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卓越新能(688196):生物柴油量价齐升,新建项目进入收获期
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 13:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth driven by its biodiesel and related products, with a 26.73% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 3.563 billion yuan [5] - The net profit for 2024 increased by 89.57% year-on-year, amounting to 149 million yuan, indicating strong profitability [5] - The company is expanding its production capacity with new projects, including a 50,000-ton natural fatty alcohol project and a 100,000-ton hydrocarbon-based biodiesel project, which are expected to enhance future earnings [7][9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 3.563 billion yuan, with a net profit of 149 million yuan, and a gross profit margin of 7.1% [8] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 4.783 billion yuan, with net profits expected to rise to 634 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 325.2% [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase significantly from 1.24 yuan in 2024 to 5.28 yuan in 2025 [10] Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its sales network in Europe and Asia to enhance its market presence, particularly in biodiesel and high-value bio-based materials [6][9] - The strategic focus on cost-effective production through internal sourcing of raw materials is expected to improve profit margins [6][9] - The company is also exploring opportunities in the palm oil and waste oil price differential, which has seen significant increases recently [6]
天山铝业(002532):利润高企,成长性明显
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 09:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit growth, with a 102.03% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024, driven by rising alumina prices and production increases [6] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its full industry chain layout, which mitigates the impact of fluctuating alumina prices [6] - New projects in Guinea and Guangxi are set to enhance the company's resource base and production capacity, contributing to future profit growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 280.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.06% year-on-year, while net profit reached 44.55 billion yuan [6] - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 60 billion yuan, 64 billion yuan, and 62 billion yuan respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve, with projections of 28.6% in 2025 and 26.0% in 2026 [7] Market Comparison - The company's stock has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with absolute returns of -19.93% over the past month [4] - The report highlights the company's resilience in maintaining profitability despite market fluctuations, particularly in the alumina and electrolytic aluminum sectors [6] Production and Capacity - The company produced 1.1759 million tons of electrolytic aluminum in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, and 2.2789 million tons of alumina, a 7.55% increase [6] - New mining projects in Guinea and Guangxi are expected to significantly boost the company's production capacity and resource availability [6]
天山铝业:利润高企,成长性明显
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit growth, with a 102.03% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024, driven by rising alumina prices and production increases [6] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its full industry chain layout, which mitigates the impact of fluctuating alumina prices [6] - New projects in Guinea and Guangxi are set to enhance the company's resource base and production capacity, contributing to future profit growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 280.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.06% year-on-year, while net profit reached 44.55 billion yuan [6] - The company's projected profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 60 billion yuan, 64 billion yuan, and 62 billion yuan respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6] - The gross profit margin is expected to rise significantly, with estimates of 28.6% in 2025 and 26.0% in 2026 [7] Production and Market Trends - The company produced 1.1759 million tons of electrolytic aluminum in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, and 2.2789 million tons of alumina, a 7.55% increase [6] - Alumina prices have shown a gradual increase in 2024, with average prices rising from 3,365 yuan/ton in Q1 to 5,312 yuan/ton in Q2 [6] - Despite a recent decline in alumina prices, the company is expected to maintain profitability due to improved margins in other segments of the industry [6]
基础化工行业周报:外部环境扰动,重申民爆板块的机遇性!
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 08:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 基础化工 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 王华炳 资格编号:S0120524100001 邮箱:wanghb3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 22% 29% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 基础化工 沪深300 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 相关研究 1.《江南化工(002226.SZ):外延 收购增厚业绩,海外拓疆助力成长》, 2025.4.18 2.《聚氨酯行业更新:万华收购康睿 HDI 工厂,关注行业格局优化》, 2025.4.13 3.《涤纶长丝行业更新:油价风险释 放&需求预期改善,龙头估值有望修 复》,2025.4.13 4.《春潮涌动!关注脂肪醇投资机 会》,2025.4.13 5.《宝丰能源(600989.SH):一季 度业绩高增,烯烃量利齐升!》, 2025.4.10 基础化工 2025 年 04 月 20 日 外部环境扰动,重申民爆板块的 机遇性! [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 本周基础化工板块表现弱于大盘。根据 Wind,本周(4/10-4/18)上证 ...
有色金属行业周报:特朗普连续喊话美联储,关注贵金属表现
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 08:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 有色金属 高嘉麒 资格编号:S0120523070003 邮箱:gaojq@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 22% 29% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 有色金属 沪深300 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 2025 年 04 月 20 日 有色金属 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 相关研究 1.《有色金属周报:避险资金狂飙, 黄金破新高后仍为主线》,2025.4.12 2.《关税政策变化,工业金属修复》, 2025.4.11 3.《有色金属周报:对美关税反制, 战略金属价值显现,黄金再迎布局良 机》,2025.4.7 4.《黄金:万里长征方起步》, 2025.4.1 5.《赤峰黄金:提产降本推动利润提 升》,2025.4.1 有色金属周报:特朗普连续喊话 美联储,关注贵金属表现 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 贵金属:周内金 ...
煤炭行业周报:煤价震荡寻底,关注板块红利属性
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 08:23
煤炭 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 谢佶圆 邮箱:xiejy@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -34% -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 煤炭开采 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据、德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《煤炭行业月报:3 月进口同比转 负,静待后续需求改善》, 2025.4.18 2.《煤炭周报:煤价底部企稳,回 购增持彰显板块价值》,2025.4.12 3.《煤炭周报:成本支撑显现,煤 价止跌企稳》,2025.4.6 4.《中国旭阳集团(1907.HK): 传统业务显韧性,新兴领域迎发 展》,2025.4.3 5.《兖矿能源(600188.SH):成 本管控优异,成长空间广阔》, 2025.3.30 煤炭开采 2025 年 04 月 20 日 煤炭周报:煤价震荡寻底,关注 板块红利属性 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 投资建议:2024 年 9 月政治局会议开启经济支持新篇章,结合近两年供给持续弱 化,煤炭板块基本面 ...
外部环境扰动,重申民爆板块的机遇性
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 08:17
基础化工 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 王华炳 资格编号:S0120524100001 邮箱:wanghb3@tebon.com.cn [Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 04 月 20 日 外部环境扰动,重申民爆板块的 机遇性! 市场表现 -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 22% 29% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 基础化工 沪深300 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 相关研究 1.《江南化工(002226.SZ):外延 收购增厚业绩,海外拓疆助力成长》, 2025.4.18 2.《聚氨酯行业更新:万华收购康睿 HDI 工厂,关注行业格局优化》, 2025.4.13 3.《涤纶长丝行业更新:油价风险释 放&需求预期改善,龙头估值有望修 复》,2025.4.13 4.《春潮涌动!关注脂肪醇投资机 会》,2025.4.13 5.《宝丰能源(600989.SH):一季 度业绩高增,烯烃量利齐升!》, 2025.4.10 基础化工 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 本周基础化工板块表现弱于大盘。根据 Wind,本周(4/10-4/18)上证 ...
有色金属周报:特朗普连续喊话美联储,关注贵金属表现-20250420
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 07:44
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 有色金属 2025 年 04 月 20 日 有色金属 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号:S0120523070003 邮箱:gaojq@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 22% 29% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 有色金属 沪深300 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 相关研究 1.《有色金属周报:避险资金狂飙, 黄金破新高后仍为主线》,2025.4.12 2.《关税政策变化,工业金属修复》, 2025.4.11 3.《有色金属周报:对美关税反制, 战略金属价值显现,黄金再迎布局良 机》,2025.4.7 4.《黄金:万里长征方起步》, 2025.4.1 5.《赤峰黄金:提产降本推动利润提 升》,2025.4.1 有色金属周报:特朗普连续喊话 美联储,关注贵金属表现 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 贵金属:周内金 ...
煤炭周报:煤价震荡寻底,关注板块红利属性-20250420
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 06:46
煤炭 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 谢佶圆 邮箱:xiejy@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -34% -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 煤炭开采 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据、德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《煤炭行业月报:3 月进口同比转 负,静待后续需求改善》, 2025.4.18 2.《煤炭周报:煤价底部企稳,回 购增持彰显板块价值》,2025.4.12 3.《煤炭周报:成本支撑显现,煤 价止跌企稳》,2025.4.6 4.《中国旭阳集团(1907.HK): 传统业务显韧性,新兴领域迎发 展》,2025.4.3 5.《兖矿能源(600188.SH):成 本管控优异,成长空间广阔》, 2025.3.30 煤炭开采 2025 年 04 月 20 日 煤炭周报:煤价震荡寻底,关注 板块红利属性 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 投资建议:2024 年 9 月政治局会议开启经济支持新篇章, ...
通信行业周报:DeepSeek之后Cloudmatrix规模上线,“关税战”加速国产AI成熟
Tebon Securities· 2025-04-20 05:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the effectiveness of the "Trump 2.0" tariff measures is diminished, as China's self-sufficiency in consumer electronics and semiconductors has shown significant progress, making it increasingly irreplaceable on a global scale [10][11] - The report notes that the recent U.S. restrictions on chip exports have intensified the supply-demand imbalance in the domestic market, presenting opportunities for domestic supply chains [11][12] - The report emphasizes the ongoing improvement in China's chip self-sufficiency, with a target of 70% by 2025, and highlights significant developments in domestic computing power [13][14] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - **Tariff Measures**: The impact of the "Trump 2.0" tariffs is less significant compared to previous trade tensions, as China's electronics and semiconductor sectors have become more self-reliant [10] - **Domestic Opportunities**: U.S. restrictions on chip exports are creating a vacuum in the domestic market, leading to potential investment opportunities in local supply chains [11] - **Chip Self-Sufficiency**: China's chip self-sufficiency is improving, with current rates exceeding 25% and a target of 70% by 2025 [13] Industry News - **Tariff Updates**: The Chinese government has imposed an 84% tariff on U.S. imports, while some exemptions have been granted for specific products, indicating ongoing trade tensions [14] - **Cloud Computing Standards**: The first national standard for cloud supercomputing (GB/T 45400-2025) has been released, which is expected to enhance the infrastructure for high-performance computing in China [15] - **Telecom Procurement**: China Telecom's recent procurement results show a 67.5% localization rate for servers, indicating significant progress in domestic alternatives [16][17] Weekly Review and Focus - **Market Performance**: The telecommunications sector outperformed the broader market, with a 1.39% increase compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.19% rise [19] - **Investment Focus**: The report suggests focusing on domestic computing power and AIDC-related companies for potential investment opportunities [23]