【导读】一季度社保基金新进持有100只个股 作为资本市场的重要"稳定器"和"压舱石"，社保基金凭借审慎稳健的投资运营管理，已经成为A股市场 长期投资、理性投资的典范。 根据A股上市公司2025年一季报披露，截至4月28日记者发稿，一季度末已有324家公司前十大流通股股 东名单中出现社保基金的身影，社保基金最新投资路线图逐次揭晓。数据显示，上述324家公司累计获 社保基金重仓持股54.97亿股，对应持股市值为853.85亿元。 增持方面，今年一季度社保基金加仓了中国巨石（600176）、鱼跃医疗（002223）、亿联网络 （300628）、广联达（002410）、山金国际（000975）、国药股份（600511）、天山铝业（002532）等 72只个股。 全国社会保障基金理事会日前表示，始终坚持长期投资、价值投资、责任投资理念，坚定看好中国资本 市场发展前景，主动融入国家发展战略，在积极开展股票投资的同时实现基金安全和保值增值。 社保基金新进持有100家上市公司 今年一季度，社保基金对云铝股份（000807）、华鲁恒升（600426）、常熟银行（601128）、万华化学 （600309）、赤峰黄金（600988 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The market prices of the company's main products in the nutrition sector have recovered, leading to an upward revision of EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to RMB 2.19 and RMB 2.44 respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at RMB 2.63. A target price of RMB 30.66 is set based on a 14x PE for 2025 [4][7]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of RMB 21.61 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.87 billion, up 117.01% year-on-year [4][7]. - The first quarter of 2025 is projected to show significant growth, with net profit expected to be between RMB 1.8 billion and RMB 1.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 107%-118% [4][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2023A: RMB 15,117 million - 2024A: RMB 21,610 million (up 43.0%) - 2025E: RMB 24,323 million (up 12.6%) - 2026E: RMB 27,763 million (up 14.1%) - 2027E: RMB 29,875 million (up 7.6%) [3][6]. - **Net Profit (Attributable to Shareholders)**: - 2023A: RMB 2,704 million - 2024A: RMB 5,869 million (up 117.0%) - 2025E: RMB 6,719 million (up 14.5%) - 2026E: RMB 7,502 million (up 11.7%) - 2027E: RMB 8,087 million (up 7.8%) [3][6]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: RMB 0.88 - 2024A: RMB 1.91 - 2025E: RMB 2.19 - 2026E: RMB 2.44 - 2027E: RMB 2.63 [3][6]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023A: 10.9% - 2024A: 20.0% - 2025E: 20.0% - 2026E: 19.6% - 2027E: 18.6% [3][6]. Sector Performance - The nutrition sector is expected to see revenue growth of 52.58%, while fragrances, new materials, and other products are projected to grow by 19.62%, 39.51%, and 24.33% respectively in 2024 [4][7]. - The gross profit margin changes for these sectors are +13.27 percentage points for nutrition, +1.33 percentage points for fragrances, -5.84 percentage points for new materials, and +7.49 percentage points for other products [4][7]. New Projects and Products - The nutrition sector has seen the release of methionine project capacity at 300,000 tons/year, with a joint venture for a liquid methionine project nearing completion. The company is also advancing in the fragrances and new materials sectors with various projects [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Guoguang Co., Shengquan Group, and others as strong investment opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The chemical market is experiencing active trading, with growth stocks presenting favorable allocation opportunities. The report highlights the "Five Tigers" of Minsheng Chemical, which includes Shengquan Group, Guoci Materials, Guoguang Co., Amway Co., and Polymeric Co. [1][4]. - Phosphate fertilizer demand remains stable, with high prices for phosphate rock expected to continue due to increased entry barriers and a delayed supply release from new mines [1]. - The report suggests focusing on large phosphate chemical enterprises with integrated advantages, such as Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group, Chuanheng Co., and Chuanfa Longmang [1]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Overview - The basic chemical industry index closed at 3335.36 points, up 2.71% from the previous week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.32% [10]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 298 stocks rose (65%), while 148 stocks fell (32%) [16]. Key Chemical Products - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 59 products seeing price increases and 119 products experiencing declines. Notable price increases were observed in liquid chlorine, sulfuric acid, and MDI [21]. - Liquid chlorine prices surged by 105% to 41 CNY/ton, while sulfuric acid prices rose by 21% to 100 CNY/ton [22]. Subsector Tracking - Polycarbonate (PC) production capacity is expected to grow from 875,000 tons in 2018 to 3,810,000 tons by 2024, with a gradual improvement in supply-demand balance anticipated from 2025 to 2029 [2]. - The organic silicon sector is projected to see a recovery in supply-demand balance, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.4% in production capacity from 2021 to 2024 [2]. Company Profit Forecasts - Guoguang Co. is forecasted to have an EPS of 0.78 CNY in 2024, with a PE ratio of 19, while Shengquan Group is expected to have an EPS of 1.03 CNY with a PE ratio of 24 [4].

以下为研究报告摘要： 中银证券近日发布化工行业周报：本周（04.21-04.27）均价跟踪的100个化工品种中， 共有17个品种价格上涨，58个品种价格下跌，25个品种价格稳定。跟踪的产品中29%的产品 月均价环比上涨，64%的产品月均价环比下跌，另外7%产品价格持平。周均价涨幅居前的 品种分别是高效氯氟氰菊酯、聚合MDI（华东）、石脑油（新加坡）、R134a（巨化）、双 酚A（华东）；而周均价跌幅居前的品种分别是NYMEX天然气、维生素A、DMF（华 东）、煤焦油（山西）、丙烯腈。 四月份，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，建议关注年报季报 行情，自主可控日益关键的电子材料公司，以及分红派息政策稳健的能源企业等。 投资建议 截至4月27日，SW基础化工市盈率（TTM剔除负值）为21.45倍，处在历史（2002年至 今）的56.30%分位数；市净率为1.76倍，处在历史水平的8.83%分位数。SW石油石化市盈率 （TTM剔除负值）为10.41倍，处在历史（2002年至今）的9.89%分位数；市净率为1.16倍， 处在历史水平的0.93%分位数。四月份，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and the CSI 300 Chemical Index reported 2080.97 points, with a decline of 8.46% in the past month, 4.44% in the past three months, and 6.01% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 300 Index is categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries, with a base date of December 31, 2004, and a base point of 1000.0 [1] - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Chemical Index are: Wanhua Chemical (23.25%), Salt Lake Industry (13.52%), Baofeng Energy (7.58%), Juhua Co. (7.48%), Hengli Petrochemical (7.2%), Satellite Chemical (7.1%), Hualu Hengsheng (6.86%), Zangge Mining (6.26%), Longbai Group (6.04%), and Rongsheng Petrochemical (5.49%) [1] Group 2 - In terms of industry composition within the CSI 300 Chemical Index, other chemical raw materials account for 39.27%, polyurethane for 23.25%, potassium fertilizer for 19.79%, fluorochemical for 7.48%, titanium dioxide for 6.04%, and organic silicon for 4.17% [2] - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made when the CSI 300 Index sample is modified [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The supply of polyolefins remains abundant, and the fundamentals are weak. In the medium to long term, the industry is in a capacity expansion cycle, and there is an expectation of a continued decline in the price center of crude oil on the cost side. Therefore, the strategy is to be bearish on rebounds. For L2509, the focus range is [7050 - 7250], and for PP2509, it is [7050 - 7200] this week and [7050 - 7170] next week. The short position of the L - PP09 spread should be held [3][4][5]. Summary Based on Directories This Week's Review PE - **Viewpoint Review**: The supply - demand situation is characterized by strong supply and weak demand, with a volatile and weak trend. The new 208 - million - ton devices of Wanhua and others were put into production in the first quarter, and the 70 - million - ton Shandong New Era and 50 - million - ton ExxonMobil devices are planned to start in April. Although there is an expectation of supply reduction due to counter - sanctions, as demand gradually weakens, the pressure of inventory accumulation in the fundamentals is increasing. The L2509 was expected to be in the range of [7050 - 7250], and the short position of the L - PP09 spread should be held [3]. - **Viewpoint Review**: The L2509 fluctuated in the range of [7086 - 7220] this week, basically in line with expectations. The weekly output increased for 5 consecutive weeks, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 16.5%. The peak season of agricultural films is coming to an end, and the operating rate has declined for 4 consecutive weeks. The fundamentals show strong supply and weak demand, and the market fluctuated weakly [3]. PP - **Viewpoint Review**: Attention should be paid to the changes in PDH devices, and the strategy is to be bearish on rebounds. Some devices are planned for maintenance and restart next week, and it is expected that the output will decrease slightly. Currently, the propane import gap has not significantly affected the PP end, and the PDH operating rate is basically the same as the same period in previous years. In terms of valuation, due to the double - weak situation of coal, the profits of oil - based and coal - based production are significantly higher than the same period last year, and there is still room to short the profits. In the short term, the operation of PDH devices is uncertain, so it is advisable to wait and see. In the medium to long term, multiple devices are planned to be put into production in the second quarter, and the medium - to - long - term pattern is weak. The PP2509 was expected to be in the range of [7050 - 7200] [5]. - **Viewpoint Review**: The PP2509 fluctuated in the range of [7056 - 7148] this week, basically in line with expectations. The supply - side output was 730,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 14,000 tons, and it has declined for 2 consecutive weeks. The cumulative year - on - year increase in output from January to the 17th week is 16.3%. The downstream operating rate has declined for 5 consecutive weeks, showing a situation of weak supply and demand, and the total commercial inventory has declined for 2 consecutive weeks [5]. Next Week's Outlook PE - The supply remains abundant, and the fundamentals are weak. Attention should be paid to the dynamics of funds. The new 258 - million - ton devices of Wanhua, Exxon, etc. have been put into production since the beginning of the year, and the 70 - million - ton Shandong New Era and 50 - million - ton ExxonMobil devices are planned to start in the second quarter. The import volume decreased significantly in March, and the import margins of LL and LD are negative. The demand is in the seasonal off - season, and the pressure of inventory accumulation in the industry chain is increasing. The L2509 is expected to be in the range of [7050 - 7250]. Currently, the concentration of short positions in the 09 contract is relatively high. As the long holiday approaches, if a large number of short positions are closed for profit, the market may rebound periodically. The short position of the L - PP09 spread should be held [4]. PP - High maintenance cannot offset high production, and the strategy is to be bearish on rebounds. Multiple devices such as Ningbo Taishu and Ningxia Baofeng were shut down unexpectedly at the end of the week, and the maintenance losses will be postponed to next week. Although the supply pressure has been marginally relieved, according to data, the planned new maintenance volume before May is less than the device restart volume, and the 955,000 - ton new device of Exxon was put into production in late April. In the medium to long term, multiple devices are planned to be put into production in the second quarter, and the medium - to - long - term pattern is weak. The PP2509 is expected to be in the range of [7050 - 7170] [6]. PE - Related Data - **Monthly Supply - Demand Balance**: The effective production capacity is increasing throughout the year. The production capacity utilization rate fluctuates between 76% - 87%. The monthly output, import volume, and export volume also show certain fluctuations. The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of output and apparent consumption are positive, and the inventory at the end of the period shows a certain degree of change [7]. - **Weekly Fundamental Data**: The PE main contract closing price, regional prices, and various costs and profits have changed. The PE output has increased slightly, and the downstream operating rate has decreased slightly. The inventory of enterprises, society, and traders has changed to varying degrees, and the position volume has increased significantly [8]. - **Production and Inventory**: This week's PE output is 640,000 tons, increasing for 5 consecutive weeks. The cumulative year - on - year increase in output from January to the 17th week is 16.5%. Next week, it is expected that the total output will be 658,700 tons, an increase of 16,200 tons compared with this week [18]. - **Import and Export**: From January to March, the cumulative PE import volume was 3.64 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 6.4%. Currently, the import margins of LL and LD have turned negative, and the import pressure will gradually ease. It is expected that the total import volume of polyethylene in April and May will be about 1.01 million tons and 950,000 tons respectively [28]. - **Demand**: The downstream operating rate of PE is 40% (a week - on - week increase of 0.01 pct). The peak season of agricultural films is coming to an end, and the operating rate has declined for 4 consecutive weeks. The operating rate of the packaging industry is running at a low level [31][37][40]. - **Cost and Profit**: The profit is at a relatively high level compared with the same period [45]. - **Position Volume**: As of April 25th, the net short position of the L2509 main contract accounts for 63%. Attention should be paid to the capital dynamics of seats such as Guotai, Qiankun, and CITIC [50][51]. PP - Related Data - **Monthly Supply - Demand Balance**: The effective production capacity is increasing throughout the year. The production capacity utilization rate fluctuates between 77% - 79%. The monthly output, import volume, and export volume also show certain fluctuations. The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of output and apparent consumption are positive, and the inventory at the end of the period shows a certain degree of change. The 50 - million - ton fourth line of Zhenhai Refining and Chemical's production plan has been postponed to mid - June [52]. - **Weekly Fundamental Data**: The PP main contract closing price, regional prices, and various costs and profits have changed. The output has decreased, and the production capacity utilization rate has decreased. The downstream operating rate has decreased slightly, and the total commercial inventory, enterprise inventory, and trader inventory have all decreased [53]. - **Supply**: This week's PP output is 730,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 14,000 tons, and it has declined for 2 consecutive weeks. The cumulative year - on - year increase in output from January to the 17th week is 16.3%. Due to the unexpected shutdown of multiple devices at the end of the week, the production capacity utilization rate of polypropylene is expected to continue to decline, and it is expected to run at around 74% next week [61]. - **Import and Export**: In March, PP turned into a net exporter again [69]. - **Demand**: The downstream operating rate has declined slightly for 3 consecutive weeks. The operating rate of the raffia is at a relatively high level compared with the same period. The profit of BOPP is relatively low, and the operating rate of PP non - woven fabrics is running smoothly [71][72][75][81]. - **Cost and Profit**: The profit is at a relatively high level [87]. - **Position Volume**: As of April 25th, the net short position of the PP2509 main contract accounts for 51%. Attention should be paid to the capital dynamics of seats such as Dongzheng, CITIC, and Guotai [106][107].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the basic chemical industry [5] Core Insights - The demand for lightweight materials is expected to significantly increase due to the rise of high-tech industries such as semiconductors, new energy vehicles, and commercial aircraft during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [21][22] - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach a market size of 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, indicating substantial growth potential [2][26] - The humanoid robot market is anticipated to grow from approximately 1.017 billion USD in 2024 to 15 billion USD by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 56% [2][30] Summary by Sections Lightweight Materials Development - Lightweight material companies are experiencing rapid growth and continuous breakthroughs, driven by the demand from high-tech industries [21] - In 2024, Zhongyan Co. achieved ISO16949 certification in the automotive sector and received Class III medical device registration for its PEEK materials in the medical field [22] - Jinfa Technology's modified plastics sales reached 2.5515 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.78% [23] Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is recognized as a strategic emerging industry, with significant government support and policy initiatives [25][27] - By 2024, 449 general airports and 32 flight service stations have been established, with over 440 drone routes operational [26] - Various provinces have introduced action plans to promote the development of the low-altitude economy, indicating a strong commitment to this sector [28][29] Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot market is expected to see substantial growth, with global sales projected to increase from 11,900 units in 2024 to 605,700 units by 2030 [2][30] - Companies like Tesla are making significant advancements in humanoid robot development, with plans for mass production by 2030 [33] - The humanoid robot sector is supported by numerous local government policies aimed at fostering innovation and industry growth [32] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on upstream oil and gas sectors, undervalued chemical leaders, and new materials related to semiconductors, OLEDs, wind power, lithium batteries, and photovoltaic materials [4]

触媒，是催化剂的别称，指能够改变化学反应速率而自身不参与消耗的物质。在全球化工产业中，超90%的 化学反应需要催化剂参与，催化剂市场规模与市场需求逐年上升。但部分催化剂生产企业因技术工艺水平不 足，长期从事低端催化剂生产工作，产品附加值较低。当前，我国石化产业正处于产业变革的关键节点，亟 须加快催化剂等产业的升级转型和技术自主化步伐。 在中国，有这样一家以触媒命名的企业——中触媒新材料股份有限公司(以下简称中触媒)。该公司多年深耕 催化剂的研发与应用，在铁钼法甲醇制甲醛催化剂这一长期被国际化工企业技术垄断的领域，突破了催化剂 一致性、稳定性和装填等核心技术瓶颈，实现了国产化替代技术研发与应用，目前已完成产品全生命周期运 行。 从技术攻坚到产业赋能，中触媒成功研发出甲醛铁钼催化剂，彰显了该公司克服重重困难推动催化剂产业化 的创新精神，为化工行业转型升级提供了重要范本。 中触媒全景图 铁钼催化剂进入"国产时代" 甲醛作为基础化工原料，是胶合板、家具、纺织品等领域的核心中间体，亦在消毒防腐行业占据重要地位。 甲醇氧化制甲醛工艺通常以甲醇为原材料，通入空气，经原料汽化、催化氧化、产品吸收和浓缩精制等流程 制得成品。 ...

// 一、市场要闻 // 1、国务院新闻办公室于4月27日（星期日）下午3时举行新闻发布会，请商务部副部长盛秋平和财政部、文化和旅游部、海关总署、税务总局、中国 民航局有关负责人介绍优化离境退税政策扩大入境消费有关情况，并答记者问。此外，27日还会公布中国3月规模以上工业企业利润数据。 2、全国31个省份的一季度经济运行情况已全部发布，其中21个省份达到或超过GDP预期增长目标，经济大省更是普遍超预期。从GDP排名来看，一 季度，上海、辽宁均连升2位，四川从第6位升至第5位；湖北则以6.3%增速领跑经济大省。此外，中西部和东北地区更敢花钱，消费增速排名前9名 均来自中西部和东北地区。 跨境贸易 国务院副总理何立峰出席跨境贸易便利化专项行动部署会并讲话。他指出，要抓好专项行动的组织实施，在取得阶段工作成效基础上，将成熟的举 措和经验做法尽快在全国复制推广。加力培育壮大外贸发展新动能，以更优口岸营商环境激发活力、应对外部冲击、稳定增长。 海关总署牵头部署开展跨境贸易便利化专项行动。专项行动为期5个月，将在全国25个城市开展，政策举措涵盖货物贸易、数字贸易、绿色贸易等领 域。 旅游 据交通运输部，2025年"五一" ...

【DT新材料】 获悉，4月25日， 万华化学 与 科威特石化工业公司 （下称"PIC"，科威特石油公司KPC全资子公司）正式签署合资协议， PIC投资 6.38亿美金认购万华化学全资子公司 万华化学（烟台）石化有限公司 25%的股权 。 在当下如此动荡的关税冲突下，预计未来将有更多石化企业转向与中东企业合作 。近年来最大的一个事件莫过于2023年3月， 全球最大石油公司 沙特 阿美 宣布投资246亿元，收购 荣盛石化 约10%股权，目前是该公司第二大股东。 同年9月，沙特阿美进一步宣布计划收购东方盛虹全资子公司 盛虹 石化 10%的战略股权 （尚未完成） 。同年10月，沙特阿美与南山集团、山东能源集团以及非上市炼化巨头山东裕龙共同签署了谅解备忘录，预示着 沙特阿美可能收购 山东裕龙 10%的战略股权 （尚未完成） 。 2024年4月22日，恒力石化公告，沙特阿美拟向恒力集团收购占 恒力石化 已发行股本 百分之十加一股的股份 （尚未完成） 。 点击扩展阅读 ：《 荣盛石化和沙特阿美收购投资项目重大进展！ 》、《 沙特阿美、荣盛石化、恒力石化，又来大动作！ 》 其他主要的中东石油大厂还有阿布扎比国家石油公司（ A ...