Group 1 - The article emphasizes a dual investment strategy, likening it to the "Left and Right Fighting Technique" from "The Legend of the Condor Heroes," suggesting a balanced approach of defensive and offensive investments [1] - The suggested investment allocation includes 50% in high dividend and low volatility assets, and 50% in high elasticity and high prosperity low-altitude economy assets, aiming for a balanced portfolio [1] - The 800 Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159355) tracks the CSI 800 Dividend Low Volatility Index, focusing on quality large and mid-cap stocks, making it a stable choice for defensive positioning [1] - The General Aviation ETF (Huabao) (159231) tracks the National General Aviation Index, covering sectors like low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace, presenting a high potential for growth and offensive investment [1] Group 2 - The low-altitude economy sector is experiencing a temporary and healthy correction, with strong long-term investment potential supported by national strategic planning [3] - As of May 28, the General Aviation ETF (Huabao) has seen a decline of over 5% from its peak, indicating a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on rebounds [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.30% and the ChiNext Index dropping by 1.28%, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market [1][3]. Market Performance - The A-share market saw a total trading volume of 661.07 billion, with 2,527 stocks rising, 2,624 stocks falling, and 257 remaining unchanged [3]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,338.42, down by 9.95 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,060.36, down by 72.06 points [3]. - The ChiNext Index fell to 1,995.61, marking a decline of 25.89 points [3]. Sector Performance - Sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, cloud gaming, superconductors, and shipping saw significant gains, while innovative drugs and automotive sectors weakened [2]. - Main capital flows showed a net inflow into electronic, mechanical equipment, and computer sectors, while there was a net outflow from pharmaceutical, automotive, and banking sectors [4]. Individual Stock Movements - Notable stocks with net inflows included Shenghong Technology (9.31 billion), Shanghai Electric (8.14 billion), and Wuhan Fanggu (6.57 billion) [5]. - Conversely, stocks like BYD, CATL, and Kweichow Moutai faced significant sell-offs, with net outflows of 16.55 billion, 9.29 billion, and 7.88 billion respectively [6]. Market Sentiment and Strategy - Analysts suggest that the rising volatility in the A-share market indicates an increase in risk aversion among investors, recommending a focus on defensive sectors and a "barbell strategy" for asset allocation [8]. - The market is expected to oscillate within the range of 3,340 to 3,360 points, with key support at 3,316 points [9]. Currency and Economic Indicators - The offshore RMB appreciated against the USD, reaching a midpoint of 7.1833, the highest since April 2 [11]. - The People's Bank of China conducted a 3,820 billion reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40% [11]. Other Market Highlights - The Hong Kong market also faced declines, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 1.32% [1][12]. - The gaming sector showed strength, with stocks like Ice Age Network and Youzu Network experiencing significant gains [26].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a sudden drop with over 4,200 stocks declining and 20 hitting the daily limit down [1] - The trading volume ratio between the CSI 2000 and CSI 300 indices has declined, indicating a shift in capital from small-cap stocks to other sectors [1][3] - The banking and power sectors also saw significant declines, suggesting speculative capital may have been concentrated in these traditionally stable sectors [3] Investment Strategies - The "dumbbell strategy" has shifted focus from technology stocks to dividend and small-cap stocks due to changing economic expectations [3] - There is a recurring "end-of-month curse" observed in A-shares, where speculative stocks tend to drop significantly at the end of the month [3][4] Sector Performance - The nuclear energy sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Wangzi New Materials and Rongfa Nuclear Power hitting the daily limit up [11] - BYD's electric vehicle sales in Europe surpassed Tesla for the first time, with a 169% increase in April [13] - The electronic sector faced challenges, particularly with companies like Hengxuan Technology experiencing significant declines due to competitive pressures [12] Economic Indicators - The U.S. reported better-than-expected manufacturing and services PMI for May, indicating a resilient economy despite concerns over debt [6] - Speculation exists that the Trump administration may adopt fiscal policies that could alleviate recession fears [8] Company Developments - DeepSeek's parent company is actively recruiting talent in algorithm research and medical fields, contributing to a temporary boost in the AI medical sector [15] - Seris is set to showcase a humanoid robot demo on June 16, leading to a surge in its stock price [15]

Group 1 - The A-share market has returned to levels seen before April 2, indicating an upward adjustment in economic expectations for the second quarter, which may enhance risk appetite [1] - The market is expected to focus on structural trends, with a potential rotation between dividend and technology sectors contributing to excess returns [1] - The A500 index, designed with an "industry balance" approach, provides a natural barbell structure by evenly distributing investments between dividend and technology sectors [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF (159339) has shown a high market activity with an average daily trading volume of 261 million yuan over the past 20 trading days [1] - In the A500 index, stocks such as Betta Pharmaceuticals and Sihuan Pharmaceutical have risen over 9%, while Huahai Pharmaceutical and Tigermed have increased over 7% [1] - The A50 ETF (159592) tracks the A50 index, which focuses on large-cap leading stocks across various industries, benefiting from increased market concentration due to supply-side reforms [2] Group 3 - Recent trade negotiations have led to a temporary recovery in market sentiment, but subsequent pullbacks indicate a return to rationality among investors, focusing more on fundamental support [2] - The previous rise in A-shares was primarily driven by event-based sentiment rather than substantial improvements in corporate earnings or macroeconomic conditions [2] - As short-term sentiment factors fade, capital pricing is expected to align more closely with actual business performance and industry development trends [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the Hong Kong stock market, emphasizing a cautious approach to investment strategies amid ongoing market fluctuations and the need for a balanced asset allocation strategy. Group 1: Market Overview - Global major stock markets have recovered from the largest declines since April, with the Hong Kong stock market showing significant gains [1] - The southbound flow of the Hong Kong Stock Connect has been cautious since mid-April, indicating a defensive stance among investors [3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - A "defensive counterattack" strategy is suggested for investing in Hong Kong stocks, combining offensive and defensive asset allocations [3] - The strategy involves selecting assets with extreme attributes to hedge against uncertainties and balance risk and return [5] - Offensive assets should include sectors with high growth potential, such as AI and semiconductors, or leading companies with monopolistic advantages [3] - Defensive assets should consist of stable, high cash flow companies, such as utility leaders or sectors supported by government policies like new energy and infrastructure [3] Group 3: Asset Allocation Examples - An example of asset allocation is provided, suggesting a 50/50 split between defensive and offensive assets [4] - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (SH520550) is highlighted for its high dividend yield of 8.2% and frequent dividend payments [4] - The Hong Kong Technology 50 ETF (SZ159750) is noted for its 27% year-to-date return and coverage of key sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and AI [4] Group 4: Dynamic Adjustment - Regular adjustments to the asset allocation are recommended to maximize returns, such as selling portions of the technology ETF when it exceeds expectations [7] - The essence of the strategy is to survive with defensive assets while thriving with offensive assets, allowing for simple operations without frequent trading [7] - Both ETFs mentioned are T+0 trading, facilitating easy adjustments to the strategy [7]

Group 1: Trade Agreement Insights - The US-China trade negotiations have led to a significant reduction in tariffs, with the US's maximum tariff on China dropping from 145% to 30%[9] - Both countries have agreed to suspend the implementation of 24% counter-tariffs for 90 days, marking a shift from "almost embargo" to "tradeable" levels[11] - The reduction in tariffs is expected to alleviate inflation concerns in the US and improve market sentiment, potentially boosting US stock performance[10] Group 2: Market Implications - The easing of tariffs is likely to enhance risk appetite in the market, with expectations for improved economic forecasts in Q2 2025[11] - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have returned to levels prior to the "equivalent tariffs," suggesting a focus on fundamental market conditions moving forward[11] - The report suggests a structural market strategy, with a focus on dividend and technology sectors potentially providing excess returns[18] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The negative impacts of tariffs on Chinese exports may be delayed until Q3 2025, with Q2 expected to shift from a drag to a boost for exports[11] - The necessity for preemptive domestic fiscal policies has decreased due to improved economic expectations[11] - The ongoing trade conflict is anticipated to enter a prolonged "negotiation phase," indicating that optimism should be tempered[18]

2025 年 05 月 16 日 研 港股金股刷新历史新高 —金融工程月报 投资要点 分析师：吕思江 S1050522030001 联系人：武文静 S1050123070007 ▌最新市场观点：哑铃策略延续占优，红利低波底 仓+互联网平台、港股新消费等科技弹性 北京时间 5 月 12 日下午 3 点，《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声 明》发布，中美关税谈判进度及降幅大超市场预期，恒生科 技暴涨 5.16%，中国资产全线爆发。短期风险偏好回暖下科 技受提振，5 月 14 日腾讯将披露一季报，阿里和小米也将于 5 月 15 日、5 月 27 日陆续披露财报，科技板块催化较多，港 股新消费、创新药、互联网平台为主要弹性方向。 相关研究 港股市场路标数据看，当前港股基本面指标延续回暖，但资 金面和情绪面指标仍为观望状态，南向资金净买入明显趋 缓。国际贸易软脱钩形势未变、国内政策预期放缓下，我们 依旧坚持红利底仓配置价值，港股央企红利低波配置价值凸 显。近期《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》发布，针对 基金产品风格漂移等问题，为每只基金设立清晰的业绩比较 基准，避免产品投资行为偏离名称和定位。公募基金低配板 块短期利好，包括 ...

Core Viewpoint - The attractiveness of high-yield assets in the low-interest-rate environment is highlighted, with some Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend indices showing yields exceeding 8% [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The Hong Kong stock market has shown resilience, achieving four consecutive weeks of gains since early April, following a period of volatility [3]. - As of May 15, 2023, the total net inflow into Hong Kong dividend-themed ETFs has exceeded 11 billion yuan, with a total scale approaching 46.2 billion yuan, marking a growth of over 40% compared to the end of 2022 [3][4]. - The Morgan Fund's Hong Kong dividend index ETF has seen a net inflow of 3.767 billion yuan this year, becoming the first ETF in this category to exceed 10 billion yuan in scale, nearly doubling since the end of last year [3]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend index has risen by 16.63% over the past year, significantly outperforming the China Securities Dividend Index, which fell by 2.37% [6]. - As of May 15, 2023, the latest dividend yield for the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend low volatility index is 8.31%, while the overall Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend index yields 8.08% [6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "technology + dividend" strategy is suggested as a superior asset allocation approach, balancing the volatility of tech assets with the stability of dividend-paying stocks [8]. - The low valuation and high dividend yield of Hong Kong dividend assets present a dual opportunity for undervaluation recovery and high dividend returns [8]. - The composition of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend index is primarily large-cap stocks, with a significant proportion of state-owned enterprises, indicating that its performance will largely depend on the recovery of the domestic economy [8].

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月12日 公募 REITs 一季报全透视 韧性领航，分红突围 一季度业绩回顾：整体表现稳健，分红积极性提升。2025 年一季度，公募 REITs62 只上市产品共实现营业收入 47.79 亿元，实现净利润 8.4 亿元，剔 除新上市项目，基于可比口径，一季度营业收入同比下降 3%，环比下降 2%； 净利润同比下降 14%，环比增长 144%。其中 55 只产品实现盈利，占比为 89%。 年初至今，公募 REITs 总分红金额达到 38.29 亿元，是去年同期的 1.29 倍， 其中有 10 只 REITs 产品分红超过 1 亿元，分红金额最多的三只分别为中信 建投国家电投新能源 REIT（4.16 亿元）、中金安徽交控 REIT（3.08 亿元）、 平安宁波交投 REIT（2.60 亿元）。 年初至今，公募 REITs 在不确定性因素加大的环境中表现出较强韧性。中证 REITs 指数涨幅为 7.5%，跑赢主要股债指数，受益于政策推动，截至 2025 年 5 月 7 日，公募 REITs 总市值达到 1904 亿元，较去年年末增长 350 亿元。 从不同项目属性来看，今年产权类、 ...

政策驰援下投资信心回升 "专业买手"加仓权益类基金 实际上，随着外部扰动影响的降低，4月权益类基金投顾投资权益类资产的信心便有所上升。以主要配 置国内权益类基金的兴证全球进取派优选为例，该组合从4月10日起将"发车"金额提升至2000元，并在5 月8日发车时维持同样的"发车"建议金额。 开源证券数据也显示，4月股债混合型、股票型投顾组合均减持了"固收+"基金，增配主动权益类基金。 注重均衡配置 在外部扰动影响降低、国内政策支持的背景下，资金对权益类资产的投资热情不减。作为基金的"专业 买手"，权益类基金投顾也不断加仓权益类基金，并在近期提升了"发车"金额。 多只投顾组合提高"发车"金额 近期，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证监会负责人介绍了"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场 稳预期"有关情况。兴证全球投顾认为，一揽子增量政策的出台将有力推动增量资金入市，进一步提振 市场风险偏好。 5月以来，多只基金投顾组合提高了"发车"金额。比如中欧财富旗下的"中欧超级股票全明星"组合，4月 两次"发车"的建议金额为720元，但5月8日"发车"金额提高至900元。 中欧财富认为，不仅是政策支持，在4月业绩验证期结束后，5月 ...