Core Viewpoint - Shandong feed giant Bangji Technology announced the termination of a major asset restructuring plan to acquire equity stakes in seven companies held by Riverstone Farm Pte. Ltd. just one day after stating that the transaction was actively progressing [1][2][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition plan aimed to purchase 100% equity stakes in six agricultural companies and 80% equity in a consulting firm, with a total estimated valuation exceeding 600 million yuan [2][4][11]. - The termination was attributed to the inability to reach a final agreement after multiple negotiations with the counterpart [2][6]. Group 2: Business Context - Bangji Technology's move to extend into the downstream breeding industry was seen as a critical step to create a "feed + breeding" vertical integration chain amid fierce competition and declining performance in the feed sector [2][8]. - The company has faced significant pressure in its main business, with net profits decreasing from 110 million yuan in 2022 to an estimated 51 million yuan in 2024 [8][10]. Group 3: Market Implications - The failed acquisition reflects broader challenges in the feed industry, where companies are increasingly looking to integrate vertically to enhance profitability and operational efficiency [10][11]. - The stock price of Bangji Technology experienced volatility, with significant increases prior to the announcement of the restructuring and subsequent declines following the termination [12].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold prices are oscillating above $4,100, with signs of bottom - fishing allocation. The end of the US government shutdown and the potential December interest - rate cut will be points of long - short game. Short - term gold will continue to oscillate [2][11]. - The market for stock index futures is in weak oscillation. The implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the full release of 500 billion yuan in new policy - based financial instruments have an impact on the market. It is recommended to evenly allocate long positions in various stock indices [13][14]. - The US labor market is slowing down, causing the dollar index to decline in the short term [3][17]. - The performance of US stock index futures is mixed. CoreWeave's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, but the full - year revenue forecast was lowered. The 10 - month ADP private - sector employment decreased by 45,000. The market is expected to be volatile at a high level, and a bullish approach is recommended [19][20]. - The bond market for treasury bond futures lacks a clear direction. It is recommended to pay appropriate attention to strategies such as positive arbitrage and widening basis spreads [23][24]. - For agricultural products like soybeans, the market expects the US soybean yield to be lowered. Brazilian soybean exports in November are expected to increase. It is recommended to pay attention to the USDA monthly supply - demand report [26][28]. - For black metals such as coking coal and coke, the spot price of coking coal is supported, but the iron - water decline and high downstream inventory put pressure on the market. It is expected to oscillate in the short term [4][29]. - For agricultural products like edible oils, palm oil needs to pay attention to November high - frequency data, and rapeseed oil can continue to focus on the 1 - 5 positive spread [30][31]. - For red dates, the purchase price in the production area has slightly decreased. It is recommended to wait and see until the harvest is completed [32][33]. - For steel products, steel prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short term. It is recommended to adopt an oscillating mindset [35][37]. - For cotton, the price in Brazil has reached a 16 - year low. The cotton market in China is expected to oscillate in the short term and be cautiously bullish in the long term [37][40]. - For live pigs, the fourth - quarter price decline pressure is large. It is recommended to short on sharp rebounds and buy far - month contracts at low prices [43][44]. - For thermal coal, the coal price is expected to remain high in winter but difficult to break through the 900 - yuan pressure level [45][46]. - For iron ore, the price is expected to oscillate weakly, waiting for demand improvement [47][48]. - For polysilicon, it has entered the critical point of policy - and fundamental - face game. It is recommended to pay attention to short - selling opportunities at high prices [49][51]. - For industrial silicon, it is recommended to buy at low prices and take profits at high positions [53][54]. - For lead, the industrial sector can look for short - selling hedging opportunities at high positions in the medium term [56][57]. - For zinc, observe the short - term short - selling trend and consider positive spread arbitrage opportunities [58]. - For nickel, it is recommended to wait and see in the short term and look for long - buying opportunities after the inventory accumulation inflection point [60]. - For lithium carbonate, it is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term and look for short - selling opportunities at high prices in the medium term [61][64]. - For crude oil, it is expected to maintain an oscillating trend in the short term [66][67]. - For carbon emissions, the short - term support for CEA is strong [67][68]. - For pulp, the upward risk of the pulp market is increasing [69][70]. - For container freight rates, it is recommended to consider long - buying opportunities for the 02 contract at low prices [72]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - The US continues to implement the trade negotiation agreement. The global largest gold ETF's holdings increased by 4.3 tons. Gold prices oscillated above $4,100. It is expected to oscillate in the short term [10][11]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - The central bank released the Q3 2025 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report, emphasizing a moderately loose monetary policy. 500 billion yuan in new policy - based financial instruments have been fully released. The market is in weak oscillation. It is recommended to evenly allocate long positions in various stock indices [13][14]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - The French central bank expects the economy to grow slightly in Q4. The US labor market is slowing down, causing the dollar index to decline in the short term [16][17]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - CoreWeave's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, but the full - year revenue forecast was lowered. The 10 - month ADP private - sector employment decreased by 45,000. The market is expected to be volatile at a high level, and a bullish approach is recommended [19][20]. 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank carried out a 403.8 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation. The bond market lacks a clear direction. It is recommended to pay appropriate attention to strategies such as positive arbitrage and widening basis spreads [23][24]. 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - Brazil exported 117.7 million tons of soybeans in the first week of November. The market expects the US soybean yield to be lowered to 53.1 bushels per acre. It is recommended to pay attention to the USDA monthly supply - demand report [26][28]. 3.2.2 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The online auction price of coking coal in Changzhi Qinyuan increased. The spot price of coking coal is supported, but the iron - water decline and high downstream inventory put pressure on the market. It is expected to oscillate in the short term [29]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - The US soybean crushing profit decreased. The palm oil market needs to pay attention to November high - frequency data, and the rapeseed oil market can continue to focus on the 1 - 5 positive spread [30][31]. 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The purchase price of red dates in the production area has slightly decreased. It is recommended to wait and see until the harvest is completed [32][33]. 3.2.5 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - China's automobile production and sales increased in October. Thailand imposed anti - dumping duties on Chinese H - shaped hot - rolled steel. Steel prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [34][35]. 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - Brazilian cotton prices reached a 16 - year low. The cotton market in China is expected to oscillate in the short term and be cautiously bullish in the long term [37][40]. 3.2.7 Agricultural Products (Live Pigs) - Zhongliang Jiajikang's live - pig sales volume increased by 25% in October. The fourth - quarter price decline pressure is large. It is recommended to short on sharp rebounds and buy far - month contracts at low prices [41][44]. 3.2.8 Black Metals (Thermal Coal) - The price difference between imported and domestic thermal coal exists. The coal price is expected to remain high in winter but difficult to break through the 900 - yuan pressure level [45][46]. 3.2.9 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - CSN's Q3 iron ore sales reached a record high. The iron - ore price is expected to oscillate weakly, waiting for demand improvement [47][48]. 3.2.10 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Many silicon wafer enterprises reduced prices. Polysilicon has entered the critical point of policy - and fundamental - face game. It is recommended to pay attention to short - selling opportunities at high prices [49][51]. 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The Inner Mongolia Xingfa industrial silicon project is progressing orderly. It is recommended to buy at low prices and take profits at high positions [52][54]. 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead inventory increased. The industrial sector can look for short - selling hedging opportunities at high positions in the medium term [55][57]. 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME zinc cash - to - three - month spread increased. Observe the short - term short - selling trend and consider positive spread arbitrage opportunities [58]. 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Indonesia plans to lower the 2026 nickel production target. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and look for long - buying opportunities after the inventory accumulation inflection point [59][60]. 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Brazil's lithium concentrate exports decreased significantly in October. Lithium carbonate is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term and look for short - selling opportunities at high prices in the medium term [61][64]. 3.2.16 Energy and Chemicals (Crude Oil) - US sanctions on a Russian oil company may affect European countries' inventory replenishment. Crude oil is expected to maintain an oscillating trend in the short term [65][67]. 3.2.17 Energy and Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - The CEA price increased. The short - term support for CEA is strong [67][68]. 3.2.18 Energy and Chemicals (Pulp) - The price of imported wood pulp increased. The upward risk of the pulp market is increasing [69][70]. 3.2.19 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rates) - Hapag - Lloyd will impose a peak - season surcharge. It is recommended to consider long - buying opportunities for the 02 contract at low prices [71][72].

Core Viewpoint - The support from the central government for the private economy is clear and firm, boosting confidence and motivation for entrepreneurship in the industry [2] Group 1: Company Development - The company, founded in 1992, has grown from 22 piglets to the world's largest pig farming enterprise, with an annual output of 70 million pigs [2] - The company emphasizes aligning its development with national needs, particularly in supporting the country's food security strategy by promoting grain-saving actions in livestock farming [2] - The company has adopted innovative breeding techniques, reducing reliance on imported breeding stock and achieving cost reduction and efficiency improvement [2] Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company has implemented advanced air filtration systems in pig farms, which not only prevent diseases but also address environmental concerns related to odor [3] - A digital farming model has been established, where waste from pig farming is converted into organic fertilizer and biogas, promoting a circular economy [3] Group 3: Industry Collaboration - The company is working to professionalize pig farming by providing breeding stock, feed, and technical support to small farmers, thus creating a shared prosperity model [4][5] - The company plans to supply 10 million discounted piglets to support 6,300 farming households this year [5] Group 4: Legal and Regulatory Environment - The implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law is seen as a positive step towards creating a better business environment, with the company committed to legal and responsible operations as it grows [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing increasing supply pressure of live pigs as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. In October 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 11.69 yuan/kg, down 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, up 10.40% month-on-month and 9.55% year-on-year. The actual output in October exceeded the planned output by 5.70%, but the planned output for November is expected to decrease by 3.27% compared to October [3][14][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The supply pressure of live pigs is gradually accumulating as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. The average selling price in October 2025 was 11.69 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease [3][14] - The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, indicating a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55% [3][14] Market Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the slaughter structure was 4.89%, which is lower than the same period in 2024. The stock of large pigs is expected to increase, leading to a more relaxed supply in the future [4][18] - The winter pork consumption is expected to improve, which may drive the price difference between lean and fatty pork. However, the high inventory rate of frozen products may suppress future prices [4][19][23] Financial Performance - In October, the industry faced deepening losses, with self-breeding losses reaching 167.97 yuan per head. The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month [5][24] - The average selling price of major listed pig companies decreased month-on-month, with prices ranging from 10.97 to 11.87 yuan/kg, reflecting declines of 9.9% to 13.9% [6][7][34]

Core Viewpoint - Shandong feed giant Bangji Technology has decided to terminate its major asset restructuring plan to acquire equity stakes in seven companies held by Riverstone Farm Pte. Ltd. after failing to reach an agreement during negotiations [2][5][6]. Group 1: Termination of Restructuring - The board of Bangji Technology approved the termination of the major asset restructuring plan, which involved acquiring 100% equity in six farming companies and 80% equity in a consulting firm [5][6]. - The termination was attributed to the inability to reach a consensus with the transaction counterpart, despite multiple negotiations [6][9]. - The company stated that the termination would not significantly impact its current operations or financial status [7]. Group 2: Industry Context and Challenges - Bangji Technology's decision to pursue this acquisition was driven by the need to extend its operations into the downstream breeding industry amid intense competition and declining performance in the feed sector [9][12]. - The company has faced a downward trend in net profits, with figures of 1.10 billion, 820 million, and 510 million for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, indicating a pressing need for business transformation [9][12]. - The acquisition was seen as a strategic move to create a vertically integrated supply chain, enhancing synergy between feed production and pig breeding [12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The feed industry is currently experiencing fierce competition, characterized by a shift towards a saturated market, which has intensified the pressure on companies like Bangji Technology [9][12]. - The targeted acquisition was expected to provide new profit growth points and a stable demand reservoir for the company's feed business [12]. - Previous attempts to acquire similar assets by other companies have faced challenges, often due to high pricing demands from sellers [12][13].

Group 1 - The company primarily focuses on pig farming business [2] - The investment losses in the associated company have been fully accounted for [2] - The associated company will not have a significant impact on the overall business development and operations of the listed company [2]

Core Insights - The pig farming industry is facing significant challenges as many companies are experiencing losses despite increased output during the traditional peak season for pig sales [1][2][3] - The average selling prices of pigs have dropped to their lowest levels of the year, leading to a situation where companies are selling pigs at a loss [3][5] - Companies with lower breeding costs are better positioned to withstand price declines, while those with higher costs are under severe financial pressure [5][6] Industry Performance - In October, major pig farming companies reported substantial increases in the number of pigs sold, with Muyuan Foods selling 7.076 million pigs (up 13.17% year-on-year) and Wens Foodstuffs selling 3.8928 million pigs (up 45.69% year-on-year) [2][3] - Despite the increase in sales volume, the average selling prices for major companies like Muyuan and Wens fell by approximately 32.73% and 34.41% year-on-year, respectively [3][4] Cost Dynamics - The cost of pig farming varies significantly among companies, with leading firms like Muyuan and Wens reporting costs below 12.5 yuan/kg, while others like Huazhong and Jinxinnong have costs exceeding 13.5 yuan/kg [5][6] - The industry is currently experiencing an overall loss, with average breeding costs maintained between 12.5 and 13 yuan/kg, and losses per pig reaching 161.69 yuan for self-breeding and 283.92 yuan for piglets [5][6] Future Outlook - The demand for pork is expected to increase as the southern regions begin their seasonal consumption, which may provide some support for prices in the coming months [4] - However, the overall price trend is expected to remain weak due to the cyclical nature of the pig market [4]

Core Viewpoint - The pig farming industry is undergoing a significant adjustment phase, with declining sales prices and a need for scientific capacity regulation and industry self-discipline to achieve high-quality development [1] Group 1: Price Trends - In October, the average sales price of pigs continued to decline, with New Hope Liuhe reporting a price of 11.28 yuan/kg, down 12.49% month-on-month and 35.06% year-on-year [2] - Jiangsu Lihua Food Group sold 192,500 pigs in October, generating revenue of 281 million yuan, with an average price of 11.98 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 4.94% and a year-on-year drop of 32.85% [2] - The decline in pig prices is attributed to increased supply, cautious market sentiment, and limited purchasing power from end consumers [2] Group 2: Profitability Outlook - Analysts suggest that the recovery of pig prices depends on three factors: orderly capacity reduction, seasonal consumption increase, and stable slaughtering rhythms to avoid panic selling [3] - Despite the challenges, the pig farming sector is expected to remain profitable in 2025, particularly in the first half due to lower feed costs and increased output from larger farms [4] - Although the third quarter of 2025 may see losses due to falling prices, a rebound in prices is anticipated in the fourth quarter, potentially offsetting some losses [4]

Core Viewpoint - Bangji Technology has announced the termination of its major asset restructuring plan with Riverstone Farm Pte. Ltd. due to failure to reach an agreement on the transaction terms, leading to a significant drop in its stock price prior to the announcement [2][8][9]. Summary by Sections Stock Performance - On November 10 and 11, Bangji Technology's stock price fell by 8.91% and 7.45% respectively, closing at 21.45 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 3.664 billion yuan as of November 11 [5][10]. Termination of Restructuring - The board of Bangji Technology approved the termination of the acquisition of 100% equity in several agricultural companies and 80% equity in a consulting firm from Riverstone, which was expected to constitute a related party transaction and a major asset restructuring [8][9]. Negotiation Efforts - Bangji Technology stated that it actively pursued the restructuring but could not reach a consensus with Riverstone after multiple negotiations, leading to the decision to terminate the transaction [9][10]. Future Implications - The company assured that the termination of the transaction would not have a significant adverse impact on its current operations or financial status, nor would it affect its future development strategy [13]. Business Focus - Bangji Technology primarily engages in the research, production, and sales of pig feed, aiming to extend its business into the downstream breeding industry to create a vertically integrated supply chain [12][15]. Financial Performance - As of the third quarter of 2025, Bangji Technology reported total assets of 3.219 billion yuan and equity attributable to shareholders of 1.362 billion yuan. The net profits for 2023, 2024, and the first three quarters of 2025 were 83.89 million yuan, 50.13 million yuan, and 106 million yuan respectively [15][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry for the third quarter of 2025 [2] Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector's net profit increased by 11% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with five sub-industries showing profit growth [16][17] - The overall performance of the sector declined in Q3 2025, with a 58% year-on-year drop in net profit, primarily due to significant losses in the breeding industry [18][19] - The pig farming sector faced a downturn with falling prices and a return to industry-wide losses, while the poultry sector showed mixed results with white feathered chickens stabilizing and yellow feathered chickens experiencing a significant decline [22][58] - The pet food segment continues to thrive domestically, although exports have been negatively impacted by increased tariffs [22][58] - The animal health sector benefited from high livestock inventory levels, leading to substantial revenue growth for companies in this space [22][58] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - The sector's net profit for Q1-Q3 2025 reached 369.4 billion, marking an 11% increase year-on-year [16] - In Q3 2025, the sector's net profit was 95.9 billion, reflecting a 58% decrease year-on-year and a 27% decrease quarter-on-quarter [18] 2. Key Sub-Industry Performance 2.1 Pig Farming - The pig farming sector's revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 3036.4 billion, with a 9.9% year-on-year increase, but Q3 saw a significant profit drop of 68.4% [22] - The average profit per head for self-bred pigs was approximately 60 yuan, with significant variations among companies [36][38] 2.2 Poultry Farming - White feathered chicken companies reported a revenue of 243.4 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit increase of 104.6% [64] - Yellow feathered chicken prices declined significantly, leading to a challenging market environment [58] 2.3 Pet Food - The pet food sector achieved a revenue of 103.0 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.7% [22] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, while exports to the U.S. have decreased by 25.6% due to tariffs [22] 2.4 Animal Health - The animal health sector's revenue reached 132.7 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, with a 70.2% increase in net profit [22] - New product launches have contributed to above-average growth for some companies in this sector [22]