1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The top of the freight rate has likely been reached, as Maersk's freight rate for the first week of the second half of July remained unchanged, and MSC's freight rate for the second half of July also remained the same as the first half. It is necessary to monitor the freight rate follow - up of other shipping companies, especially the PA Alliance [4]. - During the off - season, the EC2510 contract can be sold on rallies for hedging when the freight rate is falling [5]. 3. Summary by Directory I. Market Analysis - **European Routes**: Different shipping companies have different price quotes for the Shanghai - Rotterdam route. For example, Gemini Cooperation's Maersk Shanghai - Rotterdam price in week 29 is 1780/2980; HPL's quotes vary for different shipping periods. MSC + Premier Alliance and Ocean Alliance also have their own price quotes [1]. - **US Routes**: Earlier, the supply and demand of the US routes both increased, and the supply recovered rapidly. The freight rates on the US East and West routes have fallen from their highs. The weekly average capacity of the Shanghai - US East and West routes in June was 350,000 TEU, 243,400 TEU in May, 359,000 TEU in July, and 299,000 TEU in August. Maersk's Shanghai - Los Angeles price in week 29 is 1456/1820 (compared to 4296/5360 in the first half of June), and the Shanghai - New York price in week 28 is 3625 dollars/FEU (compared to 6410 dollars/FEU in the first half of June) [2]. II. Geopolitical Impact - Geopolitical events such as the Israeli air strikes in Gaza, the situation of the cease - fire agreement draft, and the US and Iran's statements may have an impact on the shipping market, but the specific impact is not elaborated in detail [2]. III. Shipping Capacity - **European Routes**: The monthly average weekly capacity of the Shanghai - European base ports was 261,900 TEU in July and 269,900 TEU in August. There were 8 blank sailings in July (5 by the OA Alliance and 3 by the MSC/PA Alliance) and 2 in August (both by the OA Alliance). The decrease in capacity in July was mainly due to the skipping of Shanghai ports by MSC's ALBATROS route from week 28 to week 31, with a reduction of about 15,000 TEU of allocated shipping capacity [3]. IV. Freight Rate Analysis - **European Routes**: The freight rate top has likely emerged. Historically, the Shanghai - European base port freight rate generally peaked around week 34. In 2024, it peaked in mid - July, and there is a strong game between the August contract expectations and reality. The delivery settlement price of the EC2508 contract is the arithmetic average of SCFIS on August 11th, 18th, and 25th [4]. V. Futures and Spot Prices - **Futures Prices**: As of July 3, 2025, the total open interest of all container shipping index European line futures contracts was 83,654 lots, and the single - day trading volume was 63,574 lots. The closing prices of different contracts are as follows: EC2602 at 1325.20, EC2604 at 1174.20, EC2506 at 1310.00, EC2508 at 1883.50, EC2510 at 1367.90, and EC2512 at 1528.00 [5][6]. - **Spot Prices**: On June 27th, the SCFI (Shanghai - Europe route) price was 2030 dollars/TEU, the SCFI (Shanghai - US West route) was 2578 dollars/FEU, and the SCFI (Shanghai - US East) was 4717 dollars/FEU. On July 1st, the SCFIS (Shanghai - Europe) was 2123.24 points, and the SCFIS (Shanghai - US West) was 1619.19 points [6]. VI. Container Ship Delivery - In 2025, it is still a big year for container ship delivery. As of June 28, 2025, 135 container ships have been delivered, with a total capacity of 1.069 million TEU. Among them, 41 ships with a capacity of 12,000 - 16,999 TEU have been delivered, with a total capacity of 615,000 TEU, and 6 ships with a capacity of over 17,000 TEU have been delivered, with a total capacity of 142,400 TEU [7]. VII. Strategy - **Unilateral Strategy**: The main contract fluctuates. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: Go long on the December contract and short on the October contract [7].

涨跌都能赚 盈利就能离场！点击开通期货"T+0、双向交易"特权！>>> 市场空头氛围弥漫，商品大面积下挫；黑色系及广期所品种领跌，工业硅大跌4%，玻璃、焦煤跌近 4%，纯碱大跌3%，多晶硅、焦炭、硅铁、碳酸锂、PVC大跌2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨幅(结)↑ | | --- | --- | --- | | 工业硅2509 | 7765 | -4.31% | | 玻璃2509 | 979 | -3.83% | | 焦煤2509 | 809.5 | -3.92% | | 纯碱2509 | 1163 | -3.00% | | 多昌硅2508 | 32570 | -2.78% | | 佳炭2509 | 1385.0 | -2.70% | | PVC2509 | 4817 | -2.17% | | 氧化铝2509 | 2927 | -2.01% | | 硅铁2509 | 5272 | -2.01% | | 碳酸锂2509 | 61460 | -1.95% | | 对二甲苯2509 | 6734 | -1.35% | | 铁矿石2509 | 708.5 | -1.32% | | 沪锌2508 | 22145 | - ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Industrial silicon - Interval operation, upstream sell - hedge on rallies; Polysilicon - Neutral [2][8] - Inter - month spread: None for both industrial silicon and polysilicon [2][8] - Cross - variety: None for both industrial silicon and polysilicon [2][8] - Spot - futures: None for both industrial silicon and polysilicon [2][8] - Options: None for both industrial silicon and polysilicon [2][8] Core Views - Industrial silicon futures prices are relatively strong, affected by the rising sentiment of coking coal and the news of production cuts by a leading northwest enterprise. However, with increasing supply and high inventory, the rebound space is limited [1][2]. - Polysilicon futures rebounded, but the fundamentals are weak with high inventory, increasing supply after southwest restart, and possible decline in consumption. The market is easily affected by capital sentiment and policy disturbances [3][6]. Market Analysis - Industrial Silicon - On June 26, 2025, the main contract 2509 of industrial silicon futures opened at 7600 yuan/ton and closed at 7720 yuan/ton, up 2.66% from the previous settlement. The position of the main contract was 321342 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts on June 27 was 53234 lots, a decrease of 29 lots from the previous day [1]. - Spot prices remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8100 - 8300 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 8400 - 9000 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton [1]. - The total social inventory of industrial silicon in major areas on June 26 was 54.2 tons, a decrease of 1.7 tons from the previous week. The inventory in ordinary social warehouses was 12.8 tons, a decrease of 0.3 tons, and that in social delivery warehouses was 41.4 tons, a decrease of 1.4 tons [1]. - The price of silicone DMC was 10300 - 10600 yuan/ton, and the price was temporarily stable, with mainly rigid - demand transactions [1]. Market Analysis - Polysilicon - On June 26, 2025, the main contract 2508 of polysilicon futures rebounded significantly, opening at 30745 yuan/ton and closing at 31715 yuan/ton, a 3.46% increase from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 77132 lots, and the trading volume was 225035 lots [3]. - Spot prices remained stable. The price of polysilicon re - feeding material was 30.00 - 33.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 28.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 27.00 - 30.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 30.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 33.00 - 36.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 31.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg [3]. - The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers increased slightly, with the polysilicon inventory at 27.00 tons, a 3.05% increase, and the silicon wafer inventory at 20.11GW, a 7.30% increase. The weekly polysilicon output was 23600.00 tons, a decrease of 3.67%, and the silicon wafer output was 13.44GW, an increase of 4.10% [3]. Market Analysis - Silicon Wafer and Battery - Silicon wafer prices: Domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers were 0.87 yuan/piece, N - type 210mm were 1.23 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers were 1.02 yuan/piece [5]. - Battery prices: High - efficiency PERC182 battery was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery was 0.28 yuan/W, TopconM10 battery was 0.24 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery was 0.25 yuan/W, Topcon210RN battery was 0.26 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery was 0.37 yuan/W [5]. - Component prices: The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.67 - 0.70 yuan/W, and N - type 210mm was 0.67 - 0.70 yuan/W [5]. Factors to Monitor - The resumption of production and new capacity commissioning in the northwest and southwest regions [4]. - Changes in the operating rate of polysilicon enterprises [4]. - Policy disturbances [4]. - Macroeconomic and capital sentiment [4]. - The operating rate of silicone enterprises [4]. - The impact of industry self - discipline on upstream and downstream operations [8]. - The impact of futures listing on the spot market [8]. - The impact of capital sentiment [8]. - The impact of policy disturbances [8].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The steel market has weakened again. There is no bright spot in the off - season demand, and there is no strong rebound driver for the black sector. The basis of steel is in a structure where futures are at a discount to spot, and there is still room for the basis to shrink. The off - season may see the basis repaired through weaker spot prices [4]. - The coking coal spot has continued to recover, and the futures have rebounded again. The supply and demand of coking coal and coke have improved, but the futures have been under pressure due to factors such as the alleviation of geopolitical conflicts and the previous over - pricing of the rebound expectations. The industry clients are advised to actively participate in selling hedging [5][6]. - The silicon - iron and manganese - silicon prices have strengthened slightly due to environmental protection disturbances in Wuhai. The supply and demand of silicon - iron are acceptable in the short term, while the supply of manganese - silicon has increased, and the price is under pressure [6]. - The iron ore spot price has continued to fall to narrow the basis. The iron ore shipment is gradually increasing, and the port inventory has shifted from a slight destocking to a slight stocking stage. It is recommended to focus on short - selling steel unilaterally and for the industry clients to actively participate in selling hedging for coking coal and coke [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: On June 25, for far - month contracts, RB2601 closed at 2978 yuan/ton (- 9 yuan, - 0.30%), HC2601 at 3099 yuan/ton (- 6 yuan, - 0.19%), etc. For near - month contracts, RB2510 closed at 2976 yuan/ton (- 10 yuan, - 0.33%), HC2510 at 3098 yuan/ton (- 8 yuan, - 0.26%), etc. The cross - month spreads, spreads/price ratios/profits also had corresponding changes [2]. Spot Market - **Steel**: The spot prices of Shanghai, Tianjin, and Guangzhou螺纹 were 3050 yuan/ton (- 10 yuan), 3130 yuan/ton (- 10 yuan), and 3140 yuan/ton (unchanged) respectively on June 25. The prices of Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Guangzhou热卷 were 3170 yuan/ton (unchanged), 3190 yuan/ton, and 3150 yuan/ton (unchanged) respectively [2]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: After the fourth round of price cuts for coking coal, the downstream replenished the raw materials appropriately. The port trade quasi - first - grade coke was quoted at 1140 yuan/ton (- 10 yuan), and the coking coal price index was 937.1 (+ 0.6). The Mongolian coal market had more inquiries, and the border trade enterprises had a strong willingness to hold prices [5]. Market Analysis - **Steel**: The steel market is in the off - season, with weak demand and no strong rebound driver. The basis is in a futures - discount - to - spot structure, and there is a possibility of the basis being repaired through weaker spot prices [4]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The coking coal spot is improving, and the futures have rebounded. However, the futures may be under pressure due to factors such as the potential increase in supply and the previous over - pricing of the rebound expectations. The industry clients are advised to actively participate in selling hedging [5][6]. - **Silicon - iron and Manganese - silicon**: The prices have strengthened slightly due to environmental protection disturbances in Wuhai. The short - term supply and demand of silicon - iron are acceptable, while the supply of manganese - silicon has increased, and the price is under pressure [6]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore spot price has continued to fall to narrow the basis. The shipment is increasing, and the port inventory has shifted to a slight stocking stage. It is recommended to focus on short - selling steel unilaterally [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The 07 main contract decreased by 2093 lots, closing at 806.5, down 1.47%, while the 09 contract increased by 867 lots, closing at 794.5, down 0.69%. The 7 - 9 month spread dropped to 12. The main spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu remained stable, and delivery profits emerged in Jiangsu and Lanshan, opening the spot - futures arbitrage window [3]. - 100 new warehouse receipts from Jiangsu Huihong (Taicang Xinhai Port) were added, with a total of 513 warehouse receipts. The rising futures price created hedging profit margins, stimulating new warehouse receipt generation. With only 4 trading days left until delivery, the capital game is intense [3]. - The lowest deliverable warehouse receipt cost is anchored in Chongqing's 6 - meter medium - A logs, with a delivery cost of about 770 yuan/cubic meter. There is also a nearly risk - free arbitrage space, and it's possible that new ships will be sent to Chongqing for delivery [3]. - The current price also shows hedging profits in Jiangsu and Shandong. Given the off - season demand and difficult spot sales, the arbitrage window will stimulate more hedging demand [3]. - It is recommended that industrial customers seize this hedging opportunity, while non - industrial customers should stay on the sidelines to avoid risks caused by low liquidity and large price fluctuations near the delivery date [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Log Price Range Forecast - The monthly price range forecast for logs is 740 - 820, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 16.28% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 67.4% [2]. Log Hedging Strategy - **Inventory Management**: For high log imports and inventory, to prevent inventory losses, enterprises can short log futures (lg2507) at a 25% hedging ratio with an entry range of 800 - 785, and buy put options (lg2507P775) at a 25% ratio with an entry range of 9.5 - 14. They can also buy put options and sell call options (lg2507C800) at a 50% ratio with an entry range of 4.5 - 7.5 to reduce costs [2]. - **Procurement Management**: For low procurement inventory, to prevent rising procurement costs, enterprises can buy log futures (lg2507) at a 50% hedging ratio with an entry range of 750 - 800. They can also sell put options (lg2507P750) at a 75% ratio with an entry range of 5.5 - 12 to collect premiums and lock in the spot purchase price [2]. Core Contradictions - The 07 main contract decreased by 2093 lots, closing at 806.5, down 1.47%, and the 09 contract increased by 867 lots, closing at 794.5, down 0.69%. The 7 - 9 month spread dropped to 12. Spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu were stable, and the spot - futures arbitrage window opened [3]. - 100 new warehouse receipts were added, with a total of 513. The rising futures price led to hedging profits and new warehouse receipt generation. With 4 days left until delivery, the capital game is intense [3]. - The lowest deliverable warehouse receipt cost is about 770 yuan/cubic meter in Chongqing. There is an arbitrage space, and new ships may be sent to Chongqing for delivery. Hedging profits also exist in Jiangsu and Shandong, which will stimulate more hedging demand [3]. Strategy Recommendations - Industrial customers are advised to focus on this hedging opportunity, while non - industrial customers should stay on the sidelines to avoid risks caused by low liquidity and large price fluctuations near the delivery date [4]. Spot and Basis - The report provides the spot prices, price changes, and basis (after conversion) of various log specifications at different ports on June 24, 2025. The basis (after conversion) is calculated as the spot price after an 8% volume increase minus the main contract price plus or minus the premium/discount [8]. Log Data Overview - **Supply**: The radiation pine import volume in May 2025 was 169 million cubic meters, a month - on - month increase of 4 and a year - on - year decrease of 2.3% [9]. - **Inventory**: As of June 20, 2025, the port inventory in China was 335 million cubic meters, a week - on - week decrease of 10 and a year - on - year increase of 2.5%. The port inventories in Shandong and Jiangsu also had corresponding changes [9]. - **Demand**: As of June 20, 2025, the daily average log outbound volume from ports was 6.36 million cubic meters, a week - on - week increase of 0.38 and a year - on - year increase of 25.7%. The daily average outbound volumes in Shandong and Jiangsu also increased [9]. - **Profit**: As of June 27, 2025, the radiation pine import profit was - 46 yuan/cubic meter, a week - on - week decrease of 1, and the spruce import profit was - 77 yuan/cubic meter, unchanged from the previous week [9]. Log Month - Spread Structure - The report presents the closing prices of different log futures contracts (lg07m.dce, lg09m.dce, lg11m.dce) on the current day, the previous day, and the previous week [11]. Spot Price Seasonality - The report shows the seasonal trends of spot prices for different log specifications at different ports from 2022 - 2025 [12][15][17]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - The steel market is in a trading range, and it is advisable to seize hedging opportunities at the upper limit of the range. The rebound height of finished steel is relatively limited, and the market will enter a period of tug - of - war. It is recommended to use the volatile market to rotate inventory for spot goods [5]. - For coking coal and coke, the decline in coking coal auctions has slowed down, and the futures are at a premium to the spot. The market is in a state of indecision. Industrial customers can actively participate in selling hedging, while single - side trading can wait for a clearer situation. In the medium - to - long - term, the bottom of coking coal has not been confirmed [6]. - For ferrosilicon and silicomanganese, their fundamentals are stable and follow the steel market. Their prices are expected to be under pressure, and attention should be paid to subsequent steel tenders [7]. - For iron ore, the overall weak trend remains unchanged, and it is recommended to maintain a short - selling strategy [8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs **Futures Market Data** - On June 16, 2025, for far - month contracts (RB2601, HC2601, I2601, J2601, JM2601), the closing prices were 2985.00 yuan/ton, 3101.00 yuan/ton, 675.00 yuan/ton, 1392.50 yuan/ton, and 810.50 yuan/ton respectively, with corresponding increases of 0.78%, 1.04%, 0.52%, 2.35%, and 3.05%. For near - month contracts (RB2510, HC2510, I2509, J2509, JM2509), the closing prices were 2990.00 yuan/ton, 3104.00 yuan/ton, 704.50 yuan/ton, 1371.00 yuan/ton, and 795.50 yuan/ton respectively, with corresponding increases of 0.98%, 1.07%, 0.21%, 1.90%, and 2.84% [3]. - On June 16, 2025, the cross - month spreads, spreads/ratios/profits, spot prices, and basis data for various varieties were also provided, along with their changes [3]. **Steel Market** - On Monday, the spot and futures prices rebounded slightly, but the willingness to sell spot goods increased, and the price rebound was hesitant. Overseas, the Iran situation may have an indirect impact on the coal market in the capital market, but its influence on the spot market is weak. Domestically, the steel spot market remains in a state of weak supply and demand. The US tariff increase on steel - based household appliances and the suspension of domestic home appliance national subsidy policies have increased the supply - demand pressure in the hot - rolled coil market. It is recommended to hedge at the upper limit of the range and rotate inventory for spot goods [5]. **Coking Coal and Coke Market** - In the spot market, the decline in coking coal auctions has slowed down, and port prices are weak. In the futures market, the black chain index has strengthened, and coking coal led the rise. Macroscopically, domestic policies are mainly for bottom - support, and overseas disturbances are numerous. Industrially, steel demand is seasonally weak, and steel production has decreased. Coking coal inventories at the mine mouth continue to accumulate, but supply is affected by safety and environmental issues. The futures are at a premium to the spot, and industrial customers can participate in selling hedging [6]. **Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese Market** - For ferrosilicon, production has decreased slightly, but direct demand has weakened, and cost support has declined. For silicomanganese, supply has increased from a low level, demand has weakened, and cost support has also weakened. Their prices are expected to be under pressure [7]. **Iron Ore Market** - The overall weak trend of iron ore remains unchanged. Ore shipments are gradually increasing, and port inventories have shifted from a slight decline to a slight increase. The black market is entering the off - season, and downstream pressure is intensifying. It is recommended to maintain a short - selling strategy [8]. **Investment Strategies** - For steel, maintain a wait - and - see attitude for single - side trading. For futures - spot trading, choose hot - rolled coils with better liquidity for hedging and open - position management, and rotate inventory for spot goods. For coking coal and coke, industrial customers should actively participate in selling hedging. For ferrosilicon and silicomanganese, buy put options at high prices [9].

Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, the futures price rebounded while the spot price stabilized, with the basis narrowing significantly. The fundamentals changed little, but the overall sentiment improved recently. The price bottom is easily affected by various news, and the near - month contract has high positions, leading to large short - term fluctuations. Upstream enterprises can sell on rallies for hedging [1][2]. - For polysilicon, the futures price declined, and the spot price was weakly stable. The fundamentals are weak. As the number of warehouse receipts increases, the delivery game weakens, and the futures price is under pressure. Attention should be paid to the subsequent increase in warehouse receipts [3][5][10]. Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - On June 8, 2025, the main contract 2507 of industrial silicon futures opened at 7,245 yuan/ton and closed at 7,475 yuan/ton, up 2.33% from the previous settlement price. The position of the main contract 2507 was 177,663 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts on June 9 was 60,179 lots, a decrease of 394 lots from the previous day [1]. - The spot price of industrial silicon was stable. The price of East China oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 8,000 - 8,300 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 8,400 - 9,000 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton. The prices of individual silicon in Xinjiang and Sichuan continued to decline, while those in Kunming, Huangpu Port, Tianjin, Shanghai, and the northwest remained stable, as did the price of 97 silicon [1]. - The DMC price of silicone was 10,900 - 11,500 yuan/ton, a decrease of 200 yuan/ton. The weekend quotation of Shandong monomer enterprises decreased by 400 yuan/ton to 11,000 yuan/ton, and the bid - winning price dropped to 10,800 yuan/ton. After the price decline, the transaction center of the DMC market decreased [1]. Polysilicon - On June 8, 2025, the main contract 2507 of polysilicon futures opened at 34,620 yuan/ton and closed at 34,105 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.24% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 64,383 lots (65,179 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 123,726 lots [3][7]. - The spot price of polysilicon was stable. The price of polysilicon re - feedstock was 32.00 - 35.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 30.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 29.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 32.00 - 33.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 35.00 - 38.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 33.00 - 35.00 yuan/kg [3][7]. - The polysilicon inventory was 26.90 (a 0.37% month - on - month increase), the silicon wafer inventory was 20.02GW (a 7.80% month - on - month increase), the weekly polysilicon output was 22,000 tons (a 1.85% month - on - month increase), and the silicon wafer output was 13.04GW (a 2.67% month - on - month decrease) [3][4][7]. - The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.92 yuan/piece (a decrease of 0.03 yuan/piece), N - type 210mm was 1.28 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers were 1.08 yuan/piece [4][7]. - The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W (a decrease of 0.01 yuan/W), PERC210 battery cells were about 0.28 yuan/W, TopconM10 battery cells were about 0.25 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells were 0.26 yuan/W, Topcon210RN battery cells were 0.27 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery cells were 0.37 yuan/W [4][8][9]. - The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm components was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.69 - 0.70 yuan/W (an increase of 0.01 yuan/W), and N - type 210mm was 0.70 - 0.70 yuan/W (an increase of 0.01 yuan/W) [4][9]. Strategies Industrial Silicon - Unilateral: Mainly conduct range operations, and upstream enterprises can sell on rallies for hedging. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Futures - spot: None. - Options: None [2]. Polysilicon - Unilateral: Mainly conduct range operations. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Futures - spot: None. - Options: None [5][8][10].

Group 1: Market Analysis - On May 27, 2025, the main contract of lithium carbonate 2507 opened at 59,940 yuan/ton and closed at 60,920 yuan/ton, up 0.86% from the previous settlement price. The trading volume was 392,469 lots, and the open interest was 293,695 lots, a decrease of 32,777 lots from the previous trading day. The total open interest of all contracts was 567,772 lots, an increase of 18,973 lots from the previous trading day. The total trading volume of the contracts increased by 207,843 lots from the previous trading day, and the overall speculation degree was 0.49. The lithium carbonate warehouse receipts were 34,154 lots, a decrease of 825 lots from the previous trading day [2] - The lithium carbonate market showed a gap - down and then a rebound, with wide - range fluctuations during the session and a short - covering rally at the end of the session [2] Group 2: Spot Market - On May 27, 2025, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was reported at 60,800 - 63,200 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was reported at 59,900 - 60,900 yuan/ton, also down 500 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The center of the spot transaction price of lithium carbonate continued to move down [3] - The supply - demand of the lithium carbonate market remained in an oversupply state, and there was no strong support for price increases. The demand side was stable with limited incremental demand, while the supply side had a significant incremental expectation as the non - integrated lithium salt plants got the opportunity to hedge and resume production with the slight rebound of the futures. Also, the cost support was weakening due to the continuous decline of lithium ore prices, further suppressing the lithium carbonate price [3] Group 3: Strategy - Fundamentally, the situation was weak, but the open interest of the 07 contract was high, and subsequent position reduction might cause large fluctuations. Short - term trading needed to pay attention to risks [4] - Unilateral strategy: Sell on rallies for hedging [4] - Option strategy: Sell out - of - the - money call options or use bear spread options [4] Group 4: Core View - The lithium carbonate spot was weak, and attention should be paid to the impact of futures position changes on the short - term market [1]