降息预期

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黄金:降息预期持续走高,金价有望持续提升
Tebon Securities· 2025-03-14 01:13
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a sustained increase in gold prices driven by rising expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. and ongoing de-dollarization trends, which are expected to support long-term growth in gold prices [5][7] - The report suggests that the recent rise in market expectations for interest rate cuts, influenced by lower consumer price index (CPI) data, may lead to a rebound in gold prices after a period of fluctuation [7] - The report recommends several stocks in the gold sector, including Zijin Mining, Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and others, as potential investment opportunities due to favorable market conditions [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The report indicates a market performance trend for the non-ferrous metals sector, showing a range of -18% to +24% compared to the CSI 300 index from March 2024 to November 2024 [3] Related Research - The report references two related studies: "Jinhui Co.: Industry Continues to Prosper, Company Performance on the Rise" and "Electrolytic Aluminum: Rapid Profit Expansion, Industry Prosperity Expected to Continue" [4] Investment Recommendations - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for various stocks, all rated as "Buy," indicating strong expected performance: - Shengda Resources: EPS 0.21 (2023), PE 69.57 - Yintai Gold: EPS 0.51 (2023), PE 33.38 - Hunan Gold: EPS 0.41 (2023), PE 58.51 - Hengbang Co.: EPS 0.45 (2023), PE 24.36 - Zhongjin Gold: EPS 0.61 (2023), PE 20.89 - Shandong Gold: EPS 0.42 (2023), PE 58.26 - Chifeng Gold: EPS 0.49 (2023), PE 38.53 - Zijin Mining: EPS 0.80 (2023), PE 20.86 [7]
海外宏观周报:关税风险再升,美债美元走强
Ping An Securities· 2025-03-03 04:20
证券分析师 | 钟正生 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520090001 | | | ZHONGZHENGSHENG934@pingan.com.cn | | 张璐 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060522100001 | | | ZHANGLU150@pingan.com.cn | | 范城恺 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060523010001 | | | FANCHENGKAI146@pingan.com.cn | 海外宏观 2025 年 3 月 2 日 海外宏观周报 关税风险再升,美债美元走强 平安观点: 宏 观 报 告 宏 观 周 报 证 券 研 究 报 告 海外经济政策。1)美国:美国总统特朗普表示,原定于 3 月 4 日生效的对 墨西哥和加拿大的关税将如期实施;4 月 2 日的对等关税计划仍将完全生 效;预计将很快宣布对欧盟输美商品加征关税。美联储多位高官警告美国通 胀风险与经济增长担忧并存,鹰派认为当前利率接近中性,部分官员支持继 续缩减资产负债表。美国 1 月新屋销售超预期下跌,营建许可小幅下修。美 国 1 月 PCE 物价指数同 ...
【招银观点】境外美股承压,境内股好于债——招商银行研究院机构观点(2025年3月)
招商银行研究· 2025-02-28 10:51
| | 大类资产 | 月度趋势 | | | 配置建议(未来6个月) | | | 配置变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 高配 | 中高配 | 标配 | 中低配 | 低配 | | | 汇率 | 美元 | 偏强震荡 | | ● | | | | | | | 欧元 | 偏弱震荡 | | | | ● | | | | | 人民币 | 偏弱震荡 | | | O | | | | | | 日元 | 偏弱震荡 | | | O | | | | | | 英镑 | 偏弱震荡 | | | 0 | | | | | | 中国国债 | 震荡 | | | 0 | | | | | | 中国信用债 | 震荡 | | | O | | | | | 固收 | 可转债 | 震荡 | | | O | | | | | | 美元债 | 偏强震荡 | ● | | | | | | | 权益 | A股 | 震荡 | | ● | | | | | | | 一消费 | 震荡 | | | O | | | | | | 一周期 | 震荡 | | | O | | | | | | 一 ...
跌破万亿 | 谈股论金
水皮More· 2025-01-13 11:41
水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 跌破万亿 每日看盘 今日A股三大指数缩量盘整,两市共成交9 6 6 4亿,较前个交易日缩量1 8 1 9亿。 其中沪指下跌 0 . 2 4%,收报3 1 6 0 . 7 6点; 深成指几乎平盘,收报9 7 9 6 . 1 8点; 创业板指上涨0 . 3 6%,收报 1 9 8 2 . 4 6点。 市场的活跃度在肉眼可见的继续降低,今天的成交量是自9 2 4政策市以来第一次跌破一万亿, 连续7 3个交易日成交额突破万亿大关后,有史以来持续时间最长的单日成交额超万亿元纪录在 第7 4个交易日被终结。随着成交量的萎缩,各大指数基本上都进入了9 2 7和9 3 0这两个交易日 之间的缺口位置进行补缺。 盘面上,全天两市2 9 9 0家上涨,2 0 0 9家下跌,很勉强在2点4 3分之后拉起来,5 1 0 0 5 0和 5 1 0 3 0 0均在同一时间出现了一波放量,某队维稳的意图明显。中位数涨了0 . 3 3%,微盘股指数 在早盘跳水大跌3 . 0 2%后最终上涨0 . 8 9%。 板块上,采掘行业、贵金属、有色金属、软件开发、医疗器械等涨幅居前,家用轻工、银行、 铁路公路、 ...
我后面的打算
猫笔刀· 2024-12-27 14:09
今天看到同花顺那边更新了2024年度资产表,这个表2023年的时候我就给你们发过,现在最上面又更新了一列。 | | Inti | IOLY | 1 1012 | IOL4 | IOLS | 101-0 | IOLI | InLo | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | BTC | 蔓股 | 黄金 | AIG | 国债 | 汇率 | 原油 | 房价 | | | 156.9% | 36.6% | 29.4% | 13.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | -0.7% | -6.1% | | 2023 | BTC | 美股 | 黄金 | 国债 | 汇率 | 房价 | AR | 原油 | | | 163.8% | 43.4% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | -0.9% | -3.7% | -8.5% | | 2022 | 汇率 | 国债 | 原油 | 黄金 | 房价 | A股 .. | 模服 | BTC | | | 9.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -15.1% -53 ...