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每日市场观察-20250930
Caida Securities· 2025-09-30 02:24
Market Performance - On September 29, the market showed strong performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.90%, the Shenzhen Component increasing by 2.05%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.74%[3] - The total trading volume reached 2.18 trillion yuan, a slight increase of approximately 10 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Analysis - Non-bank, non-ferrous metals, and electric equipment sectors led the gains, while coal, banking, social services, and oil sectors experienced slight declines[1] - The semiconductor equipment sector maintained strength, showing limited decline with significant gains near the market close, indicating strong stability in investor sentiment[2] Capital Flow - On September 29, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange were 35.651 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net inflows of 46.963 billion yuan[4] - The top three sectors for capital inflow were securities, batteries, and consumer electronics, while the sectors with the highest outflows were chemical pharmaceuticals, coal mining, and white goods[4] Economic Indicators - From January to August, state-owned enterprises reported total profits of 27,937.2 billion yuan, with total operating revenue of 539,620.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.2%[8] - The asset-liability ratio for state-owned enterprises was 65.2% at the end of August, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year[8] Industry Developments - China has built the world's largest and most comprehensive water conservancy infrastructure system, with 95,000 reservoirs and over 200 major water diversion projects completed by the end of 2024[5][9] - The automotive sector saw an import and export total of 25.81 billion USD in August, with a month-on-month increase of 3.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%[10]
国信证券晨会纪要-20250930
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-30 01:10
Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The report indicates that the valuation of electric equipment and semiconductors continues to be strong, with significant fluctuations in emerging industries, particularly in semiconductor and integrated circuit sectors, which saw increases of over 6% [8][11] - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with large-cap indices like the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 outperforming small-cap indices, indicating a preference for larger, more stable companies in the current market environment [9][10] - The report highlights that essential consumer sectors, particularly food and beverage, exhibit favorable valuation metrics, suggesting potential for recovery and growth in these areas [10] Group 2: Banking Industry - The banking sector has maintained stable asset quality despite a declining GDP growth rate, attributed to a gradual clearing of non-performing loans over the past 15 years across various sectors [11][12] - The report notes that banks have proactively adjusted their loan structures to mitigate risks, which has helped maintain profitability and stability in their financial statements [12] - Investment recommendations focus on banks with strong asset quality and low valuation, such as Chengdu Bank and Changsha Bank, anticipating an improvement in the industry’s fundamentals in the coming year [13] Group 3: Chemical Industry - The report discusses the rapid development of efficient cooling technologies in data centers, particularly liquid cooling solutions, which address high energy consumption and heat generation issues [14][15] - It predicts that by 2024, China's computing centers will consume approximately 166 billion kWh of electricity, highlighting the growing demand for advanced cooling solutions [14] - The liquid cooling market is expected to see significant growth, with a forecasted demand for approximately 89,000 tons of cooling liquid by 2028 due to the expansion of AI data centers [16][17] Group 4: Communication Industry - The report emphasizes that liquid cooling is becoming the mainstream cooling technology for intelligent computing centers, driven by the increasing power density of AI chips [18] - It forecasts that the global market for liquid cooling solutions in data centers could reach $10 billion by 2026, with significant growth potential in both North America and China [18][19] - The report highlights the competitive landscape, noting that while traditional overseas cooling companies have early advantages, domestic manufacturers are positioned to benefit from high cost-performance ratios and customization capabilities [19] Group 5: Media and Internet - The media sector has shown a slight increase of 0.47%, underperforming compared to broader market indices, indicating challenges in the current market environment [20] - The report notes a significant number of game approvals in September, suggesting a potential boost for the gaming industry, particularly with the upcoming National Day holiday [21] - Investment recommendations include focusing on gaming and media companies that are expected to benefit from product cycles and improving fundamentals, such as Kayi Network and Bilibili [22] Group 6: Social Services - The report highlights a partnership between Kevin Education and Zhiyuan Huazhang to establish a joint venture in AI education, expanding their service offerings [23] - Kevin Education has shown growth in revenue and profitability, indicating a positive trend in the K12 education sector [23] - The report suggests that the social services sector may benefit from government initiatives aimed at boosting consumer spending and improving educational services [24] Group 7: Insurance Industry - The insurance sector has seen a 9.63% year-on-year increase in premium income as of August 2025, driven by growth in life insurance products [25] - The report indicates that the shift towards dividend insurance products is likely to continue, enhancing the sector's appeal in a low-interest-rate environment [25] Group 8: Specific Companies - Zhongtai Co., Ltd. is expected to see a profit increase of 71%-87% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by overseas orders and entry into the liquid cooling market [26][27] - Yunnan Copper Industry is positioned as a leading copper smelting company with a strong resource base and is expected to benefit from the injection of high-quality assets from its parent company [28][29][30] - The report projects Yunnan Copper's revenue to reach approximately 201.8 billion yuan by 2027, with a significant increase in net profit, reflecting strong operational performance [31]
2025年10月投资组合报告:迎接“十五五”预期:十月政策窗口期布局
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-09-29 23:30
Market Overview - In September, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks exhibited a volatile pattern, with domestic economic recovery showing uneven momentum and real estate chain drag persisting[5] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut led to short-term market fluctuations, while sectors like batteries and semiconductors outperformed due to policy expectations and price rebounds[5] Investment Focus - The focus for October is on "technology growth," with A-shares confirming a tech narrative and Hong Kong stocks advancing in both technology and non-ferrous metals[5] - Key events include the unveiling of Xiaopeng's fifth-generation humanoid robot on October 24 and new drug progress announcements from Chinese pharmaceutical companies at the ESMO conference in mid-October[5] Policy and Economic Outlook - October is a critical policy layout window, with the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session focusing on the "14th Five-Year Plan," leading to rising capital market expectations[5] - The market anticipates another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in October, which could benefit the Hong Kong market due to its linked exchange rate system[5] Key Investment Themes - **Technology Growth and High-End Manufacturing**: Emphasis on digital economy, aerospace information, and high-end equipment, with recommendations to focus on satellite internet and AI[5] - **Resource Cycle Optimization**: Global inventory cycles are bottoming out, with industrial metals like copper and cobalt expected to see price increases driven by demand from new energy[5] - **Structural Recovery in Consumption**: Anticipated strong consumption data during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, with a focus on high-quality segments like medical consumption and travel chains[5] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, commercialization outcomes falling short of expectations, and delays in product development and market entry[5]
【金工】新能源主题基金净值涨幅占优,被动资金加仓TMT主题ETF——基金市场与ESG产品周报20250929(祁嫣然/马元心)
光大证券研究· 2025-09-29 23:06
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 市场表现综述: 大类资产方面,本周(下文如无特殊说明,本周均指代2025.9.22-2025.9.26)原油价格大涨,国内权益市 场指数普遍上涨,港股回调。行业方面,本周电力设备、有色金属、电子行业涨幅居前,社会服务、综 合、商贸零售行业跌幅居前。基金市场方面,本周权益基金表现较好,纯债型基金业绩回撤。 基金产品发行情况: 本周国内新基市场热度持续,新成立基金61只,合计发行份额为366.07亿份。其中股票型基金30只、债券 型基金7只、混合型基金17只、国际(QDII)基金1只、FOF基金6只。全市场新发行基金11只,从类型来看, 股票型基金6只、FOF基金4只、混合型基金1只。 基金产品表现跟踪: 长期行业主题基金指数表 ...
大连商品交易所ETF日报-20250929
天府证券· 2025-09-29 10:58
Report Summary 1. Market Overview - On September 29, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.90% to 3862.53 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.05% to 13479.43 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.74% to 3238.01 points. The total trading volume of A-shares in the two markets was 2178.4 billion yuan. The top-performing sectors were non-bank finance (3.84%), non-ferrous metals (3.78%), and power equipment (3.07%), while the worst-performing sectors were coal (-0.84%), banking (-0.46%), and social services (-0.24%) [2][6] 2. Stock ETFs - The top-traded stock ETFs were Cathay CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF (up 5.00% with a discount rate of 5.09%), Southern CSI A500 ETF (up 1.74% with a discount rate of 1.87%), and Huaxia CSI A500 ETF (up 1.39% with a discount rate of 1.52%) [3][7] 3. Bond ETFs - The top-traded bond ETFs were Haifutong CSI Short-term Bond ETF (up 0.01% with a discount rate of 0.01%), Cathay CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF (up 0.01% with a discount rate of 0.01%), and Huatai-PineBridge CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF (unchanged with a discount rate of -0.01%) [4][9] 4. Gold ETFs - Gold AU9999 rose 1.16% and Shanghai Gold rose 1.17%. The top-traded gold ETFs were Huaan Gold ETF (up 1.21% with a discount rate of 1.16%), E Fund Gold ETF (up 1.19% with a discount rate of 1.12%), and Bosera Gold ETF (up 1.24% with a discount rate of 1.16%) [12] 5. Commodity Futures ETFs - Dacheng Non-ferrous Metals Futures ETF fell 0.23% with a discount rate of -0.32%, Huaxia Feed Soybean Meal Futures ETF fell 0.51% with a discount rate of 2.33%, and Jianxin Yisheng Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange Energy and Chemical Futures ETF fell 0.15% with a discount rate of -0.38% [13] 6. Cross-border ETFs - The previous trading day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.44%, the S&P 500 rose 0.59%, and the German DAX rose 0.87%. On September 29, the Hang Seng Index rose 1.89% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 1.62%. The top-traded cross-border ETFs were E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF (up 6.63% with a discount rate of 7.63%), GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drugs ETF (up 0.74% with a discount rate of 1.71%), and Huaxia Hang Seng Tech ETF (up 0.71% with a discount rate of 2.41%) [15] 7. Money Market ETFs - The top-traded money market ETFs were Silver Hua Dayi ETF, Huabao Tianyi ETF, and Money Market ETF Jianxin Tianyi [17]
博时市场点评9月29日:两市震荡上涨,创业板涨2.74%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-29 08:53
Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In August, industrial enterprises' profits increased by 20.4% year-on-year, marking a significant improvement compared to July and reaching a year-to-date high [1] - Cumulative profits from January to August showed a reversal from the continuous decline since May, with a total profit growth of 0.9% year-on-year [2] - The rebound in industrial profits is primarily attributed to a low base effect from the previous year, along with improved supply and demand dynamics driven by "anti-involution" policies [1][2] Group 2: Policy Impact on Nonferrous Metals Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued a growth plan for the nonferrous metals industry, targeting an average annual growth of around 5% in value-added from 2025 to 2026 [2] - The plan aims to support high-end material innovation and green low-carbon transformation, which is expected to benefit the nonferrous metals supply chain, particularly in copper, aluminum, and lithium sectors [2] - The policy is anticipated to enhance market sentiment in related A-share sectors in the short term while promoting resource independence and industry upgrades in the long term [2] Group 3: Market Performance - On September 29, the three major A-share indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.90% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 2.05% [3] - Non-bank financials, nonferrous metals, and electric equipment sectors led the gains, with increases of 3.84%, 3.78%, and 3.07% respectively [3] - A total of 3,576 stocks rose while 1,657 stocks declined, indicating a positive market sentiment overall [3] Group 4: Market Activity - The market turnover reached 21,781 billion, showing an increase compared to the previous trading day [4] - The margin trading balance reported at 24,244.58 billion, reflecting a decrease from the previous trading day [4]
社会服务行业9月29日资金流向日报
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.90% on September 29, with 26 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by non-bank financials and non-ferrous metals, which increased by 3.84% and 3.78% respectively [1] - The coal and banking sectors saw declines of 0.84% and 0.46% respectively, with the social services sector also ranking among the top three sectors with losses [1] Capital Flow - The net inflow of capital in the two markets reached 9.527 billion yuan, with 13 sectors experiencing net inflows. The non-bank financial sector led with a net inflow of 12.348 billion yuan, while the non-ferrous metals sector followed with 2.986 billion yuan [1] - Conversely, 18 sectors experienced net outflows, with the electronics sector leading with a net outflow of 2.811 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military industry with 1.882 billion yuan [1] Social Services Sector - The social services sector declined by 0.24% with a net outflow of 352 million yuan. Among the 79 stocks in this sector, 42 rose while 31 fell [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the social services sector were Zhonggang Tianyuan, Lihua Kechuang, and Zhongti Industry, with net inflows of 30.88 million yuan, 24.43 million yuan, and 21.24 million yuan respectively [2][4] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included China High-Tech, Xiyu Tourism, and Kede Education, with net outflows of 82.51 million yuan, 53.95 million yuan, and 50.39 million yuan respectively [2][3]
长城基金汪立:步入震荡区间,静待政策窗口期
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-29 08:32
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a significant decline in trading volume, with the average daily trading volume of the Wind All A index dropping to 2.31 trillion from 2.52 trillion [1] - The market showed a mixed performance across sectors, with power equipment (3.86%), non-ferrous metals (3.52%), and electronics (3.51%) performing relatively well, while retail (-4.32%), comprehensive (-4.61%), and social services (-5.92%) sectors lagged [1] Group 2 - In August, the profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China saw a year-on-year increase, primarily due to a low base effect, with cumulative profit growth for January to August at 0.9%, recovering from -1.7% in July [2] - The upstream industries showed overall improvement, particularly in the non-ferrous sector, while the midstream sectors like general and electronic equipment experienced a decline in profit growth [2] - The outlook for September indicates a similar performance to August, with moderate results in exports, infrastructure, and production, while consumption showed signs of weakening [2] Group 3 - Recent strong economic data from the U.S. has tempered expectations for interest rate cuts, with analysts raising growth forecasts for the U.S. economy for 2025 to 2026 [3] - Upcoming U.S. employment data, PMI, and trade figures are anticipated to influence the Federal Open Market Committee's decisions in October [3] Group 4 - The market is currently in a period of fluctuation, influenced by recent government briefings on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and future policy directions, leading to some investors opting to take profits [4] - Despite short-term volatility, the overall market trend for the fourth quarter remains positive, with a focus on technological advancements and improved shareholder returns [4] - The rapid growth of new productivity, particularly in AI, is expected to sustain structural market trends in A-shares [4] Group 5 - As the policy window in mid-October approaches, there is an increasing clarity regarding the strengthening of policies in the fourth quarter, with expectations for indices to recover and rise [5] - The investment strategy should focus on new technology trends, particularly in AI, and sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policies [5] - Potential beneficiaries of the "15th Five-Year Plan" include emerging technologies and sectors related to domestic demand expansion [6]
消费行业十五五系列报告:畅想十五五,生活文娱软消费全球崭露头角
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 03:26
Group 1 - The report by Zhongyin Securities focuses on the development trends of the consumption industry during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, particularly highlighting the global competitiveness of the lifestyle and entertainment soft consumption sector [1] - The report presents characteristics and future directions of the consumption industry, analyzing retail formats, international expansion, and industry data [1] Group 2 - In terms of retail formats and store scale, the global retail landscape is dominated by major players, with Walmart leading at $676 billion in revenue and 10,692 stores by 2025, followed by Amazon and Schwarz Group [2] - Domestic chain brands are expanding significantly, with brands like Mixue Ice City exceeding 41,000 stores and Luckin Coffee reaching 21,343 stores, indicating accelerated market penetration and chain development in China [2] - The rise of instant retail and delivery services is evident, with brands like 7-Eleven integrating with platforms like Uber Eats and DoorDash to enhance online channels [2] Group 3 - The internationalization of lifestyle and entertainment soft consumption is becoming a significant trend, with domestic entertainment companies accelerating their global presence in long videos, short dramas, and variety shows [3] - Platforms like iQIYI and Tencent Video are collaborating with international platforms such as Netflix and Disney+ to promote quality content globally, while short dramas are rapidly penetrating overseas markets [3] - Short video platforms like TikTok and Kuaishou are experiencing significant growth in overseas user bases, with TikTok leading in global downloads and user interactions [3] Group 4 - From an industry data perspective, the consumption sector is showing differentiated performance in 2024-2025, with essential consumption sectors like food and beverages remaining stable, while discretionary sectors like social services and textiles exhibit volatility [4] - The Hang Seng consumption-related index indicates that the non-essential consumption sector in Hong Kong is outperforming essential consumption, reflecting growth potential in discretionary consumption [4] - The report emphasizes that during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, lifestyle and entertainment soft consumption will further rely on content innovation, technological empowerment, and globalization to gain prominence in global markets [4]
转债周度专题:下修空间缩窄怎么看?-20250929
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-29 02:30
1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall convertible bond downward - revision gaming space has gradually narrowed this year. With the upward trend of the equity market, the number of low - parity convertible bonds has decreased, and the number of convertible bonds triggering downward - revision, proposing downward - revision, and actually undergoing downward - revision has shown a downward trend. However, as the number of convertible bonds entering the put - back period and approaching maturity increases, the gaming opportunities for downward - revision may relatively increase, and the focus should be on the individual bond's downward - revision willingness [1][10]. - Against the background of the narrowing overall downward - revision gaming space, attention should be paid to the opportunities of underlying assets related to the fundamental expectations of the underlying stocks of convertible bonds and relatively low valuations. For equities, grasp the structural opportunities in the technology - growth direction and focus on the underlying assets with strong performance certainty in pro - cyclical and anti - involution beneficiary industries. Also, pay attention to low - price and low - premium varieties among high - rating and large - cap convertible bonds [2][20]. - The A - share market is expected to have a good allocation cost - performance ratio in terms of risk premium. The convertible bond supply is shrinking, and there is certain support on the demand side. Attention should be paid to the downward - revision gaming space, be vigilant against the forced - redemption risk, and appropriately focus on the short - term gaming opportunities of near - maturity convertible bonds. Industries worthy of attention include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, and high - dividend sectors under the Chinese - characteristic valuation system [23]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Convertible Bond Weekly Special Topic and Outlook 3.1.1. How to View the Narrowing Downward - Revision Space? - This week, three convertible bonds (Jingke Convertible Bond, Lanfan Convertible Bond, and Yong 22 Convertible Bond) underwent downward - revision. Since September, the total number of actually downward - revised convertible bonds has slightly increased compared to August. The number of convertible bonds proposed for downward - revision in September is the same as that in August, and the willingness for downward - revision may have marginally increased [10]. - In general this year, the downward - revision gaming space has gradually narrowed. The proportion of convertible bonds with a parity in the (0, 80] range has decreased from 40.7% at the beginning of the year to 22.2%. The number of convertible bonds triggering downward - revision, proposing downward - revision, and actually undergoing downward - revision has shown a downward trend. The willingness for downward - revision has not significantly increased since the peak in February [10]. - In the future, with the shrinking number of convertible bonds meeting the downward - revision conditions, the focus should be on the individual bond's downward - revision willingness. Although the equity market may have short - term adjustments, the overall upward expectation is still strong. The number of convertible bonds meeting the downward - revision conditions may remain relatively low, but the gaming opportunities for downward - revision may increase due to the increasing number of convertible bonds entering the put - back period and approaching maturity. It is recommended to screen potential downward - revision targets and pay attention to factors affecting the gaming returns of downward - revision [18]. - Against the background of the narrowing overall downward - revision gaming space, attention should be paid to the opportunities of underlying assets related to the fundamental expectations of the underlying stocks of convertible bonds and relatively low valuations. Focus on the structural opportunities in the technology - growth direction, such as AI computing power, semiconductors, and humanoid robots. Also, pay attention to pro - cyclical and anti - involution beneficiary industries [20]. - Attention should be paid to low - price and low - premium varieties among high - rating and large - cap convertible bonds. Since the end of August, some "fixed - income +" funds have redeemed, causing short - term pressure on high - rating and large - cap convertible bonds. As market sentiment stabilizes, funds may flow back, and attention should be paid to signs of the shift in capital allocation preferences [21]. 3.1.2. Weekly Review and Market Outlook - This week, the A - share market fluctuated upward. Different sectors showed different performances on each trading day [22]. - In terms of the stock market outlook, the A - share market still shows good allocation cost - performance in terms of risk premium. The domestic economic fundamentals are expected to gradually recover, and the weak resonance between economic fundamentals and capital flows is expected to start. - In the convertible bond market, considering the impact of refinancing policies, there is certain support on the demand side under the background of shrinking supply. The opportunity cost of convertible bonds is relatively low, but the current overall valuation is at a relatively high level, so attention should be paid to the callback risk. In terms of terms and conditions, attention should be paid to the downward - revision gaming space, be vigilant against the forced - redemption risk, and appropriately focus on the short - term gaming opportunities of near - maturity convertible bonds. Industries worthy of attention include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, and high - dividend sectors under the Chinese - characteristic valuation system [23]. 3.2. Weekly Tracking of the Convertible Bond Market 3.2.1. The Equity Market Closed Higher - This week, the main equity market indices closed higher. The Wind All - A Index rose 0.25%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.21%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.06%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.96%. The market style was more inclined to large - cap growth. Among the small - cap indices, the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.55%, and the STAR 50 Index rose 6.47% [27]. - Seven Shenwan industry indices rose, and 24 industries fell. The power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and electronics industries led the market with increases of 3.86%, 3.52%, and 3.51% respectively. The social services, comprehensive, and commercial retail industries ranked among the top three in terms of decline, with declines of 5.92%, 4.61%, and 4.32% respectively [31]. 3.2.2. The Convertible Bond Market Closed Higher, and the Whole - Market Conversion Premium Rate Rose - This week, the convertible bond market closed higher. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.94%, the Shanghai Convertible Bond Index rose 1.01%, the Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index rose 0.85%, the Wind Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted Index rose 0.63%, and the Wind Convertible Bond Weighted Index rose 0.93% [33]. - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market decreased this week. The average daily trading volume was 78.919 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.882 billion yuan compared with last week, and the total trading volume for the week was 394.597 billion yuan [33]. - At the industry level of convertible bonds, 21 industries closed higher, and 8 industries closed lower. The electronics, national defense and military industry, and power equipment industries ranked among the top three in terms of increase, with increases of 3.14%, 3.13%, and 1.66% respectively. The communication, coal, and social services industries led the decline. At the corresponding underlying stock level, 12 industries closed higher, and 17 industries closed lower. The electronics, non - ferrous metals, and steel industries ranked among the top three in terms of increase, with increases of 7.97%, 4.26%, and 3.45% respectively. The pharmaceutical biology, light industry manufacturing, and communication industries led the decline [36]. - Most individual convertible bonds rose this week (270 out of 426). After excluding the closing data of newly listed convertible bonds this week, the top five convertible bonds in terms of weekly increase were Jize Convertible Bond (public utilities, 25.83%), Huicheng Convertible Bond (electronics, 19.41%), Jingda Convertible Bond (power equipment, 18.90%), Anji Convertible Bond (electronics, 13.97%), and Hangyu Convertible Bond (national defense and military industry, 11.00%). The top five convertible bonds in terms of weekly decline were Borei Convertible Bond (pharmaceutical biology, - 33.90%), Jingxing Convertible Bond (light industry manufacturing, - 15.89%), Jingzhuang Convertible Bond (construction and decoration, - 14.04%), Tongguang Convertible Bond (power equipment, - 13.54%), and Tianlu Convertible Bond (building materials, - 13.27%). The top five convertible bonds in terms of weekly trading volume were Liyang Convertible Bond (electronics, 13.473 billion yuan), Huicheng Convertible Bond (electronics, 12.193 billion yuan), Jize Convertible Bond (public utilities, 10.531 billion yuan), Jingxing Convertible Bond (light industry manufacturing, 10.042 billion yuan), and Zhongqi Convertible Bond (building materials, 9.787 billion yuan) [39]. - In terms of price, the median price of convertible bonds increased. The number of absolute low - price convertible bonds (with an absolute price less than 110 yuan) increased by 1 compared with last week, the number of convertible bonds in the price range of 110 - 130 yuan decreased by 17, the number of convertible bonds in the price range of 130 - 150 yuan increased by 12, the number of convertible bonds in the price range of 150 - 200 yuan decreased by 1, and the number of convertible bonds with a price greater than 200 yuan remained unchanged. As of this Friday, the median price of the whole - market convertible bonds was reported at 130.32 yuan, an increase of 0.62 yuan compared with last weekend [42]. - The weighted conversion value of the whole market decreased, and the premium rate increased. The weighted average conversion value of the whole market based on the outstanding bond balance was 100.36 yuan, a decrease of 0.12 yuan compared with last weekend. The whole - market weighted conversion premium rate was 38.89%, an increase of 1.27 percentage points compared with last weekend. The weighted average conversion premium rate for convertible bonds with a parity in the range of 90 - 110 yuan was 25.58%, an increase of 1.90 percentage points compared with last weekend. The median conversion premium rate was 29.05%, an increase of 1.30 percentage points compared with last weekend. In the long - term perspective, the current conversion premium rate for convertible bonds with a parity of 100 yuan is above the 50th percentile level since 2017. The median implied volatility of the whole market was 36.89%, an increase of 2.51 percentage points compared with last weekend. The pure - bond premium rate of debt - biased convertible bonds was 10.00%, an increase of 0.57 percentage points compared with last weekend [45]. 3.2.3. High - Frequency Tracking of Different Types of Convertible Bonds 3.2.3.1. Classification Valuation Changes - This week, there was valuation differentiation in the convertible bond structure. The valuations of convertible bonds with a parity of 80 - 90 yuan and 90 - 100 yuan decreased, while the valuations of most other convertible bonds increased. The valuations of convertible bonds with a rating of A and below decreased, while the valuations of other rated convertible bonds increased. The valuations of convertible bonds in each scale category increased [55]. - Since the beginning of 2024, the conversion premium rates of equity - biased and balanced convertible bonds have both rebounded from the bottom. As of this Friday, the conversion premium rate of equity - biased convertible bonds is above the 35th percentile level since 2017, and the conversion premium rate of balanced convertible bonds is above the 50th percentile level since 2017 [55]. 3.2.3.2. Market Index Performance - All rated convertible bonds rose this week. The AAA - rated convertible bonds rose 0.52%, the AA + - rated convertible bonds rose 1.54%, the AA - rated convertible bonds rose 0.99%, the AA - - rated convertible bonds rose 1.16%, the A + - rated convertible bonds rose 0.69%, and the convertible bonds with a rating of A and below rose 0.06%. Since 2023, the AAA - rated convertible bonds have recorded a return of 17.49%, the AA + - rated convertible bonds have recorded a return of 14.80%, the AA - rated convertible bonds have recorded a return of 20.11%, the AA - - rated convertible bonds have recorded a return of 28.01%, the A + - rated convertible bonds have recorded a return of 28.30%, and the convertible bonds with a rating of A and below have recorded a return of 29.58%. Historically, high - rated AAA convertible bonds have shown stable performance, while low - rated convertible bonds have shown weaker anti - decline properties and greater rebound strength [65]. - All convertible bonds of different scales rose this week. The small - cap convertible bonds rose 0.10%, the small - and medium - cap convertible bonds rose 0.84%, the medium - cap convertible bonds rose 1.16%, and the large - cap convertible bonds rose 0.89%. Since 2023, the small - cap convertible bonds have recorded a return of 29.52%, the small - and medium - cap convertible bonds have recorded a return of 26.75%, the medium - cap convertible bonds have recorded a return of 23.90%, and the large - cap convertible bonds have recorded a return of 17.10% [67]. 3.3. Tracking of Convertible Bond Supply and Terms 3.3.1. This Week's Primary - Market Issuance Plans - Two convertible bonds (Jin 25 Convertible Bond and Yingliu Convertible Bond) have been issued but not yet listed this week. - The number of primary - market approvals this week was five (from September 22 to September 26, 2025). Jinlang Technology's 1.677 - billion - yuan convertible bond issuance plan has been approved by the CSRC [71]. - Since the beginning of 2023 to September 26, 2025, the total number of planned convertible bonds is 103, with a total scale of 161.397 billion yuan. Among them, the number of convertible bonds with the board of directors' resolution passed is 18, with a total scale of 20.669 billion yuan; the number of convertible bonds passed by the general meeting of shareholders is 46, with a total scale of 76.366 billion yuan; the number of convertible bonds accepted by the exchange is 25, with a total scale of 45.629 billion yuan; the number of convertible bonds passed by the listing committee is 8, with a total scale of 5.305 billion yuan; and the number of convertible bonds approved for registration by the CSRC is 6, with a total scale of 13.429 billion yuan [72]. 3.3.2. Downward - Revision and Redemption Clauses - As of September 26, 2025, the tracking of downward - revision and redemption clauses this week is as follows: - Six convertible bonds announced that they are expected to trigger downward - revision. - Six convertible bonds announced that they will not undergo downward - revision, among which Kangyi Convertible Bond, Xinneng Convertible Bond, Guangli Convertible Bond, and Gongtong Convertible Bond announced that they will not undergo downward - revision within six months. - Jingke Convertible Bond, Lanfan Convertible Bond, and Yong 22 Convertible Bond announced the results of downward - revision [75]. - Nine convertible bonds announced that they are expected to trigger redemption. - Two convertible bonds announced that they will not be redeemed in advance. - Two convertible bonds announced early redemption [77][78]. - As of the end of this week, there is still one convertible bond in the put - back declaration period and 20 convertible bonds in the company's capital - reduction settlement declaration period. Attention should be paid to the price changes of convertible bonds and the marginal changes in the company's downward - revision tendency [80].