宏观 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 12 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈江月 执业证书：S1030520060001 电话：0755-83199599-9055 邮箱：chenjy@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 中美谈判启动带动市场乐观预期 [Table_ReportType] 宏观周报（5 月第 2 周） [Table_S 核心观点： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 经济预测（一致预期） 单位（%） 2409E 24E GDP（Q3E） CPI PPI 工业增加值增速 固定投资增速 社消增速 出口增速 进口增速 M2 增速 社融增速 数据来源：万得资讯 1) 权益：上周市场放量上涨。关税动态方面，五一假期期间， 中美谈判现乐观预期，带动市场放量上涨。5 月 10 日，中美 经贸高层会谈开始在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，预计后续陆续取得 进展，但谈判进程预计较为缓慢，二季度关税对外需影响仍然 ...

[Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 12 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：李时樟 执业证书：S1030522060001 电话：18065826333 邮箱：lisz@csco.com.cn 分析师：罗晴 执业证书：S1030524110001 电话：13603091122 邮箱：luoqing@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 TMT [Table_Title] 海外云厂商资本开支指引乐观 TMT 行业周报（5 月第 2 周） [Table_S 行业观点： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportType] [Table_BaseData] 1) 五一假期前后市场回顾。TMT 板块内一级行业 4/28-5/09 涨跌 幅为：通信（5.57%）、计算机（4.44%）、传媒（4.13%）、 电子（1.99%），TMT 板块整体跑赢沪深 300（1.56%）。板块 内涨幅靠前的三级子行业分别为通信网络设备及器件 （8.13%）、通信应用增值服务（6.72%）、营销代理（6.7 ...

装备制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 12 日 [T分析师： able_Author 赵晓闯] 执业证书号：S1030511010004 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：zhaoxc@csco.com.cn 分析师：杨贵洲 4 月 28 日-5 月 9 日，机械设备、电力设备及汽车行业指数涨 跌幅分别为+5.07%、+3.46%及+2.55%，在 31 个申万一级行业 中排名分别为第 3、8、12 位；同期沪深 300 涨跌幅为+1.56%。 行业观点： 执业证书号：S1030524060001 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：yanggz1@csco.com.cn 研究助理：董李延楠 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：donglyn@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 工程机械景气持续，展现业绩弹性 [Table_ReportType]装备制造行业周报（5 月第 2 周） [Table_S 市场行情回顾： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] [Ta ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive long-term outlook for the weight loss drug industry, particularly focusing on GLP-1 medications, suggesting to maintain a long-term focus on the weight loss drug industry chain [3]. Core Insights - The importance of weight loss drugs has been reaffirmed, with the WHO developing new guidelines for obesity prevention and treatment, expected to be finalized by August or September 2025. This is anticipated to standardize the use of GLP-1 drugs, enhancing their application in weight management [3][13]. - The FDA has expanded its inspections of overseas manufacturing facilities, which is expected to benefit leading CDMO companies in China that have established quality systems meeting global standards [3][16]. - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a weekly increase of 1.5%, underperforming compared to the overall A-share market and the CSI 300 index, with offline pharmacies and medical devices showing the highest gains [3][8]. Summary by Sections Market Weekly Review - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector rose by 1.5% from April 28 to May 9, lagging behind the overall A-share market (2.32%) and the CSI 300 index (1.56%). Offline pharmacies (5.64%), medical devices (4.49%), and medical R&D outsourcing (2.78%) led the gains, while vaccines (-0.45%), blood products (-0.43%), and in vitro diagnostics (-0.17%) saw declines [3][8]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Significant events include the WHO's ongoing development of obesity guidelines, which will clarify the clinical applications of GLP-1 drugs [3][13]. - The FDA's announcement on May 6 regarding expanded inspections of foreign manufacturers aims to ensure equal regulatory oversight for foreign companies [3][16]. - Notable company announcements include the approval of new indications for various drugs and the financial performance of companies like BeiGene, which reported a 50.2% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1 [3][12][17].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the equipment manufacturing industry, particularly in engineering machinery and automotive sectors, indicating a strong market performance [1][2]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector shows significant growth, with Q1 2025 revenue increasing by 10.4% year-on-year and profit rising by 30.6%, driven by domestic demand and stable export growth [2]. - The automotive sector's passenger vehicle segment reported a revenue of approximately 2.04 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, with expectations for new energy vehicles to exceed a 50% market penetration in 2025 [2]. - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing declining profitability, while the wind power sector shows signs of improvement, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2]. Market Performance Review - From April 28 to May 9, 2025, the indices for machinery equipment, power equipment, and automotive sectors increased by 5.07%, 3.46%, and 2.55% respectively, ranking them 3rd, 8th, and 12th among 31 primary industries [7][8]. - Specific segments within the machinery equipment sector, such as specialized equipment, saw a rise of 6.12%, while passenger vehicles experienced a slight decline of 0.83% [8]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - The Indian wind power industry is recovering, with significant order increases for local manufacturers, indicating a positive trend in the sector [17]. - Major companies in the robotics field are securing funding for technology development, highlighting the growing interest and investment in robotics and automation technologies [17][18]. - Recent announcements from companies like Tongwei Co. and Trina Solar indicate challenges in the photovoltaic sector, with significant revenue declines attributed to price drops in the industry [21].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a long-term focus on the weight-loss drug industry chain due to the increasing importance of weight-loss medications [3]. Core Insights - The importance of weight-loss drugs has been reaffirmed, with the WHO developing new guidelines for obesity prevention and treatment, expected to be finalized by August or September 2025. This includes the use of GLP-1 medications for adult obesity management, which may standardize their application and increase their usage in weight-loss populations [3][13]. - The FDA has expanded surprise inspections of overseas manufacturing facilities, particularly in India and China, to ensure foreign companies meet the same regulatory standards as U.S. companies. This is expected to benefit leading CDMO companies in China that have established quality systems compliant with global standards [3][16]. Market Weekly Review - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector rose by 1.5% from April 28 to May 9, underperforming the Wind All A index (2.32%) and the CSI 300 index (1.56%). The best-performing segments included offline pharmacies (5.64%), medical devices (4.49%), and medical research outsourcing (2.78%), while vaccines (-0.45%), blood products (-0.43%), and in vitro diagnostics (-0.17%) lagged [3][8]. - Notable individual stock performances included Changshan Pharmaceutical (26.28%) and Haichuang Pharmaceutical (25.85%), both linked to the weight-loss drug concept [3][11]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - On May 9, the NMPA approved a new indication for Hansoh Pharmaceutical's Amivantamab, targeting specific mutations in non-small cell lung cancer [12]. - The report highlights significant developments in the industry, including the approval of new drug applications and clinical trials by various companies, indicating a dynamic and evolving market landscape [16][17].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [3]. Core Insights - The new-style tea beverage brands are rapidly going public, leveraging capital to expand globally. On May 8, a leading tea brand, Hu Shang A Yi, listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, closing its first day with a 40.03% increase, reaching a market value of over HKD 18.1 billion. This trend indicates a significant push for market share consolidation domestically and international expansion [3][4]. - The "May Day" holiday consumption data showed robust growth, with 314 million domestic travelers and total spending of CNY 180.27 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.4% and 8.0%, respectively. This recovery trend is expected to continue, particularly benefiting sectors like tourism, dining, and hotels [4][5]. Market Weekly Review - The consumer sector experienced a decline in the past two weeks, with the home appliance, textile and apparel, food and beverage, retail, beauty care, and social services indices dropping by 3.25%, 4.09%, 4.14%, 5.66%, 8.51%, and 8.60%, respectively. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 5.17% during the same period [4][6]. - Notable gainers in the food and beverage sector included Jiao Da Ang Li (+46.37%) and ST Jia Jia (+37.72%), while significant losers included Western Animal Husbandry (-19.92%) and ST Rock (-13.54%) [4][12][13]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - The report highlights the upcoming Tmall 618 sales event, which will feature significant discounts and promotional strategies aimed at boosting consumer spending [15][17]. - Huangshan Tourism reported a record high of 147,600 visitors during the "May Day" holiday, a 13.82% increase year-on-year, indicating strong demand for tourism [16][19]. - The report also notes that the recycling platform Zhuanzhuan saw a 40% increase in orders during the holiday, reflecting a strong trend in circular consumption [19][20].

宏观 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 12 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈江月 执业证书：S1030520060001 电话：0755-83199599-9055 邮箱：chenjy@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 单位（%） 2409E 24E GDP（Q3E） CPI PPI 中美谈判启动带动市场乐观预期 [Table_ReportType] 宏观周报（5 月第 2 周） [Table_S 核心观点： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 经济预测（一致预期） 工业增加值增速 固定投资增速 社消增速 出口增速 进口增速 M2 增速 社融增速 数据来源：万得资讯 1) 权益：上周市场放量上涨。关税动态方面，五一假期期间， 中美谈判现乐观预期，带动市场放量上涨。5 月 10 日，中美 经贸高层会谈开始在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，预计后续陆续取得 进展，但谈判进程预计较为缓慢，二季度关税对外需影响仍然 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a positive outlook on the acceleration of Agent product deployment due to the MCP protocol [3]. Core Insights - The rapid promotion of the MCP (Model Context Protocol) is expected to accelerate the deployment of Agent products. This protocol, introduced by Anthropic in November 2024, aims to standardize the interaction between large language models and external applications, reducing fragmentation and interaction costs. Major players like OpenAI and Tencent have already integrated MCP into their services, indicating a significant shift in the AI landscape [3]. - The TMT sector showed varied performance in the week of April 21-25, with telecommunications leading at 1.32% growth, while media saw a slight decline of 0.11%. Notable stock performances included Shijia Photon with a 66.54% increase and Zhishang Technology at 44.76% [3][3]. - The report highlights the potential for new Agent products that could surpass existing models like "Manus," driven by the integration of MCP by leading domestic AI firms. It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolution of these products and the associated traffic benefits for application tool companies [3]. Weekly Market Review - The TMT sector's performance from April 21-25 showed the following changes: - Telecommunications: +1.32% - Computer: +0.99% - Electronics: +0.83% - Media: -0.11% [3]. - The top-performing sub-industries included: - Telecommunications network equipment and devices: +5.62% - Consumer electronics components and assembly: +4.06% - Telecommunications cables and accessories: +3.82% - Conversely, the worst performers were: - Analog chip design: -6.22% - Telecommunications application value-added services: -3.52% - Film and animation production: -1.77% [3]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Significant events in April included the launch of various MCP services by major companies like Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud, which are expected to lower the development barriers for Agent products [3]. - The report notes that the AI industry is poised for growth, with predictions of substantial revenue increases for companies like OpenAI, which anticipates revenues exceeding $125 billion by 2029 [22]. - The establishment of AI-focused alliances and initiatives, such as the one in Dongguan, aims to enhance the AI industry's infrastructure and capabilities, indicating a strong commitment to AI development in the region [24].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a long-term focus on domestic innovative drugs in the oncology field and AI medical investment opportunities [3][4]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a weekly increase of 1.16%, outperforming the Wind All A index (1.15%) and the CSI 300 index (0.38%) [3][8]. - The upcoming ASCO conference is highlighted as a significant event for domestic innovative drug companies, with over 70 oral presentations and more than 10 major studies expected [3][4]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and six other departments issued a plan for the digital transformation of the pharmaceutical industry, aiming for significant advancements by 2027 and full coverage by 2030 [3][4]. Market Weekly Review - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector increased by 1.16% from April 21 to April 25, outperforming the Wind All A index and the CSI 300 index [3][8]. - Notable performers included medical research outsourcing (6.34%) and raw materials (4.72%), while blood products (-3.26%) and vaccines (-6.38%) continued to decline [3][9]. - Individual stock performances showed significant gains for Yong'an Pharmaceutical (31.4%), Shuyou Shen (28.4%), and Erkang Pharmaceutical (27.7%), while *ST Jiyuan (-43.2%), Nanhua Biological (-35.3%), and Shuangcheng Pharmaceutical (-27.7%) faced substantial losses [3][11]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - On April 25, Kangfang Bio announced FDA approval for its drug Anike for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma [12]. - The same day, Kangfang Bio also reported the approval of its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody for first-line treatment of specific lung cancer types [13]. - The digital transformation plan for the pharmaceutical industry aims to enhance competitiveness and quality management through AI and data integration by 2030 [3][4].