal stocks [6][18]. - The report highlights significant changes in holdings by the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with increased stakes in Jiangxi Tungsten, Zhengzhou Coal, and Kailuan Energy [13][14]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics for key coal companies, with China Shenhua's estimated PE ratio for 2025 at 15.50 and for 2026 at 14.62, indicating a favorable investment outlook [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Foton Motor, with a target price of 4.74 CNY, up from the previous target of 3.56 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - Foton Motor's heavy truck sales have doubled, significantly outperforming industry growth rates. The company is committed to its new energy transition strategy, reinforcing its leadership position in the commercial vehicle sector [2][12]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.33 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1551% [12]. - Heavy truck sales are projected to reach 1.145 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 26.98%. The company achieved a remarkable 103.6% increase in heavy truck sales, significantly outpacing industry growth [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 56,097 million CNY, with projections of 51,262 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a 7.5% increase from the previous year [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 81 million CNY in 2024 to 1,327 million CNY in 2025, marking a substantial recovery [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.17 CNY in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.50 [4][12]. Market Position and Strategy - Foton Motor has established 32 localized factories globally, enhancing its international presence and supporting its export strategy, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, South America, and the Middle East [12]. - The company aims to solidify its technological advantages in the new energy sector through continuous research and development, with a focus on its smart ecological brand, Aike [12].

本报告导读： 公司在 2025 年实现负极出货量大幅增长，随着行业需求逐步释放和公司成本管控能 力进一步增强，看好公司盈利抬升的可能性。 出货量持续高增，盈利提升存潜力 中科电气(300035) 中科电气 2025 年业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,908 | 5,581 | 8,279 | 11,268 | 13,764 | | (+/-)% | -6.6% | 13.7% | 48.3% | 3 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On January 29, the first batch of commercial real - estate REITs were submitted to the exchange. With policy support, the project progress was rapid. The listing of REITs will drive up the valuation of traditional commercial real - estate, reconstruct the asset pricing logic, and bring value discovery on the asset side. It can also effectively revitalize the stock, relieve risks, and contribute to the long - term stable development of the industry. Additionally, the diversification of REITs' underlying asset types helps with the market - based pricing of infrastructure REITs [5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Policy Boosts the First Submission of Commercial Real - estate REITs - On January 29, the first batch of commercial real - estate REITs, namely Huaan Jinjiang Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Shanghai Real - estate Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, and CICC Vipshop Closed - end Commercial Real - estate Securities Investment Fund, were submitted to the exchange [5][7]. - REITs policies have promoted the rapid formation of a multi - level market. On the supply side, a multi - level product system including infrastructure REITs, commercial real - estate REITs, and inter - institutional REITs has been formed. On the investment side, various funds such as wealth - management subsidiaries, annuities, and public funds have participated, which is expected to further improve liquidity [8]. - In terms of policy, the issuance process has become more efficient and flexible, entering the normal - stage from the pilot stage. The requirements for the number of pilots and phased scale are no longer emphasized, and the market is given more power to judge future cash flows. State - owned enterprises, local platforms, and private enterprises can use REITs as a regular financing tool. The regulations on REITs expansion have also been significantly adjusted, supporting the transformation of REITs into capital operation platforms [9]. - The scope of underlying assets has expanded from traditional infrastructure to both infrastructure and operating real - estate. Many types of assets such as data centers, AI new computing power, and commercial complexes have been added or clearly allowed, and commercial real - estate forms a separate REITs system [9]. - The restrictions on the use of project recovery funds have been significantly relaxed, making REITs an active business adjustment tool. In terms of investment, the professionalism of REITs pricing, the diversity of participating institutions, and the asset liquidity have all been enhanced [10]. 3.2 Reconstruction of Traditional Asset Logic - Three Benefits of Commercial Real - estate REITs - The listing of REITs will drive up the valuation of traditional commercial real - estate (office buildings, hotels, shopping malls, etc.) and bring about the reconstruction of asset pricing logic. By referring to Huaan Waigaoqiao and Zhangjiang High - tech, during the REITs issuance and listing period, the corresponding targets had significant excess returns compared to the sector [12]. - Commercial real - estate REITs can effectively revitalize the stock, recover funds, relieve risks, and contribute to the long - term stable development of the industry. They enrich the financing channels for the commercial real - estate industry [13]. - The diversification of REITs' underlying asset types helps with the market - based pricing of infrastructure REITs, enabling high - quality underlying assets to stand out and have more fair market pricing and liquidity [13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [4]. Core Insights - The liquor industry has entered a deep adjustment period, but recent positive changes in the real estate and domestic demand sectors, along with the market-oriented transformation of Moutai, are stimulating incremental demand and driving up prices, leading to a valuation recovery [2]. - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as those expected to clear inventory like Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, Zhenjiu Lidu, Shede Jiuye, and Jinhui Jiu [4]. Summary by Sections Market Environment - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, and policies are becoming more favorable. The liquor industry is a typical cyclical sector, with market pricing influenced by both internal demand and real estate conditions. The government has prioritized boosting domestic demand as a key task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - The real estate market is gradually bottoming out after years of adjustment, with recent government actions aimed at stabilizing market expectations and improving conditions [4]. Moutai's Market Transformation - Moutai's market-oriented reform has sparked incremental demand, with significant attention on liquor sales during the Spring Festival. Moutai has introduced various products on its iMoutai platform, leading to a surge in online purchases and stable price performance [4]. - As of January 29, Moutai's price has increased by over 1,600 RMB, with transaction prices exceeding 1,700 RMB, indicating successful price-volume strategies [4]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its cycle, with liquidity improvements and expectations likely to catalyze stock prices. The report anticipates that if prices stabilize, the pressure on stock prices will lessen, and further positive signals from policies could enhance stock performance [4]. - The report includes earnings forecasts for key liquor companies, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% for Moutai from 2024 to 2026, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 21 to 19 [5].

业绩再超预期，浆纸一体化驱动价值重构 玖龙纸业(2689) [Table_Industry] 林纸产品 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 7.46 | [Table_Market] 交易数据 玖龙纸业公司更新报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘佳昆(分析师) | 021-38038184 | liujiakun@gtht.com | S0880524040004 | | 毛宇翔(分析师) | 021-38038672 | maoyuxiang@gtht.com | S0880524080013 | 本报告导读： 玖龙业绩再超预期，FY26H1 预计盈利 19.5-20.5 亿元，浆纸一体化驱动公司价值重 构 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万元人民币) | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | - ...