河证券|CGS -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 北证50 沪深300 ⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫ 北交所日报 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 2 国银河证券|CGS 图1:北证成交额与换手率情况（截至 2025.03.14) ■ 成交金额（合计/亿元) -换手率（算数平均/%） 600 16.0 14.0 500 12.0 400 10.0 300 8.0 6.0 200 4.0 100 2.0 0 0.0 03-12- 01-02 05:10 05-03- 0.5-0> 03:5 03-05 03:5 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 图2：北证与 A 股各行业当日涨跌幅（算数平均/%/ 2025.03.14) ■北交所算数平均涨跌幅 ■A股算数平均涨跌幅 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 3 中国银河证券|CGS 北交所日报 表1：涨幅前十股票的市场数据（2025.03.14/财务数据为 2024O3） | | 序号 | 代码 | 简称 | 所属行业 | 今日涨跌幅 | 市值 | 营业收入 | 归母净利润 | 市盈 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it highlights potential investment opportunities in specific sectors such as technology, consumer, and high-dividend stocks [2][46]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a rotation of hot sectors, with a focus on technology, consumer, and high-dividend sectors as key investment themes [2][46]. - It notes that the upcoming economic data release on March 17 and the Federal Reserve meeting on March 19 will significantly influence market sentiment and investment direction [2][46]. Summary by Sections Important Events - Domestic social financing increased by 2.23 trillion yuan in February, with government bond financing being a major contributor [6]. - The U.S. has imposed a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, leading to retaliatory measures from trade partners, which may escalate trade tensions [15][16]. Hong Kong Market Review - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced slight declines, with the Hang Seng Index down by 1.12% and the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 2.59% during the week [20][23]. - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange decreased to 282.43 billion HKD, indicating a drop in market activity [26]. - The Hang Seng Index's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is at 10.44, reflecting a 1.08% decrease from the previous week, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 1.12 [31]. Market Outlook - Short-term market movements are expected to remain volatile until key economic data and the Federal Reserve's decisions are released [46]. - Long-term investment opportunities are identified in three main areas: technology stocks with potential earnings realization, consumer sectors supported by government policies, and stable high-dividend stocks [46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the defense and military industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - The industry is expected to experience high prosperity in 2025, driven by both accelerated delivery of traditional equipment and explosive growth in emerging fields such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy [4][16]. - The demand side is characterized by a dual drive of "accelerated delivery of traditional equipment and explosive growth in emerging fields," with significant military budget allocations expected for new combat capabilities [4][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality and low-cost production as core directives for the future of the military industry, with expectations of increased efficiency and reduced costs over the long term [13][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Outlook - The report highlights the necessity of completing the "14th Five-Year Plan" and achieving the centenary military goals, with a focus on high-quality development [11][16]. - The 2025 defense budget is set at 1.81 trillion yuan, reflecting a 7.2% increase from the previous year, with a significant portion allocated to new combat capabilities and military training [15][45]. 2. Market Performance - The defense and military index saw a weekly increase of 7.44%, outperforming other sectors [18][20]. - As of March 9, 2025, there are 166 listed companies in the military sector, accounting for 2.77% of the total A-share market capitalization [26]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the marginal improvement in orders justifies an increase in fund positions, with a focus on "heavy orders, light performance" as the earnings reports approach [5][41]. - The military sector's current valuation is approximately 62.9%, indicating significant room for growth compared to technology stocks [5][32]. 4. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that anti-corruption measures are expected to enhance supply chain transparency, which will lower transaction costs and improve resource allocation efficiency [7][13]. - The emphasis on integrating military and civilian resources is expected to drive technological advancements and enhance combat capabilities [14][15]. 5. Company Updates - The report mentions that around 68 military companies have engaged in stock buybacks since January 2024, totaling approximately 3.858 billion yuan, reflecting confidence in the industry [41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, anticipating a return to rapid growth in revenue and profit by 2026 [46]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on enhancing its industry advantages, with a significant increase in marketing investments leading to a rise in market share despite a decline in profit margins [4][6]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 11.927 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.82%, while net profit is expected to decline by 3.42% to 1.981 billion yuan [6][46]. - The company is expected to lead the global market in sales and revenue for robotic vacuum cleaners by 2024, with a competitive strategy that includes increased marketing in China and absorbing tariff costs in the U.S. [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 was 8.654 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 30.55%. For 2024, revenue is expected to grow to 11.927 billion yuan [47]. - The net profit for 2023 was 2.051 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 1.981 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a profit margin decrease [47]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 10.73 yuan, down from 11.10 yuan in 2023, with a forecasted recovery to 13.06 yuan by 2026 [46][47]. Market Dynamics - The company is benefiting from national consumption stimulus policies, particularly in the home appliance sector, which is expected to see a significant increase in retail sales due to these initiatives [13][14]. - The cleaning appliance sector, particularly robotic vacuum cleaners, is experiencing robust growth, with a projected sales increase of 41.1% in 2024 [27][28]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by high brand concentration, with the top five brands in the robotic vacuum market holding a 93.6% market share [36]. Strategic Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a profit margin similar to the fourth quarter of 2024, with rapid market share growth anticipated in China, Europe, and the U.S. [6][11]. - The strategic focus on market share expansion is seen as a common industry approach, given the maturity of user experience in robotic vacuum cleaners [6][11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [17]. Core Insights - The report provides insights into the trading volume and turnover rate of the North Exchange as of March 14, 2025, indicating a significant market activity [3][4]. - It highlights the average daily price changes across various sectors within the North Exchange compared to the A-share market, showcasing a competitive performance [5]. - The report lists the top ten stocks with the highest gains and losses, providing detailed financial metrics such as market capitalization, revenue, net profit, and price-to-earnings ratios [6][7]. Summary by Sections Trading Activity - The total trading amount and turnover rates are presented, showing fluctuations over time [4]. - The average turnover rate reached 16% as of March 14, 2025, indicating active trading conditions [4]. Market Performance - The average price change for stocks on the North Exchange was compared to the A-share market, with notable differences in performance [5]. - The report includes a detailed table of the top ten stocks with the highest daily gains, with "志晟信息" (Zhisheng Information) leading with a 30% increase [6]. - Conversely, the top ten stocks with the largest declines are also listed, with "星图测控" (Xingtu Measurement Control) showing a decrease of 15.11% [7]. Valuation Metrics - Valuation changes for the North Exchange and other innovation boards are illustrated, indicating trends in price-to-earnings ratios across different sectors [9][11]. - The report provides a breakdown of the price-to-earnings ratios by industry, highlighting the varying valuations within the market [11].

策略研究 · 周度报告 政策驱动消费板块修复加速 2025 年 03 月 16 日 核心观点: 分析师 杨超 ☎：010-8092-7696 网: yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 研究助理:王雪莹 相关研究 2025-03-09，中国股市叙事：估值正悄然重构 2025-03-05，对 A 股市场投资的启示：2025 年政府 工作报告释放哪些重要信号? 2025-02-21,南向资金与国际资金结构同频还是分 肢3 2025-02-19，DeepSeek 冲击波：AI 赋能加速市场 聚势重构 2025-02-12，地方两会对 A 股投资结构有哪些启 示? 2025-02-07, 金融"五篇大文章"共绘发展蓝图- 《关于资本市场做好金融"五篇大文章"的实施意 见》解读 2025-02-05，10%关税加征队 A 股的结构性冲击: 中美关税再升级,A 股出口链"压力测试" 2025-02-04，海外市场多变局，国内消费掀热潮 2025-01-30. 美联储捍卫独立性,市场定价鹰派 2025-01-24,中长期资金入市政策解读:耐心资本与 长期资 ...

北交所周报 市场交投活跃,北交所再现定向可转债发行 2025年03月15日 核心观点 分析师 范想想 ☎：010-8092-7663 网：fanxiangxiang _yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130518090002 张智浩 网: zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524100001 2. 【银河北交所】深化国企改革,迈向高质量发展- 北交所国央企专题报告 3. 【银河北交所】2025 年度策略_并购重组助高质 发展，抓两新两重投资机遇 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 2025-03-14 相对沪深 300 表现图 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河北交所】2024 中期策略_新质生产力赋能 北证，关注国央企投资价值 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 北证 50 指数周涨跌幅为+1.33%。北交所 264 家上市公司中,有 214 家公 ● 司周涨幅为正,美心翼申(+99.23%)涨幅领先,其次是克莱特(+79.77%)、 润普食品(+4 ...

策略研究 · 周度报告 港股热点轮动预期加速 2025 年 03 月 16 日 核心观点: 分析师 杨超 ☎：010-8092-7696 中国银河证券|CGS 目录 Catalog | 一、 本周重要事件 | . | | --- | --- | | (一) 国内方面 | | | (二) 海外方面 . | | | 二、 本周港股市场回顾 | | | (一) 指数涨跌幅. | | | (二) 资金流动 . | | | (三) 估值与风险溢价 | | | 三、 港股市场投资展望 | .. | | 四、 风险提示 | .. | 極: yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 研究助理:周美丽 相关研究 2025-02-21, 南向资金与国际资金结构同频还是分歧? 2025-02-13，地方两会对 A 股投资结构有哪些启示? 2025-02-04，春节假期热点跟踪：海外市场多变局，国 内消费掀热潮 2024-12-31, 2024年全球大类资产投资展望:变局·择 机 2024-12-27，2025年港股投资展望：潮涌·博弈 2024-12-26，2025年 ...

—— 2024 年年报点评 维持评级 高峰 钱德胜 | 市场数据 | 2025-03-13 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 002916.SZ | | A 股收盘价(元) | 128.00 | | 上证指数 | 3358.73 | | 总股本(万股) | 51,287.75 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 51,155.43 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 655 | -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 300 ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ · 电子行业 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17907.45 | 21921.86 | 26598.97 | 29835.03 | | 收入增长率% | 32.39 | 22.42 | 21.34 | 12.17 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1877.57 | 2372.82 | 2801.21 | 3232.48 | | 利润增速% | 34.29 | 26.38 | 18.05 | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials industry is expected to benefit from the recovery in demand and low supply levels, particularly in the cement sector, which has seen a slight increase in prices [2][41] - The government's focus on infrastructure investment and policies aimed at stimulating the real estate market are likely to accelerate the de-stocking of existing housing, boosting demand for consumer building materials [2][42] - The glass fiber market is experiencing price increases for both roving and electronic yarns, supported by demand from wind power and thermoplastics [2][43] - The float glass market is under pressure with declining prices and increasing inventory levels, indicating a need for monitoring supply changes [2][43] Summary by Sections Industry News - The government work report for 2025 emphasizes the issuance of special bonds totaling 4.4 trillion yuan to support infrastructure and real estate projects, which is expected to positively impact the construction materials sector [6][9] Industry Data - The average national cement price increased to 341.61 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week growth of 0.69% [20] - The float glass price decreased to 1352.92 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decline of 1.78% [22] Market Review - The construction materials sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by 1.24 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 2.62% [29] - The cement manufacturing segment showed a weekly increase of 3.49%, while the glass manufacturing segment increased by 1.00% [29]