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波动不改上行趋势
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 07:30
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal price trends, despite a balanced supply-demand situation [2] - Precious metals are expected to continue their upward trend supported by central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings [8] - Copper prices are under short-term pressure due to macro sentiment adjustments, but long-term demand from AI and power grid construction remains strong [10] - Aluminum prices are expected to maintain high volatility due to mixed macro signals and seasonal demand fluctuations [10] - Energy metals like lithium are seeing inventory reductions, with expectations of front-loaded demand due to changes in export tax policies [11] - Rare earth prices are recovering, driven by policy support and pre-holiday stocking demand [11] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices have risen, with SHFE gold increasing by 3.17% to 1,032.32 CNY per gram and COMEX gold rising by 2.23% to 4,601.10 USD per ounce [8] - Silver prices surged, with SHFE silver up 22.82% to 22,483 CNY per kilogram and COMEX silver up 13.37% to 89.95 USD per ounce [9] Copper - Copper prices have seen a slight decline, with SHFE copper down 0.63% to 100,770 CNY per ton and LME copper down 1.50% to 12,803 USD per ton [10] - Supply remains tight, with significant labor actions expected to impact production [10] Aluminum - Aluminum prices are experiencing high volatility, with SHFE aluminum down 1.66% to 23,925 CNY per ton [10] - The processing operating rate has slightly increased to 60.2% [10] Energy Metals - Lithium inventory is decreasing, with demand expected to strengthen due to changes in export tax policies [11] - The cobalt sector is facing tight raw material supply, leading to higher prices [11] Rare Earths - Rare earth prices are on the rise, with significant increases in the prices of praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide [11]
帮主郑重收评:资金大迁徙!电网黄金涨停潮,明日关键看一点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 07:24
那么,面对这样的盘面,明天我们该如何操作呢?帮主的策略是"顺势而为,去弱留强"。 第一,紧抓主线,关注分化中的机会。电网设备无疑是当前最强主线,但明日大概率会分化。我们的重 点不是去追已经涨停的,而是去挖掘产业链中同样受益但尚未充分上涨的环节,比如特高压、智能电 网、电力物联网等相关标的,寻找低位补涨或趋势刚启动的优质品种。 第二,对高位热点保持警惕,耐心等待企稳。对于今日大跌的AI应用和半导体板块,短期内不要轻易 去接"飞刀"。尤其是那些脱离基本面、纯靠情绪推高的个股,调整可能还未结束。应耐心等待其跌势趋 缓、出现明确企稳信号后再做考虑。 第三,利用波动,优化持仓结构。借着市场这次风格切换的机会,审视一下自己的持仓。如果手中仍有 大量高估值的题材股,可以考虑趁反弹适度调仓,将一部分仓位转向像电网、部分优质消费(如旅游复 苏链)这样逻辑更顺、位置相对不高的方向,让组合更加均衡。 各位老朋友,收盘了。今天这市场,真是把"分化"两个字演绎到了极致!三大指数涨跌不一,创业板低 开低走跌了近1%,可你再看个股,超过3500只股票是上涨的。这说明什么?说明指数虽然纠结,但市 场的"群众基础"并不差,资金不是在离场,而是 ...
A股收评 | 成交继续缩量!创业板指冲高回落收跌0.7% 锋龙股份(002931.SZ)14连板
智通财经网· 2026-01-19 07:21
1月19日,三大指数涨跌不一,沪指走势较强,创业板指冲高回落,成交额2.71万亿,较上一个交易日 缩量3179亿。截至收盘,沪指涨0.29%,深成指涨0.09%,创业板指跌0.70%。 国泰海通认为,近期涨幅较大且引发投资者热议的商业航天/GEO等主题炒作回归理性。交易监管有助 于引导市场行稳致远,主题轮动节奏加快,看好具备强需求支撑且产业催化密集的低位科技方向,如国 产算力、新型电网、机器人、内需消费。 盘面上,电网设备股再度爆发,汉缆股份、森源电气2连板,保变电气等超10股涨停;贵金属板块走强, 招金黄金、四川黄金双双涨停;旅游板块升温,九华旅游涨停;商业航天概念局部回暖,九鼎新材等涨停; 此外,海南、军工、化工、油气、机器人等板块盘中均有所表现。下跌方面,AI应用方向走低,互联 网、文化传媒、AI医疗等方向跌幅居前。个股方面,海格通信连续3日跌停,三维通信、视觉中国等多 股跌停;此外,大金融、半导体等方向跌幅居前。 焦点个股方面,锋龙股份复牌涨停,连续14个交易日实现涨停,2025年12月17日以来截至目前累计大涨 280%。 点评:华泰证券研报称,国网4万亿投资,利好电网设备商。看好全国统一电力市场建 ...
收评:创业板指冲高回落跌0.7%,贵金属、电网设备板块集体走强
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 07:16
Core Viewpoint - The stock market showed mixed performance on January 19, with the Shanghai Composite Index performing strongly while the ChiNext Index experienced a pullback [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.71 trillion yuan, a decrease of 317.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,500 stocks in the market saw an increase in their prices [1] Sector Highlights - The electric grid equipment sector experienced a significant surge, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Baobian Electric, China West Electric, and Guangdian Electric [1] - The robotics sector showed volatility but ultimately rose, with stocks like Wuzhou New Spring and Riying Electronics reaching the daily limit [1] - The precious metals sector had notable gains, with Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold also hitting the daily limit [1] - The tourism and hotel sector strengthened, with stocks such as Dalian Shengya and Jiuhua Tourism reaching the daily limit [1] - The commercial aerospace sector was active in parts, with stocks like Jinding New Materials and Yuexiu Capital hitting the daily limit, while Chaojie Co. saw an increase of over 15% [1] Declining Sectors - The CPO sector faced a downturn, with Cambridge Technology hitting the daily limit down, and both Tengjing Technology and Guangxun Technology experiencing declines [1] Index Performance - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1]
有色金属行业周报(2026.1.12-2026.1.18):有色板块25年业绩快报亮眼,关注业绩释放打开上行空间-20260119
Western Securities· 2026-01-19 07:15
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting strong performance and potential for upward momentum in earnings [1][4][5]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown significant growth, with notable increases in net profits for companies like Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the impact of macroeconomic factors, including U.S. inflation rates and China's monetary policy adjustments, on the industry [2][3][17]. - The ongoing demand for rare earth products and the strategic importance of metals like tungsten and lithium are highlighted as key investment opportunities [51][52][53]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.48 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 3.03% [10]. - Key stocks such as Hunan Silver and Silver Industry saw significant gains, while others like Youyan Powder Materials faced declines [10]. Key Focus Areas - U.S. CPI increased by 2.7% year-on-year in December 2025, influencing market expectations for interest rate adjustments [16]. - The People's Bank of China announced measures to support economic growth through monetary policy, which may benefit the non-ferrous metals sector [17][18]. - China's foreign trade reached a record high of 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, indicating robust demand for exports [19]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a net profit increase of 116.67% to 134.60% in 2025, driven by effective inventory management and increased sales [20][21]. - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit growth of 47.80% to 53.71%, attributed to rising product prices and effective cost control [22]. Metal Prices and Inventory Changes - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are experiencing price fluctuations, with copper prices at $12,803 per ton and aluminum at $3,134 per ton [23][25]. - Lithium carbonate prices have risen to 153,100 yuan per ton, reflecting strong demand in the energy metal sector [44]. Strategic Metals - Tungsten prices are on the rise, with strategic initiatives in place to support the industry, including government policies aimed at enhancing the rare earth supply chain [51][52][53].
收评:沪指涨0.29% 贵金属板块全天强势
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-01-19 07:11
中国经济网北京1月19日讯 A股三大指数今日涨跌不一,截至收盘,上证指数报4114.00点,涨幅 0.29%,成交额11901.38亿元;深证成指报14294.05点,涨幅0.09%,成交额15182.11亿元;创业板指报 3337.61点,跌幅0.70%,成交额7091.56亿元。 板块方面,贵金属、电网设备、旅游及酒店等涨幅居前,文化传媒、软件开发、通信设备等跌幅居 前。 A股市场板块涨跌幅排行 | 序号 | 板块 | 涨跌幅(%)▼ | 总成交量(万手) = 总成交额(亿元) ▼ | | 净流入(亿元) ▼ | 上涨家数 | 下跌家数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 贵金属 | 5.39 | 973.88 | 197.06 | 15.59 | 10 | 0 | | 2 | 电网设备 | 5.23 | 7554.50 | 1166.13 | 55.68 | 134 | ਦੇ | | 3 | 旅游及酒店 | 3.13 | 993.67 | 113.84 | 12.35 | 33 | 2 | | 4 | 农化制品 | 2.94 ...
特朗普或目标加拿大国际银探高
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-19 06:55
今日周一(1月19日)欧盘时段,国际白银目前交投于92.97一线上方,今日开盘于91.01美元/盎司,截至发稿,国际白银暂 报93.46美元/盎司,上涨3.92%,最高触及94.07美元/盎司,最低下探90.98美元/盎司,目前来看,国际白银盘内短线偏 向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 据两位美国官员、一位高级政府官员和三位熟悉相关讨论的前美国高级官员透露,特朗普私下里正加紧关注西半球的另 一个目标,近几周来,他不断向助手抱怨加拿大在北极地区容易受到美国对手的威胁。 官员表示,在特朗普的顾问们努力实现其吞并格陵兰岛的目标之际,特朗普私下里越来越担心加拿大同样无力捍卫其边 界,他特别指出加拿大需要增加国防开支。他们表示,特朗普的推动加速了美国内部关于更广泛的北极战略的讨论,并 可能在今年与加拿大达成协议,以加强其北部边界的防御。 白银价格在早盘中上涨,攻击关键阻力,准备创历史新高,受益于相对强弱指标的积极信号,此前在达到超卖高点后, 短期内主看涨趋势占据主导,且持续活跃支撑,表现为交易高于EMA50。进一步增强了未来期延续涨幅的可能性。 短期重点支撑在90-91美元大关,之上保持多头强势;然后就是上周反复强调的86- ...
电网股爆发,多股20CM涨停,A股诞生多只翻倍股,加密货币超24万人爆仓
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-19 04:02
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a morning surge followed by a pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points. By the morning close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.64%, with 3381 stocks in the market rising [1][2]. Electric Grid Equipment Sector - The electric grid equipment sector saw a surge, with stocks like Double杰电气 hitting the daily limit and 亿能电力 rising over 20%. The State Grid announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on technological innovation and new power system construction. This investment is expected to create a full industry chain effect, benefiting five major sectors including ultra-high voltage and distribution network upgrades [3][4]. Commercial Aerospace and Photovoltaic Sectors - The commercial aerospace concept showed active performance, with stocks like 九鼎新材 and 越秀资本 hitting the daily limit. The photovoltaic sector also saw significant gains, particularly in the space photovoltaic direction, with 赛伍技术 reaching the daily limit. However, warnings about potential bubbles in this sector were noted, as several leading photovoltaic companies announced expected losses exceeding 28.9 billion yuan for 2025 [4]. Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector was active, with 四川黄金 rising over 9% and other gold stocks like 招金黄金 and 西部黄金 also performing well. International gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with gold prices exceeding $4690 per ounce and silver prices surpassing $94 per ounce. Domestic gold jewelry prices also saw significant increases, with some brands raising prices by 24 yuan per gram in a single day [4]. Declining Stocks - The CPO concept experienced a downturn, with AI applications, semiconductors, and cultivated diamonds showing significant declines. 包钢股份 opened with a drop of 5.6% following a tragic explosion incident at its plant, resulting in casualties and injuries. 容百科技 faced a 20% limit down due to an investigation by the securities regulatory authority for misleading statements [5]. Doubling Stocks - Several stocks in the A-share market have doubled in value, including 易点天下 and 志特新材, which saw increases of over 100% and 138%, respectively. The semiconductor stock 珂玛科技, despite a drop of over 3% recently, had a cumulative increase of over 159% in the past 26 trading days [6][8]. Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market faced a downturn, with major cryptocurrencies experiencing significant declines, leading to over 240,000 liquidations and a total liquidation amount of $864 million [9].
午评:沪指半日涨0.13% 贵金属板块涨幅居前
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-01-19 03:48
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.13% while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index experienced minor declines of 0.01% and 0.64% respectively [1] Market Performance - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index stood at 4107.18 points, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14280.05 points, and the ChiNext Index at 3339.56 points [1] - The top-performing sectors included precious metals, electric grid equipment, and tourism and hotels, while insurance, cultural media, and education sectors faced declines [1] Sector Performance Rankings - The highest gainers included: - Higher Education: +4.16% with a total trading volume of 654.26 million hands and a net inflow of 12.18 billion [2] - Electric Grid Equipment: +3.90% with a trading volume of 5656.84 million hands and a net inflow of 48.71 billion [2] - Tourism and Hotels: +2.73% with a trading volume of 670.06 million hands and a net inflow of 10.37 billion [2] - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Insurance: -1.34% with a trading volume of 126.98 million hands and a net outflow of 6.28 billion [2] - Cultural Media: -1.23% with a trading volume of 2861.13 million hands and a net inflow of 11.47 billion [2] - Education: -1.22% with a trading volume of 369.38 million hands and a net outflow of 3.56 billion [2]
A股午评 | 创业板指跌0.64% 高位题材持续退潮 锋龙股份14连板大涨近3倍
智通财经网· 2026-01-19 03:46
国泰海通认为,近期涨幅较大且引发投资者热议的商业航天/GEO等主题炒作回归理性。交易监管有助 于引导市场行稳致远,主题轮动节奏加快,看好具备强需求支撑且产业催化密集的低位科技方向,如国 产算力、新型电网、机器人、内需消费。 热门板块 1月19日,A股早盘缩量分化,沪指围绕4100点附近震荡,半日成交额1.79万亿,较上个交易日缩量1985 亿。截至午间收盘,沪指涨0.13%,深成指跌0.01%,创业板指跌0.64%。 盘面上,市场风格切换,电网设备股再度爆发,板块内超10股涨停,汉缆股份、森源电气2连板;旅游 板块走高,九华旅游涨停;贵金属概念活跃,四川黄金涨超9%;商业航天概念局部回暖,九鼎新材、 越秀资本双双涨停;机器人概念拉升,锋龙股份复牌涨停,连续14个交易日实现涨停,2025年12月17日 以来截至目前,锋龙股份累计大涨280%。下跌方面,AI应用方向走低,互联网、文化传媒、AI医疗等 方向跌幅居前。个股方面,海格通信连续3日跌停,三维通信、视觉中国等多股跌停;此外,大金融、 半导体等方向跌幅居前。 展望后市,中信证券认为,融资保证金的调整并不影响市场震荡上行的大方向,但会影响结构。 3、贵金属概念 ...