Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.65% at 45952.24 points, the S&P 500 down 0.63% at 6629.07 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.47% at 22562.54 points [1] - Most large-cap tech stocks declined, including Tesla down over 1%, Facebook down 0.76%, Apple down 0.76%, Amazon down 0.51%, and Microsoft down 0.35%. However, Nvidia rose over 1% and Google increased by 0.17% [1] - Chinese concept stocks mostly fell, with Luokung down nearly 9%, Century Internet down over 5%, New Oriental down over 5%, Pony.ai down nearly 4%, and iQIYI down over 3%. On the other hand, Daqo New Energy rose nearly 2%, Atour Hotel increased nearly 2%, Bilibili rose over 1%, and Manbang Group increased over 1% [1] European Market - European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.38% at 24272.93 points, France's CAC40 up 1.38% at 8188.59 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.12% at 9436.09 points [1] Commodities - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 3.40% at $4344.3 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 3.99% at $53.43 per ounce [1] - U.S. oil futures fell, with the main contract down 1.54% at $56.95 per barrel, and Brent crude down 1.37% at $61.06 per barrel [1] Currency and Bonds - The U.S. dollar index fell 0.31% to 98.36, while the offshore RMB against the U.S. dollar rose by 55 basis points to 7.1246 [1] - U.S. Treasury yields collectively declined, with the 2-year yield down 8.14 basis points to 3.418%, the 3-year yield down 8.02 basis points to 3.422%, the 5-year yield down 7.63 basis points to 3.543%, the 10-year yield down 5.94 basis points to 3.973%, and the 30-year yield down 4.76 basis points to 4.581% [1] - European bond yields mostly fell, with the UK 10-year yield down 4.2 basis points to 4.499%, France's 10-year yield down 0.6 basis points to 3.333%, Germany's 10-year yield unchanged at 2.569%, Italy's 10-year yield down 2.2 basis points to 3.356%, and Spain's 10-year yield down 1.1 basis points to 3.087% [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - After a previous continuous rise, high - level hot sectors such as AI have shown divergence recently. The market risk appetite has decreased, and short - term indices face uncertainties due to concerns about Sino - US tariffs. However, the policy support for the capital market remains unchanged, and the mid - to long - term strategy is mainly to go long on dips [4]. - Recent Sino - US trade disputes have led to a short - term decline in risk appetite, which is beneficial for the bond market's repair. But the progress of tariffs is highly uncertain in the later stage. In the fourth quarter, the bond market needs to focus on the fundamentals and institutional allocation power. The overall bond market may maintain a volatile trend, and it may oscillate and repair if the stock market cools down and the allocation power increases [8]. - Precious metals have shown strong price performance due to dovish remarks from Fed officials and a tight silver spot situation. Although prices have fallen after a short - term rapid increase, it is still recommended to hold long positions [9][10]. - For various metals and non - metals, the Sino - US trade situation is uncertain, and each product's price trend is affected by its own supply - demand fundamentals, cost factors, and market sentiment. Some products are expected to have limited downside space, while others may face downward pressure [13][15][27]. - In the energy and chemical sectors, different products have different price trends and trading strategies based on their supply - demand balances, inventory levels, and cost factors. Some products are recommended for short - term observation, while others may have opportunities for long - or short - term operations [52][54][55]. - In the agricultural products sector, different products have different supply - demand situations. Some products are expected to have price increases, while others are expected to decline, and corresponding trading strategies are proposed accordingly [74][75][84]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Macro - financial Stock Index - **Market Information**: In late September, M2 balance was 335.38 trillion yuan, up 8.4% year - on - year; M1 balance was 113.15 trillion yuan, up 7.2% year - on - year; M0 balance was 13.58 trillion yuan, up 11.5% year - on - year. By the end of 2027, 28 million charging facilities will be built nationwide. US nuclear power concept stocks rose strongly, and the rumor of a large robot order for Sanhua Intelligent Control was false [2]. - **Strategy View**: After a previous continuous rise, high - level hot sectors such as AI have shown divergence. The market risk appetite has decreased, and short - term indices face uncertainties due to concerns about Sino - US tariffs. However, the policy support for the capital market remains unchanged, and the mid - to long - term strategy is mainly to go long on dips [4]. Treasury Bonds - **Market Information**: On Wednesday, the TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts had different changes. In the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative increase in social financing scale was 30.09 trillion yuan, 4.42 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. In late September, M2, M1, and M0 balances had year - on - year increases. The central bank conducted a 435 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation on Wednesday, with a net investment of 435 billion yuan [5][6][7]. - **Strategy View**: Recent Sino - US trade disputes have led to a short - term decline in risk appetite, which is beneficial for the bond market's repair. But the progress of tariffs is highly uncertain in the later stage. In the fourth quarter, the bond market needs to focus on the fundamentals and institutional allocation power. The overall bond market may maintain a volatile trend, and it may oscillate and repair if the stock market cools down and the allocation power increases [8]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Shanghai gold rose 1.39% to 962.08 yuan/gram, and Shanghai silver rose 3.97% to 12,138 yuan/kilogram. Fed officials' dovish remarks and a tight silver spot situation led to strong precious metal prices [9]. - **Strategy View**: Although precious metal prices have fallen after a short - term rapid increase, it is still recommended to hold long positions. The reference operating range for the Shanghai gold main contract is 921 - 980 yuan/gram, and for the Shanghai silver main contract is 11,368 - 13,000 yuan/kilogram [10]. Non - ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Overnight, Powell mentioned the possible end of balance - sheet reduction. The copper price first rose and then fell. LME copper inventory decreased, and domestic spot premiums varied. The domestic copper spot import loss narrowed, and the refined - scrap price difference decreased [12]. - **Strategy View**: Trump's threat to impose high tariffs on China is uncertain. Fundamentally, the expected tightening of copper supply in the next two years and the decrease in domestic refined copper production support the price. The short - term decline in copper prices may be limited. The reference operating range for the Shanghai copper main contract is 84,400 - 86,500 yuan/ton, and for the LME 3M copper contract is 10,450 - 10,750 US dollars/ton [13]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: The aluminum price oscillated and rebounded. The LME 3M aluminum contract rose slightly, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at a certain price. Domestic and overseas inventories decreased, and the downstream consumption sentiment improved [14]. - **Strategy View**: The Sino - US trade situation is uncertain. Domestically, with the increase in the proportion of aluminum water, seasonal consumption recovery, and resilient exports, the pressure on aluminum ingot inventory accumulation is small, and the downside space for aluminum prices is expected to be limited. The reference operating range for the Shanghai aluminum main contract is 20,740 - 21,050 yuan/ton, and for the LME 3M aluminum contract is 2,720 - 2,770 US dollars/ton [15]. Zinc - **Market Information**: The Shanghai zinc index fell. LME zinc prices also decreased. The domestic social inventory increased slightly, and the basis and spreads had different values [16]. - **Strategy View**: During the holiday, domestic zinc smelters continued production, and some downstream enterprises had long holidays. The LME registered zinc warrants are at a low level, and there is a structural risk. After the opening of the zinc ingot export window, short - covering in the domestic market provides short - term support for Shanghai zinc. It is expected that Shanghai zinc will oscillate at a low level in the short term, with increased risk and volatility [17]. Lead - **Market Information**: The Shanghai lead index rose. LME lead prices also increased. The domestic social inventory remained unchanged, and the basis and spreads had different values [18]. - **Strategy View**: The visible lead ore inventory increased slightly, and the production of primary lead smelters remained high. The waste lead inventory decreased, and the production of secondary lead smelters increased slightly but remained at a low level. The lead ingot factory inventory increased. The downstream storage enterprises had shorter holiday times than in previous years, and the industrial data improved marginally. On October 10, a large number of LME lead warehouse warrants were cancelled, increasing the structural risk of LME lead. It is expected that Shanghai lead will run strongly in the short term [19]. Nickel - **Market Information**: The nickel price oscillated. The spot market trading was average, and the price of nickel ore and nickel iron remained stable. The price of MHP remained high due to increased demand [20]. - **Strategy View**: In the short term, Sino - US trade frictions may drive down market risk appetite, but the impact on nickel prices is relatively small. The recent weakening of nickel iron prices and the significant inventory pressure on refined nickel may drag down nickel prices. However, in the long term, the US easing expectations, China's anti - involution policy, and the RKAB approval are expected to support nickel prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, and consider going long on dips if the price drops significantly. The reference operating range for the Shanghai nickel main contract is 115,000 - 128,000 yuan/ton, and for the LME 3M nickel contract is 14,500 - 16,500 US dollars/ton [20]. Tin - **Market Information**: The Shanghai tin main contract rose. The domestic futures registered warehouse warrants increased, and the price of tin concentrate decreased. The supply of tin ore in Myanmar and Indonesia was tight, and the smelter's operating rate decreased. The demand in the new energy and AI sectors was strong, but the traditional consumer electronics and home appliance sectors were weak. The demand in the peak season improved marginally, but high prices still inhibited consumption [21]. - **Strategy View**: In the short term, Sino - US trade frictions may drive down market risk appetite, but the short - term supply - demand of tin is in a tight balance, and the demand in the peak season is recovering. Tin prices may maintain a high - level oscillation in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see. The reference operating range for the domestic main contract is 270,000 - 290,000 yuan/ton, and for overseas LME tin is 34,000 - 36,000 US dollars/ton [21]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The spot index of lithium carbonate decreased slightly, and the futures contract price increased slightly. The spot premium was flat [22]. - **Strategy View**: The warehouse warrants of lithium carbonate on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange decreased this week, and the inventory continued to decline. The available spot for circulation is tight, and the premium is strengthening. If consumption remains strong and resonates with the macro - environment, the upside space for lithium prices may be opened. It is more likely to oscillate strongly in the short term. The reference operating range for the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2601 contract is 71,880 - 75,280 yuan/ton [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index fell. The domestic and overseas spot prices decreased, and the import window was close to closing. The futures inventory increased, and the ore price remained stable [24]. - **Strategy View**: The ore price is supported in the short term but may be under pressure after the rainy season. The over - capacity situation in the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short term, and the inventory accumulation trend continues. The opening of the import window may intensify the over - supply situation. However, the increased expectation of Fed rate cuts may drive the non - ferrous metal sector to run strongly. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and wait for the resonance of macro - sentiment. The reference operating range for the domestic main contract AO2601 is 2,600 - 3,000 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to supply - side policies, Guinea's ore policy, and the Fed's monetary policy [25]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless steel main contract fell slightly. The spot prices in different markets had different changes, and the raw material prices remained stable. The futures inventory decreased, and the social inventory increased [26]. - **Strategy View**: After the holiday, the social inventory increased significantly, but the terminal consumption was weak, and the market did not show the characteristics of the traditional peak season. The prices of Tsingshan products led the decline, and the market trading was light. It is expected that the market trend will be weak [27]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The AD2511 contract rose. The trading volume decreased, and the warehouse warrants decreased. The price difference between the AL2511 and AD2511 contracts increased. The domestic mainstream ADC12 price remained unchanged, and the import price increased. The domestic inventory increased slightly [28]. - **Strategy View**: The market sentiment is volatile, and the delivery pressure on the near - month contracts of cast aluminum alloy is still high, and the upside space for prices is relatively limited [28]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil futures and spot decreased. The registered warehouse warrants and open interest increased [30]. - **Strategy View**: The overall commodity market atmosphere was weak yesterday, and steel prices continued to decline. Trump's tariff remarks disturbed the market, but the direct impact on steel is limited. Fundamentally, the demand for steel during the National Day holiday was significantly weaker than last year, and the inventory continued to accumulate. In the short term, the weak real - demand pattern of steel is difficult to reverse, and attention should be paid to the policy strength and direction around the Fourth Plenary Session [31]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The iron ore main contract fell. The spot price and basis had certain values [32]. - **Strategy View**: In terms of supply, the overseas iron ore shipment volume decreased seasonally, and the near - term arrival volume increased. In terms of demand, the daily average pig iron output remained stable, and the steel mill profitability rate continued to decline. The inventory accumulation level of steel during the holiday was high, and the post - holiday de - stocking situation is under test. Fundamentally, if the situation of finished steel weakens after the holiday, the iron ore price may adjust accordingly. The terminal demand is weak, and the macro - disturbance continues. The iron ore price is expected to oscillate weakly [33]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: The glass main contract fell. The spot prices in different regions had different changes, and the inventory increased. The open interest of long and short positions increased. The soda ash main contract fell slightly. The spot price decreased, and the inventory increased. The open interest of long and short positions also increased [34][36]. - **Strategy View**: For glass, some production lines are planned to resume production, and the cost has decreased. The terminal demand is weaker than expected, and the supply pressure is increasing. The market sentiment is cautious and bearish. For soda ash, the supply is stable, but the price has decreased. The demand is weak, and the market trading is light. It is expected to run weakly in the short term [35][36]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: The manganese silicon main contract rose slightly, and the ferrosilicon main contract also rose. The spot prices were higher than the futures prices. The manganese silicon price is in an oscillation range and is currently close to the lower limit. The ferrosilicon price has broken through the support level and is weak [37]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by short - term demand pressure, the black sector has experienced a downward correction. The high pig iron output still exerts pressure on prices. The price may first decline to release the bearish sentiment and then rise with the expectation of the Fourth Plenary Session. For the black sector, it is more cost - effective to look for rebound opportunities on dips. For manganese silicon, if the black sector strengthens, pay attention to the disturbance from the manganese ore end. For ferrosilicon, it is likely to follow the black sector's trend [38][39][40]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: The industrial silicon futures main contract rose. The spot prices remained stable, and the basis was positive. The polysilicon futures main contract rose. The spot prices remained unchanged, and the basis was positive [42][44]. - **Strategy View**: For industrial silicon, the short - term price oscillates. Fundamentally, the supply - demand situation is stable in the short term. In the future, the supply pressure will decrease, and the far - month contract valuation is expected to increase. There is still room for price repair. For polysilicon, the market may enter a fundamental correction stage. The short - term price is constrained by high inventory and weak demand. The supply - demand pattern may improve after November. The current price fluctuation is regarded as a technical correction [43][45]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market Information**: The rubber price oscillated and showed signs of stabilization. The long and short sides had different views. The tire开工率 decreased during the National Day holiday, and the export of semi - steel tires slowed down. The domestic natural rubber inventory decreased. The spot prices of some rubber products increased [47][48][49][50][51]. - **Strategy View**: The macro - disturbance may temporarily decrease, and the rubber price may stabilize in the short term. It is recommended to set a stop - loss and go long on dips with a short - term and quick - in - quick - out strategy. It is also recommended to partially build a hedging position by buying RU2601 and selling RU2609 [52]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: The INE main crude oil futures and related refined oil futures fell. The Singapore ESG oil product inventory data showed different changes in gasoline, diesel, and fuel oil inventories [53]. - **Strategy View**: Although the geopolitical premium has disappeared, OPEC's supply has not increased significantly, so the oil price should not be overly bearish in the short term. It is recommended to maintain a range - trading strategy of buying low and selling high, but currently, it is recommended to wait and see and wait for the verification of OPEC's export price - support intention when the oil price falls [54]. Methanol - **Market Information**: The methanol spot and futures prices had different changes, and the basis turned positive. The 1 - 5 spread increased [55]. - **Strategy View**: The import disturbance has weakened, and methanol is expected to return to its own fundamental pricing. The domestic supply is at a high level, and the demand is weak. The inventory pressure is large, and the fundamental situation is weak. However, the downside space is relatively limited, and it is recommended to wait and see [55].

Market Overview - Southeast Asia ETFs fell by 1.75%, while Vietnam outperformed by 9.15 percentage points[2] - The Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF dropped 1.75% over the two-week period from September 27 to October 10, 2025[6] - Southeast Asia ETFs outperformed China but underperformed the U.S., Japan, Africa, India, Latin America, and the U.K.[2] Country-Specific Performance - Indonesia's iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF fell by 1.65%, outperforming by 0.10 percentage points; GDP is expected to grow over 5.5% in Q4 2025[3] - Singapore's iShares MSCI Singapore ETF decreased by 0.07%, outperforming by 1.68 percentage points[3] - Thailand's iShares MSCI Thailand ETF dropped by 2.18%, underperforming by 0.44 percentage points; the Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.6 in September 2025[3] - Malaysia's iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF fell by 1.55%, outperforming by 0.19 percentage points; palm oil production is estimated to decrease by 2.35%[3] - Vietnam's Global X MSCI Vietnam ETF rose by 7.40%, outperforming by 9.15 percentage points; GDP growth reached 8.23% year-on-year in Q3 2025[3] Investment Insights - The Southeast Asia Technology ETF increased by 3.18%, outperforming the broader Southeast Asia ETF by 4.93 percentage points[2] - FTSE Russell reclassified Vietnam as an emerging market, expected to attract billions in foreign investment[3]

Market Overview - US President Trump announced the consideration of terminating business relations with China regarding edible oils, leading to a decline in major US stock indices, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closing down [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 202.88 points (0.44%) to 46270.46 points, while the Nasdaq fell by 172.91 points (0.76%) to 22521.7 points, and the S&P 500 dropped by 10.41 points (0.16%) to 6644.31 points [1] - In European markets, the DAX30 index fell by 120.72 points (0.50%) to 24254.56 points, while the FTSE 100 index rose by 8.38 points (0.09%) to 9451.25 points [1] Oil Market - Light crude oil futures for November fell by $0.79 to $58.70 per barrel, a decrease of 1.33%, while Brent crude for December dropped by $0.93 to $62.39 per barrel, down 1.47% [2] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin increased by 0.22% to $113,128.7, and Ethereum rose by 0.8% to $4,117.89 [3] Gold Market - Spot gold reached a historical high of $4,179.83 before closing up 0.78% at $4,143.67. A survey indicated that 43% of investors consider "going long on gold" as the most crowded trade [3] Macro Economic Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated support for further rate cuts due to signs of a cooling labor market, suggesting a potential 25 basis point cut later this month [4] - Powell also mentioned that the Fed may soon end its balance sheet reduction efforts, with liquidity conditions tightening [5] - Fed Governor Bowman expects two more rate cuts by the end of the year, contingent on labor market and economic data [5] - Fed's Collins expressed concerns over a weakening labor market, suggesting that another 25 basis point cut may be appropriate [7] Company News - LVMH reported a 1% year-on-year increase in third-quarter sales, reaching €18.28 billion, driven by improved demand in Asia, particularly outside Japan [8] - The fashion and leather goods segment saw a 2% decline in sales during the third quarter, an improvement from a 9% drop in the previous quarter [8]

北京时间10月14日晚，美股三大股指回调，纳斯达克综合指数一度跌近2%。 数据截至10月14日23:31 截至23:30左右，英特尔跌5.5%，英伟达、博通跌超3%，甲骨文、特斯拉、台积电等热门股均明显下跌。 中国金龙指数跌幅一度扩大至3%，截至发稿跌幅收窄至1.6%。小马智行跌超6%，百度跌超5%，文远知行跌超4%，阿里、京东跌约2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | | 百度集团 | 119.30 | -5.03% | | 京东集团 | 32.610 | -1.92% | | 阿里巴巴 | 163.67 | -1.88% | | 腾讯控股-ADR 80.300 | | -1.63% | | 网易 | 147.07 | -1.54% | | 比亚迪股份-AC13.393 | | -0.80% | | 拼多多 | 126.87 | -0.53% | | 小米集团-ADR 31.500 | | -0.16% | | 美团-ADR | 25.480 | 0.28% | 加密货币集体大跌，比特币跌2.25%，以太坊跌破4000美元关口。近24小时内超20.6万人爆仓， ...

Core Viewpoint - Trump's tariff threat tweet in mid-October triggered a global market crash, with the Nasdaq dropping 3.56% and Bitcoin plummeting 13% to below $110,000, leading to a total liquidation in the cryptocurrency market amounting to $4.654 billion [1][6]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese products starting November 1, global markets experienced a massive sell-off, with major U.S. indices suffering significant losses: Dow Jones down 1.9%, S&P 500 down 2.71%, and Nasdaq down 820 points, marking the largest single-day drop of the year [4][10]. - The energy sector saw a temporary boost, with ExxonMobil rising 2.3% and Chevron 1.8%, as the market anticipated increased domestic energy production due to tariffs [10]. Group 2: Inflation and Economic Impact - The tariff policy presents a contradiction, benefiting domestic energy while exacerbating inflation, as evidenced by a 4.7% increase in furniture prices due to prior tariffs, and a projected rise in consumer prices affecting essential goods [12][8]. - 73% of Americans expect prices to surge, with California pharmaceutical companies facing an additional $170 billion in costs due to tariffs on patented drugs, which will ultimately be passed on to consumers [12]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Dilemma - The tariffs have placed the Federal Reserve in a difficult position regarding interest rate decisions, as rising inflation pressures contradict previous expectations of a rate cut in November [14][16]. - Richmond Fed President Barkin expressed low confidence in inflation forecasts, while Fed Chair Powell warned of high uncertainty in economic outlook, complicating the situation for risk assets like cryptocurrencies [16]. Group 4: Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics - The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, has become highly sensitive to traditional market movements, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8 when the S&P 500 drops over 2%, indicating that institutional investors are heavily involved in both markets [19]. - The volatility in the crypto market surged to 35%, significantly higher than the 12% volatility in the stock market, as traders reacted to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies [16]. Group 5: Policy Uncertainty and Future Outlook - The recent events highlight the recurring theme of policy uncertainty, with previous tariff announcements by Trump also causing market fluctuations, indicating that such "black swan" events may become more common [21][23]. - Investors are advised to be cautious of high-leverage operations, as no asset is immune to the impacts of sudden policy changes [25].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index decreased by 1.14% as of October 13, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The top-performing stock was Uni-President China, which rose by 1.32%, while Xinyi Glass led the decline with a drop of 5.38% [3] - The Bosera Hang Seng High Dividend ETF (513690) fell by 1.02%, with a latest price of 1.07 CNY, but saw a cumulative increase of 0.84% over the past two weeks [3] Group 2 - The Shanghai real estate market showed a clear divergence between new and second-hand homes during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival period, with new home transactions rising by 78.9% year-on-year to 909 units, while second-hand home transactions fell by 63.7% to 780 units [3] - Recent policies in the consumer sector have created a favorable environment, particularly for traditional consumption and maternity-related sectors, with significant support from local government initiatives [4] - The Bosera Hang Seng High Dividend ETF has reached a scale of 5.355 billion CNY and a record high of 4.989 billion shares [4] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index account for 28.98% of the index, with notable companies including Orient Overseas International and China Shenhua Energy [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of deep value fund managers during different market conditions, highlighting their underperformance in the current bull market compared to growth-style fund managers, particularly in sectors like technology and innovation [4][20]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - In the past three years of bear markets, deep value fund managers performed relatively well, with many managing over 10 billion in assets [5]. - As of September 24, 2023, mainstream deep value fund managers like Xu Yan and Jiang Cheng had annual returns below 20%, while the average return of the CSI Active Equity Fund Index reached 34.11% [6][12]. - The article notes that deep value fund managers typically focus on low-valuation, stable companies, which leads to lower returns in bull markets but better performance in bear markets [14][19]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Deep value fund managers invest from an owner's perspective, focusing on long-term intrinsic value rather than short-term market fluctuations [16]. - They emphasize "quality and price," seeking high-quality companies that are undervalued due to market sentiment [17]. - Safety margins are crucial in their investment decisions, as they aim to protect against errors and downside risks [17][18]. Group 3: Market Trends and Strategies - The current bull market has favored growth-style funds, particularly those heavily invested in technology, with some achieving over 200% annual returns [7]. - Deep value fund managers often hold significant positions in traditional sectors like finance and real estate, which have underperformed in the current market [14][19]. - The article suggests that deep value funds should be considered for core portfolio allocations, especially for conservative investors [23][24]. Group 4: Selection Criteria - Not all low-valuation stocks represent deep value; some may belong to contrarian or cyclical strategies [29]. - Investors should focus on the stability of deep value fund managers' styles, as many have shifted towards growth or other strategies over time [36][38]. - The article advises that deep value funds can serve as a bottom-layer allocation in a diversified portfolio, balancing risk and return [24][26].

Core Points - The London Stock Exchange's FTSE 100 index closed at 9509.40 points on October 9, down 39.47 points, representing a decline of 0.41% [1] - European stock indices showed mixed results on the same day, with the French CAC40 index down 0.23% and the German DAX index up 0.06% [1] Top Gainers in London Stock Market - International Airlines Group saw a stock price increase of 3.20% [1] - Anglo American PLC's stock rose by 2.17% [1] - Weir Group's stock increased by 2.07% [1] - Scottish and Southern Energy's stock went up by 1.82% [1] - Metinvest Energy and Metals' stock rose by 1.74% [1] Top Losers in London Stock Market - WPP, the advertising giant, experienced a stock price drop of 5.90% [1] - HSBC Holdings saw a decline of 5.38% in its stock price [1] - Barratt Developments' stock fell by 3.60% [1] - Lloyds Banking Group's stock decreased by 3.33% [1] - Burberry Group's stock dropped by 3.32% [1]

Market Performance - On October 3, U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 recording six consecutive daily gains, reaching new historical highs. The Dow rose by 0.51% to 46,758.28 points, and the S&P 500 increased by 0.01% to 6,715.79 points, both setting new closing records. The Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.28% to 22,780.51 points [1]. - For the week, the Dow gained 1.1%, the Nasdaq rose by 1.32%, and the S&P 500 increased by 1.09% [2]. Sector Performance - Popular technology stocks mostly declined, with AMD down nearly 3%, Meta down over 2%, and Tesla down over 1%. In contrast, Apple rose by 0.35%, reaching a historical high. The weight loss drug concept and cryptocurrency mining companies saw significant gains, with Coinbase and Eli Lilly rising over 2%, and Novo Nordisk and Pfizer increasing over 1% [2]. - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.15% for the week, with many popular Chinese stocks declining, including a drop of over 4% for Global Data and nearly 4% for Li Auto. However, Baidu saw an increase of over 1% [2]. Commodity Market - On October 3, U.S. oil futures rose by 0.35% to $60.69 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 0.42% to $64.38 per barrel. However, both contracts experienced weekly declines of 7.65% and 6.99%, respectively. Analysts from JPMorgan indicated that the oil market is moving towards a significant oversupply [3]. Economic Data and Government Shutdown - Due to the U.S. federal government shutdown, the Labor Statistics Bureau was unable to release the monthly employment data report as scheduled. This shutdown affects various critical statistical data releases, including the Consumer Price Index, which is set to be published in mid-October [4]. - Economic analysts believe that the current economic situation in the U.S. is complex, characterized by weak employment and persistent inflation. The inability to release important data will hinder the Federal Reserve's assessment of whether economic stimulus is necessary [4]. Federal Reserve Policy - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan called for a more aggressive rate cut, suggesting that if policies deviate from the intended path, adjustments should be made quickly. He believes the current policy is more restrictive to growth and requires a looser monetary environment [6]. - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson reiterated that without supportive monetary policy, the U.S. job market may face pressure. He noted that inflation remains above the 2% target, while signs of weakening in the job market are evident [7].