Economic Overview - The GDP of Chongqing reached 24,449.36 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] - The primary industry added value was 1,530.19 billion yuan, growing by 3.5%; the secondary industry added value was 8,430.35 billion yuan, growing by 3.9%; and the tertiary industry added value was 14,488.82 billion yuan, growing by 6.3% [1] Agricultural Production - Vegetable production reached 19.34 million tons, up by 3.5%; fruit production was 3.95 million tons, increasing by 5%; and tea production was 58,000 tons, growing by 2.9% [5] - Livestock production showed stability, with meat production at 1.436 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [5] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.4% year-on-year [6] - The motorcycle industry saw the highest growth rate at 21.2%, while the automotive and equipment industries grew by 12.6% and 8.8%, respectively [6] - Integrated circuit production reached 8.823 billion pieces, a significant increase of 61.6% [6] Service Sector Performance - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises was 455.968 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year growth [6] - The cultural and tourism sectors experienced substantial growth, with the film production industry growing by 86.9% [6] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 12,483 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [6] - Online retail sales for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.2% [6] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 1% year-on-year, with industrial investment increasing by 10.1% [6] - Equipment investment surged by 33.9%, indicating strong growth in this sector [6] Price Stability - The consumer price index remained stable, with a year-on-year change of 0% [7] - The producer price index for industrial products decreased by 1.6% [7] Income and Employment - The per capita disposable income reached 32,283 yuan, growing by 4.8% year-on-year [7] - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.3%, remaining stable compared to the previous year [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - In the fourth week of October, the operating rate remained stable, and investment products showed mixed performance. Food prices increased, mainly driven by rising vegetable prices, while pork prices continued to decline. Export freight rates continued to rise, with North American routes showing continuous monthly growth. Port freight volume increased month-on-month and maintained high year-on-year growth since October. The industrial operating rate remained stable, and the Nanhua Industrial Products Index increased month-on-month. In terms of investment, the inventory reduction of rebar accelerated, indicating the impact of the "two 500 billion" tools on physical work volume. In the real estate market, the transactions of new and second-hand houses decreased slightly month-on-month after rising the previous week, but the year-on-year negative growth narrowed, with second-hand houses showing better resilience [4][29]. - For the bond market, a large amount of macro news will be released next week. The impact on bond yields is expected to be controllable, but attention should be paid to the disturbance of the stock-bond seesaw effect on bond market sentiment. Externally, China and the US will hold economic and trade consultations in Malaysia from October 24th to 27th. Domestically, the demand for investment products improved marginally in October, and the influence of new tools on fixed asset investment data is expected to be reflected from October to November. Next week, attention should be paid to the results of the China-US negotiations, the release of the "15th Five-Year Plan" suggestions, and the APEC meeting [4][30]. Summary by Directory Inflation-related: Vegetable Price Increase Widened - Food prices increased, with the average wholesale price of pork in China decreasing by 3.0% week-on-week. The increase in vegetable prices continued to widen, boosting the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index and the Vegetable Basket Product Wholesale Price Index by 1.4% and 1.7% week-on-week respectively [8]. Import and Export-related: Export Freight Rates Accelerated - The month-on-month increase in export container shipping prices widened. The CCFI index increased by 2.0% week-on-week, and the SCFI increased by 7.1%. The market sentiment of the China Export Container Transport Market continued to rebound, with stable transport demand and rising freight rates on most routes. In the North American market, the supply-demand fundamentals were stable, and market freight rates continued to rise [9]. - In terms of port freight volume, from October 13th to 19th, the container throughput and cargo throughput of ports increased by 3.6% and 2.5% week-on-week respectively, with year-on-year increases of 9.1% and 1.0% respectively. Since October, the monthly average year-on-year increases have been 8.8% and 2.5%, indicating strong export volume [9]. - The increase in the BDI index narrowed, and the CDFI index decreased. The international dry bulk shipping market was generally stable, with slight increases in freight rates for various ship types [9]. Industry-related: Rebar Inventory Reduction Accelerated - The increase in coal prices continued to widen. Due to the decrease in temperature in the South, the daily consumption of power plants decreased, and procurement willingness declined. However, due to stricter safety inspections in coal-producing areas, supply was limited, and prices continued to rise [12]. - The decline in rebar prices slowed down, with the spot price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) decreasing by 0.01% week-on-week. The inventory of rebar decreased by 4.2% week-on-week, with continuous inventory reduction for four weeks and an expanding reduction range, indicating the acceleration of physical work volume [2][12]. - Copper prices turned from decline to increase, with the average prices of Yangtze River Nonferrous Copper and LME Copper increasing by 0.45% and 1.0% week-on-week respectively. The slowdown of US inflation data strengthened the expectation of two interest rate cuts this year, and the convening of important domestic meetings boosted macro sentiment, supporting the pricing of risk assets [2][15]. - The glass futures continued to decline. The spot market was weak, with increasing inventory in many places. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream buyers was low, and manufacturers actively reduced prices to maintain sales. There was no positive news in the supply-demand fundamentals, and the weakness of the spot market was difficult to change in the short term [15]. Investment-related: Decline in Cement Prices Narrowed - Cement prices mostly decreased, with intensified regional differentiation. The weekly average of the cement price index decreased by 0.3% week-on-week, compared with a 2.0% decrease the previous week. Demand was weak in North China, Northeast China, and East China, and the implementation of price increases was poor. In Central South China, demand was limited due to capital and project completion [17]. - New house sales decreased marginally. From October 17th to 23rd, the transaction area of new houses in 30 cities was 203.8 million square meters, a 4.8% decrease week-on-week and a 20% decrease year-on-year, with a slight narrowing compared to the previous week [3][20]. - Second-hand house sales continued to decline year-on-year. From last Friday to this Thursday, second-hand house sales decreased by 1.4% week-on-week and 11.7% year-on-year, with a slower decline rate than in previous years, indicating better resilience [3][20]. Consumption: Passenger Car Retail Sales Remained Negative in Mid-October - Passenger car retail sales remained negative. From October 1st to 19th, passenger car retail sales decreased by 6% year-on-year and increased by 7% month-on-month. The weak start of the car market in October was affected by the increase in holidays and the overdraft of demand after the quarterly sprint in September [21]. - Crude oil prices stopped falling and rebounded. As of October 24th, Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil prices increased by 7.6% and 6.9% respectively compared to last Friday. The postponement of the US-Russia meeting, US sanctions on Russian oil companies, and the upcoming China-US negotiations boosted crude oil prices [21].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed a fluctuating upward trend, but the market trading enthusiasm declined compared to the previous week. The weighted REITs index closed at 181.5, with a weekly return rate of 0.11%. Among mainstream asset classes, the return rate ranking from high to low was: crude oil > A - shares > convertible bonds > US stocks > REITs > pure bonds > gold [1][11]. - The price trends of equity - type and franchise - type REITs in the secondary market diverged this week. Equity - type REITs declined, while franchise - type REITs rose. Among different underlying asset types, water conservancy facilities REITs had the largest increase [16]. - This week, there was no new listing of REITs products, and no update on the project status of REITs products [4][37]. 3. Summary of Each Section According to the Directory 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price Trend - **At the large - asset level**: The secondary - market prices of listed public REITs showed a fluctuating upward trend. The China Securities REITs (closing) and China Securities REITs total return index closed at 816.04 and 1045.13 respectively, with a weekly return rate of 0.16%. The weighted REITs index closed at 181.5, with a weekly return rate of 0.11%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, the return rate of REITs was lower than that of crude oil, A - shares, convertible bonds, and US stocks, but higher than that of pure bonds and gold [11]. - **At the underlying - asset level**: The price trends of equity - type and franchise - type REITs diverged. The weighted index of equity - type REITs closed at 153.43, with a return rate of - 0.36%, while the weighted index of franchise - type REITs closed at 117.04, with a return rate of 0.72%. Among different underlying asset types, water conservancy facilities REITs had the largest increase, followed by municipal facilities and new infrastructure REITs [16][18]. - **At the single - REIT level**: This week, public REITs showed mixed performance, with 46 rising, 1 remaining unchanged, and 28 falling. The top three in terms of increase were Industrial Bank Inner Mongolia Energy Clean Energy REIT, AVIC Yishang Warehouse Logistics REIT, and Zheshang Shanghai - Hangzhou - Ningbo REIT, with increases of 4.06%, 3.58%, and 3.23% respectively. The top three in terms of decrease were China Merchants Fund Shekou Rental Housing REIT, Huatai - PineBridge Jiuzhoutong Pharmaceutical REIT, and Huaxia Joy City Commercial REIT, with decreases of 4.11%, 2.44%, and 2.42% respectively [23]. 3.1.2 Trading Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying - asset level**: The trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.72 billion yuan, and the water conservancy facilities REITs led in the average daily turnover rate during the period. The total trading volume of 75 listed REITs was 2.72 billion yuan, and the average daily turnover rate during the period was 0.62%. In terms of trading volume, the top three underlying asset types were transportation infrastructure, consumer infrastructure, and park infrastructure, with trading volumes of 515 million, 461 million, and 454 million yuan respectively. In terms of turnover rate, the top three were water conservancy facilities, new infrastructure, and affordable rental housing, with average daily turnover rates of 1.05%, 0.94%, and 0.85% respectively [25]. - **At the single - REIT level**: This week, the trading volume and turnover rate of single REITs continued to show differentiation. In terms of trading volume, the top three were Soochow Suyuan Industrial Park REIT, CICC Logistic REIT, and Bosera Shekou Industrial Park REIT. In terms of trading amount, the top three were CITIC Construction Investment State Power Investment New Energy REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and CICC Anhui Expressway REIT. In terms of turnover rate, the top three were Huatai Baowan Logistics REIT, Huatai Jiangsu Expressway REIT, and China Merchants Fund Shekou Rental Housing REIT [26]. 3.1.3 Main - Force Net Inflow and Block Trading - **Main - force net inflow**: This week, the total main - force net inflow was - 11.83 million yuan, indicating a decline in market trading enthusiasm compared to the previous week. Among different underlying asset REITs, the top three in terms of main - force net inflow during the week were consumer infrastructure, water conservancy facilities, and affordable housing. Among single REITs, the top three in terms of main - force net inflow were CICC Inlitchi Consumer REIT, China Merchants Fund Shekou Rental Housing REIT, and Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water Water Conservancy REIT [30]. - **Block trading**: This week, the total block trading volume reached 400.67 million yuan, an increase compared to the previous week. There were block trading transactions on 5 trading days, with the highest single - day block trading volume on Wednesday (October 22, 2025), reaching 98.48 million yuan. Among single REITs, the top three in terms of block trading volume were CICC Chongqing Liangjiang REIT, Southern SF Logistics REIT, and Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT [33]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Listed Projects As of October 24, 2025, there were 75 public REITs products in China, with a total issuance scale of 196.619 billion yuan. Among them, transportation infrastructure had the largest issuance scale, reaching 68.771 billion yuan, followed by park infrastructure REITs, with an issuance scale of 31.835 billion yuan. This week, there was no new listing of REITs products [37]. 3.2.2 Pending - Listing Projects According to the project dynamics disclosed by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, there were 19 REITs in the pending - listing state, including 12 first - issuance REITs and 7 REITs pending expansion [40].

Core Points - The UAE China Chamber of Commerce held its 2025 annual meeting on October 24, 2023, at the China-Arab Economic and Trade Exchange Center, with key officials in attendance [1] - The Chamber announced the establishment of five industry branches: Energy, Finance, Construction Contracting, Logistics, and Information Technology [1] - The UAE China Chamber of Commerce, founded in 2004, currently has over 200 members, including major state-owned enterprises and reputable private businesses operating in the UAE [1] Industry Developments - The establishment of industry branches aims to enhance services for member companies and strengthen China-UAE economic cooperation [1] - The branches will serve as a bridge to facilitate deeper economic ties between China and the UAE [1]

Core Insights - The export performance of the United States has significantly declined, with a total export value of $1.314868 trillion in the first eight months of 2025, showing a drop from a positive growth of 6.4% in Q1 to a negative growth of -7.7% in Q2, and further declining to an average of -14.1% in July and August [1][3][5] - In contrast, China's export value reached $2.31 trillion in the same period, maintaining a stable growth rate of 4.6%, showcasing resilience against global demand contraction [5][8] US Export Performance - In the first quarter, the US exports totaled $238.936 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, driven by a high growth rate of 12.4% in January [3] - The second quarter saw a total export of $531.532 billion, with a negative growth of -7.7%, marking the first instance of negative growth [3] - The decline continued into July and August, with an average export growth rate of -14.1%, indicating a consistent downward trend over five months [5][8] Factors Affecting US Exports - The introduction of new tariff policies in April 2025 has significantly impacted US exports, particularly in agricultural products, which saw a 51.8% decrease in exports to China [10][12] - Energy products, while still showing a 3.2% growth, have seen a substantial decline from the previous year's growth of 10.2% [13] - The reliance on traditional export categories such as agriculture and energy has exposed the US to vulnerabilities in international market fluctuations and trade policies [30] China Export Performance - China's exports are bolstered by machinery and electronics, which accounted for 60.2% of total exports, with a growth rate of 9.2% in the first eight months [23] - Notable growth was observed in specific categories such as integrated circuits (23.3% growth) and automobiles (11.9% growth), contributing to the overall increase in machinery and electronics exports [23] - The home appliance sector has also shown strong performance, with a 14.7% increase in exports, supported by global demand for appliance upgrades and increased brand recognition [25] Emerging Trends in China - New categories related to advanced manufacturing have demonstrated impressive growth, with industrial robots and wind power equipment exports increasing by 54.9% and 23.9%, respectively [27] - Labor-intensive products have shown signs of recovery, with reduced export declines in textiles, plastics, and furniture, indicating a stabilization in these sectors [27] Comparative Analysis - The structural differences in exports between the US and China highlight the US's reliance on traditional sectors, while China is successfully transitioning towards high-tech and high-value-added products [30][32] - China's diversified export markets, including ASEAN, Africa, and Latin America, provide a buffer against fluctuations in demand from traditional markets, unlike the US, which is heavily dependent on a few key markets [34] Conclusion - The stark contrast in export performance between the US and China in the first eight months of 2025 is attributed to various factors, including export structure, trade partner diversification, and responses to external pressures [36][38] - The ongoing trade dynamics between the two nations underscore the importance of stable bilateral trade relations for mutual benefit in the global market [40]

Market Overview - The US core CPI growth slowed in September, significantly increasing expectations for two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [5][11] - Technology stocks and small-cap stocks led the market, driving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new highs, while the Dow Jones closed above 47,000 for the first time [2] - Apple reached a historical high, gaining over 4% this week, while Tesla fell by 3.4%, the only one among the tech giants to decline [2] - AMD and IBM saw significant gains of 7.6% and nearly 8% respectively, following reports that IBM can utilize AMD chips in quantum computing [5][13] - Ford surged by 12%, marking its largest single-day increase since March 2020 [2] Economic Indicators - The US 10-year Treasury yield briefly fell significantly after the CPI data release but later narrowed its decline due to stronger-than-expected Markit PMI [2][11] - The 2-year Treasury yield dropped by 6.2 basis points before recovering most of its losses, while the 10-year yield remained above 4% [2] - The dollar experienced volatility, initially dropping before stabilizing, with the USD/CAD rate briefly surpassing 1.40 before declining [2] Asian Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a ten-year high, with the ChiNext Index rising over 3%, driven by a surge in AI hardware stocks [2] Company Earnings - Ping An Bank reported a revenue of 100.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 38.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters, with rapid growth in private banking wealth management [17] - CITIC Securities saw a 55.71% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 51.54% rise in net profit, with investment income surging over 190% [18] - Dongfang Fortune's revenue doubled year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 78%, driven by commission and margin financing business [18] - China Shenhua's net profit decreased by 6.2% in Q3, reflecting ongoing pressure from falling coal prices [18] - Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit doubled year-on-year, reaching a historical high, despite a significant decline in cobalt sales impacting revenue [19] - Tongwei's Q3 losses narrowed by over 60%, attributed to price recovery in the photovoltaic industry [20] - Guoxuan High-Tech's net profit surged by 1434.42%, boosted by Chery's IPO [21] - Goldwind Technology, the world's largest wind turbine manufacturer, reported a 170% year-on-year increase in net profit, with a backlog of orders up 18.5% [22] - Zhongju High-Tech's revenue fell by 22.8% year-on-year, with net profit plummeting by 45.7% due to challenges in its main seasoning business [23] - GoerTek's net profit skyrocketed by 72 times, with operating cash flow increasing by 1780.60% [23] - Gree's stock price has significantly declined, with a market value of 1090.31 billion yuan, down nearly 60% from its peak in 2021 [24] Industry Trends - Goldman Sachs raised Alibaba's capital expenditure forecast to 460 billion yuan, citing explosive growth in AI demand and increased efficiency driving stronger revenue [16] - The Bank of England's report warns that AI-related asset valuations are nearing levels seen during the internet bubble, which could pose risks to financial stability if growth expectations are not met [12]

Core Insights - The Kyrgyz Ministry of Finance has released a policy report analyzing the risks facing the country's mid-term economic growth and budget revenue execution [1] Economic Risks - Geopolitical tensions and trade conflicts are leading to a global economic slowdown, contributing to instability in financial and commodity markets [1] - Fluctuations in energy and food prices are identified as major risks to Kyrgyz economic development [1] - Stricter immigration policies are resulting in reduced investment and remittance inflows [1] - Deteriorating global financial market conditions are increasing borrowing costs [1] - Decreased external demand from trade partners is negatively impacting Kyrgyz economic growth [1] - Natural and climate factors may have significant impacts, directly affecting the agricultural and energy sectors [1] Budget Revenue Risks - Risks to budget revenue execution include underperformance in economic and social development indicators [1] - A decline in gold production from enterprises such as the Kumtor gold mine is noted [1] - A drop in international gold prices is also highlighted as a risk [1] - Reduced imports from the Eurasian Economic Union and third countries are affecting budget revenue [1]

Group 1 - The importance of distinguishing between controllable and uncontrollable factors in trade policy is emphasized, particularly regarding the United States' tariffs against trading partners [1][2] - The U.S. trade policy has fundamentally shifted from the 1980s and 1990s, now imposing varying degrees of tariffs on all trading partners, which has led to ongoing negotiations in specific sectors like steel, aluminum, and energy [2][3] - Progress has been made in negotiations, and there is readiness to continue discussions that would benefit workers and families in both the U.S. and Canada [3] Group 2 - The focus of Canada's Budget 2025 is on generational investment and building domestic capabilities, which is a controllable factor for the country [4] - Developing new partnerships and opportunities, particularly with major Asian economies, is highlighted as a strategic focus during this trip [4]

Group 1: Overview of Layoffs - A new wave of layoffs is occurring across multiple global industries, including automotive, pharmaceuticals, aviation, energy, and consumer goods, with plans announced by several leading companies in the past two months [1] Group 2: Automotive Industry - The automotive sector is particularly hard-hit, with Renault planning a voluntary departure program to cut 3,000 jobs globally [3] - Ford announced a layoff of 1,000 employees at its Cologne plant in Germany due to weak demand in the European electric vehicle market [3] - ZF Friedrichshafen plans to cut 7,600 jobs, while Bosch aims to reduce approximately 13,000 positions by the end of 2030, driven by the transition to electric vehicles and rising costs [3] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Industry - The global pharmaceutical industry is undergoing structural adjustments, with Novo Nordisk announcing a layoff of 9,000 employees, representing about 11% of its total workforce [5] - Other companies like Merck and Moderna have also initiated layoffs this year, attributed to challenges such as patent expirations and increased competition [5] Group 4: Other Industries - In addition to the automotive and pharmaceutical sectors, companies like Lufthansa, ExxonMobil, Nestlé, Starbucks, and Heineken have also announced layoffs since September [6] - Accenture reported layoffs of over 11,000 employees in the past three months, warning of potential further cuts if employees cannot adapt to the demands of artificial intelligence [6] - Some companies are citing a shift towards artificial intelligence to improve efficiency as a reason for layoffs, although critics argue that the widespread use of AI for layoffs has not yet materialized [6]

Group 1: Gold Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley predicts that the average gold price will exceed $5,000 per ounce by Q4 2026, with a long-term target of $6,000 per ounce by 2028, based on expected investor demand and central bank purchases [1] - The analysis highlights that the current market consolidation is a healthy phenomenon, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance with high buyer interest and limited sellers [1] - The report emphasizes that gold remains a strong investment amid concerns over inflation, currency devaluation, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - Barclays anticipates that the upcoming U.S. CPI data will need to be significantly higher than expected to alter the market's view on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [2] - Morgan Stanley and Bank of America expect the Federal Reserve to end its balance sheet reduction earlier than previously forecasted due to rising borrowing costs in the dollar financing market [3] - The market is divided on when the Fed will conclude its quantitative tightening, with some institutions predicting an end in October while others expect a later conclusion [3] Group 3: Risk Assets and Inflation - State Street Global Advisors warns that investor optimism towards high-risk assets may be excessive, with expectations of rising inflation impacting the Federal Reserve's decisions [4] - Dutch International Group notes that the credit spread for U.S. corporate bonds is tightening, making them less attractive compared to euro-denominated bonds, amid rising risks [5] - Citigroup highlights that the recent rise in oil prices due to U.S. sanctions on Russia provides a hedging opportunity for producers, although geopolitical premiums may not last [6] Group 4: Japanese Economic Policy - Morgan Stanley suggests that the market's cooling expectations for a Bank of Japan rate hike this month may be overstated, indicating a potential rebound for the yen [7] - Dutch International Group points out that rising inflation in Japan could pave the way for a rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December, with consumer price inflation accelerating to 2.9% in September [8] Group 5: Cryptocurrency and AI Transition - Guojin Securities reports that overseas cryptocurrency mining companies are transitioning to AI data centers, leveraging low electricity costs and approved power quotas [8] - The report suggests focusing on companies with clear AI expansion plans and undervalued market positions during this transition [8] Group 6: U.S. Tariff and Inflation Outlook - CITIC Securities predicts that the U.S. Supreme Court will expedite the ruling on Trump's tariff legality, with potential implications for U.S.-China negotiations [9] - Minsheng Securities warns that rising core inflation in the U.S. could lead to a more cautious approach from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts, with inflation pressures expected to increase in Q4 [10]