Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][14]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 1.376 billion yuan, down 35.68% year-on-year, and a net profit of 11 million yuan, down 95.49% year-on-year. The Q4 revenue was 363 million yuan, down 36.15% year-on-year, with a net loss of 4 million yuan [1][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company continued to face challenges, achieving revenue of 163 million yuan, down 53.31% year-on-year, and a net loss of 54 million yuan [1][3]. - The integrated stove industry is under pressure due to a downturn in the real estate market, leading to reduced demand for new home renovations. The company is actively exploring the stock housing market and aims to establish over 200 demonstration stores for kitchen renovations by 2025 [7][8]. - Despite the challenges, the company is focusing on diversifying its product offerings, including the development of water-washing products and other kitchen appliances [7][8]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.376 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -35.7%. The net profit is expected to be 11 million yuan, with a dramatic decline of -95.5% [3][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be 0.23 yuan, with subsequent years showing gradual improvement: 0.27 yuan in 2026 and 0.34 yuan in 2027 [3][8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 475 in 2024 to 38 in 2027, indicating a potential recovery in profitability [3][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 67.32 CNY, based on expected growth in the energy storage business and new business developments [5][9]. Core Insights - The company's energy storage business is gradually ramping up, and the development of new business areas is promising. The traditional lithium battery business is under pressure due to supply-demand mismatches and increased competition, while the energy system business is expected to improve profitability as it scales [5][9]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 1.699 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 113.7%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was only 31 million CNY, down 91% year-on-year [4][9]. - The report highlights the company's multi-track layout, including expansion into the semiconductor and robotics industries, which is expected to inject new growth momentum [9]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.43 billion CNY, 3.02 billion CNY, and 3.63 billion CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 43%, 24.3%, and 20.3% [4][10]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 161 million CNY, 247 million CNY, and 321 million CNY, with growth rates of 425.9%, 52.8%, and 30.3% [4][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to increase from 0.21 CNY in 2024 to 2.23 CNY in 2027 [4][10]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 270 in 2024 to 26 in 2027, indicating improving valuation as earnings grow [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.60 yuan [2][9]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue of 10.771 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.69%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.437 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.50% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 35.31% [2][9]. - The report highlights the stabilization of coal prices and the downward trend in oil prices, indicating a potential clearing of risks. The company is expected to benefit from its upstream coal chemical projects, particularly in Xinjiang, which may significantly enhance profitability once operational [2][9]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 32.983 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 13.2%. By 2025, revenue is expected to rise to 46.268 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 40.3% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 6.338 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 12.2%, and is expected to reach 13.177 billion yuan in 2025, showing a significant growth rate of 107.9% [4][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.86 yuan in 2024 to 1.80 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 in 2024 and 9 in 2025 [4][10]. Operational Insights - In Q1 2025, the company reported sales volumes of polyethylene, polypropylene, and EVA at 51460, 49150, and 4710 tons respectively, with significant quarter-on-quarter increases [2][9]. - The report notes that the average procurement price of raw coal was approximately 494 yuan per ton in Q1, down by 91 yuan from the previous quarter, indicating a favorable cost environment for production [2][9]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the company's Xinjiang coal chemical projects will accelerate in construction due to increasing energy security concerns, with potential net profit contributions of approximately 12 billion yuan once operational [2][9]. - The company is expected to enter an upward profit cycle as oil price risks clear, with a projected net profit of 13.177 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 9 [2][9].

证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|低空经济周报（第 39 期） 海外市场观察：美股 eVTOL 标的 Archer 周 推荐（维持） 涨幅 50% 行业研究 交通运输 2025 年 05 月 18 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 电话：021-20572539 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 | | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | | 122 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | | 32,496.40 | 3.29 | | 流通市值(亿元) | | 27,825.55 | 3.54 | | 相对指数表现 | | | | | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | 绝对表现 | 1.8% | -1.2% | 6.7% | | 相对表现 | -1.3% | 0.8% | -0.1% | 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][14]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 1.376 billion yuan, down 35.68% year-on-year, and a net profit of 11 million yuan, down 95.49% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 continued this trend with revenue of 163 million yuan, down 53.31% year-on-year, and a net loss of 54 million yuan [1][3]. - The integrated stove industry is under pressure due to a downturn in the real estate market, which has led to a decrease in new home renovation demand. The company is actively exploring the stock housing market and aims to establish over 200 demonstration stores for kitchen renovations by 2025 [7][8]. - Despite the challenges, the company is focusing on diversifying its product offerings, including the development of water-washing products and other kitchen appliances, to create new growth opportunities [7][8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to have total revenue of 1.376 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -35.7%. The net profit is expected to be 11 million yuan, reflecting a -95.5% year-on-year growth rate. The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.23 yuan, with a projected increase to 0.27 yuan in 2026 and 0.34 yuan in 2027 [3][8]. - The company's gross margin for the first quarter of 2025 was 40.18%, showing a slight improvement from the previous quarter despite a year-on-year decline. The report highlights a significant increase in financial expenses due to interest costs from bond issuance [7][8]. - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 5.296 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 3.82 billion yuan. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 475 in 2024 to 38 by 2027 [4][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 67.32 CNY, based on expected growth in the energy storage business and new business developments [5][9]. Core Views - The energy storage business is gradually ramping up, and the company's expansion into new business areas is promising. The traditional lithium battery business is under pressure, but the energy storage segment is expected to improve profitability as it develops [5][9]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 1.699 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 113.7%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was only 31 million CNY, down 91% year-on-year [9][10]. - The report highlights the company's multi-track layout, which is expected to inject new growth momentum. This includes expansion into the semiconductor industry and a strategic partnership in the robotics sector [9][10]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company is projected to generate total revenues of 2.430 billion CNY in 2025, 3.020 billion CNY in 2026, and 3.634 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 43.0%, 24.3%, and 20.3% respectively [4][10]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise to 161 million CNY in 2025, 247 million CNY in 2026, and 321 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 425.9%, 52.8%, and 30.3% respectively [4][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to increase from 0.21 CNY in 2024 to 1.12 CNY in 2025, 1.71 CNY in 2026, and 2.23 CNY in 2027 [4][10]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 270 in 2024 to 51 in 2025, 34 in 2026, and 26 in 2027, indicating improving valuation as earnings grow [4][10].

证 券 研 究 报 告 银行业周报（20250512-20250518） 推荐（维持） 当前五大行 A 股股息率处于何种水平？ 银行 2025 年 05 月 18 日 华创证券研究所 2015-2025 年，大致可以划分为四个阶段：1）2Q15-1Q16，五大行季度平均股 息率震荡上行，平均股息率从 4.4%升至 5.3%；2）2Q16-1Q18，五大行季度平 均股息率震荡下行，从 5.3%降至 4.0%；3）2Q18-1Q23，五大行季度平均股息 率开启较长时间的震荡上行，从 4.4%升至 7.2%；4）2Q23-2Q25，五大行季度 平均股息率呈现较快下行趋势，从 6.3%降至 4.4%。当前水平处于 2015 年以 来的较低分位，与 2Q15 和 2Q18 水平相当。 与历史上当期的国债收益率相比，除了 1Q18 跑输 10 年期国债收益率之外， 其余时间五大行季度平均股息率均高于 10 年期国债收益率。其中 1Q20-2Q21， 高于 10 年期国债收益率 2pct；3Q21-2Q24，高于 10 年期国债收益率 3-4pct。 25 年以来仍然高于 10 年期国债收益率 2pct。 24 年所有 A ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the home appliance industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The proportion of actively managed equity funds holding home appliance stocks decreased in Q1 2025, primarily due to a temporary policy gap and consumer concerns leading to preemptive consumption [7][15] - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to expand, alleviating market concerns and boosting domestic demand for home appliances [7][15] - Leading home appliance companies are expanding into emerging markets, which is anticipated to steadily increase export revenues [7][15] - The report highlights the high dividend yield and stable operations of leading companies, indicating strong investment value in home appliance stocks [7][15] Summary by Sections Section 1: Fund Holdings in Home Appliances - The proportion of actively managed equity funds holding home appliance stocks was 5.51% in Q1 2025, down by 0.09 percentage points from the previous quarter [15] - The home appliance sector was over-allocated by 2.99%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points [15] Section 2: Sector Allocation Changes - Funds increased their allocation to the two-wheeler and black appliance sectors, with increases of 0.39 percentage points and 0.04 percentage points, respectively [20] - Conversely, the white appliance and small appliance sectors saw reductions in allocation, with decreases of 0.53 percentage points and 0.01 percentage points [20] Section 3: Key Stocks in Focus - Funds increased their holdings in Ninebot, Yadea, Chunfeng Power, and Hisense Visual, with increases of 0.26 percentage points, 0.04 percentage points, 0.04 percentage points, and 0.05 percentage points, respectively [67][70] - The report suggests that the "old-for-new" policy will continue to stimulate demand and improve product structure in the two-wheeler sector [70] - In the white appliance sector, the report notes a decline in fund holdings for Midea Group, Gree Electric, and Haier Smart Home, with decreases of 0.30 percentage points, 0.20 percentage points, and 0.04 percentage points, respectively [68][69]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) [1] Core Insights - Tencent's 1Q25 financial results exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 180 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 13%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus by 3% [1][8] - The NON-IFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was 61.3 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 22%, also exceeding Bloomberg's consensus by 3% [1][8] - The target price range is set between 545.69 and 606.33 HKD, with the current price at 508.00 HKD [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue structure for 1Q25 is as follows: - Gaming: 59.5 billion CNY (33% of total revenue), YOY +24% - Financial Technology and Enterprise Services: 54.9 billion CNY (31% of total revenue), YOY +5% - Social Networks: 32.6 billion CNY (18% of total revenue), YOY +7% - Marketing Services: 31.9 billion CNY (18% of total revenue), YOY +20% [15][26] Business Performance - The gaming segment continues to show strong performance, with both domestic and international markets exceeding expectations. Domestic gaming revenue was 42.9 billion CNY, YOY +24%, while international gaming revenue was 16.6 billion CNY, YOY +23% [20][18] - The social network segment's revenue growth was driven by mobile games, TME membership growth, and mini-game revenue sharing [26] - Marketing services revenue exceeded expectations due to increased user engagement and AI-driven advertising solutions, reaching 31.9 billion CNY, YOY +20% [30] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted to 728.6 billion CNY, 784.5 billion CNY, and 835.6 billion CNY respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 10%, 8%, and 7% [5] - The NON-IFRS net profit projections for the same period are 256.0 billion CNY, 288.6 billion CNY, and 313.1 billion CNY, with year-over-year growth rates of 15%, 13%, and 9% [5] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure (CAPEX) for the quarter reached 23.0 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 60%, representing 13% of total revenue [32]

金融工程 长期：长期动量模型所有宽基指数中性。 综合：A 股综合兵器 V3 模型看空。A 股综合国证 2000 模型看空。 港股模型： 证 券 研 究 报 告 金工周报 2025 年 05 月 18 日 【金工周报】（20250512-20250516） 看多信号变少，后市或小切大，维持中性震荡 本周回顾 本周市场普遍上涨，上证指数单周上涨 0.76%，创业板指单周上涨 1.38%。 A 股模型： 短期：成交量模型中性。低波动率模型中性。特征龙虎榜机构模型中性。特征 成交量模型看空。智能沪深 300 模型看空，智能中证 500 模型看多。 中期：涨跌停模型中性。月历效应模型中性。 中期：成交额倒波幅模型看空。 本周行业指数普遍上涨，涨幅前五的行业为：汽车、非银行金融、商贸零售、 交通运输、综合，跌幅前五的行业为：国防军工、计算机、综合金融、电子、 传媒。从资金流向角度来说，煤炭、医药、建材、家电主力资金净流入居前， 计算机、电子、国防军工、机械、电力设备及新能源主力资金净流出居前。 本周股票型基金总仓位为 91.59%，相较于上周减少了 57 个 bps，混合型基金 总仓位 72.46%，相较于上周减少了 2 ...