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富临精工(300432): 2025Q3 业绩点评:铁锂产能扩张提速,盈利修复逐步兑现
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 15:25
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司点评丨富临精工(300432.SZ) [Table_Title] 富临精工 2025Q3 业绩点评:铁锂产能扩张提 速,盈利修复逐步兑现 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 富临精工发布三季报,2025Q3 实现收入 32.72 亿元,同比+43.0%,环比+5.0%;归母净利润 1.51 亿元,同比-15.8%,环比+197.0%;扣非净利润 1.39 亿元,同比+6.7%,环比+265.7%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 高伊楠 曹海花 叶之楠 王子豪 SAC:S0490514040001 SAC:S0490517060001 SAC:S0490522030001 SAC:S0490520090003 SAC:S0490524070004 SFC:BQK482 SFC:BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 富临精工(300432.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 富临精工 2025Q3 2] 业绩点评:铁锂产能扩张 ...
攻守兼备红利策略的轮动增强
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 11:11
金融工程丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 攻守兼备红利策略的轮动增强 research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本文从风格轮动的角度对原攻守兼备红利策略方案进行改进增强。在所选因子不变的情况下, 保留第一步防御性筛选,在第二步筛选时不再只根据进攻性得分筛选个股,而是根据宏观预期 修正信号,调整防御性得分和进攻性得分权重,综合筛选个股。轮动增强后的方案,回撤控制 角度提升较明显,2016 年初以来截至 2025 年 11 月 7 日,最大回撤从 27.88%降至 24.37%, 分年来看,仅 2016 和 2023 年最大回撤略大于原策略,其他年份均小于等于原策略。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 冷旭晟 覃川桃 SAC:S0490524080001 SAC:S0490513030001 %% %% %% %% 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 22 %% %% %% %% SFC:BUT353 research.95579.com 2 红利增强(二) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 攻守兼备红利策略的轮动 ...
环球新材国际(06616):含章蕴秀,逐光向顶
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 09:19
[Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司深度丨环球新材国际(06616.HK) [Table_Title] 含章蕴秀,逐光向顶 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 珠光材料行业增长稳健,汽车、化妆品等高端领域需求放量成为核心驱动力。行业格局正处变 革期,国内企业通过收并购及技术进步加速高端市场突围。环球新材作为全球龙头,凭借合成 云母一体化优势、核心技术研发与产能扩张保障内生快速增长;并购韩国 CQV 与默克表面解 决方案业务,补齐高端产品与渠道短板,实现多元协同。未来随着整合深化与产能释放,有望 巩固全球领先地位,充分享受行业高端化红利。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 李浩 SAC:S0490513080001 SAC:S0490520080026 SFC:BQK473 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 36 %% %% 应用场景破圈,高端需求放量。珠光材料下游应用广泛可划分为工业级、化妆品级、汽车级三 大领域,其中汽车和化妆品主要为中高端产品。工业级珠光材料覆盖涂料、塑料、油墨、皮 ...
广告行业跟踪(14):9月户外广告市场整体向好,楼宇液晶投放增长强劲
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 09:17
丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 根据中天盈信(CODC)数据,2025 年 9 月户外广告投放总额为 258.78 亿元,同比增长 12%, 环比增长 14%,剔除范围和刊例增长的净值同比增长 5%。分渠道来看,楼宇液晶呈高速发展 态势,同比增长 18%,环比增长 22%;高铁视频延续回暖趋势,环比增长 12%。分行业来看, 9 月户外视频媒体投放 TOP5 行业分别为网站、饮料、化妆品、视频和酒类,广告投放占比分 别为 23%/16%/10%/7%/6%,网站行业投放持续强劲。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490516080001 SFC:BUX177 高超 朱子愉 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 行业研究丨点评报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] 广告行业跟踪(14):9 月户外广告市场整体 向好,楼宇液晶投放增长强劲 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 广告行业跟踪(2] 14):9 月户外广告市场整体向 好,楼宇液晶投放增长强劲 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 根据中天盈信( ...
金工如何看行业(一):实际利率如何定价黄金
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 06:02
[Table_Title] 金工如何看行业(一): 金融工程丨深度报告 实际利率如何定价黄金 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 黄金对实际利率变化的反应存在非对称性,实际利率下行周期中金价上涨弹性,高于上行周期 中金价下跌弹性。对 2023 年 10 月以来实际利率高位震荡下行区间内的上行、下行小级别周期 分段回归,计算黄金价格中由实际利率定价的中枢。当前(截至 2025.11.21)金价向上偏离幅 度较大,短期或存在均值回归需求。中长期来看,随着美联储降息周期持续,金价的利率定价 中枢或将持续上移,为金价走高提供支撑。在降息、央行购金、ETF 购金等情景假设下,2026 年金价中枢位置或在 5400~5600 美元/盎司区间。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邓越 刘胜利 SAC:S0490517070010 SAC:S0490517070006 SFC:BWH883 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 26 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title2 ...
AI 系列跟踪(82):Gemini 3 Pro 和 Nano Banana Pro 重磅上线,全维度能力实现跃升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 00:41
[Table_Author] SAC:S0490516080001 SFC:BUX177 高超 朱子愉 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] AI 系列跟踪(82):Gemini 3 Pro 和 Nano Banana Pro 重磅上线,全维度能力实现跃升 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 谷歌发布新一代大语言模型 Gemini 3,并将其部署至谷歌搜索的 AI 模式、Gemini 应用、API 接口、VertexAI 等核心产品;同时上线图像生成模型 Nano Banana Pro(Gemini 3 Pro Image), 走向专业制作级场景。在 AI 细分赛道中,我们看好:1)AI 玩具、工具等交互赛道;2)具备 流量&模型&数据优势的互联网大厂;3)海外已跑通商业模式,国内有望复制(广告、电商、 教育等)的垂直赛道;4)AI+游戏厂商。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title AI 系列跟踪(2] 82):Gemini 3 Pro 和 Nano Banana Pr ...
创新链系列——海外CXO 2025Q3跟踪
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-27 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨医疗保健 [Table_Title] 创新链系列——海外 CXO 2025Q3 跟踪 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 整体来看,业绩层面,海外 CXO 2025Q3 收入表现基本符合预期,其中 M 端业绩好于 R 端, 临床 CRO 整体好于临床前 CRO。需求层面,几家公司 RFP、新签订单、在手订单基本都呈现 环比持平或进一步向好态势,Pharma 需求稳中向好,Biotech 需求略微复苏,生物科技融资环 境 2025Q3 显示出改善迹象。细分环节来看,CRO 需求端渐趋改善,RFP 和订单端趋势向好, 且正逐渐从订单端传导至业绩端;CDMO 展现出较强韧性。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 彭英骐 万梦蝶 SAC:S0490524030005 SAC:S0490525050001 SFC:BUZ392 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 医疗保健 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 创新链系列——海外 CXO 2025Q3 跟踪 [Table_Summary2] ...
天奈科技(688116):2025三季报分析:经营业绩短期波动,中期看好新技术&新业务&新基地增量
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-27 15:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 347 million yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decline of 11.79%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.91%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 79 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.26% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 35.41%. The non-recurring net profit was 69 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33.38% [2][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a significant profit growth rate that outpaced revenue growth, indicating effective cost control and product structure optimization. The company expects strong growth in shipments, maintaining high capacity utilization and an optimized supply-demand structure. The single-walled carbon nanotube (SWCNT) is identified as the core growth driver, with its share in solid/semi-solid customers expected to rise from 70% to over 80% [9][10]. - The company reported a net profit margin of 23.06%, with significant improvements across various expense ratios: sales expense ratio at 0.85%, management expense ratio at 5.75%, R&D expense ratio at 8.05%, and financial expense ratio at 2.46% [9][10]. - Operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was 93 million yuan, with capital expenditures of 51 million yuan. The company has established a strategic partnership with a research team from Tsinghua University, focusing on cutting-edge research in carbon-based materials [9][10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its rapid growth as a leader in carbon nanotube technology, driven by increasing downstream demand. The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2026 is approximately 700 million yuan [9][10].
壹石通(688733):2025三季报分析:勃姆石业务底部盘整,看好SOFC后续放量弹性
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-27 15:19
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨壹石通(688733.SH) [Table_Title] 壹石通2025 三季报分析:勃姆石业务底部盘整, 看好 SOFC 后续放量弹性 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 壹石通发布 2025 年三季报,2025Q3 公司实现收入 1.63 亿元,同比增长 20.47%,环比增长 7.73%,归母净利润 0.04 亿元,扣非净利润-0.1 亿元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 壹石通(688733.SH) cjzqdt11111 邬博华 曹海花 叶之楠 SAC:S0490514040001 SAC:S0490522030001 SAC:S0490520090003 SFC:BQK482 [Table_Title 壹石通 20252] 三季报分析:勃姆石业务底部盘 整,看好 SOFC 后续放量弹性 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 壹石通发布 2025 年三季报,2025Q3 ...
1-10月工业企业利润点评:企业盈利的修复预期还在吗
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-27 15:18
Group 1: Profit and Revenue Trends - In October, the profit growth rate of industrial enterprises turned negative at -5.5%, marking three consecutive months of negative growth[3] - The revenue growth rate also turned negative at -3.3% in October, indicating a significant decline in both profit and revenue[5] - The two-year compound growth rate for profits fell to -7.8%, reflecting ongoing pressure on profit recovery despite base effects being excluded[3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Mining sector profits decreased by 12.0%, while manufacturing profits fell by 9.2% in October[6] - State-owned enterprises saw profit growth slow to 3.6% in October, down from previous high growth rates[6] - The computer electronics and automotive sectors were among the top contributors to profit growth, collectively adding 2.6 percentage points to overall profits[6] Group 3: Inventory and Turnover Issues - By the end of October, the nominal growth rate of industrial product inventories rose to 3.7%, indicating increased inventory pressure[6] - The inventory turnover days increased to 20.4 days, and accounts receivable turnover days rose to 69.8 days, highlighting growing turnover pressures[6] Group 4: Future Outlook - There is potential for profit recovery in the first half of next year, supported by anticipated domestic demand policies and a possible global industrial cycle recovery due to U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts[3] - The government is expected to implement framework policies to stabilize growth ahead of the upcoming Two Sessions[3]