（文章来源：证券时报网） Choice统计显示，11月3日，沪深两市可交易A股中，上涨个股有3435只，下跌个股有1629只，平盘个 股有91只。不含当日上市新股，共有91只个股涨停，11只个股跌停。从所属行业来看，涨停个股主要集 中在传媒、建筑装饰、机械设备、计算机、化工、医药生物等行业。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a rebound, with sectors such as media, gaming, oil and gas extraction, airport shipping, and photovoltaic equipment showing strength. The A-share market is expected to enter a performance vacuum period after the third quarter reports, shifting focus towards next year's performance expectations and industry trends [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 14:00, the ChiNext Index rose by 0.2%, the CSI A500 Index increased by 0.1%, while the STAR Market 50 Index fell by 1.1%, having previously dropped over 3% in the morning [1]. - The ChiNext ETF (159915) saw a net subscription of over 20 million units, and the A500 ETF by E Fund (159361) had a net subscription of 200 million units [1]. Group 2: Investment Outlook - After the third quarter reports, the A-share market will focus on performance expectations for the coming year and industry trends, supported by ample micro liquidity from recent trading volumes, financing balances, and positions in private equity and public equity funds [1]. - The CSI A500 Index consists of 500 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, balancing core assets and emerging industry leaders. The ChiNext Index includes 100 stocks from the ChiNext board with high representation from strategic emerging industries like new-generation information technology and new energy [1]. - The STAR Market 50 Index is composed of 50 stocks from the STAR Market, with over 65% representation from the semiconductor industry [1]. Group 3: ETF Management Fees - The A500 ETF by E Fund (159361), ChiNext ETF (159915), and STAR Market 50 ETF (588080) track the respective indices and all implement the lowest management fee rate of 0.15% per year, providing diverse options for investors to build a balanced investment portfolio [2].

Group 1: E-commerce and Local Stocks - Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start operations on December 18 [2] - Haima Automobile's main business includes R&D, manufacturing, and sales of vehicles and powertrains, with products like Haima 7X-E, Haima 7X, and Haima 8S [2] - Xindong Holdings focuses on non-woven fabric products and has nearly 1000 acres of industrial land in Hainan [2] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas is involved in oil exploration, development, and sales, along with technical services in the oil and gas industry [2] - Hainan Development has acquired a 45% stake in Hainan Haikong Duty-Free Group and plans to apply for operating duty-free business for island residents [2] Group 2: Aerospace and Technology - The Fourth Plenary Session proposed building a strong aerospace nation [2] - Aerospace Science and Industry Group has five major business segments, including aerospace applications and industrial IoT [2] - Companies like Chongqing Aerospace and Shanghai Fuxi focus on energy needs in satellite and drone sectors [2] Group 3: Cloud Computing and Data Centers - Domestic server leader Super Fusion is preparing for an IPO [2] - Jingquanhua provides safety components for charging piles and power supply solutions for data centers [2] - Oriental Pearl plans to invest up to 500 million yuan in a fund and acquire equity in Super Fusion [2] Group 4: Semiconductor and Chip Industry - The Fourth Plenary Session emphasized accelerating high-level technological self-reliance [4] - Yingxin Development plans to acquire an 81.81% stake in Guangdong Changxing Semiconductor Technology [4] - Baidao Chemical's subsidiary plans to invest 700 million yuan in Suzhou Xinhui Semiconductor Technology [4] Group 5: Renewable Energy and Battery Technology - Domestic photovoltaic leaders are planning to collaborate on capacity storage [3] - Hongying Intelligent's subsidiary won a 4.92 billion yuan photovoltaic project [4] - Baohua plans to invest in a 3000-ton battery-grade lithium carbonate project [5] Group 6: Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals - APT Pharma has a complete pharmaceutical industry chain and reported a turnaround in net profit for the first three quarters [3] - The company has a strong position in the production of Clindamycin series and is one of the few suppliers of certain raw materials [3] - Weigao Blood Purification plans to acquire Weigao Puri, a leader in pre-filled syringe technology [5] Group 7: Natural Gas and Energy - Baichuan Energy is a leading natural gas company in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [6] - Huibo Yin has obtained qualifications from several oil and gas companies in the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq [6] Group 8: Media and Entertainment - Huanyu Century has produced interactive dramas and has a growing presence in the media sector [7] - Jilin Cable Network operates cinemas and is expanding into AI video and visualization [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - After the macro events such as the China-US summit and the Fed's interest rate meeting, the market's positive factors have been fully realized. However, the Fed has released a hawkish guidance, which exerts downward pressure on risk assets in Q4. The domestic economy still faces significant pressure, with the manufacturing PMI hitting a new low, indicating insufficient demand. But the incremental fiscal funds are expected to support the economy [4]. - The domestic economic data continues to be weak, especially in the consumption and real estate sectors. The high-frequency real estate sales data has declined significantly without incremental positive policies. The export orders shown by the PMI have dropped sharply, related to the end of the rush to export. The anti-involution policy is being promoted, resulting in a weak supply and demand in the real economy [4]. - The domestic liquidity is generally loose, with the government debt financing rising continuously and the marginal increase in open market money supply. The short-term liquidity is neutral, but the credit impulse in Q4 is marginally tightening. Passive ETF funds continue to be subscribed, and margin trading funds continue to flow in stably. The reduction intensity of industrial capital has slowed down. Overseas liquidity is marginally tightening under the Fed's hawkish guidance, and foreign capital has a marginal outflow tendency. The overall supply and demand of market funds are relatively optimistic, but there are also some differences, so beware of the risk of high-level style switching [4]. - After a sharp short-term rise, the valuations of various indices have reached relatively high levels in history. The stock-bond risk premiums at home and abroad are low, and the attractiveness of allocation funds is average [4]. - Currently, the broad-based index market has high valuations, especially the growth style. The risk premium indices at home and abroad have dropped to low levels, and the attractiveness of the stock market has decreased marginally. With the large market scale, the limited liquidity is difficult to drive continuous growth. After the short-term macro positive factors are fully realized, the market enters a policy vacuum period. With the marginal support of fiscal funds for the economy in Q4, the overall macro fluctuations are expected to be small. The market may maintain a high-level range-bound trend, similar to that in Q4 last year. Focus on structural opportunities. It is recommended to adopt a high-sell and low-buy strategy for stock indices in November. Consider shorting IF, IC, and IM stock indices in the high-rebound area and going long on IF and IH stock indices in the sharp-drop low area. Pay attention to the arbitrage opportunity of going long on the cyclical style and shorting the growth style [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - In the past month, among global stock markets, the Nikkei 225 led the rise, while the Hang Seng Tech Index led the decline. Among domestic stock markets, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.85%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 4.05% [8][9]. - In the past month, among industries, coal led the rise, while media led the decline [12]. - In the past month, the basis rates of the four major stock index futures (IH, IF, IC, and IM) changed by 0.19%, 0.14%, -0.35%, and 0.65% respectively. The discounts of IC and IM widened, while the discounts of IF and IH narrowed slightly. The changes in the inter - period spreads of the four major stock index futures were generally small, but the long - term discounts of IC and IM widened significantly [18]. Fund Flow - In October, margin trading funds flowed in 104.93 billion yuan to reach 2.5 trillion yuan, and the proportion of margin trading balance to the circulating market value of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased by 0.08% to 2.58%. The scale of passive stock ETF funds was 3.73373 trillion yuan, an increase of 125.81 billion yuan from the previous month. The share was 211.724 billion shares, with a subscription of 76.25 billion shares from the previous month, and a subscription of 5.89 billion shares in the latest week, with the scale increasing by 15.36 billion yuan [21]. - In October, equity financing was 49.44 billion yuan, with 6 companies. IPO financing was 12.16 billion yuan, private placement was 37.27 billion yuan, and convertible bond financing was 5.48 billion yuan. The equity financing scale decreased significantly, mainly due to the reduction in private placement. The market value of restricted - share lifting in October was 246.84 billion yuan, a decrease of 58.14 billion yuan from the previous month, mainly due to the one - week less trading time during the National Day holiday. The reduction scale in the recent week decreased marginally, with the monthly - annualized scale dropping to 211.28 billion yuan [24]. Liquidity - In October, the central bank's OMO reverse repurchase expired 5.8572 trillion yuan, with a reverse repurchase issuance of 5.2761 trillion yuan, resulting in a net money withdrawal of 58.11 billion yuan. The liquidity in the open - market business tightened. The MLF issued 900 billion yuan and expired 700 billion yuan in October, with a net issuance of 20 billion yuan. The MLF has had a net issuance for 8 consecutive months, and the overall liquidity supply is neutral to loose [26]. - In October, the DR007, R001, and SHIBOR overnight rates changed by 1.7bp, - 12.6bp, and - 5.8bp respectively to 1.46%, 1.41%, and 1.32%. The issuance rate of inter - bank certificates of deposit decreased by 8.5bp, and the CD rate issued by joint - stock banks dropped by 2.1bp to 1.64%. The capital supply tended to be loose, and the debt financing demand was strong. The capital price generally fluctuated at a low level [32]. - In October, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond changed by - 8.1bp, the 5 - year Treasury bond yield changed by - 5.6bp, and the 2 - year Treasury bond yield changed by - 10.9bp. The 10 - year CDB bond yield changed by - 11.1bp, the 5 - year CDB bond yield changed by - 7.3bp, and the 2 - year CDB bond yield changed by - 6.8bp. Overall, the yield term structure steepened slightly in October, and both long - and short - term interest rates decreased significantly, mainly due to the weak economic data and the decline in financing demand. The credit spread between Treasury bonds and CDB bonds narrowed significantly at the long end, indicating a cooling of the broad - credit expectation [36]. - As of October 31, the 10 - year US Treasury bond rate changed by - 5.0bp to 4.11%, the inflation expectation changed by - 6.0bp to 2.30%, and the real interest rate changed by 1.00bp to 1.81%. The risk asset prices were first boosted and then suppressed by the financial conditions. The 10 - 2Y spread of US Treasury bonds changed by - 5.00bp to 51.00bp. The inversion of the China - US interest rate spread widened slightly by 1.12bp to - 231.42bp, and the offshore RMB appreciated by 0.11%. The US dollar against the RMB fluctuated at a level below the mid - point of the three - year range [39]. Macroeconomic Fundamentals - As of October 30, the weekly trading area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities was 2.074 million square meters, a slight decrease from the previous week's 2.101 million square meters, returning to a relatively low level in the same period. Compared with the same period in 2019 before the pandemic, it decreased by 45.4%. The second - hand housing sales decreased seasonally and significantly from the previous month, returning to a relatively low level in the past seven years. The real estate market sales showed a weak performance overall, with the sales center oscillating at a low level, and there were signs of marginal acceleration of weakening in the short term [43]. - As of October 31, the weekly average daily subway passenger volume in 28 large - and medium - sized cities in China remained at a high level, reaching 83.8 million person - times, a year - on - year increase of 3.1% and a 32% increase compared with the same period in 2021. The economic activity in the service industry heated up marginally. The traffic congestion delay index in 100 cities rebounded from the previous week, remaining at a neutral level in the past three years. Overall, the economic activity in the service industry tended to a natural and stable growth level, with insignificant monthly changes [46]. - In October, the overall capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing industry decreased. The capacity utilization rate of steel mills changed by - 2.25%, the asphalt capacity utilization rate changed by - 8.6%, the cement clinker enterprise capacity utilization rate changed by 5%, the coking enterprise capacity utilization rate changed by - 1.99%, and the average operating rate of the chemical industry chain related to external demand changed by - 0.5% from the previous month. On the one hand, the implementation of the anti - involution policy led to a decrease in capacity utilization; on the other hand, the weakening of domestic and foreign demand in the manufacturing industry led to a reduction in enterprise operating rates [50]. - In terms of exports, after the tariff policies of the US on major countries have been finalized and the China - US summit postponed the tariff policy exemption for one year, the risk of a full - scale escalation of trade frictions has dropped sharply. After the previous export impulse effect, there is a risk of a pulse decline in Q4. China's manufacturing export competitiveness is strong, and after the decline in trade friction risks, it is expected to maintain its potential growth rate for a long time, supporting the economic center [58]. - In September, the US CPI inflation continued to rebound, while the core CPI inflation unexpectedly decreased, with a month - on - month decline of 0.1% to 3%. In terms of structure, energy prices contributed the main increase, the growth of food and beverages related to commodity inflation did not expand, and the housing and medical sub - items related to core inflation declined significantly, especially the housing sub - item, which decreased by 0.2% in a single month, indicating that the policy of expelling illegal immigrants began to affect core inflation again. Assuming that the month - on - month growth rate in October remains at 0.3% and drops to 0.2% from November to December, the annualized month - on - month rate at the end of the year will drop to 2.84%, and the Fed has limited room for further interest rate cuts this year [59]. - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in October as expected by the market, but Powell released a hawkish guidance in the press conference, expressing concerns about the lag effect of tariffs on inflation and stating that the overall economic pressure was not large, and the preventive interest rate cuts were expected to end. The financial market significantly revised the overly optimistic market expectation of the Fed's interest rate cuts. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of another interest rate cut in December 2025 dropped significantly to 63%, and the market will maintain a wait - and - see attitude until next April. The expected terminal interest rate for this year's interest rate cuts is between 3.5% - 3.75% [63]. Other Analyses - In the past month, the stock - bond risk premium was 2.56%, a decrease of 0.04% from the previous month, at the 44.1% quantile. The foreign - capital risk premium index was 3.39%, a decrease of 0.1% from the previous month, at the 16.7% quantile. The attractiveness of foreign capital was at a relatively low level [66]. - The valuations of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices were at the 86.4%, 86.6%, 95.7%, and 85.3% quantiles respectively in the past five years, with relatively high valuation levels. The quantiles changed by 0.3%, - 1.6%, - 4%, and - 0.3% respectively from the previous month, and the attractiveness of the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices increased marginally [70]. - According to the seasonal pattern analysis, the stock market in November is in a period of seasonal oscillation and structural differentiation. In terms of style, the growth style takes the lead first, followed by the cyclical style, with an overall high - level oscillation. The profit - making effect of the stock market in November is generally poor, and the style switches frequently. Considering the high valuation of the current growth style, the weak real - economy situation, and the full realization of positive factors, it is prone to high - level adjustments. Since the IF, IH, and IC are highly related to AI technology, all styles have adjustment risks. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of the cyclical style's supplementary increase and the switch from the growth style to AI applications. Go long on IF and IH in case of a sharp drop, and conduct high - sell and low - buy operations on IC and IM [74].

- The report indicates that the market's Alpha environment has improved, with increased cross-sectional volatility in major broad-based indices[1][12] - The volume timing signals for major broad-based indices as of October 31, 2025, suggest a bullish outlook[2][24] - The cross-sectional volatility of the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index components has increased over the past week, indicating a better short-term Alpha environment[34][42] - The time-series volatility of the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index components has also increased over the past week, suggesting an improved Alpha environment[42][45] - The moving average sentiment indicator shows that the CSI 300 index is in a positive sentiment range in the short term[32][36] - The momentum sentiment indicator, which uses a double smoothing method with different window periods, shows that the fast line is below the slow line, indicating a cautious market attitude[28][29] - The CSI 300 index's rising stock count ratio sentiment indicator is around 62%, indicating a mixed market sentiment[26][27] - The report highlights the importance of the "dividend + technology" theme, with dividends potentially having an advantage in terms of volatility[12][13] - The report tracks the net inflows of southbound funds, which amounted to HKD 274.91 billion for the week[3][72] - The report also monitors the ETF market, noting a net inflow of RMB 189.58 billion for equity ETFs during the week[3][77]

今日市场探底回升，煤炭、石化、银行等红利股强势护盘，光伏赛道午后冲锋，创业板指强势翻红。今 日市场成交超2.1万亿，较上个交易日缩量超2000亿，两市上涨个股超3500只。 中信建投认为，在10月下旬市场情绪高涨、三大利好集中兑现后，A股已经处于较高位置，且后续面临 利好空窗期，A股市场可能面临新一轮横盘调整。A股的主线和风格也可能出现切换。基金三季报显示 电子行业配置比例超过25%，双创板块超过40%，成长风格超过60%，均为2010年以来最高水平，这可 能引发结构性调整。另外，从季节效应角度来看，年底盈利多兑现，大盘价值风格往往占优。 盘面上热点快速轮动，光伏赛道午后拉升，阿特斯涨超10%，棒杰股份、国晟科技等多股涨停；油气股 盘中拉升，惠博普涨停，中国海油、中国石油等跟涨；煤炭板块再度走强，安泰集团涨停，晋控煤业、 淮北矿业跟涨；钍基熔盐概念股走强，宝色股份、海陆重工等涨停。下跌方面，黄金、有色板块震荡下 挫。 另外，今日传媒板块强势大涨，短剧、影视、网游等方向集体爆发。分析人士认为，主要有三大利好： 一是，手握优质内容的游戏以及影视个股三季报增长较为亮眼；二是，10月30日，腾讯广告发布最新漫 剧政策 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the performance of the "brokerage golden stocks" and their ability to track the performance of mixed equity funds, showcasing the analytical capabilities of brokerage firms [2][10][31] - In October 2025, the top-performing stocks in the brokerage golden stock pool included GuoDun Quantum, Rongxin Culture, and JiangBolong, with significant monthly increases [1][3][4] - The top three brokerages in terms of monthly returns were Western Securities, Great Wall Securities, and Guoyuan Securities, with returns of 5.84%, 5.43%, and 4.03% respectively, while the mixed equity fund index returned -2.14% [6][8] Group 2 - As of November 3, 2025, a total of 42 brokerages released their golden stocks for the month, resulting in 275 unique A-shares after deduplication [21][27] - The sectors with the highest allocation in the current golden stock pool were electronics (15.26%), non-ferrous metals (8.68%), and basic chemicals (6.84%) [27] - The brokerage golden stock performance enhancement portfolio had an absolute return of -0.77% for the month and a relative excess return of 1.37% compared to the mixed equity fund index [35] Group 3 - The article highlights the performance of various selection factors within the brokerage golden stock pool, noting that total market capitalization and quarterly revenue growth rates performed well recently [18][16] - The article also discusses the stocks that received multiple recommendations from analysts, indicating higher market attention, with stocks like Industrial Fulian and Kingsoft receiving recommendations from five or more analysts [22][23] - The brokerage golden stock index showed a year-to-date return of 28.59%, compared to the mixed equity fund index's return of 32.47% [14][35]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.41% as of 13:59, with a trading volume of 1,113.04 million shares and a transaction amount of 17,474.59 billion yuan, representing a decrease of 9.64% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing industries included: - Oil and Petrochemicals: Increased by 2.81% with a transaction amount of 131.12 billion yuan, up 38.17% from the previous day, led by Huibo Pu with a rise of 10.15% [1] - Media: Increased by 2.70% with a transaction amount of 593.55 billion yuan, up 3.08%, led by Fushi Holdings with a rise of 15.55% [1] - Coal: Increased by 2.63% with a transaction amount of 142.42 billion yuan, up 35.83%, led by Antai Group with a rise of 9.97% [1] - The worst-performing industries included: - Non-ferrous Metals: Decreased by 1.65% with a transaction amount of 1,118.61 billion yuan, down 11.48%, led by Jinli Permanent Magnet with a decline of 6.99% [2] - Building Materials: Decreased by 0.84% with a transaction amount of 135.55 billion yuan, down 11.01%, led by Yashichuangneng with a decline of 9.99% [2] - Comprehensive: Decreased by 0.81% with a transaction amount of 35.34 billion yuan, up 7.67%, led by Dongyangguang with a decline of 3.30% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant performance of AI-related stocks in the Hong Kong market, with notable gains from companies like Meitu, DaMai Entertainment, and Xiaomi Group [1][4] - Xiaomi's automotive division reported over 40,000 vehicle deliveries in October, ranking eighth globally with a year-on-year growth of 208.7%, indicating it as the fastest-growing automotive brand [1][4] - Citigroup forecasts that Xiaomi's total vehicle shipments for the year could approach 400,000 units, reflecting strong market demand [1][4] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) has seen a price increase of 1.18%, with significant net inflows of 426 million yuan over the past five days, indicating strong investor interest [2][3] - The ETF's top three holdings are Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi, which together account for over 46% of the fund, showcasing the dominance of these companies in the AI and internet sectors [4][5] - East China Securities notes that the acceleration of AI application innovations is driving a transformation in content production, with a focus on generative video models [4]

- The report highlights the performance of selection factors in the "broker gold stock pool," including factors such as total market capitalization, single-quarter revenue growth, and analyst net upward revisions, which performed well this year. Conversely, factors like EPTTM, expected dividend yield, and volatility showed weaker performance this year[3][28][29] - The "broker gold stock performance enhancement portfolio" is constructed using a multi-factor approach to optimize stock selection within the broker gold stock pool. The portfolio aims to outperform the benchmark, the actively managed equity fund index, by controlling deviations in individual stocks and styles while aligning industry allocation with the overall distribution of public funds[12][39][42] - The historical performance of the "broker gold stock performance enhancement portfolio" demonstrates robust results, with annualized returns of 19.34% and an annualized excess return of 14.38% relative to the actively managed equity fund index during the period from 2018 to 2025. The portfolio consistently ranked in the top 30% of actively managed equity funds each year[43][46] - The monthly performance of the "broker gold stock performance enhancement portfolio" (20251009-20251031) showed an absolute return of -0.77% and an excess return of 1.37% relative to the actively managed equity fund index. Year-to-date (20250102-20251031), the portfolio achieved an absolute return of 35.08% and an excess return of 2.61%, ranking in the 40.13% percentile among actively managed equity funds[5][41][46]