苏文杰 (2) 0000 01 今年初，以DeepSeek为代表的一系列科技进展，一度引发中国资产价值重估。对于当前中国科技股的 表现，苏文杰仍然持乐观态度。 他表示："在科技股中已经有些细分板块表现得非常亮眼。硬件方面，我们比较关注自主可控相关行 业，半导体是一个很好的例子。此外，鉴于中国、日本和韩国都有望在接下来的50年间缩减大量的劳动 力密集型产业，因此人形机器人或者自动化生产相关板块会涌现巨大的机遇。" 软件方面，现阶段苏文杰更关注AI模型发展中能够提升生产效率的方向。他解释道，类似于移动互联 网，AI大模型同样可以划分为三个发展阶段：第一阶段是部署开发相应的基础设施，包括数据中心、 半导体设备等；第二阶段主要关注产品和服务开发的效能提升，即增加生产效率；第三阶段，将会有一 些头部公司取得突破性发展，进一步推动技术的大幅进步。 ◎记者 汪友若 "外国投资者对于中国市场的信心正在恢复，部分已经回到中性的看法，有些则已经重新调整为高配。 我仍然看好中国市场的表现。在亚太地区内，我们认为中国和印度市场都将维持上升的态势。"日前， 摩根大通亚太区股票研究部主管苏文杰（James Sullivan）在接受上海证 ...

在乐聚机器人苏州生产车间，"夸父"人形机器人沿流水线完成组装、调试和校验后，即被装入运输箱发往客 户。 乐聚（苏州）机器人技术有限公司总经理王松称，当下基本下线一台交付一台。据悉，乐聚去年交付量100 台，今年一季度订单量增长200%，预计全年总交付量将达千台级别。 ▍ 市场爆火的行情下 企业订单已供不应求 人形机器人行业"爆单"并非乐聚独有。宇树创始人王兴兴公开表示，包括宇树在内的人形机器人企业订单良 好。尽管宇树对自身出货和订单数据保密，公开招投标信息却侧面印证其需求热度。天眼查数据显示，宇树今 年截至目前中标25个公开采购项目，接近2024年全年32次中标总量。 因人形机器人马拉松出名的松延动力，其N2机器人"小孩哥"大定数量超1000台。松延动力生态战略启动大会 上，各地渠道商、代理商、集成商及投资机构到场。公司称，近期各省及海外均有代理商接洽。一季度订单量 上涨200%的乐聚机器人，还在美国、中东、欧洲等地交付海外客户。 产业链企业也感受到人形机器人订单增长。机器人核心部件厂商步科股份董秘刘耘称，单一人形机器人客户去 年电机订单需求百台到千台，今年订单过万，公司正积极部署相关系列产品。傲意科技表示， ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius indicated that the recent US-China Geneva negotiations exceeded expectations, but uncertainties regarding US tariff policies remain significant, negatively impacting US economic growth [1] - Hatzius emphasized that trade between nations is not a zero-sum game, which is crucial for economic decision-makers to understand [1] - The firm noted that after the US-China trade negotiations, risks are gradually being released, and there is potential for valuation recovery in the e-commerce sector [2] Group 2: Industry-Specific Analysis - Goldman Sachs Asian Internet Research Head Ronald Keung pointed out that the potential adjustment of small package tax exemption policies by multiple countries could impact the e-commerce industry [2] - Goldman Sachs Asian Pharmaceutical Research Head Ziyi Chen analyzed that the US tariff measures on pharmaceuticals are filled with uncertainties, but the impact on China's pharmaceutical industry is limited, although supply chain costs may increase [2] - Goldman Sachs Industrial Technology Analyst Jacqueline Du discussed the development stage and competitive advantages of humanoid robots in China, noting that the industry is currently in the commercialization phase [3] Group 3: Automotive Sector Insights - Goldman Sachs Automotive Analyst Tina Hou observed that the competition in China's new energy vehicle market has entered a deep-water phase, with price wars still ongoing despite a slight narrowing in price reductions compared to last year [3] - The peak of capacity expansion in the new energy vehicle market has passed, but the "elimination race" among over 50 competing car manufacturers is still ongoing [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Goldman Sachs Chief China Equity Strategist Kinger Lau highlighted that despite ongoing external pressures, the resilience of Chinese assets is becoming increasingly evident, driven by domestic demand and policy support [3] - The firm noted that the structural opportunities for consumption upgrades and industrial transformation are being propelled by dual forces of domestic demand and policy incentives [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a collective increase, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising by 0.14% and the corresponding ETF (588870) gaining 0.1%, indicating active trading with a turnover rate exceeding 8.5% [1] - The Sci-Tech 50 Index ETF has experienced a continuous decline for 7 days, but has seen accelerated capital inflow during this period, with a total net inflow exceeding 51 million yuan and a net inflow rate of over 29% [1] - Over the past 60 days, the ETF has received a net subscription of more than 127 million yuan, reflecting strong investor interest [1] Group 2 - A meeting on May 27 emphasized the importance of cooperation between China and Europe in the semiconductor supply chain, with representatives from over 40 companies participating [3] - The meeting highlighted China's commitment to expanding high-level openness and providing a stable policy environment for semiconductor enterprises, aiming to enhance mutual advantages and combat unilateralism [3] - The majority of the Sci-Tech 50 Index ETF's constituent stocks, including Cambricon, Chipone, and others, showed slight increases, with gains within 1% [3] Group 3 - Guosen Securities noted that the electronics industry is benefiting from the rise of DeepSeek and demand from domestic subsidies for home appliances and mobile phones, indicating a high level of prosperity in the sector [4] - The ongoing tariff disputes are expected to ease, leading to increased overseas order procurement and inventory reserves, contributing to an upward trend in the industry [4] - Guosen Securities remains optimistic about the electronics sector's valuation expansion in 2025, supported by strong fundamentals and macroeconomic policies [4] Group 4 - Huawei and Tencent Cloud have signed cooperation agreements with humanoid robot companies to accelerate the application of embodied intelligence in various scenarios [5] - The partnerships aim to enhance product technology development and promote the efficiency of humanoid robots in industrial and domestic settings [5] - The involvement of major tech companies is expected to expedite the deployment of humanoid robots across multiple applications, suggesting potential investment opportunities in related chip companies [5] Group 5 - The Sci-Tech 50 Index ETF (588870) has outperformed its benchmark index with a return of 1.32% since its launch on January 27, while the Sci-Tech 50 Index itself has seen a decline of 0.43% [6] - The ETF includes the 50 largest and most liquid stocks on the Sci-Tech board, covering sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, and computer technology [6] - The ETF boasts low management and custody fees, making it an attractive option for investors [6]

Core Insights - Nantong Economic and Technological Development Zone has successfully attracted 7 foreign investment projects, exceeding the progress expected for the first quarter, with a total of 25 key projects signed, including 13 projects with over 100 million yuan in investment [1] - The development zone aims to sign over 80 key projects with investments of 5 million yuan or more throughout the year, including at least 5 projects with investments exceeding 50 million yuan [3] Group 1: Investment Attraction Strategies - The development zone has implemented ten key measures to enhance its investment attraction strategy, focusing on "running, visiting, and monitoring" to draw in projects [1] - Investment promotion staff are actively visiting multiple cities to explore potential projects, with a focus on the "3+1" leading industries, including humanoid robots and automotive parts [2] - A biomass materials project with a total investment of 1 billion yuan was successfully signed after extensive engagement with the company, demonstrating the effectiveness of proactive outreach [2] Group 2: Business Environment and Support - The development zone is committed to creating the best business environment by addressing the urgent needs of enterprises through initiatives like "mobile service halls" and small business teams [4] - A shipbuilding enterprise in the zone has plans for additional investment of nearly 200 million USD, facilitated by the development zone's quick response to their needs [4] - The zone has attracted over 1,000 foreign-invested enterprises, including more than 90 Fortune 500 companies, indicating significant growth potential for existing businesses [5] Group 3: Future Development and Project Selection - The Nantong development zone is rapidly filling its initial 3,000 acres of industrial land, with plans for an additional 8,000 acres in a new future industry park [6] - The zone is focused on attracting projects that align with its future-oriented vision, emphasizing high productivity and quality [6] - Various initiatives, including international trade cooperation and talent roadshows, are being organized to promote investment in targeted sectors [6] Group 4: Leadership and Commitment - The leadership of the Nantong development zone emphasizes a proactive approach to investment attraction, urging staff to become pioneers in securing large-scale projects [7]

Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a sideways trend with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a slight decline of 0.02% and a continuous decrease in trading volume, indicating a horizontal consolidation phase [1][2] - There is a potential for a short-term market reversal as the current three-day consolidation pattern may signal a change, although the direction of this change remains uncertain [1][2] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is cautious, with no clear signals indicating a change in the current downward trend, which is characterized by "slow decline and rapid rise" [2][5] - If the market continues to decline, it may lead to sudden rebounds, but these opportunities may be difficult to capitalize on due to low trading volumes [2][5] Sector Performance - Overall sector performance is weak, with two main themes emerging: controllable nuclear fusion stocks and consumer sectors, particularly pharmaceuticals and beverage manufacturing, which are performing relatively well [3] - The high-dividend sectors may gain strength if the market remains weak, but currently, the controllable nuclear fusion sector appears to be slightly outperforming [3] Specific Sector Insights - The humanoid robotics and semiconductor sectors are under scrutiny, with humanoid robotics showing a typical downward trend despite occasional intraday rebounds [4] - Investors are advised to be cautious when seeking entry points in sectors exhibiting downward trends, and to wait for confirmation signals before making decisions [4] ETF Performance - Food and Beverage ETF (515170) has seen a decline of 1.34% over the past five days, with a market capitalization of 5.58 billion and a net inflow of 7.009 million [7] - Gaming ETF (159869) has not shown a recent change in price, with a market capitalization of 5.64 billion and a net inflow of 16.344 million [7] - Semiconductor ETF (588170) has experienced a slight decline of 0.31% with a market capitalization of 2.6 billion and a net outflow of 5.021 million [7] - Cloud Computing ETF (516630) has declined by 1.83% with a market capitalization of 5.5 billion and a net outflow of 1.938 million [8]

Core Insights - The "2025 Deep Blue Media Think Tank Annual Forum" was held in Beijing, focusing on the role of professional media in promoting domestic consumption and the integration of media and finance [1][3] - The Deep Blue Media Think Tank, part of the Beijing Daily Media Group, has published 30 reports and organized 31 salons since its establishment in 2023, aiming to enhance its influence in the finance sector [3] - The forum's theme was "Innovative Consumption Power, Unified Big Market," featuring discussions on high-quality development paths in tourism, liquor, and catering industries, along with the release of six annual reports on various hot topics [3][4] Group 1 - The forum provided a high-end platform for elites to exchange ideas and share experiences, focusing on the high-quality development of the consumption market [4] - The Deep Blue Think Tank aims to bridge gaps in various industries by conducting in-depth research and providing recommendations to boost consumption and expand domestic demand [3][4] - The event gathered hundreds of guests from various sectors to explore practical solutions for stimulating consumption and promoting innovation [3][4] Group 2 - The forum utilized a "theme + topic" format to delve into cutting-edge issues in consumption, tourism, liquor, and catering, showcasing the responsibilities of media think tanks in the new era [4] - The Deep Blue Think Tank plans to continue leveraging its media advantages to transform research findings into actionable cases and reports, contributing to market potential and economic development in Beijing [3][4]

海外人形机器人行业 2025 年中期策略 20250527 摘要 人形机器人市场潜力巨大，预计到 2035 年中美两国年产值将达千亿元 级别，工信部视其为继计算机、智能手机、新能源汽车后的颠覆性产品， 预示着长期战略投资价值。 中资公司深度参与人形机器人供应链，尤其在宇树科技链和智元机器人 链中占据主导地位，相较外资企业，中资零部件公司凭借技术突破和产 能释放，增长弹性更被看好，未来业绩有望显著提升。 万得人形机器人指数显示，海外及内地上市的中资公司股价表现优于外 资，反映市场投资风格差异及中资公司潜在业绩弹性，但短期股价波动 受事件、政策及资金面影响较大。 人形机器人产业结构分为整机、大脑、执行器和传感器四大类，中资在 整机和零部件领域与外资旗鼓相当，重点关注越疆优必选等产品企业， 金力永磁、敏实集团等执行器部件企业，以及速腾聚创、禾赛科技等传 感器企业。 股价波动受多重因素影响：技术突破、产品发布及量产进度构成事件驱 动；政策支持对行业发展至关重要；资金因素如换手率和港股通利好消 息均能推动股价上涨。 Q&A 2025 年全球人形机器人行业的量产情况如何？ 2025 年是全球人形机器人行业的量产元年，主要 ...

Market Performance - On Tuesday, A-shares experienced a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.18% to 3340.69 points, the Shenzhen Composite Index down by 0.29%, the ChiNext Index down by 0.35%, and the STAR 50 Index down by 0.95%. In contrast, the Northern Stock Exchange 50 Index rose by 0.08% [1] Monetary Policy - The central bank has been actively injecting liquidity into the market, conducting a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 382 billion yuan on Monday, resulting in a net injection of 247 billion yuan after 135 billion yuan of reverse repos matured. On Tuesday, another operation of 448 billion yuan was conducted, leading to a net injection of 91 billion yuan after 357 billion yuan matured [2] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 1.4% increase in profits for industrial enterprises above designated size from January to April, which is an improvement of 0.6 percentage points compared to the 0.8% growth from January to March. Specifically, profits in April rose by 3.0% year-on-year, surpassing the 2.6% increase in March. However, the profit data may be distorted due to significant export and import activities during the period of heightened US-China tariff discussions, leading to a muted market reaction [3] Market Outlook - Despite the generally favorable news, the impact on the market is expected to be limited. The market is likely to maintain a balanced and fluctuating pattern, with investors advised to hold their positions and observe [4]

Group 1 - China's aviation engine "Taihang 2" pure hydrogen gas turbine has achieved a cumulative operation time of over 7000 hours for the first unit and over 5000 hours for the second unit, marking a successful commercialization of the 2MW pure hydrogen gas turbine [2] - The low-altitude economy is driving the popularity of drone pilots, with over 225,000 registered drone pilot licenses in China as of June 2024, and more than 2000 training institutions available [3] - Shenzhen has established its first pharmaceutical and medical device industry overseas joint venture, aiming to create a platform for local companies to connect with global markets [4] Group 2 - China's marine economy has surpassed 10 trillion yuan for the first time, showing a growth of 5.9% compared to the previous year, with the marine engineering equipment manufacturing sector maintaining the largest global market share for seven consecutive years [5] - The first large-scale lithium-sodium hybrid energy storage station in China has been put into operation, with a capacity of 400 MWh and a green energy ratio of 98% [6] - The Yukun high-speed railway's Ningjingli tunnel has been safely completed, contributing to the construction of the railway with 40 tunnels already completed in the Yunnan section [7][8] Group 3 - Yunding Technology has launched an industrial vision intelligent all-in-one machine in collaboration with Ascend, featuring high computing power and supporting over 100 channels of 1080P video processing [9] - A Chinese team has overcome challenges in the large-scale production of third-generation photovoltaic technology, achieving stable mass production of perovskite solar cells [10] - QQ Browser has introduced an AI tool named "AI Gao Kao Tong" to assist students in exam preparation and college application processes [11] Group 4 - Market rumors suggest that Sais Technology's humanoid robot prototype is ready for demonstration, although the company has not confirmed this information [12] - U.S. President Trump has threatened to impose tariffs of 50% on the EU and 25% on Apple, causing declines in Apple stock and U.S. stock futures [13] - Experts have commented on the impracticality of relocating iPhone production to the U.S., citing high costs and potential price increases for consumers [14] Group 5 - Japan's consumer price index for rice has seen a dramatic increase of 98.4% year-on-year in April, marking the highest increase since 1971 [15] - Nissan is considering selling its Yokohama headquarters as part of its restructuring plan, which may incur an additional 60 billion yen (approximately 418 million USD) in costs [16] - Elon Musk praised Google's new AI video generation model, Veo 3, during a developer conference, while also announcing his return to a 24/7 work schedule [17]