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汽车行业周报:商用车持续增长,乘用车结构向上
Guoyuan Securities· 2026-03-02 07:30
行业研究|可选消费|汽车与汽车零部件 证券研究报告 汽车与汽车零部件行业 周报、月报 2026 年 3 月 2 日 [Table_Title] 商用车持续增长,乘用车结构向上 ——汽车行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: 商用车持续增长,链上企业基本面稳固 根据中汽协发布数据,2026 年 1 月我国商用车克服传统"淡季"影响, 实现开门红。市场销售 35.87 万辆,同比增长 23%。细分市场方面,重 卡销量 10.5 万辆,同比增长 46%;新能源商用车销量同比增长 62%, 渗透率持续提升;商用车出口继续高位运行,同比增长 23.6%。商用车 增长驱动因素包括"两新"政策推动、老旧营运货车报废更新、新能源商用 车持续渗透以及出口增长等多重因素。展望 2 月,受春节假期因素影响, 预计市场销量环比或有波动,但随着节后复工复产及"金三银四"传统旺 季临近,市场需求有望快速回升。中汽协预测 2026 年商用车市场总销 量将达到 450 万辆,同比增长 4.7%,为汽车行业基本面提供稳定支撑。 进口车销量持续下滑,自主豪华车空间稳步打开 根据海关总署发布数据,2025年进口车销量47.6万辆,同 ...
汽车行业周报:商用车持续增长,乘用车结构向上-20260302
Guoyuan Securities· 2026-03-02 06:26
周报、月报 2026 年 3 月 2 日 [Table_Title] 商用车持续增长,乘用车结构向上 ——汽车行业周报 行业研究|可选消费|汽车与汽车零部件 证券研究报告 汽车与汽车零部件行业 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: 商用车持续增长,链上企业基本面稳固 根据中汽协发布数据,2026 年 1 月我国商用车克服传统"淡季"影响, 实现开门红。市场销售 35.87 万辆,同比增长 23%。细分市场方面,重 卡销量 10.5 万辆,同比增长 46%;新能源商用车销量同比增长 62%, 渗透率持续提升;商用车出口继续高位运行,同比增长 23.6%。商用车 增长驱动因素包括"两新"政策推动、老旧营运货车报废更新、新能源商用 车持续渗透以及出口增长等多重因素。展望 2 月,受春节假期因素影响, 预计市场销量环比或有波动,但随着节后复工复产及"金三银四"传统旺 季临近,市场需求有望快速回升。中汽协预测 2026 年商用车市场总销 量将达到 450 万辆,同比增长 4.7%,为汽车行业基本面提供稳定支撑。 进口车销量持续下滑,自主豪华车空间稳步打开 根据海关总署发布数据,2025年进口车销量47.6万辆,同 ...
未来产业周报第11期:离子阱路线商业化验证,树突信号发现为算力效率提供新物理路径-20260302
《AI4S 制药进入生态化竞争,具身 智能大脑基模实现时空记忆——未 来产业周报第 10 期 (2026/2/8-2026/2/21)》 2026/02/23 《量子互联网可扩展性进步;侵入式 脑机迈入商业化阶段——未来产业 周报第 9 期(2026/2/1-2026/2/7)》 证券分析师 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 2026 年 03 月 02 日 离子阱路线商业化验证;树突信号 发现为算力效率提供新物理路径 ——未来产业周报第 11 期(2026/2/22-2026/2/28) 相关研究 ...
智能汽车主线周报:Waymo运营城市扩大至10城,看好智能化-20260302
Soochow Securities· 2026-03-02 04:02
证券研究报告 智能汽车主线周报: Waymo运营城市扩大至10城,看好智能化 证券分析师 :黄细里 执业证书编号:S0600520010001 联系邮箱:huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2026年3月2日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注:若无特殊说明,"本周"均代表2026.2.9-2026.2.13 2 ◼ 本周智能汽车行情复盘:我们编撰的智能汽车指数-2.0%,智能汽车指数(除特斯拉)-3.4%,智能汽车指数 (除整车)-3.0%。截至2026年2月27日,智能汽车指数PS(TTM)为14.2x,该估值位于2023年初以来96% 分位数;智能汽车指数(除特斯拉)PS(TTM)为6.0x,该估值位于2023年初以来83%分位数;智能汽车指 数(除整车)PS(TTM)为10.0x,该估值位于2023年初以来81%分位数。智能汽车指数标的曹操出行、中邮 科技、开勒股份、伯特利、浙江世宝-H涨幅前五。 ( ◼ 本周行业核心变化:1)广州宣布全域开放无人驾驶应用场景;2)Waymo加速扩张,在美国新增达拉斯、 休斯顿等四城向公众开放无人驾驶出租车服务,运营城市总数达到10个;3)阿联酋阿布扎 ...
晨会纪要2026年第30期-20260302
Guohai Securities· 2026-03-02 01:18
2026 年 03 月 02 日 晨会纪要 研究所: 证券分析师: 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、2025 与 2026Q1 业绩符合公司预期,高端处理器市场版图快速扩展-- 海光信息/半导体(688041/212701) 科创板公司动态研究 分析师:刘熹 S0350523040001 联系人:唐锦珂 S0350125070014 事件: [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2026 年第 30 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 2025 与 2026Q1 业绩符合公司预期,高端处理器市场版图快速扩展--海光信息/半导体(688041/212701) 科创 板公司动态研究 可转债市场机构行为全景与策略启示——机构行为 100 篇(一)--固定收益专题研究 磷矿资源属性凸显,看好磷化工一体化产业链--行业动态研究 AI 业务快速增长,已成为公司业绩新驱动力--百度集团-SW/数字媒体(09888/217207) 点评报告(港股美股) 延续高质量增长,入境游成为强劲增长引擎--携程集团-S/旅游及景区(09961/214610) ...
电力设备行业周报:Token出海调用量爆发拉动国产算力需求,涨价推动IDC与电力设备景气上行
Huaxin Securities· 2026-03-02 00:24
推荐(维持) 投资要点 | 分析师:傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | | --- | --- | | fuhh@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师:臧天律 | S1050522120001 | | zangtl@cfsc.com.cn | | 2026 年 03 月 01 日 Token 出海调用量爆发拉动国产算力需求,涨价 推动 IDC 与电力设备景气上行 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 电力设备(申万) 5.3 10.3 51.6 沪深 300 0.1 2.9 21.1 相关研究 1、《电力设备行业周报:北美 CSP 大厂资本开支再加速,国内 AI 应用 裂变进入"商业化拐点期"》2026- 02-10 2、《电力设备行业周报:太空光伏 打开新空间,设备环节率先受益》 2026-01-27 3、《电力设备行业周报:国内数据 中心迎扩容与升级新周期,直流供 电设备有望率先受益》2026-01-12 ▌Token 出海调用量爆发拉动国产算力需求,涨价推 动 IDC 与电力设备景气上行 需求端,中国模型周调用量在 2 月 16~22 日冲高至 5.16 万亿 Token,三周增长 1 ...
中原证券晨会聚焦-20260302
Zhongyuan Securities· 2026-03-01 23:30
分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期:2026 年 03 月 02 日 2、当地时间 2 月 28 日,根据国际油轮流量监测系统的实时数据显示, 目前位于霍尔木兹海峡周边海域的油轮航行速度已普遍降至零,显示该 地区的航运已陷入停滞状态。 3、2 月 28 日,国家发改委价格监测中心称,2025 年 9 月至今,受需求 "爆发式"增长、产能"断崖式"紧缺等因素影响,全球存储器市场缺口 扩大,存储芯片价格持续上涨,近 1 个月多以来,涨幅呈现扩大态势,建 议关注存储芯片对下游价格的影响。 资料来源:央视网,央视新闻,财联社 【宏观策略】 资料来源:聚源,中原证券研究所 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 22% 29% 36% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.10 2026.02 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
电力设备行业周报:Token出海调用量爆发拉动国产算力需求,涨价推动IDC与电力设备景气上行-20260301
Huaxin Securities· 2026-03-01 14:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the electric power equipment sector [17] Core Viewpoints - The explosive growth in Token usage abroad is driving domestic computing power demand, leading to price increases that boost the IDC and electric power equipment sectors [5][15] - The demand side shows that China's Token usage surged to 51.6 trillion in the week of February 16-22, marking a 127% increase over three weeks, surpassing the U.S. usage of 27 trillion [5][15] - The domestic AI models are leading globally, with four out of the top five models in terms of usage being Chinese, contributing to 85.7% of the total [5][15] - The tight supply of computing power is causing some manufacturers to raise prices, which is expected to improve profitability across the industry chain [5][15] Summary by Sections Investment Insights - The current domestic computing power market has shifted from "external replacement" to "demand-driven active selection" [16] - The explosive growth in Token usage is expected to drive demand for GPU servers, IDC cabinets, and high-power density data centers, enhancing the industry's outlook [16] - The report suggests focusing on AI infrastructure construction, particularly in the IDC sector, with recommended companies including Dazhi Technology, Runze Technology, and Kehua Data [6][16] Industry Dynamics - The electric power equipment sector has shown strong performance, with a 1.89% increase last week, ranking 13th among 28 sub-industries [35] - The report highlights significant investments in high-voltage projects, including a 43.74 billion yuan investment in the Daqing-Mongolia 1000 kV project [20] - The National Grid has completed investments of 12.48 billion yuan in grid production and infrastructure projects, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 120% [20] Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - The report provides profit forecasts for key companies, with recommendations for investment: - Liangxin Co., Ltd. (Buy) with an EPS forecast of 0.28 in 2024, increasing to 0.44 in 2026 [10] - Sifang Co., Ltd. (Buy) with an EPS forecast of 0.86 in 2024, increasing to 1.19 in 2026 [10] - Jinpan Technology (Buy) with an EPS forecast of 1.26 in 2024, increasing to 2.20 in 2026 [10]
2026/2/24-2026/3/1 汽车周报:小鹏比亚迪新技术发布,投资进入事件催化密集期-20260301
2026 年 03 月 01 日 叶诗人之分堂 -2026/2/24-2026/3/1 汽车周报 《春晚机器人亮相、首台 Cybercab 下 线,继续看好 AI 应用方向 -- 2026/2/9-2026/2/15 汽车周报》 2026/02/23 本期投资后了 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 shaoyi@swsresearch.com 观点:①小鹏 VLA 2.0 下周发布,有望重归智驾 top 榜,推荐小鹏、理想,关注小马智 ○ 行等。②比亚迪技术发布会在即,有望解决高速+冬季用车痛点,巩固全系产品竞争, 推荐比亚迪。③英伟达 GTC 预热,全 ai 战略引燃智驾+机器人+工业 ai,推荐恒勃、银 轮、隆盛、福达、岱美,关注拓普、三花等。④我国养路费 2009 年并入成品油消费 税,随新能源渗透率提升,财政资金缺口扩大,"里程税"应运而生,但目前仅有海南 因特殊的政策环境,有望在今年落地试点,关注信息发展。 ● 行业情况更新: 根据乘联会周度数据,2 月第一周全国乘用车市场日均零售 4.1 万辆,同比去年 2 月同期 ○ 增长 54%,较上月同期增长 37%。 ● 最近一周传统原材料价格指 ...
2026年3月海外金股推荐:优选各赛道领先企业
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-03-01 09:32
Key Insights - The report highlights the competitive landscape in the AI sector during the Spring Festival, with major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent achieving significant user engagement and interaction through their AI applications [1][8] - The report discusses the advancements in autonomous driving, including legislative support in the US and significant developments from companies like Tesla and Waymo, indicating a growing market for self-driving technology [2][9] - The US Supreme Court's ruling against the "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by the Trump administration is expected to impact trade dynamics significantly, affecting various sectors [3][10] Recent Key Events - ByteDance's AI model generated over 50 million new year avatars and achieved 19 billion interactions during the Spring Festival, showcasing its strong user engagement [1][8] - Alibaba's "Qianwen" app facilitated nearly 200 million orders during the holiday, with a notable user base of older adults successfully utilizing the service [1][8] - Tencent's user engagement metrics reached new highs, with over 50 million daily active users during the Spring Festival, reflecting the effectiveness of its promotional activities [1][8] Market Situation - The Hang Seng Index fell from 27,387 points at the end of January to 26,381 points by February 26, marking a decline of 3.7% [11] - The Hang Seng Technology Index experienced a more significant drop of 10.6% during the same period [11] - Net inflows from southbound trading reached 75.6 billion HKD in February, indicating a positive trend in capital movement [12] Current Investment Recommendations - Focus on growth-oriented real estate and energy companies such as Beike-W, China Qinfa, and Power Development, which are expected to perform well in the current market [21] - Consider companies benefiting from the adjustment of the Hong Kong Stock Connect, like Leshushi, which is positioned for growth in the African hygiene products market [21] - Internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent are recommended due to their advancements in AI and strong market positions [21] Company-Specific Insights - Beike-W (2423.HK) is positioned as a leader in the real estate brokerage sector, with expected net profits of 37.1 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth trajectory despite market challenges [22][24] - China Qinfa (0866.HK) is transitioning away from coal operations in Shanxi and focusing on its growing Indonesian coal business, with projected profits of 6.1 billion CNY by 2026 [25][26] - Leshushi (2698.HK) is a leading player in the African hygiene products market, with a projected net profit growth of 18.5% in 2025, driven by increasing market penetration [35][36] - Alibaba (9988.HK) is enhancing its AI capabilities with the launch of the Qwen3.5 model, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth across its platforms [39][40] - Tencent (0700.HK) is experiencing strong growth in its gaming and advertising segments, with a projected revenue increase to 7,530 billion CNY by 2025 [44][46]