Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints On January 6, 2026, the convertible bond market followed the underlying stocks to rise, with increased valuations. The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market heated up, and the median price and weighted average price of convertible bonds both increased. Most industries in the A-share and convertible bond markets rose, with different performance in different sectors [1][2][3]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Main Index Performance - **Index Performance**: The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.35% day - on - day, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.50%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.40%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.75%, the SSE 50 Index rose 1.90%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.43%. The Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted Index rose 1.38%, and the Convertible Bond Index rose 1.32%. In terms of style, mid - cap value was relatively dominant, with mid - cap value rising 2.75% [1][7][8]. 2. Market Fund Performance - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 94.734 billion yuan, a 13.55% increase from the previous day. The total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 2.832278 trillion yuan, a 10.32% increase [1][9]. - **Capital Flow**: The net outflow of the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 17.668 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond rose 2.45bp to 1.88% [1]. 3. Convertible Bond Valuation - **Valuation Increase**: The 100 - yuan parity fitted conversion premium rate was 35.23%, up 0.42pct from the previous day. The overall weighted parity was 104.28 yuan, up 1.52%. The price median was 136.95 yuan, up 1.59% [2][17][21]. - **Premium Rate by Type**: The premium rate of equity - biased convertible bonds was 17.18%, down 0.55pct; the premium rate of debt - biased convertible bonds was 87.25%, up 0.24pct; the premium rate of balanced convertible bonds was 26.36%, down 0.32pct [2]. 4. Industry Rotation - **A - share Market**: Among the 30 industries, 29 rose. The top three industries in terms of increase were non - ferrous metals (+4.26%), non - banking finance (+3.73%), and basic chemicals (+3.12%), while the only declining industry was communication (-0.77%) [3]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Among the convertible bond market, 27 industries rose. The top three industries in terms of increase were communication (+4.44%), non - banking finance (+3.62%), and non - ferrous metals (+3.28%), and the only declining industry was environmental protection (-0.28%) [3].

煤炭板块突然拉升。 A股市场今天（1月7日）上午进一步上行，上证指数逼近4100点。 值得注意的是，临近中午收盘，煤炭板块突然拉升，陕西黑猫、安泰集团2分钟直线拉升至涨停。 煤炭板块突然拉升 A股市场今天（2026年1月7日）上午进一步上行，上证指数逼近4100点。截至中午收盘，上证指数上涨0.29%报4095.54点，深证成指上 涨0.35%，创业板指上涨0.41%。 主要行业板块和赛道方面，若按照申万一级行业划分，电子板块领涨，板块盘中涨幅接近2%，板块内个股掀起涨停潮，其中南大光电、芯 源微等多股20%涨停，另有多股涨停或涨幅超过10%。 临近上午收盘，煤炭板块突然拉升，陕西黑猫、安泰集团2分钟直线拉升至涨停，另有多只煤炭股也快速拉升。 | 今开 | 4.25 最高 | 4.55 成交量 | 163.47万手 | 总市值 ▼ | 45.81亿 | 量比 | | 4.14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨收 | 4.14 最低 | 4.22 成交额 | 7.18亿 | 总股本 | 10.07亿 | 载比 | | 10 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on January 7, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.01% at 26,439.68 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.65% at 5,729.41 points, the National Enterprises Index down 1.11% at 9,141.25 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.64% at 4,114.5 points [1] - Major technology stocks experienced declines, with Alibaba down 4.05%, Tencent down 1.98%, JD.com down 1.47%, Xiaomi down 1.34%, NetEase down 2.18%, Meituan down 2.17%, Kuaishou down 2.78%, and Bilibili down 3.54% [1] - The biopharmaceutical sector continued to rise, with Kangfang Biopharmaceutical up over 6% [1] - The metals sector showed strength, with Luoyang Molybdenum up over 5% [1] - Oil stocks weakened, with PetroChina down over 3% [1] - Automotive stocks faced significant declines, with NIO down over 3% [1] Company News - Yadea Holdings (01585.HK) expects a net profit of no less than RMB 2.9 billion for 2025, up from RMB 1.27 billion in the previous year, driven by increased sales of electric two-wheelers and optimized product structure [2] - Poly Property Group (00119.HK) anticipates a cumulative contract sales amount of approximately RMB 50.2 billion for 2025, a decrease of 7.38% year-on-year [3] - Sunac China (01918.HK) expects a cumulative contract sales amount of approximately RMB 36.84 billion for 2025, down 21.85% year-on-year [4] - Gemdale Corporation (00535.HK) projects a cumulative contract sales total of approximately RMB 10.696 billion for 2025, a decrease of 47.33% year-on-year [5] - Greentown Management Holdings (09979.HK) estimates new project management fees for 2025 to be RMB 9.35 billion, an increase of approximately 0.4% [6] - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) acquired a land parcel in Shanghai's Pudong New Area for RMB 2.561 billion [7] - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings (09636.HK) completed the acquisition of 100% equity in JF Financial and its core information system [8] - Weimob Group (02013.HK) partnered with Taobao Flash Sale to enhance local retail solutions [8] - Dali Pu Holdings (01921.HK) became a qualified supplier for Saudi Aramco [9] - Xiehe New Energy (00182.HK) successfully completed a secondary listing on the Singapore Stock Exchange [10] - Bokan Vision Cloud-B (02592.HK) submitted a clinical trial application for the new drug CBT-009 [11] - Yingtong Holdings (06883.HK) established a partnership with the Italian high-end fragrance brand CULTI to strengthen its distribution network in China [11] Institutional Insights - Guosen Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market's recovery has begun, driven by a weaker US dollar and improved domestic liquidity, suggesting a focus on AI and PPI [12] - CITIC Securities anticipates a second round of valuation recovery and performance revival in the Hong Kong market in 2026, recommending attention to technology, healthcare, resource products, essential consumer goods, paper, and aviation sectors [12] - Everbright Securities notes that domestic policy support and a weaker dollar may lead to continued upward movement in the Hong Kong market, highlighting the relative strength of overall profitability [12] - Dongwu Securities indicates that the Hong Kong market is entering a period of upward volatility, emphasizing the importance of dividends and technology growth in the first half of the year [12] - Industrial Securities recommends a bullish stance, predicting a spring rally led by the Hang Seng Tech Index, with a continued bull market expected in 2026 [13]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.01% to 26,439.68 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 1.65%, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 1.11% [1][9]. Technology Sector - Technology stocks faced widespread losses, with Alibaba dropping over 4%, Bilibili down more than 3%, and Kuaishou, NetEase, and Meituan each declining by over 2% [1][9]. Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector continued its upward trend, highlighted by Kangfang Biopharmaceutical's stock rising over 6%. The company announced an important update regarding its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, which has shown statistically significant and clinically meaningful benefits in treating advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer [2][11]. Metals Sector - The metals sector showed strength, with Luoyang Molybdenum rising over 5%. Citigroup raised its short-term copper price target to $14,000 per ton, although it warned that the price increase may be nearing its peak [5][14]. Oil Sector - Oil stocks weakened, with PetroChina falling over 3%. This decline follows an announcement regarding the transfer of 30 to 50 million barrels of oil from the Venezuelan interim government to the U.S., which will be sold at market prices [5][16]. Automotive Sector - The automotive sector saw significant declines, with NIO dropping over 3%. Reports indicate that the Chinese auto market may experience a 7% decline in sales in 2026, marking the first anticipated annual drop since 2020. A price war has begun, involving over 76 models from various manufacturers [6][16].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth and precious metals sectors are experiencing significant price increases, driven by supply constraints and strong demand, particularly in the context of China's regulatory measures and global economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.88%, with notable gains in individual stocks such as Rare Earth (600259) up 10.00%, Shengtun Mining (600711) up 9.01%, and Xingye Silver Tin (000426) up 7.57% [1]. - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) increased by 2.01%, marking its fifth consecutive rise, with the latest price reported at 2.13 yuan [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - On the supply side, domestic rare earth supply regulation is expected to smooth out the issuance of quotas, while overseas supply is projected to continue growing as new projects come online [2]. - Demand for rare earths is anticipated to remain strong, particularly from the electric vehicle sector and robotics, further emphasizing the scarcity of resources and potentially driving prices higher [2]. Group 3: Gold and Silver Market Insights - Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings, which supports the ongoing bullish trend in gold prices, especially during periods of interest rate cuts [2]. - Silver ETF holdings are expected to rise significantly by 2025, driven by its financial attributes, which will likely contribute to an increase in silver prices [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Northern Rare Earth (600111), collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [3].

Market Overview - A-shares continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 13-day winning streak, reaching a 10-year high at 4,083.67 points, up 1.5%[3][14] - The Hang Seng Index surged 1.38% to close at 26,710.45 points, driven by strong performances in brokerage and insurance sectors[10] - European markets showed positive sentiment, with some indices reaching historical highs, while US stocks also experienced gains, led by technology stocks[3][8] Commodity and Forex Trends - Metal prices rose significantly, with London nickel prices soaring over 10%, closing up 8.95% at $18,524.0 per ton, marking the largest increase in over three years[25] - Gold and silver prices continued to climb, with gold rising 1.0% to $4,496.1 per ounce and silver increasing 5.72% to $81.039 per ounce[25] - International oil prices fell, with NY crude oil down 2.04% to $57.13 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical assessments[25] Economic Indicators - December's industrial production in mainland China is expected to rebound due to differences in working days, with a forecasted increase in industrial value added growth[5] - Fixed asset investment growth is anticipated to recover moderately, while export growth is expected to decline due to a high base in 2024[5] - Consumer price index (CPI) is projected to remain around 0.8%, driven by seasonal price increases in fresh fruits[5] Bond Market Insights - US Treasury yields increased by 1-2 basis points, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.17%[28] - Asian investment-grade bonds saw active trading, with new issues performing well in the secondary market, leading to a general tightening of spreads by 1-2 basis points[28] Company News - Palo Alto Networks announced a $3.35 billion acquisition of Chronosphere, aiming to enhance its observability capabilities, with a target price of $203 per share[7][12] - BYD reported a total annual sales of 4.6 million vehicles, with overseas sales reaching 1.04 million, marking a 150% year-on-year increase[12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in copper prices, driven by a combination of supply-demand imbalances, geopolitical tensions, and macroeconomic factors [1][2][4] - Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) reached a record high of $13,387.50 per ton on January 6, 2026, following a 4.96% increase the previous day [1] - The price of copper increased by over 42% in 2025, marking its best annual performance since 2009, making it the top-performing industrial metal on the LME [1] Group 2 - Supply disruptions from major copper mines, such as Indonesia's Grasberg and the Democratic Republic of Congo's Kamoa-Kakula, have created a persistent supply crisis [2] - The Mantoverde copper mine in Chile faced strikes, further tightening market supply [2] - The U.S. tariff policies have exacerbated the supply shortage, with significant amounts of copper being preemptively shipped to the U.S., leading to shortages in other regions [2] Group 3 - The ongoing global transition towards green and automated economies has sustained high demand for copper, particularly in industries like electric vehicles and renewable energy [2][3] - A study commissioned by the European Metal Producers Association indicates that Europe will require substantial new supplies of nickel, lithium, and cobalt to meet carbon neutrality goals by 2050 [3] - The prices of various base metals, including copper, aluminum, and nickel, have seen consecutive increases, reflecting market concerns over future supply [3] Group 4 - Developed countries have been focusing on the security of critical mineral supplies for several years, with the UK and Canada signing a cooperation agreement to enhance collaboration in this area [4] - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by low interest rates and a declining dollar index, has provided a supportive backdrop for rising copper prices [4] - Market analysts expect copper prices to continue rising in the first half of 2026, driven by supply-demand dynamics, despite potential corrections due to speculative bubbles [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that LME copper futures prices are experiencing fluctuations, with a recent increase of 1.32% [1] - On January 6, LME copper futures opened at $13,054 per ton, reached a high of $13,387.5, and closed at $13,254.5, reflecting a change of 1.28% [2] - The current trading price of copper is reported at $13,163.5 per ton, with a daily high of $13,285 and a low of $13,068 [1] Group 2 - The electrolytic copper spot price ratio between Shanghai and London is reported at 7.88, indicating an import loss of 813.35 yuan per ton, which improved from a previous loss of 1,356.7 yuan per ton [2] - As of January 6, the Shanghai Futures Exchange reported copper futures warehouse receipts at 93,271 tons, an increase of 2,989 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - LME registered copper warehouse receipts totaled 114,200 tons, with canceled receipts at 31,875 tons, a decrease of 775 tons, while total copper inventory increased by 3,525 tons to 146,075 tons [2]

Group 1: Index Trends - On January 6th, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.5% to close at 4083.67 points with a trading volume of 1175.769 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.4% to close at 14022.55 points with a trading volume of 1630.739 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 1000 Index rose 1.43% with a trading volume of 580.815 billion yuan, opening at 7756.16, closing at 7864.9, with a daily high of 7864.9 and a low of 7755.07 [1] - The CSI 500 Index rose 2.13% with a trading volume of 571.675 billion yuan, opening at 7663.94, closing at 7814.14, with a daily high of 7814.65 and a low of 7663.66 [1] - The SSE 50 Index rose 1.9% with a trading volume of 180.048 billion yuan, opening at 3106.52, closing at 3158.76, with a daily high of 3158.76 and a low of 3106.09 [1] - The SSE 50 Index rose 1.9% with a trading volume of 180.048 billion yuan; it opened at 3106.52, closed at 3158.76, with a daily high of 3158.76 and a low of 3106.09 [1] Group 2: Impact of Sector Movements on Indexes - The CSI 1000 rose 111.02 points from the previous close, with sectors such as electronics, power equipment, and computer significantly driving the index up [2] - The CSI 500 rose 162.94 points from the previous close, with sectors such as electronics, non - ferrous metals, and national defense and military industry significantly driving the index up [2] - The SSE 300 rose 72.94 points from the previous close, with sectors such as non - bank finance, non - ferrous metals, and electronics significantly driving the index up [2] - The SSE 50 rose 59.01 points from the previous close, with sectors such as non - bank finance, non - ferrous metals, and electronics significantly driving the index up [2] Group 3: Stock Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs - For IM contracts, the average daily basis for IM00 was - 3.62, IM01 was - 59.76, IM02 was - 111.71, and IM03 was - 334.86 [13] - For IC contracts, the average daily basis for IC00 was 7.39, IC01 was - 25.74, IC02 was - 47.13, and IC03 was - 215.14 [13] - For IF contracts, the average daily basis for IF00 was 2.31, IF01 was - 7.94, IF02 was - 11.17, and IF03 was - 55.76 [13] - For IH contracts, the average daily basis for IH00 was 0.34, IH01 was - 0.55, IH02 was 1.4, and IH03 was - 8.09 [13]

Group 1 - The prices of major industrial metals tracked by LME, including copper, nickel, and aluminum, have seen significant increases, with LME nickel reaching a 19-month high due to supply concerns [1][3] - LME copper rose by 1.9% to $13,238 per ton, hitting a record high of $13,387.50, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 6.5% [3][4] - Supply concerns are exacerbated by strikes at Capstone Copper's Mantoverde mine in Chile and delays in production at a mine in Ecuador, leading to heightened worries about copper availability [4][5] Group 2 - Analysts from ING noted that Indonesia's plan to cut nickel ore production is effective in boosting prices in the short term, but long-term price sustainability is uncertain due to expected oversupply [3] - UBS analysts highlighted that the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and ongoing supply disruptions are driving speculative trading in copper, with increased demand for copper in energy transition and infrastructure investments [4][5] - Other industrial metals also experienced significant price increases, with LME tin up 4.8%, aluminum up 1.4%, zinc up 1.8%, and lead up 2.6% [4]