Group 1 - The article outlines key economic indicators and events scheduled for November 2025, including U.S. employment data and manufacturing indices [2][3] - It highlights the release of various economic reports such as the U.S. trade balance for September and the ADP employment report for October [2][3] - The calendar includes significant dates for central bank meetings, including the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision and the Bank of England's rate announcement [2][3] Group 2 - The article mentions the upcoming release of China's October CPI and PPI, which are critical for assessing inflation trends [2] - It notes the importance of the U.S. non-farm payroll report and unemployment rate for October, which are key indicators of labor market health [2][3] - The article also references the OPEC monthly report and its implications for the oil market, alongside weekly EIA crude oil inventory data [2][3]

（原标题：欧盟9月份失业率为6.0%） 据欧盟统计局数据，2025年9月，欧盟的失业率为6.0%，高于上年同期0.1个百分点。其中，男性失 业率为5.8%，女性失业率为6.1% ；青年失业率为14.8%。 ...

每经AI快讯，10月31日消息，日本9月失业率为2.6%，预期2.50%，前值2.60%。 ...

Group 1 - The adjusted unemployment rate in Germany for October is 6.3%, matching both the forecast and the previous value of 6.3% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Singapore's labor market is performing better than expected, supported by continuous economic growth, with an increase in total employment and stable low unemployment and layoff rates [1][2]. Group 2 - In Q3 2025, total employment (excluding foreign domestic workers) increased by 24,800, significantly higher than the 10,400 increase in Q2 and the 22,300 increase in the same period last year, driven by both resident and non-resident employment [1]. - Resident employment growth is mixed, with strong increases in financial services and health and social services, while sectors like information and communication, professional services, and wholesale trade show weak performance, particularly with a significant decline in wholesale trade employment [1]. - The overall unemployment rate remained stable at 2.0% in September, with resident unemployment at 2.8% and citizen unemployment at 3.0%, all consistent with the previous quarter and within normal ranges for non-recession periods [1]. - The number of layoffs in Q3 remained stable at 3,500, with a layoff rate of 1.4 per 1,000 employees, similar to the previous quarter's figures, primarily due to business restructuring or structural adjustments [1]. Group 3 - Looking ahead to Q4 2025, recruitment sentiment has slightly improved, with 44.1% of surveyed companies indicating a willingness to hire, which is a slight increase from the previous quarter [2]. - However, the proportion of companies planning to increase salaries has decreased slightly to 19.3%, indicating that wage growth is expected to slow down due to cost pressures, and some outward-facing industries may see an increase in layoffs [2].

Core Points - The U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that the government shutdown has caused at least $18 billion in economic losses, with potential for further increases in the coming weeks [1] - The CBO estimates that 70 to 140 million dollars of the GDP impact will be permanent, depending on the duration of the shutdown [2] Economic Impact - The CBO reports that the GDP for the fourth quarter has already decreased by at least 1% due to the shutdown [2] - If the shutdown lasts six weeks, the GDP growth could be reduced by 1.5%, equating to a loss of $28 billion [2] - An eight-week shutdown could lead to a 2% decrease in actual GDP, resulting in a loss of $39 billion [2] Employment Effects - Approximately 650,000 federal employees have been furloughed due to the shutdown, which could increase the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points in October, marking the largest monthly increase since the pandemic began [3]

新华社北京10月30日电 美国联邦储备委员会29日宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间再次下调25个基点到3.75%至4.00%之间。美联储主席鲍威尔当天表示， 美联储12月货币政策会议进一步降息并非板上钉钉。 政府"停摆"导致多项官方经济数据发布推迟，而"停摆"前发布的数据显示美国经济活动增长势头可能比预期更为强劲。鲍威尔因此表示，美联储12月货币政 策会议进一步降息并非板上钉钉，情况"远非如此"。 Bell Production pin a well a works of the contribution in the many of the many of the many of the many of the many of the world be California ar 19 are in the re all of the 198 1010 10月29日，美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔在华盛顿出席记者会。新华社记者胡友松摄 美联储委员会当天结束为期两天的货币政策会议。其决策机构联邦公开市场委员会在会后发表声明说，现有指标显示，美国经济活动一直以温和的速度扩 张，今年就业增长放缓，失业率略有上升，通胀率 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. government shutdown is causing significant economic damage, with the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimating a loss of at least $18 billion this year, with $7 billion to $14 billion expected to be irretrievable depending on the duration of the shutdown [1] - If the shutdown extends into the sixth week, the actual GDP growth for Q4 is projected to be 1.5 percentage points lower than normal, equating to a loss of $28 billion in economic output [1] - A shutdown lasting eight weeks could increase the GDP impact to a 2% decline, resulting in a $39 billion loss [1] Economic Activity Impact - The CBO identifies several channels through which the government shutdown is dragging down overall economic activity, including reduced services from federal employees, decreased output in the private sector due to interrupted government contracts, and a reduction in government spending on goods, services, and food assistance [3] - Approximately 650,000 federal employees are currently on unpaid leave, which could push the unemployment rate up by 0.4 percentage points in October, marking the largest single-month increase since the pandemic began [1]

澳洲联邦银行经济学家桑德斯预计，今年澳洲联储将不会再次降息，因为价格上涨幅度太大。预计本季 度澳大利亚经修正的平均通胀率同比可能高达2.9%，这将使澳洲联储感到不安。不过，澳洲联储的声 明将需要包括一些有关近期失业率飙升的内容，为2月份进一步降息敞开了大门。 （文章来源：新华财经） 期货市场显示，下周澳洲联储降息的可能性为8%，CPI数据公布前为40%。 澳洲联储主席布洛克周一表示，澳洲联储必须决定，是进一步下调利率以支持劳动力市场，还是维持现 状以保持对通胀的下行压力。布洛克指出："月度数据可能会有波动。"她指的是近期高于预期的失业率 和通胀数据。"我们需要再等等，收集更多数据。"她的讲话正值澳大利亚失业率上月升至4.5%，而通胀 仍然顽固不下，使得在11月3日至4日会议前的政策前景更加复杂。 新华财经北京10月29日电受住房和旅行成本上升推动，澳大利亚9月季度消费者物价创两年多来最大涨 幅，核心通胀的意外飙升，几乎排除了短期内降息的可能性。 澳大利亚统计局公布数据显示，三季度CPI环比上涨1.3%，高于市场预期的1.1%；同比由2.1%跃升至 3.2%，部分原因是基数效应及能源补贴的影响。 核心通胀修正均 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, with broad support anticipated within the committee, aligning with market pricing trends and continuing the rate cut momentum from September [1] - Forward guidance may present more complex signals, potentially leaning hawkish, with close attention to the mention of "data dependence" and the framework of risk balance in the Chairman's remarks as key indicators [1] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown complicates the market landscape, particularly due to the lack of reliable labor market data, although tax data remains a reference point despite its clarity issues [1] Group 2 - Inflation remains persistently high around 3%, deviating from the Federal Reserve's 2% target, posing policy challenges, especially as the Fed has abandoned the average inflation targeting framework [2] - The focus on labor market conditions is deemed reasonable given the rising unemployment claims and increasing unemployment rate, with high inflation expectations likely to resurface in the market [2] - The current U.S. interest rates and stock market pricing appear to reflect an ideal scenario, with expectations for continued stock market growth but potential volatility before year-end [2]