Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 is expected to continue improving, driven by positive trends in various business segments and the upcoming launch of the Yu7 model in July 2025, which serves as a catalyst [4][5] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 471 billion, 674 billion, and 731 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 73%, 43%, and 9% respectively [4] - The current stock price of 51.75 HKD corresponds to a PE ratio of 25.7, 18.0, and 16.6 for the years 2025-2027 [4] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 was 270,970 million CNY, with a projected increase to 501,338 million CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 37% [7] - Net profit for 2023 was 19,273 million CNY, expected to rise to 47,057 million CNY in 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 72.8% [7] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 21.2% in 2023 to 23.1% in 2025 [7] - The diluted EPS is expected to increase from 0.76 CNY in 2023 to 1.85 CNY in 2025 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [6][24]. Core Views - The report highlights that in Q1 2025, Meituan achieved an adjusted profit of 10.949 billion yuan, which is a 46.2% year-on-year increase, surpassing market expectations [1][9]. - The core local business revenue reached 64.325 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.8% increase, also slightly above Bloomberg's forecast [2][11]. - New business revenue was 22.232 billion yuan, up 19.2% year-on-year, with an operating loss of 2.273 billion yuan, showing improvement in loss rate [3][12]. - The report anticipates a slowdown in core local business revenue growth in Q2 2025 due to increased competition and promotional activities [4][19]. - The company is expanding its overseas operations, committing to invest 1 billion USD in Brazil over the next five years [4][19]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Meituan reported total revenue of 86.557 billion yuan, an 18.1% increase year-on-year, and an operating profit of 10.567 billion yuan, which is a 102.8% increase [1][9]. - The adjusted operating profit margin was 12.2%, up 5.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][9]. Core Local Business - The core local business generated revenue of 64.325 billion yuan, with significant contributions from delivery services, commissions, and online marketing services [2][11]. - The operating profit for this segment was 13.491 billion yuan, with a profit margin of 21.0%, which is 3.2 percentage points higher than the previous year [2][11]. New Business Development - New business revenue was 22.232 billion yuan, with an operating loss of 2.273 billion yuan, indicating a loss rate improvement of 4.6 percentage points year-on-year [3][12]. - The report notes that the Keeta model continues to show good growth, and the company is focused on long-term capability building despite current losses [3][12]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that increased investment in core operations and international expansion will impact profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with adjusted net profits projected at 44.7 billion, 58.7 billion, and 71.8 billion yuan respectively [5][20]. - The competitive landscape is expected to remain challenging, but the long-term operational capabilities of merchants and riders are viewed as a strong competitive moat for Meituan [5][20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [6][20]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth in FY2025, achieving a total revenue of $69.077 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.41%, and a net profit of $1.384 billion, up 37.01% year-on-year, indicating a positive turnaround in net profit growth [1][8]. - The company is expected to benefit from three key growth drivers: AI PCs, smartphones, and servers, which are anticipated to sustain performance growth [3][17]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In FY2025, Lenovo's gross margin was 16.1%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the rapid increase in smartphone revenue, which has a lower margin [2][12]. - The net profit margin improved to 2.1%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting enhanced profitability [2][12]. Growth Drivers - **AI PCs**: Lenovo's PC shipments are projected to reach approximately 61.8 million units in 2024, with a global market share of 23.5%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. The post-pandemic demand and the discontinuation of Windows 10 are expected to boost growth in the PC sector [3][17]. - **Smartphones**: Motorola, a Lenovo brand, is expected to see a 23% increase in shipments in 2024, outperforming the industry growth rate of 4%, positioning it as the seventh-largest smartphone brand globally [3][17]. - **Servers**: The company’s infrastructure solutions group successfully turned profitable in the second half of FY2025, with increased demand for AI servers driven by major internet companies' capital expenditures [3][17]. Financial Projections - The adjusted net profit forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are $1.604 billion, $1.832 billion, and $2.019 billion, respectively, with diluted EPS projected at $0.13, $0.15, and $0.16 [4][20]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9, 8, and 7 for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028, respectively, maintaining the "Outperform the Market" rating [4][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 67.9, indicating a potential upside of 29.28% from the current price of HKD 52.50 [6][10]. Core Insights - The company reported revenue of RMB 111.3 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, surpassing market expectations of RMB 109 billion. The overall gross margin improved to 22.8%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. Net profit reached RMB 10.9 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 161.0%, with adjusted net profit at RMB 10.7 billion, up 64.5%, exceeding market expectations of RMB 9.1 billion [2]. - The company aims to invest RMB 200 billion in R&D from 2026 to 2030 to strengthen its technological moat, with a focus on AI and chip technology, expecting to invest RMB 7.5 billion in AI this year [2]. - The smartphone segment saw revenue of RMB 50.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.9%, with a market share of 18.8%, marking a return to the top position in domestic smartphone shipments after ten years. The average selling price (ASP) of smartphones increased by 5.8% to RMB 1,211 [3]. - The Internet of Things (IoT) segment experienced explosive growth, with revenue increasing by 58.7% to RMB 32.3 billion, and a gross margin of 25.2%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The automotive business reported revenue of RMB 18.6 billion, with a gross margin of 23.2%, and a significant reduction in operating losses, with the new luxury SUV model YU7 receiving positive market feedback [5]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 495.6 billion, RMB 627.0 billion, and RMB 721.4 billion, respectively. Adjusted net profits are expected to be RMB 45.6 billion, RMB 57.8 billion, and RMB 70.2 billion for the same years [6][7]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 21.21% in 2023 to 23.33% by 2027, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and product mix [13]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow significantly from RMB 0.69 in 2023 to RMB 2.61 in 2027, indicating a robust growth trajectory [7][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 67.9, indicating a potential upside of 29.28% from the current price of HKD 52.50 [5][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved revenue of RMB 111.3 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, surpassing market expectations of RMB 109 billion. The overall gross margin improved to 22.8%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 10.9 billion, reflecting a 161.0% increase year-on-year [1]. - The smartphone segment returned to the top position in the domestic market with revenue of RMB 50.6 billion, a growth of 8.9%. The market share reached 18.8%, with a shipment increase of 40%, significantly outpacing the industry growth rate of 4.6% [2]. - The IoT segment saw a revenue increase of 58.7% to RMB 32.3 billion, with a gross margin of 25.2%, marking a historical high. The growth was driven by a doubling in revenue from smart home appliances [3]. - The automotive business reported revenue of RMB 18.6 billion, with a gross margin of 23.2%. The new luxury SUV model YU7 received a positive market response, indicating potential for increased average selling price (ASP) [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, the company reported total revenue of RMB 270.97 billion, with an adjusted net profit of RMB 19.27 billion, reflecting a 126.26% increase year-on-year. Forecasts for 2025 and 2026 predict revenues of RMB 495.65 billion and RMB 627.04 billion, respectively, with adjusted net profits of RMB 45.56 billion and RMB 57.75 billion [6][10]. Market Position - The company has regained its position as the leading smartphone vendor in China, with a significant increase in high-end smartphone shipments, contributing to a rise in average selling price (ASP) to RMB 1,211 [2]. - The IoT segment's growth is attributed to the increasing demand for smart home devices, with a notable rise in gross margin due to government subsidies and a higher proportion of large appliances [3]. Future Outlook - The company plans to invest RMB 200 billion in R&D from 2026 to 2030, focusing on AI and chip technology to strengthen its competitive edge [1]. - The automotive segment is expected to continue its recovery, with the YU7 model anticipated to enhance the company's market competitiveness and ASP [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [4][23]. Core Viewpoints - Xiaomi has launched its self-developed "Xuanjie O1" chip, enhancing its "Human-Vehicle-Home" ecosystem. The company plans to invest an additional 200 billion yuan in core technology research and development from 2026 to 2030 [2][21]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in revenue and net profit, with projections of 309.48 billion yuan, 400.08 billion yuan, and 501.72 billion yuan in net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [23]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Indicators - Revenue (million yuan): 270,970.14 in 2023, projected to reach 673,424.43 by 2027, with a CAGR of 16.89% [1]. - Net profit (million yuan): 17,475.17 in 2023, expected to grow to 50,172.45 by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 25.40% [1]. - ROE: Expected to increase from 10.66% in 2023 to 16.19% in 2027 [1]. - EPS: Projected to rise from 0.67 yuan in 2023 to 1.93 yuan in 2027 [1]. Product Launches and Innovations - The "Xuanjie O1" chip is a significant milestone, utilizing a second-generation 3nm process and featuring a 10-core CPU and a 16-core GPU [11][12]. - The Xiaomi 15S Pro, Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, and Xiaomi Watch S4 were launched, all equipped with the new chip, showcasing advancements in technology and design [2][11]. - The high-performance SUV, Xiaomi YU7, was introduced, featuring impressive specifications such as a maximum horsepower of 690PS and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of just 3.23 seconds [3][21]. Market Position and Strategy - Xiaomi's smartphone business remains strong, consistently ranking among the top three globally for 19 consecutive quarters. The company is also expanding into the electric vehicle market, which is expected to provide a second growth curve [17][23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining high R&D investments, totaling 1,020 billion yuan over the past five years, to support product upgrades across its ecosystem [17][21].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading provider of digital transformation services with a comprehensive stack of capabilities, including consulting, R&D, delivery, integration, operation, decision-making, and service [12][8]. - The company has a significant market share in the telecom BOSS software market, holding 35.5% domestically and ranking second globally [8]. - The AI large model delivery business is gaining momentum, with over 30 signed orders for 2024, showcasing the company's ability to leverage AI in high-value scenarios [8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its digital operation capabilities, which have shown significant growth in various sectors, including automotive, consumer, and finance [8]. - The company aims to strengthen its AI capabilities to address fluctuations in BSS business and expand its OSS market share, with a positive outlook for future growth [8]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 7,913 million, with a year-on-year growth of 2% [2]. - The expected net profit for 2025 is 4,530 million, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17.5 [2][8]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 8.6 billion HKD, with a current share price of 9.19 HKD [3]. Business Overview - The company operates in various sectors, including telecommunications, government, finance, energy, and transportation, providing end-to-end digital transformation services [12][13]. - The BSS business accounts for 60.9% of the revenue, while OSS and digital operation businesses contribute 12.3% and 16.6%, respectively [13]. - The company has a strong focus on vertical industry digitalization, particularly in finance, energy, and transportation [13][14]. Historical Development - The company has evolved from a telecom software leader to a digital transformation pioneer since its establishment in 1993 [23]. - Significant milestones include its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2018 and the acquisition of iResearch Consulting in 2022, enhancing its digital capabilities [24][23]. Governance Structure - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, with AsiaInfo Security becoming the largest shareholder, holding approximately 29.92% of the shares [25]. - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a high dividend payout ratio, reaching 158.28% in 2023 [26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group [6] Core Views - Xiaomi Group achieved record revenue of 1112.93 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 47.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.1% [2] - The company continues to advance its all-ecosystem strategy, with significant growth in IOT and automotive sectors, contributing to overall revenue growth [2][3] - The company is investing 200 billion RMB over the next five years to deepen its core technology capabilities, including the launch of its self-developed 3nm flagship SoC chip [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi's adjusted net profit reached 106.76 billion RMB, up 64.5% year-over-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 9.6% [2][3] - The IOT business generated revenue of 323.39 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 58.7%, with a gross margin of 25.2% [3] - The smartphone segment reported revenue of 506.12 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 8.9%, with a gross margin of 12.4% [3] - The automotive segment achieved revenue of 185.80 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 23.2% [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5062.65 billion RMB, 6052.13 billion RMB, and 7008.88 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 357.09 billion RMB, 457.75 billion RMB, and 598.89 billion RMB [4][5] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 35 for 2025, decreasing to 21 by 2027 [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company achieved a record revenue of 1112.93 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 47.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.1% [2][3] - Adjusted net profit reached 106.76 billion RMB, up 64.5% year-over-year and 28.4% quarter-over-quarter, with an adjusted net profit margin of 9.6% [2][3] - The company is focusing on its all-ecosystem strategy, which includes smartphones, AI, and IoT, contributing to robust growth across its business segments [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - The smartphone and AIoT segment generated revenue of 927.13 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 22.8% [2] - The IoT business saw revenue of 323.39 billion RMB, up 58.7% year-over-year, driven by a doubling of income from smart home appliances [3] - The automotive segment generated 185.80 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 23.2%, despite a quarterly operating loss of 5 billion RMB [3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 5062.65 billion RMB, 6052.13 billion RMB, and 7008.88 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected at 357.09 billion RMB, 457.75 billion RMB, and 598.89 billion RMB [4] - The report anticipates a decrease in P/E ratios from 35 in 2025 to 21 in 2027, indicating potential growth in profitability [4] Research and Development - The company plans to invest 200 billion RMB in core technology over the next five years, with R&D spending reaching 67 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a 30.1% increase year-over-year [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [4][63]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in the mid-range ready-to-drink tea market, with a significant expansion in both domestic and overseas markets. Despite facing temporary performance pressure, the company is expected to recover as the industry enters a new growth cycle [1][4][63]. - The company has a strong product innovation strategy and a robust supply chain, which are expected to drive store growth and enhance market presence [3][4][63]. Company Overview - The company, Cha Baidao, was established in 2008 in Chengdu, Sichuan, and primarily expands through a franchise model. As of the end of 2024, it operates 8,409 stores, with 8,395 in mainland China and 14 overseas [1][12]. - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.918 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 472 million yuan, down 51.6% year-on-year, reflecting the impact of external factors and industry competition [1][17]. Industry Insights - The ready-to-drink tea industry is undergoing a new growth cycle, with a significant number of store closures leading to a market cleanup. The industry is experiencing a reduction in investment activity, with financing events and amounts at their lowest in recent years [2][24]. - Price wars in the industry are easing, with many brands increasing prices compared to the previous year, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [2][28]. Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on product innovation, having launched 60 new products and upgraded 42 existing ones in 2024. The introduction of the "Super Vegetable Series" and "Oriental Plant Fresh Tea" reflects its commitment to meeting consumer trends [3][35][40]. - The supply chain is a critical component of the company's strategy, with 39% of raised funds allocated to enhancing supply chain capabilities, including automation and strategic investments [41][42]. - The company aims to expand its store network significantly, with a potential domestic store count of nearly 15,000, indicating a growth opportunity of 76% [3][55]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 5.681 billion yuan, 6.325 billion yuan, and 6.848 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 839 million yuan, 1.068 billion yuan, and 1.252 billion yuan [4][62][63]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected to be 0.57 yuan, 0.72 yuan, and 0.85 yuan, with the current stock price reflecting a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 17.0, 13.4, and 11.4 times [4][62][63].