Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Analysis - In May 2025, Guangdong's Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, maintaining the same decline as the previous month, and a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% compared to a 0.3% increase in the previous month, resulting in a fluctuation of 0.4 percentage points [1] - The average CPI for January to May 2025 was down 0.4% compared to the same period last year [1] - Factors influencing the CPI included a 4.0% increase in fresh fruit prices due to the arrival of lychee season and increased demand from warmer weather, and a 2.3% increase in aquatic product prices due to reduced market supply during the fishing ban and increased demand during holidays, collectively contributing approximately 0.15 percentage points to the CPI increase [1] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Analysis - In May 2025, Guangdong's Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, with the decline widening by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month, and a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% [1] - The average PPI for January to May 2025 was down 1.3% year-on-year [1] - The Industrial Producer Purchase Price Index (IPI) also saw a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.4% [1] - The decline in PPI was influenced by falling international crude oil prices, overcapacity in certain industries, and insufficient downstream market demand [1][2] - In the PPI survey of 38 major industries, 6 industries saw price increases, 26 experienced price declines, and 6 remained stable, indicating an industry price increase rate of 15.8% [2] - Specific industries affected included a 3.6% decrease in oil and gas extraction prices, a 3.0% decrease in petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing prices, and a 4.1% decrease in black metal mining prices due to reduced demand in the construction and real estate sectors [2]

商品名称 现货价格 合约 期货价格 基差 基差率 螺纹钢 3090.22 2510 2971 119 3.85% 线材 3267.5 2510 3293 -25 -0.77% 热轧卷板 3173.33 2510 3084 89 2.80% 不锈钢 13100 2508 12540 560 4.27% 硅铁 5088.57 2509 5166 -77 -1.51% 锰硅 5536 2509 5554 -18 -0.33% 备注：基差=现货价格-期货价格。 6月11日，国内期市黑色金属板块集体上行，硅铁、铁矿石涨逾1%。截止目前，硅铁主力上涨1.51%， 报5244.00元/吨；铁矿石主力上涨1.07%，报707.50元/吨；热卷主力上涨0.81%，报3109.00元/吨；线材 主力上涨0.79%，报3319.00元/吨。 6月11日黑色金属期货价格行情 | 合约名称 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 昨结价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢 | 2974.00 | 2974.00 | 2971.00 | | 铁矿石 | 700.00 | 698.50 | 700.00 | | 不锈钢 ...

www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 6 月 11 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/06/10 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/09 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/06 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/05 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/04 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 ...

广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融衍生品： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运指数 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 6 月 11 日星期三 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z00 ...

6月10日，国家统计局湖北调查总队发布消息，5月份，湖北居民消费价格同比上涨0.2%，涨幅比上月 扩大0.1个百分点。其中，城市上涨0.3%，农村下降0.2%；食品价格与去年持平，非食品价格上涨 0.2%；消费品价格下降0.1%，服务价格上涨0.6%。1—5月平均，湖北居民消费价格与去年同期持平。 湖北调查总队消费价格调查处相关负责人表示，5月CPI的温和上涨，除了"五一"、端午等假日因素对消 费的拉动，提振消费相关政策持续显效起到了重要作用。 湖北调查总队消费价格调查处相关负责人分析指出，在CPI方面，随着时令水果、淡水鱼等上市量的增 加，后期价格有望步入季节性下降通道。此外，随着高考、中考陆续结束，以及暑期出行需求增加，服 务价格可能上涨。加上促消费扩内需政策的助力，将对相关行业价格起到支撑作用。 企业原材料成本压力缓解 同时发布的数据显示，5月份，湖北工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.5%，环比下降0.3%；工业生产者购 进价格同比下降5.3%，环比下降0.2%。1—5月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比去年同期下降2.6%，工业 生产者购进价格下降5.2%。 生产资料价格下降3.0%，其中原材料工业价格下降5.2 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Steel (Thread and Hot Rolled Coil)**: ☆☆☆, indicating a short - term multi - empty trend in a relatively balanced state with poor operability on the current market, suggesting a wait - and - see approach [1] - **Iron Ore**: ★☆★, with a somewhat unclear bias, but the symbol contains a star, indicating a certain upward or downward driving force, but limited operability on the market [1] - **Coke**: ★☆☆, representing a bullish bias, with a driving force for price increase, but poor operability on the market [1] - **Coking Coal**: ★☆★, with a somewhat unclear bias, but the symbol contains a star, indicating a certain upward or downward driving force, but limited operability on the market [1] - **Silicon Manganese**: ★☆☆, representing a bullish bias, with a driving force for price increase, but poor operability on the market [1] - **Silicon Ferrosilicon**: ★☆☆, representing a bullish bias, with a driving force for price increase, but poor operability on the market [1] Core Viewpoints - The overall demand for steel products is weak, with the negative feedback expectation of the industrial chain still fermenting. The market is in a state of short - term shock, and attention should be paid to terminal demand and relevant domestic and foreign policies [2] - The supply pressure of iron ore is increasing, and there is still a risk of negative feedback in the industrial chain in the medium term. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile [3] - The prices of coke and coking coal have rebounded slightly. Although the supply of carbon elements is abundant, downstream iron - making is at a high level, and the impact of tariffs has eased [4][6] - The price of silicon manganese has rebounded, but the improvement of the fundamentals is limited. It is recommended to try long positions lightly and observe the sustainability of the rebound [7] - The price of silicon ferrosilicon has rebounded, with overall acceptable demand and a slight decline in inventory. Attention should be paid to the sustainability of inventory reduction [8] Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - **Market Performance**: The steel futures market showed a weak shock today. The apparent demand for thread steel decreased month - on - month in the off - season, and the inventory reduction slowed down. The demand for hot - rolled coils decreased, production increased, and inventory began to accumulate [2] - **Demand Situation**: Downstream demand is generally weak. Infrastructure improvement is limited, manufacturing prosperity has slowed down, real - estate sales recovery lacks sustainability, and new construction and construction have continued to decline significantly. Although steel exports remained high in May, the demand expectation is still pessimistic [2] - **Future Trend**: The steel market is expected to be mainly volatile in the short term, and attention should be paid to terminal demand and relevant domestic and foreign policies [2] Iron Ore - **Supply Situation**: Global iron ore shipments continued to rebound and reached a new high this year, and the domestic arrival volume continued to increase. It is expected to remain high in the short term, and port inventory may stop falling and rise [3] - **Demand Situation**: Terminal demand has weakened in the off - season. Although the profitability of steel mills is okay and the motivation for active production reduction is insufficient, there is still a risk of negative feedback in the industrial chain in the medium term [3] - **Future Trend**: The short - term trend of iron ore is expected to be mainly volatile [3] Coke - **Market Performance**: The price of coke rebounded slightly [4] - **Supply and Demand Situation**: The production of coke is still at a relatively high level this year, and the overall inventory has increased slightly. Downstream iron - making is at a high level, and the impact of tariffs has eased [4] - **Future Trend**: Attention should be paid to the impact of Sino - US tariff disturbances [4] Coking Coal - **Market Performance**: The price of coking coal rebounded quickly after a decline [6] - **Supply and Demand Situation**: The production of coking coal mines has declined slightly from a high level, and the overall inventory has decreased slightly. Downstream iron - making is at a high level, and the impact of tariffs has eased [6] - **Future Trend**: Attention should be paid to the impact of Sino - US tariff disturbances [6] Silicon Manganese - **Market Performance**: The price of silicon manganese rebounded driven by coking coal [7] - **Supply and Demand Situation**: Due to previous production cuts, inventory has decreased, but weekly production has begun to increase. Manganese ore inventory has increased significantly, and it is expected that the quotation of manganese mines will decline [7] - **Future Trend**: It is recommended to try long positions lightly and observe the sustainability of the rebound [7] Silicon Ferrosilicon - **Market Performance**: The price of silicon ferrosilicon rebounded driven by coking coal [8] - **Supply and Demand Situation**: The production of silicon ferrosilicon has continued to decline, and the overall demand is acceptable. The inventory has decreased slightly, and attention should be paid to the sustainability of inventory reduction [8] - **Future Trend**: Attention should be paid to the impact of the inventory reduction model on the market [8]

5月CPI通胀-0.1%，持平于前值，高于市场预期（-0.2%）；PPI通胀-3.3%，低于前值（-2.7%）与市场预期 （-3.2%）。 一、CPI通胀：能源拖累，核心支撑 5月CPI通胀同比-0.1%，环比为-0.2%。从分项看，能源通胀拖累增大，核心CPI通胀小幅上行形成支撑。 图1：能源对CPI通胀的拖累加大 资 料 来 源 ： M a c r o b o n d ， 招 商 银 行 研 究 院 食品价格温和下跌。 食品价格环比下跌0.2%，跌幅小于过去5年同期（1.4%），同比降幅走阔0.2pct至0.4%。 一方面，部分食品价格季节性转跌，上市量增加导致鲜菜价格环比下行5.9%，需求平淡使猪肉、蛋类、奶类 价格低位下行；另一方面，因供给受扰动、部分食品价格逆势上涨，包括鲜果价格因部分地区暴雨天气阻碍生 产运输而环比上涨3.3%，关税持续影响牛肉进口导致价格环比上涨1.3pct、同比接近回正（-0.1%）。 能源方 面， 国际油价下跌带动国内成品油价再度下调，叠加今年以来共下调4次的累计影响，交通工具用燃料价格环 比下跌3.7%，同比降幅扩大2.7pct至12.9%。 图2：食品价格温和下跌 资 料 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 5 月价格趋势"不变"背后的潜在变化 ——5 月通胀数据解读 5 月 PPI 环比降幅与 4 月一致，CPI 同比降幅也保持不变，但剔除油价、食品 等供给因素影响后，可以发现在总体价格趋势"不变"的背后，结构上出现了 边际新变化。 PPI 方面，5 月环比降幅保持为-0.4%，但剔除油价 0.2 个百分比的拖累后基 于贸易的拖累效应有所缓解。 （1）出口型行业的 PPI 对贸易环境较为敏感，5 月中美贸易会议取得进展后 价格边际改善。出口交货值占营业收入占比靠前的出口型行业价格有所改善， 例如计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业 5 月价格上涨 0.1%，处于 76%分位 数；纺织服装、服饰业 5 月价格上涨 0.2%，处于 74%分位数。 （2）PPI 耐用消费品制造业价格有所回升：伴随汽车制造、电子设备等制造 业的价格回升，5 月 PPI 耐用消费品环比上涨 0.1%，同比降幅由 4 月的 3.7% 收窄至 3.3%。 CPI 方面，食品表现好于季节性，但核心消费品价格上涨动能继续减弱，关 注新一轮促消费政策启动。5 月 CPI 表现仍有分化，食品供给阶段性收紧对价 格有 ...

金融界2025年6月10日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，山东钢铁股份有限公司;莱芜钢铁集团银山型钢 有限公司申请一项名为"一种500MPa级绿色低碳高强韧易焊接风电用钢及其生产方法"的专利，公开号 CN120119185A，申请日期为2025年02月。 专利摘要显示，一种500MPa级绿色低碳高强韧易焊接风电用钢，包括以下质量百分比的合金成分： C：0.05～0.10％；Si：0.20～0.30％；Mn：1.00～2.00％；Cr：0.2～0.4％；Nb：0.04～0.10％；V： 0.004～0.01％；Ti：0.01～0.02％；Ni：0.20～0.30％；Cu：0.01～0.02％；Als：0.03～0.05％； Zr≤0.03％；Mo≤0.01％；P≤0.008％；S≤0.003％；其余为Fe和其他不可避免的杂质元素。本发明采用低 碳当量和Nb+V+Ti微合金化成分设计，辅以两相区控轧工艺，实现了500MPa级高强韧易焊接风电用钢 的生产；钢板的厚度为20～50mm，屈服强度≥500MPa，抗拉强度≥600MPa，延伸率≥20％，‑60℃冲击 功>200J。 天眼查资料显示，山东钢铁股份有限公司，成立 ...

广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融衍生品： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运指数 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 6 月 10 日星期二 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z00 ...