We have some breaking economic data I see rolling across my ticker right now, University of Michigan, the final reading for October. Consumer sentiment falls to 53.6%. The estimate was for 54.5%.We have we have Michael McKee here with us on set, Bloomberg's international policy and economics Correspondent. So is this a case where above 50 is expansion and below 50 is contraction below. We're getting close to the line at this point with the headline number.The current conditions index falls to 56 from 61 and ...

Economic Data Summary - The University of Michigan's final reading for October shows consumer sentiment falling to 53.6%, below the estimated 54.5% [1] - The current conditions index decreased to 56 from 61, and expectations dropped to 50.3% from 51.2%, indicating a potential slowdown ahead [2] - The one-year inflation index remains unchanged at 3.6%, while the 5 to 10-year inflation expectation increased to 3.9% from 3.7%, raising concerns about long-term inflation [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported an annual rate of 3% for both headline and core, which is significantly above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% [3] - There is uncertainty regarding the October CPI report, as the White House indicated it may not be released due to timing issues, leaving the Federal Reserve without crucial data for its December decision [4][5]

Market Trends - CPI release is unlikely to cause a significant market movement for Bitcoin due to a crucial resistance zone [1] - Expectation of breaking through the resistance in the upcoming week [1] Monetary Policy - Anticipation of the FOMC ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) and implementing rate cuts [1] Risk Factors - Potential government shutdown is approaching [1]

Economic Indicators - The October preliminary manufacturing PMI came in at 52.2, slightly above the expected 52 and marking the best performance since August of this year [1] - The services PMI reported at 55.2, significantly higher than the expected 53.5 and also up from the previous month's 54.2, representing the best reading since July when it was 55.7 [2] - The composite PMI reached 54.8, exceeding the September final read of 53.9 and noted as the best since July of 2025 [3] Inflation and Interest Rates - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was cooler than expected but still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the 10-year yield settling at 4% and the 2-year yield at 3.48% [3][4] - Yields have increased over the week, indicating a potential shift in market expectations regarding interest rates [4]

Economic Data Summary - S&P Global PMIs indicate manufacturing PMI at 52.2%, exceeding expectations of 51.9%, signaling expansion [1][2] - Services PMI also surpassed expectations at 55.2%, compared to the anticipated 53.5%, showing month-over-month improvement [2] Manufacturing Sector Insights - Production volumes in manufacturing increased for the fifth consecutive month, marking the largest expansion since August [2] - Domestic orders are driving growth, while export orders have significantly declined, the steepest drop since February, attributed to tariff policies and weaker demand from China and Europe [3] Services Sector Insights - The services sector is experiencing a deceleration in input and output prices, but faces challenges in employment due to a lack of qualified candidates [4] Consumer Sentiment Analysis - University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey shows little change, with consumer expectations at 50.3%, sentiment at 53.6%, and current conditions at 58.6% [6][7] - One-year inflation expectations remain stable at 4.6%, indicating no significant shifts in consumer outlook [8] Inflation and Market Reaction - CPI year-over-year is reported at 3%, aligning with expectations, while core CPI also matches at 3% [14][15] - Month-over-month CPI figures came in slightly lower than anticipated, contributing to a positive market reaction [13][16] Market Performance and Technical Analysis - S&P 500 reached a key resistance level at 6,800, with potential for further gains if it breaks through this level [18][19] - Leading sectors include communication services, technology, and financials, which are performing well in the current market environment [20]

（文章来源：新华财经） 美国9月季调后CPI月率0.3%，预期0.4%，前值0.4%。美国9月未季调CPI年率3%，预期3.1%，前值 2.9%。 ...

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#行情 标普500指数和纳指均触及历史新高，最新分别上涨0.8%和1%。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):美国CPI年率小幅回升。美国9月未季调CPI年率录得3%，为2025年1月以来新高，不过增幅略低于市场普遍预期的3.1%。季调后CPI月率0.3%，略低于预期的0.4%。#行情 市场加大今年再次降息两次的押注，现货黄金一度走高20美元，美元指数跌30点。纳斯达克指数期货涨1%，标普500指数期货涨0.7%。 ...