Core Viewpoint - The agricultural futures market serves as a "safe haven" for enterprises and farmers to manage price risks, a "signal light" for guiding agricultural production and promoting industrial upgrades, and an important tool for enhancing China's international discourse power in agriculture [1] Group 1: Market Development and Achievements - China's agricultural futures market has seen significant reforms and expansions, with the number of agricultural futures products increasing from 27 to 44, contributing to a comprehensive derivatives tool system that covers major agricultural product supply chains [2] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) has successfully launched 10 new agricultural futures and options products during the 14th Five-Year Plan, enhancing the structure of the agricultural futures market and improving the resilience of supply chains [3] Group 2: Future Directions and Innovations - The DCE aims to expand its product offerings and enhance risk management tools for enterprises, with new options contracts for soybean meal and corn launched to better meet continuous risk management needs [4] - Future developments will focus on improving the variety and institutional framework of agricultural futures, innovating financial support models, and enhancing international pricing capabilities to reflect both domestic supply and demand and global factors [5]

报道称，中财期货在近期白银价格暴跌前做空，获利超过5亿美元。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 ...

| COMEX白银 | | | | | SI | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 88.860 | | | +5.559 +6.67% | | | | | COMEX USD 4:27:48 延时15分钟 | | | 6 | | | 英五 | 88.925 | | 3 | | | | 卖四 | 88.920 | | 3 | | | | 美三 | 88.900 | | 2 | | | | 学二 | 88.890 | | 4 | | | | 英一 | 88.885 | | 2 | | | | 坛一 | 88.850 | | 1 | | | | 买二 | 88.845 | | 1 | | | | 买三 | 88.820 | | 3 | | | | 买口 | 88.815 | | 2 | | | | 六五 | 88.810 | | 2 | | | | 总量 | 26004 现手 | | | | 8 | | 结算价 | | 开盘 | | 84.915 | | | 最高 | 90.435 | 最低 | | 83.000 | | | 均价 | 87.365 | 振幅 | | ...

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - Gold: ★☆☆, representing a bullish trend with limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Silver: ★★★, indicating a clearer bullish trend and relatively appropriate current investment opportunities [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overnight, precious metals continued to rebound. The narrative of the US dollar credit crisis and the reshaping of the global order has not reversed, but in the short - term, it is mainly about capital games. Precious metals have entered a high - level consolidation phase, and it is advisable to wait and see for now until volatility decreases. Attention should be paid to the development of geopolitical situations and a series of economic data including non - farm payrolls this week. Tonight, focus on US ADP employment and ISM non - manufacturing PMI data [1] 3. Summary Based on Related News - Trump signed a bill to end a partial government shutdown [2] - Fed's Barkin: Rate cuts support the job market, and the task of combating inflation still has the last step to go; Governor Mille: Interest rates need to be cut by slightly more than one percentage point this year. No over - interpretation of metal market price fluctuations. In the long run, hopes for a smaller Fed balance - sheet size [2] - US officials said the US military shot down an Iranian drone approaching the USS Lincoln. The White House: Despite Iran's request to adjust the location and form of the talks, the US - Iran talks are still planned to be held this week, and the US still retains military options. It is reported that Iranian armed speedboats tried to stop a US - flagged oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz but failed. Iranian diplomatic sources: Iran has entered the highest level of defensive alert and is ready for any situation [2]

期货研究报告|航运专题报告 2026-02-04 蔡劭立 0755-23887993 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1289 号 核心观点 能源中心拟修订《上海国际能源交易中心集运指数（欧线）期货标准合约》，具体内容 如下： 一是将合约月份由"2、4、6、8、10、12 月"调整为"最近 1-6 个月为连续月份（2 月除外），以及随后两个季月"。拟挂牌最近 1-6 个月连续月份合约，便于产业客户精 确匹配期货和现货的到期时间、提高套期保值效率；考虑到 2 月（春节假期期间）集 运现货市场较为清淡，拟剔除 2 月合约；同时，为保持挂牌合约覆盖一年期限，6 个月 后拟挂牌 2 个季月合约。调整后，挂牌合约数量将由 6 个增加到 7-8 个。 EC 标准合约修订，合约增加背景下的运价规律 探究 研究院 FICC 组 研究员 高聪 二是将最小变动价位由"0.1 点"调整为"0.5 点"。根据目前集运市场报价情况，拟将 最小变动价位修改为 0.5 点。 在新的合约规则下，上市合约为近 1-6 个月为连续月份（2 月除外），以及随后两个季 月，该背景下需要更为详细探究月度价格的季节性特点，为投资未来的单边以及套 ...

贵金属及有色"王者归来" 沪银大涨超11% 随着全球市场抛售潮消退，商品情绪全面回暖，贵金属及有色金属板块"王者归来"，黄金率先修复，白银也企稳反弹，截至4日下午收盘，沪银主力合约涨 超11%，沪金涨超7%，铂、钯涨超6%，沪锡涨超5%，沪镍、国际铜、沪铜涨超3%。此前特朗普提名沃什为美联储主席，引发政策收紧担忧，叠加获利了 结与去杠杆压力，进一步放大了市场波动，贵金属急转直下。随着恐慌情绪基本宣泄，贵金属市场企稳反弹，由于支撑贵金属尤其是黄金牛市的核心因素并 未发生逆转，逢低买盘依然踊跃。正信期货指出，贵金属在部分抄底资金和伊朗局势的扰动下大幅上攻，尽管美伊双方仍在谈判，但误判和军事冲突的风险 仍旧存在。美国政府在特朗普签署与民主党达成的拨款协议后重启，但停摆导致原定于周五发布的非农就业数据将被推迟，这也使得市场难以观测美国就业 的实际变化，关注即将发布的ADP就业数据对贵金属市场的扰动。在连续两日大幅反弹后，短期内贵金属市场仍有较大的不确定性，建议谨慎操作应对波动 性风险。 沪锡方面，缅甸地震再度引发市场对供应稳定性的担忧，刺激沪锡期货4日早盘大幅冲高，一度涨超7%。当前锡市处于强现实强预期的状态，供应问 ...

投资咨询系列报告 山金期货贵金属策略报告 更新时间：2026年02月04日15时52分 报告导读： 今日贵金属震荡反弹，沪金主力收涨7.29%，沪银主力收涨11.22%，铂金主力收涨6.73%，钯金主力收涨涨6.29%。①核心逻辑， 短期避险方面，地缘异动风险短期升温；新联储主席预期偏鹰，美国就业走弱通胀压力仍存，降息预期渐近尾声。②避险属性方 面，美军在阿拉伯海击落伊朗无人机，美籍油轮在霍尔木兹海峡遭伊朗炮艇逼近，地区紧张局势进一步升温。③货币属性方面，特 朗普提名前美联储理事沃什接替鲍威尔，新提名引爆鹰派预期，其主张缩减资产负债表并对降息持谨慎态度。美国12月PPI创五个 月来最大环比涨幅，意味着未来数月通胀可能加速，让美联储能够在一段时间内维持利率稳定。目前市场预期美联储降息年内完 成，下次降息或到6月。美元指数和美债收益率低位反弹；④商品属性方面，关注银铂钯需求证伪风险。白银受到供应偏紧支撑。 铂金氢能产业铂基催化剂需求预期强劲。钯金短期需求仍有韧性，长期面临燃油车市场结构性压力。CRB商品指数震荡偏弱，人民 币升值利空内价格。⑤预计贵金属短期震荡偏强，中期低位震荡，长期多头趋势不变。 一、黄金 策略 ...

4、 ABS 产能利用率 66.8%，环比下降 3%，厂家供应依旧十分紧张，控量发 货为主，且进入 1 月份后多为高价货源，节后归来市场询盘问价增多，成交放量， 价格呈现反弹。此外，UPR 产能利用率 38%，环比下降 1%；丁苯橡胶开工 82.92%， 环比持稳。 【冠通期货研究报告】 芳烃日报：止跌反弹，关注库存变化 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 4 日 【基本面分析】 1、截至 1 月 27 日，1 月苯乙烯华东江苏主流库区总库存量在 9.45-12.33 万吨区间波动。苯乙烯华东主要港口的库存整体仍处于历史低位区间，现货流通 性仍偏紧。 2、从下游三大领域（EPS、PS 和 ABS）的生产情况来看，截至 1 月 22 日当 周，EPS 产能利用率 58.71%，环比增长 4.66%，下游需求淡季，商家追涨情绪谨 慎，整体成交氛围欠佳。 3、 PS 产能利用率 57.3%，环比下降 0.1%，南京装置恢复、广西长科重启， 但连云港石化、宁波利万各减 1 条线，行业供应暂时稳定，行业总供应量平稳， 市场出货一般，库存转为上涨。 冠通期货 黄德志 执业资格证书编号：F03095011/Z0020103 注 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The report presents the trading data of various stock index options on February 3, 2026, including trading volume, PCR, and VIX, to help investors analyze the market situation [1][2][3] Summary by Directory Option Trading Volume - On February 3, 2026, the trading volumes of various options were as follows: Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF option was 1369600 contracts; CSI 300 ETF option (Shanghai market) was 1651800 contracts; CSI 500 ETF option (Shanghai market) was 2295300 contracts; Shenzhen 100 ETF option was 37000 contracts; ChiNext ETF option was 1701600 contracts; Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 stock index option was 47700 contracts; CSI 300 stock index option was 173500 contracts; CSI 1000 option was 335700 contracts [1] Option PCR - The turnover PCR and position PCR of various options and their changes were reported: for example, the turnover PCR of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF option was 0.99, with a month - on - month change of - 0.14; the position PCR was 0.71, with a month - on - month change of - 0.02 [2] Option VIX - The VIX and its monthly changes of various options were reported: for example, the VIX of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF option was 19.23%, with a month - on - month change of - 3.14% [3]

Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is currently weak, with a strong rebound observed in precious metals and a recovery in coal prices [2][6]. Key Highlights - Silver futures surged by 11% today, while all precious metals experienced a significant rebound [3][4]. - PVC saw a massive increase in open interest, exceeding 100,000 contracts, indicating strong buying interest [3][8]. Geopolitical Factors - The escalation of tensions between the U.S. and Iran, including the downing of a drone and increased military readiness, has heightened risk aversion in the market [6][16]. - Despite the geopolitical tensions, discussions regarding nuclear negotiations are set to take place on Friday [7]. Commodity Performance - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, saw substantial gains, with gold rising by 7.29% and silver by 11.22% [15]. - Coal futures also experienced a rise, with coking coal increasing by 3.6% to 1,209 CNY/ton, marking a three-week high [16]. Investment Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent volatility in precious metals is driven by geopolitical uncertainties and market corrections after previous declines [15][16]. - The focus remains on upcoming non-farm payroll data and ongoing geopolitical developments, which may sustain high volatility in the market [13]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of methanol at ports decreased by 60,000 tons, while PVC's open interest indicates a strong bottom-fishing sentiment [8][17]. - The palm oil inventory in Malaysia ended a ten-month increase, expected to drop to 2.91 million tons [9]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain high volatility and wide fluctuations due to the dual impact of risk aversion and policy expectations [16]. - The sentiment in the double焦 (coking coal) futures market is influenced more by funds and emotions rather than fundamentals, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [17].