Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market" for the textile and apparel industry [1] Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry has shown a mixed performance in recent months, with notable developments in the jewelry sector, particularly for Chow Tai Fook, which reported a narrowing decline in same-store sales [3][19] - The retail value for Chow Tai Fook in FY26Q1 decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a 3.3% decline in mainland China, while the Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas markets saw a 7.8% increase [19] - The performance of gold products in mainland China has been strong, contributing positively to sales gross margins, with retail value for high-margin priced gold products increasing by 20.8% year-on-year [20] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Observations - Chow Tai Fook's same-store sales decline has continued to narrow, with a reported 3.3% decrease in mainland China and a 2.2% growth in the Hong Kong and Macau markets [3][5][19] 2. Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.45% increase this week, lagging behind the broader market performance [10][23] - The SW textile manufacturing sub-sector rose by 2.34%, while the apparel and home textile sectors increased by 1.37% [10][24] 3. Company Performance - Chow Tai Fook closed 311 stores in mainland China during FY26Q1, with a total of 5,963 stores remaining in the region [6][22] - The average selling price of gold jewelry in mainland China increased from 6,100 HKD to 6,900 HKD, while the average price for embedded products rose from 8,500 HKD to 9,600 HKD [21] 4. Industry Data Tracking - In the first half of 2025, China's textile and apparel exports saw a slight increase of 1.8%, while furniture exports decreased by 7% [51] - The retail sales of gold and silver jewelry grew by 6.1% year-on-year in June 2025, indicating stable demand in the market [59] 5. Industry News - LVMH reported a 4% decline in total revenue for the first half of 2025, but noted a significant improvement in demand in mainland China [70][71] - Moncler Group's revenue remained stable, with a slight increase of 1% year-on-year, reflecting resilience in the luxury market [73]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][8]. Core Views - The company's main business is experiencing steady growth, particularly in the transmission sector, which is strategically positioned for future opportunities [1][8]. - The acquisition of a 15% stake in Jinli Transmission expands the company's robotics business footprint, enhancing its product matrix [2][8]. - The company has a robust customer base, including major international automotive manufacturers, which supports its strong cash flow and profitability [4][5][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in high-temperature insulation mica products, primarily for the new energy vehicle sector, with a revenue growth from 522 million to 1.135 billion from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.6% [4][8]. - The net profit increased from 104 million to 230 million during the same period, with a CAGR of 30.2% [4][8]. Financial Performance - As of March 31, 2025, the company reported a gross margin of approximately 35% and a net margin of around 20% [4][8]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.87, 1.15, and 1.52 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 62.8, 47.7, and 36.0 [8][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is well-positioned to leverage its relationships with leading automotive manufacturers to expand its robotics business through strategic acquisitions [4][8]. - The acquisition of a 51% stake in Dizi Precision and the 15% stake in Jinli Transmission are part of the company's strategy to enhance its capabilities in micro transmission components [6][8]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, with projected revenues reaching 2.719 billion by 2027, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.8% [11][15]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing industrialization of robotics, positioning it for long-term growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-B" for the biopharmaceutical industry [1][9]. Core Insights - PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibodies combined with ADCs are expected to become first-line standard therapies for various tumors, with PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibodies being foundational in tumor immunotherapy [3][4]. - The combination of PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibodies and ADCs shows promise in overcoming resistance and improving overall response rates (ORR) in clinical settings [3][4]. - Keytruda combined with Nectin-4 ADC Padcev has already received FDA approval for first-line treatment of la/mUC, indicating the potential for similar combinations in other cancers [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The biopharmaceutical industry has shown significant market performance over the past year, with innovative drug developments leading the way [1]. Drug Evaluation - PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibodies are crucial in activating T cells for anti-tumor effects, and their combination with ADCs is expected to enhance ORR and provide new options for immune-resistant cases [3][4]. - Clinical trials indicate that PD-1/L1 monoclonal antibodies combined with TROP2 ADCs show superior progression-free survival (PFS) compared to traditional chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) [4][5]. Clinical Trial Results - In a clinical trial for first-line treatment of non-squamous, driver-gene-negative NSCLC, the combination of TROP2 ADC and PD-L1 monoclonal antibody showed an ORR of 59.3% and a median PFS of 15.0 months, outperforming chemotherapy [4]. - For TNBC, the combination of Keytruda and Trodelvy achieved a median PFS of 11.2 months, indicating a significant improvement over standard chemotherapy [4]. Future Outlook - The report highlights the potential of PD-1/L1 monoclonal antibodies combined with HER2 ADCs in treating HER2-positive gastric cancer, showing promising results in clinical trials [5]. - The PD-L1 ADC HLX43 demonstrated significant anti-tumor efficacy in late-stage NSCLC, with an ORR of 38.5% and a median PFS of 5.4 months [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information is provided in the content regarding the report's industry investment rating. Core Views of the Report - Interest rate swap curve inversions are mainly caused by economic fundamentals and capital price/liquidity factors, and in most cases, they can predict central bank reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, especially when reflecting market expectations of economic downturn and policy easing [2][67][68]. - The end of interest rate swap inversions usually means changes in the driving factors, which can be due to improved economic fundamentals, alleviated capital tightness, or implemented monetary policies. However, the monetary easing cycle may not stop immediately after the inversion ends [5][69]. - Interest rate swap inversions are not a necessary condition for monetary easing, which may be related to the central bank's control over inter - bank repo rates and the steeper yield curve after de - leveraging [6][70]. - When an interest rate swap curve inversion occurs, especially accompanied by weak economic fundamentals, it is a strong signal of future monetary policy easing. Investors and policymakers can use this signal to make decisions [7]. Summary by Directory I. Interest Rate Swap Curve Historical Inversion Situation Review - **2011 Inversion**: Occurred in August. On August 19, 5Y - 1Y/2Y - 1Y spreads turned negative. The deepest negative spreads of 5Y - 1Y and 2Y - 1Y were - 55.63bp and - 34.93bp respectively on September 6, 2011. High inflation in 2011 led to a tight monetary policy at first, but with inflation and economic growth down in Q3, long - term bond and IRS rates dropped rapidly under the expectation of monetary easing. The central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio in November [14][16]. - **2012 Inversion**: Had two rounds. The first was from the beginning of 2012 to mid - May, caused by capital rate fluctuations and easing expectations. The second was from July 11 to October 12, caused by reserve requirement ratio cut expectations due to weakening fundamentals. The end of the second inversion was related to the improvement of economic fundamentals [25][26][30]. - **2013 Inversion**: Concentrated in June. Due to tightened capital caused by factors like decreased foreign exchange inflows and the central bank's tight policy stance, it reached the extreme on June 20. The inversion ended after the central bank provided liquidity support on June 25 [36][38][39]. - **2015 Inversion**: Initially occurred at the end of 2014 and concentrated from late January to the end of March. It was caused by capital fluctuations and tightness during the New Year period and the stock market's "bull market". The inversion ended as capital prices dropped rapidly [43][44][51]. II. Whether the Interest Rate Swap Curve Can Predict Interest Rate Cuts - **2011**: The inversion predicted the central bank's reserve requirement ratio cut and interest rate cut, and foreshadowed a monetary easing cycle [54]. - **2012**: The first inversion accurately predicted reserve requirement ratio cuts, and the second predicted interest rate cuts [55]. - **2013**: The inversion did not predict reserve requirement ratio cuts or interest rate cuts due to the "cash crunch" [56]. - **2015**: The inversion predicted subsequent reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. The end of the inversion did not mean the end of monetary easing [57][59]. III. Summary - **Reasons and Characteristics of Interest Rate Swap Curve Inversion**: Mainly caused by economic fundamentals (such as economic slowdown and inflation decline) and capital price/liquidity factors (such as capital tightness) [67]. - **Prediction Effect of Interest Rate Swap Curve on Reserve Requirement Ratio Cuts and Interest Rate Cuts**: In most cases, it can predict reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, especially when reflecting economic downturn and policy easing expectations. It may lead the monetary easing cycle [68]. - **Meaning of the End of Interest Rate Swap Inversion**: It usually means changes in the driving factors, including improved economic fundamentals, alleviated capital tightness, or implemented monetary policies [69]. - **Interest Rate Swap Inversion Is Not a Necessary Condition for Monetary Easing**: This may be related to the central bank's control over inter - bank repo rates and the steeper yield curve after de - leveraging [70]. - **How to Use the Swap Inversion Signal**: When an inversion occurs, especially with weak economic fundamentals, it signals future monetary policy easing. Investors and policymakers can use it as a reference [71].

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant advancements in AI technology, particularly with the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent, which enhances the ability to perform complex tasks and is expected to drive demand for GPU computing and cloud servers [6][9] - The automotive parts industry is undergoing transformation, with companies like Modin Manufacturing successfully pivoting from traditional automotive components to comprehensive thermal management solutions for data centers and electric vehicles [10][11][13] - The coal industry is experiencing a decline in import volumes, with June 2025 showing a year-on-year decrease of 25.92%, indicating a shift in market dynamics and potential investment opportunities in coal debt [16][14] Industry Commentary Communication Sector - OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent has been launched, significantly improving its ability to complete complex tasks, which is expected to increase the demand for computational power [6] - The upcoming release of GPT-5 is anticipated to further enhance AI capabilities, as demonstrated by recent achievements in reasoning tasks [6] Automotive Parts Sector - Modin Manufacturing has successfully transitioned to a multi-sector thermal management company, with a focus on data centers and electric vehicles, achieving a revenue CAGR of 14.57% from 2022 to 2024 [11][13] - The company’s strategic acquisitions have strengthened its position in the data center market, with projected revenue growth of 69% in 2024 [13] Coal Industry - The coal import volume has been on a decline, with a notable drop in June 2025, suggesting a need for careful monitoring of coal companies' cash flow and creditworthiness [16][14] - The report suggests that the coal market is attempting to reach a new equilibrium, with domestic coal prices beginning to rebound [16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the communication industry [1]. Core Insights - OpenAI has launched the new ChatGPT Agent, significantly enhancing its ability to perform complex, long-duration tasks, which is expected to drive demand for GPU computing and cloud servers [2][3][16]. - OpenAI's latest reasoning model has achieved gold medal status at the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO), indicating a major advancement in reasoning capabilities and foreshadowing the upcoming release of GPT-5 [4][17]. - NVIDIA's Jetson Thor is set to be released, marking a breakthrough in physical and embodied AI, with significant computational power that is expected to propel industry growth [5][18]. - The computing sector is experiencing a surge, with leading companies in the IDC supply chain reaching new highs, driven by improved earnings confidence and long-term demand expectations [8][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent can automate various tasks and has been made available to Pro, Plus, and Team subscribers, with usage limits based on subscription type [3][16]. - The new reasoning model from OpenAI has achieved a score of 44.4 in the Human Last Exam (HLE) assessment, the highest publicly available score in the industry [3][16]. - NVIDIA's Jetson Thor products, T4000 and T5000, are set to launch, boasting high computational capabilities and compatibility with existing AI platforms [5][18]. Market Performance - The overall market saw an increase during the week of July 14-18, 2025, with the Shenwan Communication Index rising by 7.56% [9][21]. - The top-performing sectors included optical modules (+27.45%), liquid cooling (+10.16%), and IDC (+10.01%) [9][21]. - Notable individual stock performances included gains of +39.01% for Xinyisheng and +24.33% for Zhongji Xuchuang [9][21]. Recommendations - Companies to focus on include Zhongji Xuchuang, Dongshan Precision, Guangku Technology, and others in the overseas computing sector, as well as companies like Ruixinwei and Tianzhun Technology in the edge AI sector [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "A" rating for the automotive parts sector, particularly focusing on thermal management equipment [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the successful transformation of Modine Manufacturing from a traditional automotive thermal management company to a comprehensive thermal management solutions provider across multiple sectors, including data centers and electric vehicles [3][22]. - Modine's revenue for the fiscal year 2024 is projected to reach $2.408 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $314 million, showcasing significant growth and strategic repositioning [2][22]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for data center cooling solutions, particularly liquid cooling technologies, which are expected to grow at a CAGR of 18% from 2024 to 2027 [61][83]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Modine Manufacturing, established in 1916, has evolved into a leading provider of thermal management solutions, focusing on high-efficiency heat exchange technologies and liquid cooling systems across various industries [13][22]. - The company has successfully transitioned from automotive-focused operations to include significant investments in data centers and electric vehicles, driven by its 80/20 strategy [22][39]. 2. Strategic Transformation - Modine's strategic transformation is categorized into three phases: initial focus on automotive solutions, diversification into various industries, and the current emphasis on high-return sectors through the 80/20 strategy [33][35]. - The 80/20 strategy has allowed Modine to concentrate resources on high-growth areas, leading to substantial revenue increases, particularly in data center and electric vehicle markets [39][52]. 3. Market Demand and Growth - The report identifies a robust demand for data center cooling solutions, with the market for liquid cooling expected to expand significantly due to increasing energy efficiency requirements and the growing scale of data centers [67][83]. - By 2025, the liquid cooling data center market in China is projected to reach approximately 30 billion yuan, driven by the need for enhanced energy efficiency and the rising power consumption of data center equipment [83][86]. 4. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests focusing on companies like Silver Wheel Co., Ltd. and Feilong Co., Ltd., which are actively expanding their thermal management solutions in the data center sector [91][92]. - These companies are positioned to leverage the growing demand for advanced cooling technologies, particularly in liquid cooling and immersion cooling systems [91][92].

煤炭 2025 年二季度煤炭债复盘 同步大市-A(维持) 平稳接续，久期继续拉升 【山证煤炭】煤炭月度供需数据点评 6 月："反内卷"改变政策方向，夏季煤价 反弹 2025.7.17 【山证煤炭】盈利能力尚可，红利价值 仍有交易空间-【山证煤炭】煤炭行业 2024 年 报 及 2025 年 一 季 报 综 述 ： 2025.7.5 分析师： 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 首选股票 评级 二季度煤价淡季特征，关注久期控制。二季度煤炭市场淡季特 征明显，行业盈利能力继续下降，部分尾部主体出现内部亏损 面较大和亏现金流等现象，建议提高对煤企获现能力的观察。 考虑过去几年煤炭企业的盈利累积，我们认为短期风险仍然可 控，市场尚未重点交易煤炭利差。但考虑煤炭债平均久期不断 创新高和基本面不断弱化，市场对煤炭信用品的认可程度或有 所变化，未来不排除机构增加控久期行为。 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 2025 年 7 月 25 日 行业研究/行业分析 煤炭板块近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 投资要点： 相关报告： "信用捆绑"仍坚固，"高息债务置换"和"资源 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights that 2025 is a pivotal year for the military industry, with a recovery in performance expected in the second half due to the release of delayed orders and the initiation of the 14th Five-Year Plan [5][6] - The global geopolitical landscape is entering a period of turmoil, which is anticipated to drive an unprecedented increase in military spending, benefiting China's military exports [5][6] - The Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center is positioned to play a crucial role in satellite internet construction, with its capabilities expected to enhance the deployment of low Earth orbit satellite constellations [5][6] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing a positive trend, with 26 listed brokerages reporting a net profit growth rate exceeding 40% for the first half of the year, driven by increased trading activity and investment banking services [7] - The new materials sector has shown a mixed performance, with the new materials index rising by 1.37%, while specific sub-sectors like synthetic biology and industrial gases have seen notable increases [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory measures in the new energy vehicle industry to curb irrational competition, which is expected to improve profitability across the supply chain [8]

Group 1 - The report indicates that 2025 is a pivotal year for the military industry, with delayed orders from the 14th Five-Year Plan gradually being released, leading to improved demand and a recovery in performance expected in the second half of 2025 [2][13] - The military industry is anticipated to enter a new growth phase due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan, which will drive military spending upward [3][24] - The report highlights that the military trade market is experiencing heightened expectations, particularly influenced by events such as the 2024 Zhuhai Airshow and the ongoing India-Pakistan conflict [2][3] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center in the future development of satellite internet, with its capabilities being comparable to or even superior to those of Vandenberg Space Force Base [4][24] - The military industry is recommended to focus on the missile weapon industry chain, new aviation equipment industry chain, and unmanned equipment industry chain, with specific companies highlighted for their strategic positions [4][6] - Key companies to watch include Beifang Navigation and Aerospace Electric in the missile weapon industry chain, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC High-Tech in the new aviation equipment industry chain, and Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group in the unmanned equipment industry chain [6][4] Group 3 - The military industry has shown a significant performance recovery, with the index rising by 8.85% compared to the beginning of 2025, driven by improved market sentiment and military trade expectations [14][20] - The report notes that the military industry has maintained a high valuation level, with a PE/TTM ratio of 83X, indicating strong institutional interest and a potential for further growth [17][20] - The military industry is expected to benefit from the global trend of increasing military expenditures, with China's defense industry poised to reshape the high-end military trade market [3][24]