1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Last week, the bond market sentiment was volatile, with interest rates showing a V-shaped oscillation. Credit bonds also had mixed performance, with the over - sold second - tier and perpetual (二永) bonds partially recovering, while ultra - long - term credit bonds continued to perform poorly. The cost - effectiveness of coupon assets has increased [1][4][10]. - 2 - 5 - year bank secondary capital bonds can continue to be considered; a strategy of sinking into 1 - 3 - year weak - quality urban investment bonds is recommended, as the riding income of about 3 - year varieties with a yield of over 2.2% is quite significant. Ultra - long - term credit bonds have improved in coupon cost - effectiveness after continuous adjustment, but only allocation - type institutions are advised to consider them due to the lack of marginal improvement in liquidity [4][25]. 3. Summary According to the Catalog 3.1 Bond Market Performance - **Interest Rate Bonds**: The overall trend of interest rate bonds was oscillatory last week. The active 10 - year Treasury bond fluctuated between 1.76% - 1.81%, with the bearish force slightly stronger and the bond price weakening over the week [1][10]. - **Credit Bonds**: Different - term credit bond varieties showed differentiated performance. The yields of 1Y - 5Y Treasury bonds and AAA, AA + medium - and short - term notes changed to varying degrees from September 15th to September 19th, 2025. Ultra - long - term credit bonds continued to weaken, with the decline of 10Y varieties generally exceeding that of the same - term interest rate bonds [10][11][12]. 3.2 Secondary - tier and Perpetual (二永) Bonds - **Yield Changes**: After over - adjustment the week before last, the yields of 1Y - 5Y of secondary - tier and perpetual bonds decreased, while those of ultra - long - term parts were similar to ultra - long - term credit bonds. The yields of 1 - 5 years, 7 years, and 10 years of AAA - bank secondary capital bonds decreased by 1.19BP, 1.21BP, 2.58BP, 0.53BP, 1.51BP respectively, and increased by 1.63BP and 3.53BP respectively [2][17]. - **Trading Situation**: In the first half of the week, the sentiment for recovery was high, while in the second half, it was more pessimistic. From September 15th to September 19th, the proportion of low - valuation transactions of secondary - tier and perpetual bonds was 100.00%, 100.00%, 100.00%, 0.00%, 2.44% respectively; the average trading durations were 6.16 years, 4.66 years, 5.01 years, 1.07 years, 0.96 years respectively. The discount trading amplitude was generally within 2BP, and there were only 8 transactions with an amplitude of over 3BP [18][20]. 3.3 Ultra - long - term Credit Bonds - **Selling Pressure**: The institutional selling of ultra - long - term credit bonds continued to strengthen throughout the week, but it was not a typical urgent selling situation. From September 15th to September 19th, the proportion of discount transactions was 56.10%, 70.73%, 48.78%, 65.85%, 78.05% respectively, and most of the discount amplitudes were within 4BP [3][21]. - **Buying Willingness**: The market's willingness to buy ultra - long - term credit bonds remained weak, and high - activity transactions were mainly concentrated in weak - quality urban investment bonds. The proportion of transactions below the valuation was 26.83%, 9.76%, 36.59%, 21.95%, 7.32% respectively. However, about 25% of the transactions below the valuation had an amplitude of over 4BP, mainly in 2 - 5 - year weak - quality urban investment bonds [3][22][27]. 3.4 Curve Shape and Yield Quantiles - **Curve Steepness**: The steepness of the 1 - 2 - year and 2 - 3 - year segments of the full - grade yield curve was the highest, and it was steeper than that after the sharp decline at the end of July. Taking AA + medium - term notes and AA urban investment bonds as examples, the slopes of different segments were calculated [13]. - **Yield Quantiles**: From September 15th to September 19th, 2025, the 1Y - 3Y coupon assets had a certain cost - effectiveness, but the credit spread protection was insufficient. The valuation yields to maturity of 1Y - AAA, 3Y - AAA, etc. were at the corresponding quantiles since 2024, and the historical quantiles of credit spreads were also provided [14][16].

证券研究报告：区域经济|深度报告 研究所 分析师:曾凡喆 SAC 登记编号:S1340523100002 Email:zengfanzhe@cnpsec.com 区域经济研究专题 重庆城口：交通便利性跃升，西部矿都迎来新机遇 l 基本情况 地理特征：城口县位于重庆东北部，渝、川、陕三省（市）交界 处，历史悠久，于1998年2月20日划归重庆市直管，全县东西长100.4 公里，南北宽65.7公里，辖区面积 3289.04平方公里，下辖 2街道12 镇 11 乡。城口县山地居多，普遍海拔在 1000—1800 米，境内共有大 小河流 779 条，素有"九山半水半分田"之称，气候温和，雨量充沛， 四季分明。 人口及交通情况：城口县人口规模相对较小，2024 年末户籍人 口 24.64 万人，常住人口 19.66 万人，人口数量稳定，但老龄化趋势 明显，劳动力有所外流。交通方面，多山多水的地理条件使城口县经 济相对闭塞，但未来随着高速公路、铁路陆续贯通，城口县交通便利 性将迎来跃升。 产业升级方面，城口县第一产业大规模开发增量农牧业的空间或 相对有限，在现有农牧业的基础上做优产业链或更加契合重庆市的政 策方针，延长农 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The agricultural sector, particularly the pig and poultry markets, is experiencing significant price declines, with the agricultural index dropping 2.70% last week, ranking 27th among 31 primary industries [3][12] - The report highlights concerns regarding the ability to reduce pig production capacity, which has led to market volatility and price pressures [4][14] - The "anti-involution" policy is being reinforced, aiming to stabilize pig prices in the future, with recent meetings indicating stricter measures for production capacity reduction [20][21] Summary by Sections Market Review - The agricultural sector faced a substantial decline, with the agricultural index down 2.70%, while the broader market indices fell less significantly [12][14] - Core agricultural segments, including pigs and poultry, saw notable price drops, raising concerns about production capacity adjustments [14] Livestock Industry Tracking Pigs - As of September 21, the average price of pigs was 12.69 yuan/kg, down 0.66 yuan/kg from the previous week, marking a new low for the year [4][17] - The report indicates that the supply of pigs is expected to increase in the second half of 2025, leading to significant supply pressure, particularly in Q4 [17][20] - The profitability of self-bred pigs has turned to losses, with an average loss of 24 yuan per head, while purchased piglets incur a loss of 199 yuan per head [18] Broilers - The price of white feather broiler chicks has shown a slight rebound, reaching 3.5 yuan/chick, supported by pre-holiday stocking demand [5][28] - The average price of broiler meat remains stable at 3.37 yuan/kg, but overall demand has not improved significantly [28] - The report notes a significant decrease in the number of grandparent stock updated, which could impact future supply dynamics [28] Planting Industry Tracking - Sugar prices have adjusted to 5905 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan/ton [32] - The price of imported Brazilian soybeans stands at 3987 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.4% decrease [32] - Cotton prices have slightly increased to 15300 yuan/ton, while corn prices have decreased to 2325 yuan/ton [32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on the industrialization of silicon carbide (SiC substrate materials) to enhance its international supply capabilities. The company has made significant technological advancements in growing 12-inch conductive silicon carbide crystals and is actively expanding its production capacity [4][5] - The company is also promoting its silicon carbide equipment, which includes various processing devices, to strengthen its core competitiveness in the silicon carbide substrate field. The company has achieved a leading market share in 6-8 inch silicon carbide epitaxy equipment [5] - The financial projections indicate that the company is expected to achieve revenues of 120.31 billion yuan, 129.77 billion yuan, and 140 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 10.41 billion yuan, 12.65 billion yuan, and 15.46 billion yuan for the same years [8] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 38.09 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 499 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 469 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 1.31 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.2% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.84 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 42.30% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 544 million yuan, with a net profit of 131 million yuan, also up by 42.19% [3][4]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to both domestic and international markets, with international revenue growing by 61.33% and domestic revenue by 16.87% [4]. - The consumables segment is becoming increasingly important, accounting for approximately 30% of total revenue in H1 2025, which is expected to enhance profitability due to higher replacement frequency and margins [4]. Financial Performance - For the forecast period of 2025-2027, the company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.138 billion yuan, 1.403 billion yuan, and 1.689 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.92%, 23.24%, and 20.40% respectively [5][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 264 million yuan, 355 million yuan, and 435 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 69.62%, 34.67%, and 22.66% respectively [5][9]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 29.07 in 2025 to 17.60 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [5][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company's performance is driven by the recovery in rare earth prices, with a positive outlook on the demand for consumer electronics [4][5]. - The company reported a revenue of 592 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 77 million yuan, up 38.32% year-on-year [4][18]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to favorable government policies on rare earth management and increased demand in sectors like new energy vehicles and consumer electronics [5][18]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is 82.34 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 9.5 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a total share capital of 1.16 billion shares, with 290 million shares in circulation [3]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 34.4%, and the price-to-earnings ratio is 40.36 [3]. Business Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 329 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.66%, with net profit remaining stable [4][18]. - The increase in revenue is primarily due to consumer electronics clients preparing for the peak season in the second half of the year [5][18]. - The company's magnetic components and single magnet business showed steady growth, with revenue and gross profit reaching 592 million yuan and 151 million yuan respectively in H1 2025 [19]. Strategic Focus - The company focuses on high-end magnetic materials and components, with significant investments in production capacity and R&D [7][24]. - It has established a 1500-ton sintered production line and is expanding its operations in Vietnam [7][24]. - The company is a key supplier for major consumer electronics brands, with Apple being its core customer, accounting for 71.5% of its revenue in 2023 [6][23]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.35 billion yuan, 1.55 billion yuan, and 1.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 242 million yuan, 282 million yuan, and 321 million yuan [8][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 2.09 yuan, 2.43 yuan, and 2.77 yuan [8][10]. - The report anticipates a steady growth in profitability, supported by ongoing projects and market demand [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire a 49% stake in SMIC North, which will enhance its profitability and operational efficiency. After the acquisition, SMIC North will become a wholly-owned subsidiary, allowing for better synergy in technology, customer networks, and supply chain management [4][13] - The company is experiencing increased demand for its 12-inch wafer production capacity, with an expected annual expansion of 50,000 wafers per month to meet global needs. This expansion is supported by a significant investment of approximately $7.5 billion annually, primarily for equipment purchases [5][13] - Revenue projections for the company are optimistic, with expected revenues of 67.71 billion yuan, 77.91 billion yuan, and 89.63 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 5.13 billion yuan, 6.16 billion yuan, and 7.40 billion yuan for the same years [6][9] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 128.92 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 103.13 billion yuan. The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 35.2% and a total share capital of 7.999 billion shares [3][4] - The company is recognized as a leading integrated circuit foundry in China, providing both 8-inch and 12-inch wafer foundry services, and is focused on creating a platform-based ecosystem to support its clients [12][13]

Group 1: Monetary Policy Insights - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00%-4.25%, aligning with market expectations[9] - The dot plot indicates a median rate expectation of 3.5%-3.75% by year-end, suggesting a total of 50 basis points of potential rate cuts remaining this year[24] - There is significant divergence among committee members regarding future monetary policy, with some advocating for higher rates based on perceptions of a higher natural rate[2] Group 2: Labor Market Analysis - Non-farm payroll data shows a decline in labor force participation, which may suppress potential economic growth and push down the natural rate[3] - A notable increase in the percentage of workers finding it difficult to secure jobs was observed in August, indicating potential weakness in the employment market[3] - The labor market's stagnation could mask underlying employment pressures, as many discouraged workers exit the labor force[3] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims have shown a rapid increase since early August, although recent data indicates some relief[10] - Retail sales in the U.S. have been recovering since early 2024, with positive year-on-year growth maintained for three consecutive months post-May[10] - Japan's CPI and core CPI fell to 2.7% in August, indicating stable inflation excluding food and energy[10] Group 4: Risks and Recommendations - Risks include stronger-than-expected employment data, a rebound in inflation, and fiscal sustainability issues in major economies like the UK and France, which could lead to rising global long-term rates[28] - A strategic recommendation is to focus on long positions in 5-year U.S. Treasuries due to the anticipated downward pressure on natural rates[3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][7]. Core Insights - The company has shown a significant increase in its non-recurring net profit, with a year-on-year growth of 59.89% in the first half of 2025, despite a decline in overall revenue due to the divestment of its CNC machine tool business [4]. - The gross profit margin improved to 26.13%, reflecting a 24.6 basis point increase, while the net profit margin also saw a slight increase [4]. - The company is well-positioned in the container handling equipment sector, with a strong order backlog and increasing market share both domestically and internationally [5]. - The acquisition of Xiamen Ruixin Tuxin Technology Co., Ltd. is expected to drive growth in the GPU chip design and solutions business, targeting various industries [6]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is 9.19 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 9.3 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a total share capital of 1.008 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 50.8% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.27 [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 11.39 billion, 14.50 billion, and 18.71 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of -3.82%, +27.34%, and +28.98% respectively [7]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 1.02 billion, 1.48 billion, and 2.30 billion yuan, with growth rates of -17.30%, +45.18%, and +55.66% respectively [7]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 91.01, 62.69, and 40.27 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expectations of significant growth in stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging its capital increase to enhance its capabilities in Wi-Fi 7 and AI edge chips, driven by the growing demand for connectivity in the Internet of Things (IoT) sector. The total amount raised through the stock issuance is expected to be up to RMB 1.778 billion, which will fund various projects including the development of Wi-Fi 7 router chips and AI edge chips [2][4]. - The company's revenue reached a record high in Q2, achieving RMB 688 million, a year-on-year increase of 29.02% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 168 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.45% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 78.82% [2]. - The acquisition of a majority stake in M5Stack is expected to strengthen the company's influence in the developer ecosystem and accelerate product design processes, creating more business opportunities in the B-end market [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at RMB 2.68 billion, RMB 3.46 billion, and RMB 4.42 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 522 million, RMB 698 million, and RMB 910 million for the same years [4][8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with revenue growth rates of 40.04%, 33.51%, 29.27%, and 27.47% for the years 2024 to 2027 [8]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is RMB 199.41, with a total market capitalization of RMB 31.2 billion. The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 17.7% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 64.56 [6].