Workflow
icon
Search documents
电力设备行业跟踪周报:容量电价政策出台,储能锂电优质龙头利好-20260202
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The introduction of a national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to benefit leading lithium battery companies significantly [1] - The report highlights a strong growth forecast for energy storage, with an expected increase of over 60% in 2026, driven by robust demand in emerging markets and data center storage [4][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of solid-state batteries and the space photovoltaic sector, indicating a promising outlook for these technologies [4][8] Industry Overview - The energy storage sector is experiencing a surge, with the National Energy Administration reporting an addition of 62.24 GW/183 GWh of new energy storage capacity by 2025 [4] - The report notes a decline in various sectors, including photovoltaic and lithium batteries, with significant price adjustments observed in raw materials [4] - The report discusses the global energy storage market, predicting a compound annual growth rate of 30-50% over the next three years [4] Company Performance - Companies like Ningde Times and BYD are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential, with Ningde Times being a global leader in power and energy storage batteries [7] - The report provides earnings forecasts for various companies, indicating a recovery in profitability for several firms, including Ganfeng Lithium and Enjie [4][7] - Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their growth trajectories and market positions, including Ningde Times, Sunshine Power, and others [7][8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strong push for energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from the new capacity pricing policy [4][8] - It also highlights the importance of solid-state battery technology and the anticipated growth in the humanoid robotics sector, with Tesla leading the charge [4][8] - The report recommends a diversified investment approach across various segments, including energy storage, lithium batteries, and robotics, to capitalize on emerging opportunities [4][8]
智能汽车主线周报:特斯拉FSD订阅量达到110万,看好智能化
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:25
证券研究报告 智能汽车主线周报: 特斯拉FSD订阅量达到110万,看好智能化 证券分析师 :黄细里 执业证书编号:S0600520010001 联系邮箱:huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2026年2月1日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注:若无特殊说明,"本周"均代表2026.1.26-2026.2.1 2 ◼ 本周智能汽车行情复盘:我们编撰的智能汽车指数-1.3%,智能汽车指数(除特斯拉)+1.9%,智能汽车指 数(除整车)-7.1%。截至2026年1月30日,智能汽车指数PS(TTM)为15.2x,该估值位于2023年初以来 99%分位数;智能汽车指数(除特斯拉)PS(TTM)为5.9x,该估值位于2023年初以来83%分位数;智能 汽车指数(除整车)PS(TTM)为9.9x,该估值位于2023年初以来81%分位数。智能汽车指数标的池中星宇 股份、如祺出行、经纬恒润、福耀玻璃、理想汽车涨幅前五。 ( ◼ 本周行业核心变化:1)截至2025Q4,特斯拉FSD订阅量达到110万;1)千里科技印奇出任阶跃星辰董事长; 2)小马智行与爱特博达成业务合作;3)文远知行发布通用仿真模型WeRid ...
整车主线周报:本周商用载货车表现较好,长城发布业绩预告
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:25
证券研究报告 证券分析师 :黄细里 执业证书编号:S0600520010001 联系邮箱:huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2026年2月1日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 板块最新观点 整车主线周报: 本周商用载货车表现较好,长城发布业绩预告 2 ( ◼ 乘用车观点更新:短期来看,行业补贴政策已落地,看好观望需求转化下26Q1乘用车景气度复苏,坚定看好乘 用车板块。全年维度来看:国内选抗波动+出口选确定性。国内关注高端电动化赛道中对政策扰动不敏感的个股 江淮汽车,以及高端化有望放量的吉利汽车/长城汽车/北汽蓝谷/赛力斯/理想等;出口主线优先配置海外体系 成熟、执行能力已验证的头部车企,优选比亚迪/长城汽车/奇瑞汽车,以及零跑/小鹏/上汽集团/长安汽车等。 ◼ 重卡观点更新:回顾2025:2025年,25年全年批发114.4万,同比+26.8%,内销79.9万,同比+32.8%,出 口34.1万,同比+17.2%,全年内销及出口超市场年初预期。25年初国四及以下营运重卡保有量69万辆,估算 25年底淘汰至45-50万辆,25年全年淘汰21万辆,25年全年内销政策拉动+自然需求回升共振。展望2026: ...
电力设备行业跟踪周报:容量电价政策出台,储能锂电优质龙头利好
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The introduction of a national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to benefit leading lithium battery companies significantly [4] - The report highlights a strong growth forecast for energy storage, with an expected increase of over 60% in 2026, driven by high demand and supportive policies [4][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of solid-state batteries and the space photovoltaic sector, indicating a promising outlook for these technologies [4][8] Industry Trends - Energy Storage: The national capacity pricing mechanism has been released, marking a significant policy shift. The National Energy Administration has reported an addition of 62.24 GW/183 GWh of new energy storage capacity by 2025 [4] - Electric Vehicles: The report anticipates a recovery in electric vehicle sales, with a projected increase of 5-10% in domestic sales for 2026 [4] - Lithium Battery Market: The report notes a significant increase in lithium battery shipments, with a forecast of 1100 GWh globally in 2026, representing a 72% year-on-year growth [4] Company Insights - CATL (宁德时代) is highlighted as a global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with a low valuation and confirmed growth trajectory [7] - Other companies such as 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply), 固德威 (GoodWe), and 比亚迪 (BYD) are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [7] - The report mentions specific financial forecasts for various companies, indicating expected profitability improvements and revenue growth in the coming years [4][7] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strong push for large-scale energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with a focus on leading companies that are expected to benefit from policy changes and market demand [4][8] - It recommends investing in companies with strong technological advantages and overseas market expansion capabilities, particularly in the robotics and automation sectors [4][8]
商贸零售行业跟踪周报:2026年消费-商贸零售&社会服务业的八大预测
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:24
增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [本Table_Summary] 周行业观点(注:文中"本周"指 1 月 26 日至 2 月 1 日) 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·商贸零售 商贸零售行业跟踪周报 2026 年消费-商贸零售&社会服务业的八大 预测 2026 年 02 月 01 日 证券分析师 吴劲草 相关研究 《陕西旅游主板 IPO 过会,招股书详 细拆解》 执业证书:S0600520090006 wujc@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石旖瑄 执业证书:S0600522040001 shiyx@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张家璇 执业证书:S0600520120002 zhangjx@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阳靖 执业证书:S0600523020005 yangjing@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郗越 执业证书:S0600524080008 xiy@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 王琳婧 执业证书:S0600525070003 wanglj@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% ...
商贸零售行业跟踪周报:2026年消费:商贸零售、社会服务业的八大预测-20260201
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-01 15:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail and consumer services industry for 2026 [1] Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant number of consumption-promoting policies in 2026, focusing on "supply-side" initiatives rather than traditional methods like vouchers, leading to structural investment opportunities [4][9] - Service consumption is expected to be a key area in 2026, with a focus on "quality supply" and "reform," particularly in tourism, department stores, tea drinks, and chain stores [4][9] - The gold and jewelry sector is projected to see profits reflect gold price fluctuations, with direct retail brands likely to benefit first as gold prices stabilize [10] - The bulk trade sector is expected to recover from its lowest point, with both valuation and profitability anticipated to rise in 2026 [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of "consumption going abroad" as a long-term investment direction, with opportunities arising from sustained performance growth rather than policy stimulus [10] - New consumption brands are expected to show a clear resurgence after the Lunar New Year, with low valuations and anticipated positive performance data [11] - State-owned enterprise reform is highlighted as a core driver for promoting consumption, particularly in scenario-based consumption areas like tourism and retail [12] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Outlook - The report predicts numerous consumption policies aimed at encouraging new business models, leading to rich structural investment opportunities in the consumer sector [4][9] - Service consumption will focus on quality supply and reforms, with recommendations for specific companies in tourism and retail sectors [4][9] 2. Market Review - The report notes that from January 26 to February 1, the retail index rose by 2.16%, while the overall market indices showed varied performance [13][14] - Year-to-date performance indicates a 4.92% increase in the retail index, reflecting positive market sentiment [16] 3. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a detailed valuation table for various companies, highlighting their market capitalization, closing prices, and projected earnings for 2024 to 2026, with specific buy and hold recommendations [18][19]
非银金融行业跟踪周报:券商股或迎业绩催化,保险估值仍待提升-20260201
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-01 14:38
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 非银金融 沪深300 券商股或迎业绩催化;保险估值仍待提升 2026 年 02 月 01 日 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书:S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 罗宇康 执业证书:S0600525090002 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 相关研究 《保险行业 12 月保费:产寿 25Q4 保 费增速均有所放缓,看好寿险 2026 年 新单增长》 2026-01-31 《公募基金业绩基准指引正式发布; "保险+康养"模式持续推进》 2026-01-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 18 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现:最近 5 个交易日(2026 年 01 月 26 日-2026 年 01 月 30 日)非银金融各子板块中仅保险行 ...
医药生物行业跟踪周报:降息等多因素支持科研上游持续复苏,重点推荐皓元医药、奥浦迈等
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-01 12:24
2026 年 02 月 01 日 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·医药生物 医药生物行业跟踪周报 降息等多因素支持科研上游持续复苏,重点 推荐皓元医药、奥浦迈等 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 朱国广 执业证书:S0600520070004 zhugg@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 23% 27% 31% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 医药生物 沪深300 相关研究 《mRNA 疫苗龙头释放积极临床数据 信号,建议关注悦康药业、康希诺等》 2026-01-26 《JPM 2026 最前线观察:中国创新药 再次成为全球焦点!》 2026-01-18 东吴证券研究所 1 / 37 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周、年初至今 A 股医药指数涨幅分别为-3.31%、3.14%,相对沪深 300 的超额收益分别为-0.56%、2.51%;本周、年初至今恒生生物科技指数 涨跌幅分别为-3.24%、8.76%,相对于恒生科技指数跑赢-1.87%、5.09%; ...
凯格精机:2025年业绩预告点评:25年利润同比高增,看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升-20260201
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-01 12:24
[Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 事件:公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告 2026 年 1 月 30 日公司发布 2025 年业绩预告。公司预计 2025 年实现归母净 利润 1.65-2.07 亿元,同比+134%~+194%,中值 1.86 亿元,同比+164%;预计 实现扣非归母净利润 1.60-2.02 亿元,同比+152%~+218%,中值 1.81 亿元,同 比+185%。公司全年业绩实现较快增长,主要受益于 AI 算力建设需求爆发, 服务器代工厂 CAPEX 有较大幅度增长,对公司锡膏印刷设备需求快速提升。 2025 年度公司毛利率相对较高的部分产品销售额增加,产品结构有所优化。 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 凯格精机(301338) 2025 年业绩预告点评:25 年利润同比高 增,看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万 ...
凯格精机(301338):25年利润同比高增,看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-01 12:21
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 凯格精机(301338) 2025 年业绩预告点评:25 年利润同比高 增,看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升 买入(维持) ◼ 事件:公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告 2026 年 1 月 30 日公司发布 2025 年业绩预告。公司预计 2025 年实现归母净 利润 1.65-2.07 亿元,同比+134%~+194%,中值 1.86 亿元,同比+164%;预计 实现扣非归母净利润 1.60-2.02 亿元,同比+152%~+218%,中值 1.81 亿元,同 比+185%。公司全年业绩实现较快增长,主要受益于 AI 算力建设需求爆发, 服务器代工厂 CAPEX 有较大幅度增长,对公司锡膏印刷设备需求快速提升。 2025 年度公司毛利率相对较高的部分产品销售额增加,产品结构有所优化。 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 740.02 | 856.60 | 1,190.15 | ...