值得一提的是，杨爱斌现任鹏扬基金董事、总经理，戴杰现任公司权益投资部总经理助理，李沁现任公司混合投资部副总经理。 此次，戴杰离任鹏扬成长先锋混合基金引起市场关注。 鹏扬成长先锋混合基金成立于2021年11月，截至2025年12月31日，该基金A类份额成立以来的单位净值下跌31.51%，近3年单位净值下跌5.57%，近1年单位 净值增长4.12%。 近期，鹏扬基金旗下多只基金变更基金经理。 | 离任基金经理姓名 | 李沁 | | --- | --- | | 离任原因 | 因工作需要 | | 离任日期 | 2025-12-25 | | 转任本公司其他工作岗位 | | | 的说明 | | | 是否已按规定在中国基金 | 是 | | 业协会办理变更手续 | | | 是否已按规定在中国基金 | 否 | | 业协会办理注销手续 | | 2025年12月27日，鹏扬基金发布公告称，基金经理李沁离任鹏扬景浦一年持有混合基金、鹏扬景润一年混合基金、鹏扬景瑞三年持有混合基金、鹏扬景泽一 年持有混合基金等4只基金。基金经理吴西燕离任鹏扬景合六个月混合基金、鹏扬景欣混合基金、鹏扬添利增强基金等3只基金。基金经理戴杰离任鹏扬成长 先锋 ...

分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 2020 年以来 A 股结构性行情深度镜鉴 ——AI 行情再审视 证券研究报告/策略专题报告 2025 年 12 月 22 日 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《"反内卷"：治理逻辑与产业 影响》2025-11-23 2、《全 A 盈利改善，结构主线明确 — — 2025 年 A 股 三 季 报 点 评 》 2025-11-07 3、《2025 年中报透视：科技景气对 冲 周 期 寻 底 ， 消 费 延 续 分 化 》 2025-09-12 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 核心研判：2020 年以来，A 股市场已系统性告别总量驱动的同涨同跌模式，进入由 宏观动能转换、资金行为变迁与产业逻辑迭代共同驱动的结构性行情新阶段。我们通 过深度复盘三轮代表性行情（消费医药、新能源、泛 AI），揭示不同市场环境下超额 收益的来源演变与核心驱动逻辑的范式转移，并重点对当前处于导入期的泛 AI 行情 与历史上科技泡沫进行对比，论 ...

Market Review - The MAGA policy framework has been established, leading to a rise in gold and a decline in the US dollar. In 2025, the Trump administration strongly promoted the "America First" policy, resulting in increased volatility in global capital markets, with gold leading the gains and the dollar weakening. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices rose by 17% and 22% respectively, while the dollar index fell by 8.8% throughout the year [3][9][10]. US Market - The US economy is expected to grow moderately in 2026, supported by both investment and consumption. The impact of previous tariffs is diminishing, and fiscal and monetary policies are showing effects. AI-related investments are anticipated to continue their strong momentum, while consumer spending is expected to gradually recover [3][4][9]. - Inflation remains sticky, with limited room for interest rate cuts. The expected range for rate cuts in 2026 is between 25-50 basis points, influenced by resilient wage growth and economic recovery [3][4][9]. - The political landscape, particularly the midterm elections, is likely to maintain a moderate policy tone, balancing economic stimulus with inflation control to create a favorable socio-economic environment [3][4][9]. US Stock Market - The US stock market is expected to continue its upward trend, driven by the AI narrative and recovery in cyclical and consumer sectors. Key investment opportunities include AI-related industries, which are still in the early stages of a potential bubble, and sectors benefiting from the "Great Beautiful Act" [3][4][9]. - The manufacturing and information sectors are projected to be the main beneficiaries of corporate tax cuts, while cyclical and consumer sectors are expected to recover as the economy stabilizes [3][4][9]. Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hong Kong stock market is anticipated to maintain a trend of oscillating upward, with structural opportunities emerging. The earnings growth in sectors such as semiconductors, automotive parts, and discretionary consumption is expected to improve significantly in 2026 [3][4][9]. - The liquidity environment is characterized by a decline in US Treasury yields, with foreign capital continuing to flow into the market. The strategic stability in US-China relations is likely to support risk appetite [3][4][9].

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a continuous volume contraction rebound, with improved funding conditions due to the warming expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and enhanced effectiveness of domestic fundamental pricing [1] - Recent improvements in the TMT and upstream resource sectors have been notable, with a focus on AI chains, pricing chains, capital goods, consumer goods, and infrastructure chains [1] - The upcoming "spring restlessness" in mid to late December may lead to an early start, balancing growth and cyclical investments, with a mid-term view favoring large financials and certain high-value consumer stocks as core choices for asset revaluation in China [1] Group 2 - The market is experiencing a rotation of volatility and structural opportunities, with traditional manufacturing and resource sectors being undervalued in terms of global pricing power [3] - Since the "9.24 market" last year, the overall market has seen a systematic increase in financing, with a net increase of 1.11 trillion yuan, significantly surpassing the total issuance of public and private bullish products since October of the previous year [3] - Major broad-based indices and thriving sectors have achieved most of their gains during these two market waves, while other periods have been relatively flat, with effective gains seen in quant-driven micro-accounts, insurance-driven banks, and price-driven non-ferrous metals [3] Group 3 - The market remains in an upward trend supported by funding and policy, with expectations for the A-share market to continue its bull run next year, supported by valuation and profit stabilization [4] - Easing geopolitical risks and renewed expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are likely to bring a pre-spring restlessness rally to the A-share market, with upcoming U.S.-China policy expectations being a key factor [4] - The AI sector is expected to continue its momentum under the 2026 U.S.-China interest rate cycle and strengthening AI trends, with a focus on "scarcity" in energy and power, as well as dual development in AI applications and ecosystem construction [4]

中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522100001 策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 12 月 7 日 策略周报 "春躁"预热行情有望提前开启 | 图表 | 1. 近期全球大类资产表现 5 | | --- | --- | | 图表 | 2. 本周国内外重点经 ...

日本突发黑天鹅! 今日，日本3个月国债收益率暴涨超34%，对应的是其国债暴跌。日本10年期国债收益率上升5个基点至1.85%。日本2年期国债收益率升至2008年以来最 高水平。与此同时，日经指数一度暴跌近2%。 暴跌的背后，是日本央行行长植田和男周一表示，日本央行将在下次货币政策会议上"权衡加息的利弊"，这是他迄今为止对本月可能加息发出的最强烈 信号。 在他发表上述言论后，市场开始押注日本央行将在12月18日至19日的会议上加息，日元和日本国债收益率随之走高。 有分析师称："植田和男这次的演讲，听上去就是在为12月加息做准备。他甚至还提到了政府，表明他很可能已经取得了政府方面对这一举措的理解。" 上周五，芝商所因数据中心故障"拔网线"，现货黄金波动剧烈，并在期货价格恢复报价后重回4200美元上方，最终收涨1.49%，报4218.77美元。今日欧 市盘中，黄金延续涨势，目前在4248美元附近徘徊。 除了黄金之外，白银表现尤其亮眼。上周五，现货白银大涨超6%，突破56美元，创下历史新高;沪银夜盘同样表现强劲，大涨超5%，突破13000元大 关，刷新历史高点。 对于市场关心的AI行情，汇丰银行发布的最新预测称，到2 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that many quality assets have returned to reasonable valuation levels following adjustments in technology, consumer, and cyclical sectors, prompting fund managers to consider increasing positions in late November to early December [1] - As of November 24, 59 new active equity funds have been established since November, with 51 of them experiencing changes in unit net value, indicating that fund managers are beginning to build positions [2][4] - Despite the market's volatility, only 400 out of over 8000 active equity funds have shown positive net value growth since November, highlighting the challenges faced by investors [2] Group 2 - Institutions believe that the main market trends are not yet at a peak, as the market needs time to digest previous rapid gains, and the fourth quarter is typically characterized by significant volatility [4] - After recent adjustments, many quality assets have returned to reasonable valuation levels, suggesting that the market may be approaching a phase of low points [4] - 华夏基金 suggests focusing on opportunities in the gaming, Hang Seng Technology, and TMT sectors, as these areas have seen significant corrections and may present favorable investment conditions [5]

Group 1 - The A-shares market experienced a decline on November 17, with the A500 ETF (512050) dropping by 0.60% and a trading volume exceeding 3.5 billion yuan, ranking first among its peers [1] - Key sectors showing strong performance included lithium mining, cross-strait integration, aquaculture, lithium extraction from salt lakes, and operating systems, with stocks like Rongbai Technology, 360, and Yahua Group hitting the daily limit [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF (512050) saw a net inflow of over 2.8 billion yuan in the past 20 days, indicating strong investor interest in core assets [2] - Long-term funds such as public funds, insurance funds, and pension funds are increasingly entering the capital market, contributing to market stability and healthy development [2] - As of the end of Q3 this year, actively managed equity funds held a market value of 2.99 trillion yuan in A-shares, with stock positions rising to 85.62%, the highest level since 2005 [2] Group 3 - The A500 ETF (512050) offers investors a convenient way to invest in core A-share assets, benefiting from low fees (only 0.2%), good liquidity (average daily trading volume over 5 billion yuan), and a large scale (over 19 billion yuan) [3] - The ETF tracks the CSI A500 Index and employs a dual strategy of industry balanced allocation and leading stock selection, covering all 35 sub-industries and integrating value and growth attributes [3] - Compared to the CSI 300, the A500 ETF is overweight in sectors such as AI industry chain, pharmaceutical biology, and electric equipment in new energy, providing a natural "barbell" investment strategy [3]

Core Insights - The primary focus of the article is the resurgence of dollar funds in the primary market, indicating a renewed confidence among investors in China's market [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - A notable fundraising wave has emerged in the primary market, with several institutions announcing successful fundraising rounds, particularly for dollar funds [3][4]. - The dollar fund sector is experiencing a revival, with significant changes in recruitment trends, particularly for Investor Relations (IR) positions, signaling a potential increase in fundraising activities [6][7]. - Many institutions that previously focused on RMB funds are now expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, by adding dollar IR positions [7]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - There is a marked increase in engagement from foreign Limited Partners (LPs), with many foreign family offices conducting intensive research trips to China, indicating a renewed recognition of China's technological innovation and asset value [7][8]. - Recent fundraising successes by firms like Monolith Capital and Source Code Capital have bolstered market confidence [7][8]. Group 3: Strategic Opportunities - Blue Pool Capital, backed by Alibaba's co-founder, is launching its first direct private equity fund with a target of $750 million, focusing on global investments, including in China [8]. - The shift in foreign investment sentiment is attributed to ongoing policy benefits and significant breakthroughs in domestic technology, leading to a recovery in market confidence [10][15]. Group 4: Regional Initiatives - Shenzhen has introduced a comprehensive plan to attract overseas sovereign funds, aiming to enhance cross-border capital cooperation and support local industries [11][12]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is also focusing on expanding institutional openness and cross-border investment channels, encouraging long-term value investments rather than short-term trading [12]. Group 5: Asset Valuation - The article emphasizes the re-evaluation of Chinese assets, particularly in competitive sectors like manufacturing and the vast consumer market, which are seen as undervalued [13]. - The global competitive landscape is shifting, with Chinese entrepreneurs and tech companies gaining parity with their U.S. counterparts, leading to increased foreign interest in China's innovation capabilities [13][15].

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley Fund Management (China) has experienced performance divergence among its fund managers this year, with Lei Zhiyong's Digital Economy fund showing strong results, while Wang Dapeng's Health Industry fund underperformed the index and benchmark returns [1][2] - The Digital Economy Mixed A fund managed by Lei Zhiyong has achieved a year-to-date return of 71% as of November 9, significantly outperforming the benchmark by 46 percentage points, and ranking among the top in its category [1] - Over the past year, the Digital Economy fund has delivered nearly 80% returns, exceeding the benchmark by approximately 59 percentage points, and has achieved a remarkable 192% return over the past two years [1] Group 2 - The Health Industry Mixed A fund, managed by Wang Dapeng, has heavily invested in the popular innovative drug sector but has only realized a year-to-date return of 5%, underperforming the benchmark by nearly 11 percentage points [2] - The Health Industry fund has shown negative returns over various time frames, with returns of -2%, -16%, -27%, and -32% over the past year, two years, three years, and five years respectively, all trailing the benchmark returns [2]