行业报告 | 行业深度研究 银行 证券研究报告 双重属性视角下的票据分析框架 票据的量价指标具有数据高频更新的优势，是判断信贷景气度的有效指标。 票据利率主要包括直贴利率、转贴现利率和再贴现利率。随利率市场化推进， 转贴现利率逐渐成为票据定价中枢。票据转贴现定价模式多元化，基准加点 是主要模式。定价基准参考内部资金转移定价（FTP）或外部基准，加点值 则根据信用主体类型、票据剩余期限和市场预期确定。 定期公开的票据数量指标主要来源于央行和上海票据交易所。其中，金融统 计数据中的"票据融资"和社融数据中的"未贴现银行承兑汇票"以是否贴 现为区分标准，但都体现了金融体系通过票据对实体经济的支持。一方面， 表内外票据的合计值和对公短贷会形成一定替代关系。另一方面，表外票据 是银行票据业务的蓄水池，和票据融资也存在此消彼长的"跷跷板效应"。 票据兼具资金属性和信贷属性，资金面和信贷投放情况皆影响票据利率。 票据的资金属性体现在其具备货币市场短期金融资产的特性，主要与银行的 转贴现业务和回购业务有关。票据的信贷属性体现在信贷调节工具的定位 上，与银行的承兑业务和贴现业务有关。双重属性视角下，资金面松紧决定 票据利率中枢 ...

智通财经记者 | 陈靖 2025年一季度，券业迎来开门红。 据季报数据，今年一季度，42家上市券商合计实现营业收入1259.30亿元，同比增长24.6%；实现归属于 母公司股东的净利润521.83亿元，同比增加83.48%。 其中，37家券商净利润同比增长，22家增幅超50%，7家实现翻倍式增长。 头部券商优势依旧显著，其中，中信证券（600030.SH）以177.61亿元营收、65.45亿元净利润稳居行业 第一，同比分别增长29%和32%，经纪、自营、投行业务均贡献稳定收入。国泰海通（601211.SH）净 利润同比暴增391.78%至122.42亿元，主因并购重组带来的资产整合效应及自营业务收益提升。华泰证 券（601688.SH）营收82.32亿元、净利润36.42亿元，同比分别增长35%和59%，财富管理与机构服务业 务表现亮眼。 在营业收入方面，Choice金融终端显示，共有2家证券公司突破百亿大关。中信证券以177.61亿元的营 业收入稳居榜首，同比增长29.13%。合并后的国泰海通以117.73亿元位列第二，营业收入同比大幅增长 47.48%。 值得关注的是，营收前十的座次出现调整。东方证券（6 ...

电子/半导体 华峰测控（688200.SH） 成长与盈利能力强劲，看好 STS 8600 销售前景 2025 年 05 月 05 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 145.18 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 164.49/75.50 | | 总市值(亿元) | 196.63 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 196.63 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.35 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.35 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 100.14 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 华峰测控 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024Q3 业绩同比高增，AI 应用拉动 测试机需求—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.29 《2024Q2 业绩企稳回升，积极推进测 试机全球化布局—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.8.27 陈蓉芳（分析师） 陈瑜熙（分析师） chenrongfang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S079052 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with specific segments showing mixed performance, indicating challenges in the oil transportation sector [1] Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was 5.75 billion, down 4.0% year-on-year and 5.7% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 710 million, a decrease of 43.3% year-on-year but an increase of 13.9% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Non-recurring net profit was also 710 million, down 42.7% year-on-year and up 12.4% quarter-on-quarter [1] Segment Analysis - LNG Transportation: Q1 revenue was 620 million, up 10.6% year-on-year but down 1% quarter-on-quarter; gross margin was 49.4%, up 3.6% year-on-year and 6.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - Domestic Oil Transportation: Q1 revenue was 1.39 billion, down 4.7% year-on-year and 9% quarter-on-quarter; gross margin was 24%, down 1.2% year-on-year but up 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - Foreign Oil Transportation: Q1 revenue was 3.58 billion, down 6% year-on-year but up 4% quarter-on-quarter; gross margin was 15.0%, down 16.9% year-on-year but up 2.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Market Trends - The Q1 product tanker index rebounded, with expectations for stronger mid-sized crude carriers in Q2 due to seasonal price increases driven by OPEC+ production and sanctions on Iranian and Russian oil [2] - VLCC rates showed a seasonal decline after an initial spike, with TCE indices for various tanker types reflecting significant year-on-year decreases [2] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about VLCC supply constraints and a return to demand in the regulated market, despite potential macroeconomic challenges [3] - Even under pessimistic scenarios, oil transportation demand is expected to remain resilient due to low global oil inventories and stable non-OPEC production [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a positive mid-term outlook for VLCC, projecting net profits of 5.29 billion, 6.33 billion, and 7.08 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [4] - The current price suggests a dividend yield of approximately 5.3% for A shares and 9.9% for H shares in 2025, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4]

// 今日关注 // // 宏观预警 // 1、民营经济促进法出台，自今年5月20日起施行 十四届全国人大常委会第十五次会议表决通过民营经济促进法，自2025年5月20日起施行。 民营经济促 进法共9章78条，包括总则、公平竞争、投资融资促进、科技创新、规范经营、服务保障、权益保护、 法律责任和附则。作为我国第一部专门关于民营经济发展的基础性法律，民营经济促进法将进一步优化 民营经济发展环境，保证各类经济组织公平参与市场竞争，促进民营经济健康发展和民营经济人士健康 成长，构建高水平社会主义市场经济体制，发挥民营经济在国民经济和社会发展中的重要作用。 2、中国4月官方制造业PMI为49，前值50.5 中国4月官方制造业PMI为49，前值50.5，制造业景气水平有所回落。中国4月官方制造业PMI为49，前 值50.5，制造业景气水平有所回落。国家统计局表示，受外部环境急剧变化等因素影响，4月份制造业 采购经理指数有所回落，但高技术制造业等相关行业继续保持扩张，以内销为主的制造业企业生产经营 总体稳定；从全球范围看，贸易战、关税战没有赢家，受贸易环境不确定性增大影响，主要经济体制造 业景气度普遍位于收缩区间，美国供 ...

事件 2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1）24 年 实现营收 115.4 亿元，同比+14.3%；实现归母净利 34.1 亿元，同 比+8.8%。2）25Q1 实现营收 51.0 亿元，同比+9.2%；实现归母净 利 16.4 亿元，同比+7.3%。符合市场预期。 经营分析 产品维度：1）24 年特 A+类/特 A 类分别实现营收 74.9/33.5 亿元， 同比+15%/+17%，其中销量+27%/+26%，吨价-10%/-8%，毛利率 -2.8pct/-5.7pct，预计与货折等促销提升相关。2）25Q1 特 A+类 /特 A 类分别实现营收 31.7/16.5 亿元，同比+7%/+17%。公司省内 品牌势能仍在上行、竞争优势有望逐步拉大。 区域维度：1）24 年省内/省外分别实现营收 105.5/9.3 亿元，同 比+13%/+27%；省内南京/淮安/苏中/苏南/盐城/淮海大区分别 +12%/+12%/+21%/+9%/+16%/+9%。2）25Q1 省内/省外分别实现营收 46.4/4.4 亿元，同比+8%/+19%；省内南京/淮安/苏中/苏南/盐城/ 淮海大 ...

2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 预调鸡尾酒需求仍较疲软，威士忌业务有望提供新增长动能 ——百润股份（002568.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 增持（维持） 当前价：26.33 元 作者 分析师：陈彦彤 执业证书编号：S0930518070002 021-52523689 chenyt@ebscn.com 分析师：汪航宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070002 021-52523174 wanghangyu@ebscn.com 分析师：聂博雅 执业证书编号：S0930522030003 021-52523808 nieboya@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 10.49 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 276.30 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 15.00/31.70 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 55.04% | 股价相对走势 -25% -7% 11% 29% 47% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 百润股份 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | ...

增持（维持） 2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 预调鸡尾酒需求仍较疲软，威士忌业务有望提供新增长动能 ——百润股份（002568.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 当前价：26.33 元 作者 分析师：陈彦彤 执业证书编号：S0930518070002 021-52523689 chenyt@ebscn.com 分析师：汪航宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070002 021-52523174 wanghangyu@ebscn.com 分析师：聂博雅 执业证书编号：S0930522030003 021-52523808 nieboya@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 10.49 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 276.30 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 15.00/31.70 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 55.04% | 股价相对走势 -25% -7% 11% 29% 47% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 百润股份 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | ...

点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 安集科技发布2025年一季报，单季收入同比高增长，利润创历史新高。行业景气度随下游晶圆厂稼动率 复苏而边际改善，公司CMP抛光液市占率持续提升，功能性湿化学品进入快速放量期。 25Q1收入同比高增长，利润创单季历史新高。 25Q1收入5.45亿元，同比+44%/环比+4.3%；毛利率 55.7%，同比-2.8pcts/环比-2.5pcts；归母净利润1.69亿元，同比+60.7%/环比+19.7%；扣非净利润1.62亿 元，同比+53%/环比+13.3%，单季扣非利润创历史新高。 CMP抛光液市占率稳步提升，公司同时加强在先进封装领域布局。 2024年公司CMP抛光液收入15.45亿 元，同比+43.7%，主要系一方面2024年下游主要晶圆厂稼动率复苏态势明显，另一方面公司铜/钨/基于 氧化铈磨料的抛光液市占率以及在客户端份额持续提升，公司最近三年全球市占率分别约7%、8%、 11%。同时公司加强在先进封装领域布局，用于2.5D/3D TSV抛光液、混合键合和聚合物抛光液进展顺 利。 功能性湿化学品业务高速增长，毛利率明显提升。 2024年公司功能性湿化学品收入2.77亿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant growth in performance, benefiting from the improved market conditions for refrigerants [1] - The revenue for 2024 reached 24.462 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.43%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.960 billion yuan, up 107.69% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.556 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.52% [1] Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The main drivers of revenue growth in 2024 were the expansion of the consolidated reporting scope, increased production, and higher prices. The three main business segments—refrigerants, petrochemical materials, and basic chemical products—continued to contribute significantly [2] - Refrigerant production for the year was 591,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 21.12%, with external sales of 353,000 tons, up 22.61% [2] - Petrochemical materials production was 607,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 36.14%, with external sales of 522,100 tons, up 45.70% [2] - Basic chemical products and others produced 3.0402 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.90%, with external sales of 1.7852 million tons, up 12.03% [2] Cost Management - The company reduced its sales expense ratio primarily due to decreased leasing costs. The sales/management/financial/R&D expense ratios changed by -0.18%/+0.06%/+0.28%/-0.54% year-on-year [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating the production of new projects and enhancing its global HFCs quota advantage to establish a leading position in the refrigerant market. It has successfully completed the acquisition of Feiyuan Chemical, integrating its annual production capacity of 80,000 tons of HFCs and related facilities [4] - The company has also added new products in fine chemicals, significantly increasing the business proportion of fluorinated refrigerants and fine chemical products [4] - The annual production capacity of 85,700 tons of organic alcohol has been successfully put into operation, steadily increasing the domestic market share of organic alcohol products [4] Profit Forecast - The company’s profit forecast has been adjusted upwards, with expected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 projected at 3.714 billion, 4.919 billion, and 6.050 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 18.5, 14.0, and 11.4 times for the respective years [9]