Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, highlighting significant profit recovery in 2024 and continued growth in 2025 [2][3]. Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry saw a substantial turnaround in 2024, with a total net profit of 39.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 694% [16][17]. - Key sub-sectors such as pig farming, poultry farming, and seed industry reported impressive profit growth rates of 321%, 261%, and 130% respectively in 2024 [2][16]. - The first quarter of 2025 continued to show strong performance, with a total net profit of 9.932 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 764% [20][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of 2024 and Q1 2025 Performance - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved a net profit of 39.648 billion yuan in 2024, marking a significant recovery from losses in 2023 [16][17]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's net profit reached 9.932 billion yuan, continuing the positive trend from 2024 [20][21]. 2. Key Sub-Sector Performance 2.1 Pig Farming - The pig farming sector reported a total revenue of 387.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 30.7 billion yuan, driven by rising pig prices and reduced costs [23][28]. - In Q1 2025, the sector maintained profitability with a net profit of 7.62 billion yuan, despite a slight decline in pig prices [40][45]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The white-feathered chicken sector faced challenges with low demand and oversupply, resulting in a revenue of 31.69 billion yuan in 2024, while the yellow-feathered chicken sector saw a recovery in profitability [2][23]. - In Q1 2025, the poultry sector's net profit was 1.2 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to the previous year [2][20]. 2.3 Pet Food - The pet food industry experienced robust growth, with total revenue of 12.15 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.3% [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue reached 3.09 billion yuan, continuing the upward trend [2][20]. 2.4 Feed Industry - The feed sector faced sales pressure but saw a recovery in gross margins, with total revenue of 156.62 billion yuan in 2024 [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the feed industry reported a revenue of 35.63 billion yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2][20]. 2.5 Animal Health - The animal health sector faced increased competition in 2024, leading to a decline in profitability, but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025 with improved sales [2][4]. - The sector's revenue in 2024 was 16.472 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.162 billion yuan [2][4]. 2.6 Seed Industry - The seed industry reported a revenue of 14.86 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, affected by declining grain prices [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the sector continued to face challenges, with a revenue of 2.43 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit [2][4]. 3. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on leading pig farming companies for long-term value, as the sector is currently at a historical low valuation [3][5]. - The pet food sector is highlighted as a long-term growth opportunity, driven by increasing pet ownership and spending [3][6]. - The feed industry is expected to see demand recovery, supported by improved livestock numbers and stable raw material prices [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [6] Core Insights - The SW agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry achieved total revenue of 12,460.8 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%, but net profit attributable to shareholders was 483.8 billion, marking a return to profitability [14] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported total revenue of 2,917.0 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with net profit of 134.0 billion, also returning to profitability [17] - The improvement in profitability is primarily attributed to the recovery in pig prices and a decrease in breeding costs [14][17] Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - In 2024, the SW agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry saw a total revenue of 12,460.8 billion, down 1.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 483.8 billion, indicating a return to profitability [14] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a total revenue of 2,917.0 billion, up 8.1% year-on-year, with net profit reaching 134.0 billion, also indicating a return to profitability [17] Subsector Performance Swine Breeding Sector - In 2024, the SW swine breeding sector achieved total revenue of 3,880.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, with net profit of 306.8 billion, marking a return to profitability [19] - Q1 2025 saw total revenue of 961.8 billion, a 20.0% year-on-year increase, with net profit of 76.2 billion, also returning to profitability [22] - The recovery in profitability is driven by higher average pig prices and lower breeding costs [20][28] Poultry Breeding Sector - The SW poultry breeding sector reported total revenue of 729.1 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with net profit soaring to 29.5 billion, a 2095% increase [30] - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 160.1 billion, up 1.1% year-on-year, with net profit of 3.8 billion, a 155.4% increase [31] - The growth in revenue and net profit is attributed to increased sales volume and reduced raw material costs [33] Feed Sector - The SW feed sector achieved total revenue of 2,624.3 billion in 2024, down 8.3%, but net profit was 79.2 billion, returning to profitability [40] - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 610.8 billion, a 10.6% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 21.4 billion, a 675.8% increase [41] - The significant increase in net profit is due to improved gross margins and reduced expense ratios [41][47] Animal Health Sector - The SW animal health sector reported total revenue of 180.3 billion in 2024, a 6.5% increase, but net profit fell to 6.3 billion, a 61% decrease [49] - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 46.7 billion, a 23.9% increase, with net profit of 5.1 billion, a 32.8% increase [50] - The recovery in Q1 2025 is attributed to increased sales and reduced expense ratios [52] Planting Sector - The SW planting sector achieved total revenue of 1,039.7 billion in 2024, a 10.3% increase, but net profit fell to 19.4 billion, a 45.8% decrease [59] - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 218.6 billion, a 14.4% increase, with net profit of 8.0 billion, a 12.2% decrease [62] - The decline in net profit is primarily due to lower gross margins and decreased non-operating income [62]

证券代码：603363 证券简称：*ST 傲农 公告编号：2025-063 福建傲农生物科技集团股份有限公司 2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 二、其他说明 单位：万头 | 主要产品 | 销售量 | 库存量 | 销售量同比 增减（%） | 库存量同比 增减（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 生猪 | 13.28 | 53.96 | -14.42 | +15.06 | 2025 年 4 月，公司生猪销售量 13.28 万头，同比减少 14.42%，较 2025 年 3 月增加 1.02%。 2025 年 4 月末，公司生猪存栏 53.96 万头，同比增加 15.06%，较 2025 年 3 月末减少 0.80%，较 2024 年 12 月末增加 5.20%。 公司积极推动生猪养殖产能优化工作，合理调整养殖布局、规模与品种结构， 后续将继续坚持"稳字当头、持续降本"的策略，集中资源发展优势产能，务实 经营发展目标，切实推进降本工 ...

Group 1 - Kudi Coffee is experiencing rapid growth in orders due to a new round of subsidies from delivery platforms, with sales on Ele.me increasing nearly tenfold and surpassing 40 million orders on JD.com [1] - The price of Kudi Coffee products has dropped significantly, with prices as low as 1.99 yuan for certain drinks on Ele.me, benefiting from the already low base price of 9.9 yuan [1] - Kudi Coffee has over 10,000 stores nationwide, making it easier for promotional activities to be implemented widely [1] Group 2 - Kudi has announced an extension of its store subsidy policy until December 31, 2028, and introduced new subsidies for high rent and low cup volume stores, with potential single-cup subsidies exceeding the current maximum of 14 yuan [2] - The company has been profitable since May 2024, indicating strong financial health [3] Group 3 - The ongoing delivery battle is leading to a redistribution of the restaurant market, suggesting significant changes in the competitive landscape [4]

文字早评 2025/05/08 星期四 宏观金融类 股指 前一交易日沪指+0.80%，创指+0.51%，科创 50+0.36%，北证 50-0.46%，上证 50+0.87%，沪深 300+0.61%， 中证 500+0.17%，中证 1000+0.14%，中证 2000+0.74%，万得微盘+1.22%。两市合计成交 14683 亿，较上 一日+1321 亿。 宏观消息面： 1、潘功胜：将下调金融机构存款准备金率 0.5 个百分点，并下调政策利率 0.1 个百分点，从目前的 1.5% 下调到 1.4%，同时下调住房公积金利率 0.25 个百分点。 2、A 股 4 月新开户 192 万户，同比增长 31%。 3、证监会印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，绑定投资者利益，基金经理薪酬与收益挂钩、 费率调降。 资金面：融资额+143.70 亿；隔夜 Shibor 利率-4.50bp 至 1.6570%，流动性较为宽松；3 年期企业债 AA- 级别利率+0.04bp 至 3.0940%，十年期国债利率+1.76bp 至 1.6458%，信用利差-1.72bp 至 145bp；美国 10 年期利率-6.00bp ...

Group 1: Core Breeding and Sales - The company operates three core breeding farms and four binary breeding farms, ranking first nationally in Duroc pig breeding for several years [1] - The company focuses on balanced breeding to improve growth speed and reproductive performance, aiming to shorten the time to market and enhance barn utilization [1] - The company anticipates that the current price of piglets will remain stable until October, with a low likelihood of prices falling below cost during the off-season [1] Group 2: Feed Sales and Market Dynamics - The feed distributor primarily sells pig feed to local smallholders, with sales volume around 1,200 tons per month, peaking at 1,400-1,500 tons [1] - The distributor notes a decline in self-breeding households due to stricter environmental regulations [1] Group 3: Pig Raising and Market Conditions - The contract farmer in Sichuan raises 7,000 pigs across two farms, with a total raising fee of approximately 220 yuan per pig [2] - The farmer highlights significant issues with piglet diarrhea affecting growth rates, leading to a desire for heavier pigs among both smallholders and larger farms [2] - A breeding company with a 200-head boar station believes piglet prices will remain high, with traditional seasonal price increases expected [2] Group 4: Trade and Supply Chain - A trading company focuses on pig trade, moving 5-6 trucks of pigs to slaughterhouses daily, with peak volumes reaching 30-40 trucks [3] - The company observes a stable price for piglets, predicting limited price increases but a potential decline after the end of the second fattening phase [3] - Another trading firm has shifted focus to piglet trade and reports increased supply of heavier pigs post-Qingming Festival, while anticipating a potential price drop for piglets [3] Group 5: Fattening and Market Impact - A company with 10,000 fattening pigs has cleared its stock, with an average weight of 120 kg per pig, and a feed-to-meat ratio of 2.5-2.6 [3] - The company indicates that if prices for second fattening pigs drop below 7 yuan/kg, it will consider restocking or fattening pigs [3] - The company believes that second fattening will significantly impact this year's pig market [3]

Core Insights - The swine industry is entering a phase of high-quality development, focusing on improving the productivity of breeding sows and reducing costs while increasing efficiency [1][2] - The supply of pigs cannot be solely predicted by the number of breeding sows; performance improvements must also be considered to estimate supply increments [1] - The presence of speculators in the swine farming industry has increased due to various factors, including financial pressure and high price volatility [1] Group 1: Breeding and Production - In 2024, the pig output in Fujian is projected to be 16.5258 million heads, a decrease of 2.5% year-on-year, ranking 16th in the country [2] - The breeding sow inventory in Fujian is estimated to be between 700,000 and 750,000 heads, with many new breeding farms established in recent years [2] - A core breeding enterprise emphasizes balanced breeding principles, achieving significant improvements in growth performance metrics for "American" Duroc pigs [3][4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - In Jiangxi, the pig output for 2024 is expected to be 30.356 million heads, with a significant portion of production based on a company-plus-farmer model [5] - The second fattening group has become increasingly important, with trade merchants actively participating in this segment [5][6] - The average weight of pigs for second fattening has shifted to 120-125 kg, influenced by breed upgrades and lower feed prices [7] Group 3: Health Concerns - The outbreak of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea (PED) has raised concerns, particularly affecting piglets and potentially leading to significant mortality rates [8] - The impact of common pig diseases is expected to remain low this year, with strict environmental regulations and disease management practices in place [9] - The assessment of production losses due to PED varies, with mainstream estimates suggesting a 5% loss [8]

Group 1 - The company sold 186,600 pigs in April 2025, including 23,200 piglets, generating sales revenue of 343 million yuan, with an average selling price of 15.19 yuan/kg for commercial pigs [2] - From January to April 2025, the company sold a total of 678,000 pigs, including 102,700 piglets, with cumulative sales revenue of 1.222 billion yuan [3] - The sales data provided is unaudited and may differ from the figures disclosed in regular reports, serving only as a reference for investors [3] Group 2 - The company operates in the pig farming industry, which is subject to market price fluctuations that can significantly impact operational performance [4] - The industry also faces risks from animal diseases, which can adversely affect the company's business performance [4]

证券代码：605296 证券简称：神农集团 公告编号：2025-056 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据披露如下： 一、2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据 单位：万头 | 主要产品 | 销售量 | | 销售量同比增减(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 当月 | 累计 | 当月 | 累计 | | 生猪 | 22.73 | 108.77 | 32.85 | 62.83 | 2025 年 4 月份，公司销售生猪 22.73 万头（其中：商品猪销售 21.00 万头， 仔猪销售 1.32 万头），销售收入 3.98 亿元。其中向集团内部屠宰企业销售生猪 3.29 万头。 2025 年 4 月份，公司商品猪价格呈现下降趋势，商品猪销售均价 14.68 元/ 公斤，比 2025 年 3 月份 ...

证券研究报告：农林牧渔 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-07 股票投资评级 增持|维持 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 9.59 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）45.26 / 45.00 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）434 / 432 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 11.04 / 8.24 | | 资产负债率(%) | 69.0% | | 市盈率 | 106.56 | | 第一大股东 | 南方希望实业有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:王琦 SAC 登记编号:S1340522100001 Email:wangqi2022@cnpsec.com 新希望(000876) 降本增效成果显著，破除困局 ⚫ 事件： 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，其中 24 年全年实现营 业收入 1030.63 亿元，同比下降 27.27%，归母净利 4.74 亿元，同比 增长 90.05%。2025 年一季度，公司实现营业总收入 244.17 亿元，同 比增长 2.13%，归母净利润 4.45 亿，同比扭亏为盈。 ⚫ 点评：降本增效成果显著，饲料及生猪业 ...