Market Performance - U.S. stocks experienced a positive trading session, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.20% to 46,299.83, gaining over 500 points [1] - The NASDAQ rose by 0.66% to 22,224.05, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.91% to 6,598.00 [1] Sector Performance - Health care shares saw a significant increase of 2.4% on Friday [1] - Information technology stocks had a modest rise of 0.1% [1] Company Updates - Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) shares fell by 15% to $69.96 despite posting strong second-quarter earnings [4] - authID Inc (NASDAQ:AUID) shares dropped by 22% to $1.3350 following the announcement of a registered direct offering of approximately $3.675 million [4] - Pasithea Therapeutics Corp (NASDAQ:KTTA) shares decreased by 21% to $0.3337 after releasing interim Phase 1 trial data [5] - Iveda Solutions Inc (NASDAQ:IVDA) shares surged by 28% to $0.8351 due to a new manufacturing partnership in Egypt [9] - Nuvve Holding Corp (NASDAQ:NVVE) shares increased by 42% to $0.2327 after entering a Memorandum of Understanding for transportation electrification [9] - Enviri Corporation (NYSE:NVRI) shares rose by 29% to $17.50 following a $3.04 billion sale to Veolia [9] Economic Indicators - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index increased to 51.0 in November from a preliminary reading of 50.3 [2][12] - U.S. wholesale inventories remained flat at approximately $908 billion in August [12] - The S&P Global composite PMI rose to 54.8 in November, surpassing market estimates [12] - The S&P Global services PMI increased to 55 in November, while the manufacturing PMI declined to 51.9, marking the lowest reading in four months [12]

Market Performance - U.S. stocks experienced a positive trading session, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.20% to 46,299.83, gaining over 500 points [1] - The NASDAQ rose by 0.66% to 22,224.05, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.91% to 6,598.00 [1] - Health care shares saw a significant jump of 2.4%, while information technology stocks had a modest rise of 0.1% [1] Company Updates - Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) shares fell by 15% to $69.96 despite posting strong second-quarter earnings [4] - authID Inc (NASDAQ:AUID) shares dropped by 22% to $1.3350 following the announcement of a registered direct offering valued at approximately $3.675 million [4] - Pasithea Therapeutics Corp (NASDAQ:KTTA) shares decreased by 21% to $0.3337 after releasing interim Phase 1 trial data for PAS-004 [5] - Iveda Solutions Inc (NASDAQ:IVDA) shares surged by 28% to $0.8351 due to a new manufacturing partnership in Egypt [9] - Nuvve Holding Corp (NASDAQ:NVVE) shares increased by 42% to $0.2327 after entering a Memorandum of Understanding for transportation electrification [9] - Enviri Corporation (NYSE:NVRI) shares rose by 29% to $17.50 following a $3.04 billion clean earth sale to Veolia [9] Economic Indicators - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index increased to 51.0 in November from a preliminary reading of 50.3 [2][12] - U.S. wholesale inventories remained flat at approximately $908 billion in August, compared to a revised 0.1% gain in July [12] - The S&P Global composite PMI rose to 54.8 in November, up from 54.6 in October, exceeding market expectations [12] - The S&P Global services PMI increased to 55 in November, while the manufacturing PMI declined to 51.9, marking the lowest reading in four months [12]

Core Insights - The macroeconomic data for October indicates a short-term increase in economic downward pressure, with a focus on stimulating domestic demand and repairing industrial product prices while maintaining the overall principle of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" [1] CPI - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 0.2% in October from -0.3% in the previous month, marking a 0.5 percentage point increase [2] - The month-on-month increase was 0.2%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, driven by rising prices of fruits and vegetables [2] PPI - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year in October, improving from a decline of 2.3% in September, with the mining sector providing significant support [3] - The prices of production materials increased by 0.1%, with mining prices up by 1% [3] PMI - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49% in October from 49.8% in September, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [4] - The decline in PMI is attributed to high inventory levels, a weakening demand structure, and reduced investment demand due to accelerated debt repayment [5] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (FAI) decreased by 1.7% year-on-year in October, worsening from a decline of 0.5% in September [6] - The decline in infrastructure investment is influenced by multiple factors, including accelerated debt repayment and insufficient project reserves [6] Credit - New credit issuance in October was 220 billion yuan, a decrease of 280 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [7] - The total social financing (TSF) increased by 815 billion yuan, but the growth rate has slowed down [7] M2 - The M2 money supply grew by 8.2% year-on-year in October, down from 8.4% in September, influenced by a rebound in fiscal deposits [8] - The central government allocated 500 billion yuan to local governments to support effective investment and address existing debt issues [9]

Report Title - Copper Weekly Report 20251116 [1] Report Core View - The macro - situation is short - term bearish, the fundamentals are acceptable, and the copper market is in a volatile state [1] Summary by Directory Price Data - Copper spot trading improved slightly, and the premium/discount remained stable overall [10] - This week, the LME copper 0 - 3M premium/discount strengthened compared to the previous period [11] Fundamental Data - The average price of the copper concentrate TC index decreased by $0.17/ton week - on - week to - $42.21/ton, still at a low level [16] - According to SMM, the inventory of copper concentrates at ten ports increased by 18,200 tons week - on - week to 647,900 tons [19] - The change in the refined scrap price difference was limited week - on - week [22] - The estimated output of electrolytic copper in China in November will decrease by 0.4% month - on - month and increase by 8.2% year - on - year [25] - From January to October in China, the import volume of copper ore and its concentrates was 25.086 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 7.5% [27] - This week, the spot inventory of electrolytic copper decreased week - on - week, while the bonded area inventory increased [28] - LME copper inventory decreased slightly, and COMEX copper inventory continued to accumulate [29] - The operating rate of refined copper rods increased week - on - week, mainly due to the callback of the previous week's market and the concentrated release of new orders [32] - From November 1st to 9th, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the national market decreased by 5% year - on - year [34] - In November, the production schedules of domestic component enterprises varied, and the overall production schedule is expected to decline month - on - month [35] - The planned production volume of household air conditioners in November decreased by 23.7% compared with the actual production volume of the same period last year [37] Macroeconomic Data - In October in China, the new social financing was 810 billion yuan, the new RMB loans were 220 billion yuan, and the M2 - M1 gap widened [41] - In October in the US, the ISM manufacturing PMI contracted for eight consecutive months, while the service PMI reached an eight - month high [43] - Fed officials took a hawkish stance, and the probability of an interest rate cut in December decreased [47]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content was found in the provided report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, China's CPI increased both year - on - year and month - on - month, with the core CPI showing continuous growth. The PPI decline narrowed, indicating some improvement in the domestic economic situation. The implementation of policies to expand domestic demand continued to show results [3][41]. - The US government "shutdown" has a negative impact on the economy, and although the September inflation data slowed down more than expected, it is difficult to change the Fed's interest - rate cut rhythm [45][46]. - In November 2025, the RMB exchange rate showed a stable operation trend, supported by multiple factors, and is expected to maintain a stable tone in the future [54]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Economic Situation - **GDP**: In the first three quarters of 2025, China's GDP increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with a growth rate 0.4 percentage points higher than the same period in 2024. The actual GDP growth rate in the third quarter was 4.8%, a 0.4 - percentage - point decrease from the second quarter [17]. - **Industrial Added Value**: In September 2025, the industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 6.5% year - on - year and 0.64% month - on - month. The high - tech manufacturing industry accelerated its growth, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 9.6% from January to September [18]. - **Fixed - Asset Investment**: The year - on - year growth rate of fixed - asset investment in the first nine months turned negative, at - 0.7%. In September, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 7.1% year - on - year. Real estate investment continued to cool down, while the decline in narrow - sense infrastructure investment narrowed [18]. - **Social Retail Consumption**: In September 2025, the total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 3.0% year - on - year. The growth rate of service retail sales from January to September was 5.2%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous value [18]. - **Unemployment Rate**: In September 2025, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.2%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month [18]. - **Import and Export Data**: In the first three quarters of 2025, China's total goods trade imports and exports were 33.61 trillion yuan, a 4% year - on - year increase. In September, exports and imports in US dollars increased by 8.3% and 7.4% year - on - year respectively, exceeding expectations [7]. 3.2 Financial Situation - **Social Financing Data**: In September 2025, China's new social financing was 3.53 trillion yuan, and the stock of social financing at the end of September was 437.08 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.7%. The new RMB loans were 1.29 trillion yuan [35]. - **Credit Data**: In September 2025, credit increased by 129 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 30 billion yuan. The recovery rhythm of credit demand was uneven, and the structure continued to improve [36]. - **Money Supply**: In September 2025, the M2 - M1 scissors gap reached a new low for the year, at 1.2 percentage points, reflecting positive signals such as increased business activity and recovery of personal investment and consumption demand [35]. 3.3 Price - Related - **CPI**: In October 2025, the CPI increased by 0.2% year - on - year and month - on - month. The core CPI increased by 1.2% year - on - year, with the growth rate expanding for the sixth consecutive month. Food and energy prices were still at a low level, but the decline rates narrowed [41]. - **PPI**: In October 2025, the PPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month, the first increase this year, and decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, with the decline rate narrowing for the third consecutive month [41]. 3.4 Overseas Macro - **US Economy**: In September 2025, the US CPI data slowed down more than expected, mainly affected by the decline in rent prices. The US federal government "shutdown" has a negative impact on the economy, and the Fed may still cut interest rates by 25 basis points in October [45][46]. - **Eurozone Economy**: In October 2025, the Eurozone HICP decreased by 0.1% month - on - month, and the core HICP remained unchanged [14]. 3.5 Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - **RMB Exchange Rate**: In November 2025, the RMB exchange rate showed a stable operation trend, supported by factors such as the recovery of the domestic economic fundamentals, improvement of the international balance of payments, and policy guidance. It is expected to maintain a stable tone in the future [54]. - **Interest Rates**: The report also presented data on various interest rates such as DR007, SHIBOR, LPR, and government bond yields [55][56].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [11]. Core Insights - In September, central enterprise orders improved, and the decline in investment narrowed. The manufacturing PMI fell significantly in October, indicating a marginal weakening in industry prosperity, while the construction PMI slightly decreased, aligning with seasonal trends [6][20]. - Fixed asset investment in September was 4.5 trillion yuan, down 7.1% year-on-year, with a cumulative fixed asset investment of 37.2 trillion yuan for the year, a decrease of 0.5% year-on-year. Narrowly defined infrastructure investment showed a smaller decline compared to previous months [7][25]. - The physical workload showed improvement in October, with cement output declining at a slower rate, and cement dispatch volumes increased marginally [8][50]. - Project funding is being prioritized, with a funding rate of 59.7% for construction sites as of October 28, showing a slight week-on-week increase [9][57]. Summary by Sections Investment & Orders - Central enterprise orders improved in September, with most central enterprises showing positive growth in domestic orders. Notably, China Chemical and China Railway Construction saw significant growth rates of 18.11% and 9.38%, respectively [7][42][44]. - The overall order growth for major construction central enterprises in Q3 was 5.02% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in both domestic and overseas markets [42][44]. Physical Workload - Cement production saw a year-on-year decline of 5.2% from January to September, with a more pronounced drop of 8.6% in September alone. However, cement dispatch volumes showed a week-on-week increase of 8.0% in late October [8][50]. Project Funding - The funding rate for construction projects was reported at 59.7%, with non-residential projects at 61.15% and residential projects at 52.81% as of late October. The issuance of special bonds reached 39.646 billion yuan year-to-date, with a 90% completion rate [9][59].

Economic Overview - The U.S. government shutdown has reached a historical record, with both parties claiming advantages in the ongoing negotiations[3] - In October, the ADP employment numbers exceeded expectations, but showed a significant slowdown compared to earlier in the year, facing risks from layoffs in large companies and the federal government[3] - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for October remained in contraction for the eighth consecutive month, indicating weak demand and supply, while the Services PMI reached an eight-month high, potentially boosting Q4 economic activity[3] Domestic Economic Conditions - China's manufacturing PMI fell in October, indicating a decline in both domestic and external demand, while the non-manufacturing PMI saw a slight recovery due to holiday and e-commerce promotions[3] - October exports contracted year-on-year due to high base effects and weakening overseas demand, with only automotive, shipbuilding, and integrated circuits showing positive contributions[3] - Domestic policies are actively addressing both long-term reforms and short-term growth targets, with fiscal policies aimed at accelerating effective investments[3] Commodity Prices and Market Trends - Downstream real estate transactions showed a slight recovery, while agricultural wholesale prices remained stable; midstream steel prices decreased while cement prices increased[3] - Upstream, coking coal and coke prices fluctuated, with non-ferrous metals and gold prices declining, and crude oil prices also showing a downward trend[3]

PMI has gone up on Wednesday, great news for the markets.Now, when we're looking at #Bitcoin.Things take time.The markets seem very illiquid now during the government shutdown, the levels remain clear.We need to test $106K and go up from there. https://t.co/TaeRiyMyI3 ...

5 November 2025 | 12:06PM HKT Economics Research China: Unofficial services PMI edged down in October; October inflation and credit preview Bottom line: The headline RatingDog China Services PMI (formerly the Caixin services PMI) edged down to 52.6 in October from 52.9 in September, suggesting services sector activity continued to expand but at a slightly slower pace. Key numbers: S&P Global services PMI: 52.6 in October (Bloomberg consensus: 52.5), vs. 52.9 in September. Main points: 1. The RatingDog China ...

市场趋势与行业动态 - 亚洲股市从四月份以来最大两日跌幅中反弹，逢低买入者回归，此前对估值过高的担忧有所缓解 [1][48] - 美国最高法院对特朗普总统的全球关税表示怀疑，暗示其可能越权 [1][7][49] - 科技股回调引发市场抛售，但对人工智能的乐观情绪依然存在 [16][20] - 美国十年期国债收益率大幅走高，达到 4.15%，财政部暗示可能增加供应 [4][51][95] - 美国经济状况依然强劲，企业盈利表现良好，标普 500 指数近 80% 的公司报告盈利，同比增长 12%，每股收益超出预期 6% [22] - 沙特阿拉伯下调对亚洲的官方售价，并持续关注美国库存的增长 [5][52] - 美元走强，测试 200 日移动平均线，为一年来首次 [6][53] - 尼日利亚重返全球债务市场，通过债券销售筹集 20 亿美元 [39] - 刚果共和国重返全球债务市场，以 13.7% 的收益率出售 6.7 亿美元债券 [42] - 中国将取消对美国农产品的关税，并解除对美国公司的出口限制 [46] 投资机会与潜在风险 - 最高法院对特朗普关税的质疑可能导致关税重新评估和退款 [3][50][51][96] - 估值过高并非股市大跌的唯一原因，需要更大的负面催化剂 [26][27] - 预计标普 500 指数年底将达到 7000 点或接近该水平 [27] - 英国央行预计将维持利率不变，关注即将到来的预算和疲软的数据 [2][49][79][81] - 预计利率下调和市场流动性增加将推动市场上涨 [28] - 卡塔尔计划向埃及投资 35 亿美元，开发旅游景点和高尔夫球场 [64][71] 公司财务表现 - ARM 预计第三季度销售额将达到 13 亿美元，超过预期，人工智能技术需求强劲 [29] - 高通公司对本季度给出了乐观的预测，称销售额已达 120 亿美元，对高端安卓芯片的需求依然强劲 [29] - 土耳其航空公司指责发动机制造商垄断并抬高价格，利润率超过 25% [44][75] - 国泰航空宣布将从卡塔尔航空回购股份，表明对香港航空枢纽地位的信心 [78]