慢牛行情
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南财观察|上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金,为何还有4成未回本?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-12 11:49
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in ten years, revealing a significant number of funds still in loss despite a majority achieving positive returns since 2025 [1][2] Fund Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, 97.45% of 4679 actively managed equity funds reported positive returns since 2025, with some funds achieving over 200% gains [2] - However, nearly 38% of actively managed equity funds, totaling 1019 funds, remain in loss over the past five years, including products from leading public fund institutions and well-known fund managers [1][3] Reasons for Underperformance - Key factors contributing to the underperformance of these funds include high-level increases in positions, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [1][6] - The average stock position for funds with negative returns was significantly higher than the overall market average during peak market periods, indicating poor timing decisions [6] Fund Manager Challenges - Frequent trading has negatively impacted fund performance, with an average turnover rate of 460.71% for all actively managed equity funds from 2021 to 2024, and even higher for those with significant losses [7] - Changes in fund management have led to inconsistent investment strategies, further complicating performance recovery [8] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The market has seen a resurgence in the issuance of new funds, with 1354 new funds launched in 2023, reflecting a renewed interest in actively managed products [10] - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption, while being cautious of market volatility [11]
集体大涨!重磅信号来了
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-12 10:06
早盘港股保险股快速冲高,市值前列的中国平安、友邦保险、中国人寿领衔上涨,带动港股通非银ETF(513750)涨超2%。 会计新规调整以来,险资股票投资业务带来显著的利润贡献,成为支撑保险股上涨的核心驱动因素。随着投资领域逐渐拓 宽,保险股估值修复行情有望从周期的反弹,演变为一场贯穿长期的价值重估。 01、超越红利 近几年的确看得出趋势,保险资金运用余额大幅增长,同时权益资产的配置比例进一步提升。 截至上半年,上市险企中投资资产合计达21.85万亿元,其中股票配置比例较2024年末的7.98%提高1.44pct。 从投资领域来看,银行、公用事业、交通运输等红利资产依旧是险资持仓的"压舱石"。 A股方面,险资主要重仓银行、公用事业、交通运输等高股息板块。 据媒体统计,今年以来险资举牌已达31次,不仅突破2020年阶段性高点,更创下2015年有举牌披露记录以来的新高。 险资投资股票是对监管政策的积极响应,也印证了政策导向下险资的投资渠道正不断拓宽,同时这种双赢将显著提升险资 整体资金运用回报率,增强行业盈利的稳定性。 首先要明确,"资产荒"背景下优质资产减少,存款利率和国债收益率长期中枢下行加剧保险公司久期错配的压 ...
市场早盘震荡走弱,中证A500指数下跌0.66%,3只中证A500相关ETF成交额超28亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 03:47
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced fluctuations in the morning session, with the three major indices initially rising before retreating, and the CSI A500 index falling by 0.66% [1] Market Performance - The banking sector showed resilience with an upward trend, while the robotics concept stocks were active in certain areas, and the oil and gas sector strengthened [1] - Conversely, the superhard materials concept stocks collectively weakened, and the photovoltaic concept stocks suffered significant declines [1] ETF Trading Activity - As of the morning close, the ETFs tracking the CSI A500 index saw slight declines, with 10 related ETFs having transaction volumes exceeding 100 million yuan, and 3 surpassing 2.8 billion yuan [1] - Specific transaction volumes for A500 ETFs included 3.504 billion yuan for A500ETF Fund, 3.343 billion yuan for A500ETF E Fund, and 2.841 billion yuan for CSI A500 ETF [1] Market Outlook - A brokerage firm indicated that the market may continue to experience structural fluctuations in the short term. However, in the medium term, factors such as sustained global technology investment enthusiasm, ongoing "anti-involution" policies, and increased household savings entering the market support the foundation of the current slow bull market, suggesting that the A-share market still has the potential to strengthen further [1]
证券ETF(159841)近20日“吸金”超6.4亿元,昨日获净申购近4000万份,机构:券商板块PB处于历史较低水平,具备配置价值
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-12 01:17
昨日(11月11日),市场全天震荡调整,三大指数高开低走。证券板块回调。 热门ETF中,深市唯一百亿规模的证券ETF(159841)昨日收跌1.05%,成交额3.24亿元,换手率 3.09%,全天交投活跃。 成分股中,东北证券、锦龙股份、华创云信、华安证券、中泰证券上涨。 值得注意的是,Wind数据显示,证券ETF(159841)昨日(11月11日)获净申购达3720万份。 财信证券认为,在全球科技投资热情不减、"反内卷"政策持续推进、居民储蓄入市等因素支撑下,本轮 慢牛行情的根基并未动摇,后续A股指数仍存在继续走强的基础。 (文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 资金流向方面,Wind数据显示,该ETF近20日(截至11月10日)获资金净流入累计超6.4亿元。该ETF 最新规模(截至11月10日)为105.56亿元。 深市唯一百亿证券ETF(159841)跟踪中证全指证券公司指数,中证指数官网显示,截至11月10日,该 指数前十大成分股权重超过60%,一键配置券商龙头,机构看好该行业受益于慢牛行情。 消息面上,据证券日报,在政策红利与市场机遇的双重作用下,海外主权基金正持续加大对华投资力 度,并呈现"规模扩大、领域 ...
权威大佬发话了,除了投资茅台没选择,4000点成为新支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 23:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that investment in Moutai is seen as a unique opportunity, with the potential for recovery in the future, although the timeline remains uncertain, possibly 5 to 10 years [1] - Moutai is considered not just a liquor company but a unique entity with resource attributes, distinguishing it from other brands like Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao [1] - The scarcity of Moutai is currently not evident due to the lack of industry reversal, but if the industry rebounds, Moutai could regain its former status [1] Group 2 - The perspective that there are no better investment options than Moutai is emphasized, although this view may not be suitable for all investors, particularly those without substantial capital [2] - The market sentiment around the Shanghai Composite Index at 4000 points is discussed, with hopes that it will serve as a new support level for continued market growth [4] - The current market dynamics suggest that while the index has not shown strong upward momentum, there is also a lack of significant selling pressure, indicating a potential stabilization at the 4000-point level [5] Group 3 - The main challenge in the current market is that most sectors are at high positions around the 4000-point mark, leading to a decrease in the investment value of these sectors [5]
券商研判2026年A股走势:慢牛行情延续,基本面重要性进一步上升
第一财经· 2025-11-11 12:42
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to continue its slow bull trend in 2026, supported by factors such as improved fundamentals and a rising profit cycle [3][6][12]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Multiple brokerages predict that the A-share market will maintain a slow bull trend following the recent upward movement since September 24 [3][6]. - The importance of fundamentals is expected to increase after a period of valuation repair, with the key to sustained upward momentum being the realization of profit cycle expectations [6][7]. - The macroeconomic environment, including economic fundamentals and capital flows, will significantly influence the A-share market in 2026 [6][9]. Group 2: Supporting Factors - The normalization of U.S.-China relations and the restructuring of the international monetary order are seen as beneficial for RMB assets, while the AI revolution is entering a critical application phase, which will benefit domestic tech innovation [6][9]. - The recovery of A-share profits is anticipated to provide crucial support for market performance, with overseas revenue from Chinese companies expected to increase significantly [7][9]. - The economic structure is shifting towards new industries and business models, contributing to GDP growth and reducing the proportion of traditional industries [8][9]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Institutions favor asset allocation in technology growth and consumer recovery sectors, with a focus on three main lines: self-reliance in technology, industrial upgrades, and strategic resource security [4][14]. - The market is expected to see a balanced style in 2026, with recommendations to focus on sectors experiencing growth, those benefiting from external demand, and cyclical reversals [14][15]. - The potential for AI to expand its commercial applications is viewed as a critical factor influencing the technology sector and overall market sentiment [15].
券商研判2026年A股走势:慢牛行情延续,基本面重要性进一步上升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 12:00
"有资金、科技等力量的推动,中国股市在2026年仍是慢牛行情。" 沪指站上4000点之后怎么走?科技、消费等热门赛道还有哪些机会?行至年尾,对于以上种种市场关 切,多家券商在2026年市场展望中给出预判。 第一财经关注到,对于明年的A股市场整体走势,券商普遍认为,"9.24"以来的震荡上行行情有望延 续,A股仍将呈现慢牛行情。 "尽管在今年四季度,由于种种原因,A股有一定的波动,但我们认为有资金、科技等力量的推动,中 国股市在2026年仍然是一个慢牛(行情)。"中信建投首席经济学家黄文涛表示。 哪些因素将为行情提供支撑?整体来看,分析认为,市场经过一定的估值修复后,基本面的重要性进一 步上升;同时,盈利周期上行的预期能否逐步兑现,将是决定上涨行情持续性的关键。 从宏观角度,业内认为,经济基本面、资金动向等,都是2026年股市的重要影响因素。 中金公司研究部国内策略首席分析师李求索称,2026年,A股"9.24"以来的震荡上行行情仍有望延续, 但经历一定估值修复后,基本面重要性进一步上升。同时,全球资金和国内居民资金动向也是不可忽视 的因素。 他认为,两大因素将支持A股表现,一是中美关系步入新阶段,国际货币秩序 ...
10月CPI同比上涨0.2%,沪深300ETF博时(515130)回调蓄势,机构称指数有望在震荡中延续慢牛行情
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 05:35
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to achieve a growth rate of around 5.0% in 2025, with a slight decrease to approximately 4.9% in 2026, supported by fiscal expansion and improved local government finances [3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 11, 2025, the CSI 300 Index has decreased by 0.75%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [2] - The top-performing stocks include Arctech Solar, which rose by 6.07%, and JinkoSolar, which increased by 2.21% [2] - The CSI 300 ETF from Bosera has seen a decline of 0.85%, with a latest price of 1.51 yuan [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first rise of the year [2] Group 3: Future Economic Outlook - Dongguan Securities anticipates that the Chinese economy is in a critical phase of momentum transition, with expectations for improvement in the fourth quarter due to policy support [3] - The market is expected to experience a "slow bull" trend, with a focus on balanced allocation across sectors such as new energy, technology growth, dividends, and non-ferrous metals [3] Group 4: Index Composition - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 Index account for 21.76% of the index, including major companies like CATL and Kweichow Moutai [4]
A股:4亿铂金级肉签公布中签结果,中签人数少,股民中到即赚到!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 01:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the ongoing bullish sentiment in the market, with the index breaking the 4000-point barrier, creating a sense of urgency among investors who are hesitant to enter the market [2][5] - The convertible bond market, particularly the recent offering from Xingyuan Zhuomei, has seen a limited number of winning lottery numbers, indicating a low number of successful investors, yet the potential for profit remains high due to favorable market conditions [1][3] - The current market environment is characterized by a "slow bull" trend, where the market rises steadily without extreme volatility, allowing for a healthier accumulation of value over time [5] Group 2 - The recent issuance of Zhuomei convertible bonds has a subscription price of 100.00 yuan per bond, with a total of 4.05 million winning numbers available for investors [3] - The trading of convertible bonds is more active than the stock market, driven by T+0 trading, attracting short-term investors, especially in a bullish stock market [1] - The market's current momentum is described as a "train" that is moving steadily forward, avoiding rapid fluctuations while still providing opportunities for patient investors [5]
市场早盘震荡下跌,中证A500指数下跌0.33%,3只中证A500相关ETF成交额超29亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 03:55
Market Overview - The market experienced a volatile decline in early trading, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2% and the CSI A500 Index down by 0.33% [1] - The lithium battery sector showed repeated activity, while the phosphorus chemical concept continued to be strong, and the consumer sector saw a significant surge [1] - Conversely, computing hardware concept stocks collectively weakened [1] ETF Performance - As of the morning close, ETFs tracking the CSI A500 Index saw slight declines, with 11 related ETFs having transaction volumes exceeding 100 million yuan, and 3 surpassing 2.9 billion yuan [1] - Specific transaction amounts for A500 ETFs included 3.583 billion yuan for A500 ETF Fund, 3.226 billion yuan for CSI A500 ETF, and 2.991 billion yuan for A500 ETF Huatai-PineBridge [2] Institutional Insights - Some brokerages indicated that in the fourth quarter, institutional funds may have the motivation to take profits from high-valuation sectors, suggesting a potential market style rebalancing [1] - In the medium term, factors such as sustained global technology investment enthusiasm, ongoing "anti-involution" policies, and increased household savings entering the market support the foundation of the current slow bull market, indicating that the A-share index still has the basis for further strengthening [1]