值得一提的是，都逸敏提出投资需要一定的"时代感"。当下的市场环境在寻找新经济的"明珠"方面效率 很高，但是在寻找传统经济的"遗珠"上定价效率一般。新材料作为战略性、基础性产业，不仅是推动现 代制造业高端化、智能化、绿色化转型的核心要素，也与很多传统经济传统行业紧密相关。在市场对传 统经济"遗珠"反应之前，为投资者留出了较大的选股空间。同时，随着基础工业品的需求在提升，我国 经济发展范式不再依赖过量资本投入，基础工业品供给有望长期受限，相关行业盈利逐渐步入修复通 道，比如电解铝、制冷剂等行业已有所表现。 展望2026年新材料相关投资方向，都逸敏非常看好化工领域的投资机会。他认为，化工行业经历了2022 年至2024年三年盈利下行后，于2025年Capex增速转负，很多子行业产能利用率已持续提升至80至 90%，而价差仍在底部。而且在全球需求持续增长的背景下，化工供需拐点向上有望持续修复盈利。从 过往历史来看，PPI拐点也是化工超额收益起点，而2025年7月PPI同比增速已经见底，2026年至2027年 有望转正。很多龙头公司盈利若恢复至历史中枢水平就有不错的向上空间。"涨价会是贯穿 2026 年全年 重要的投资 ...

Report Overview - The report is titled "ETF Performance Tracking and Fund Flow Weekly Report (2026.1.26 - 2026.1.30)" and was released on February 2, 2026 [1] Core Viewpoints - Overseas ETF funds showed a continuous return trend, with a net inflow of 2.055 billion yuan in the past week, which was lower than the previous week. Large - cap style targets such as CSI 300 and CSI A500 received significant capital inflows, and the electronics industry had the most concentrated capital inflow at the industry level. Overseas funds continued to be positive about the allocation of relevant ETFs, focusing on core assets at the industry level and being relatively balanced at the individual stock level [16] Key Points by Category 1. Broad - based ETFs Average Weekly Returns and Fund Flows - The report presents the average weekly returns and fund inflows/outflows of broad - based ETFs [1][2] Top 10 Funds with Inflows - Funds like LIELEAS NEASOOETF (fund code: 563360.OF) had a net inflow of 1.126 billion yuan, Tianhong CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 ETF (fund code: 159603.OF) had a net inflow of 928 million yuan, etc [4] Top 10 Funds with Outflows - E Fund CSI 300 ETF (fund code: 510310.OF) had a net outflow of 7.4857 billion yuan, Huatai - Peregrine CSI 300 ETF (fund code: 510300.OF) had a net outflow of 7.4319 billion yuan, etc [6] 2. Industry - themed, Smart Beta, and Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs Average Weekly Returns and Fund Flows - It includes the average weekly returns and fund inflows/outflows of industry - themed, Smart Beta, and Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs. For example, in the Smart Beta ETF, different categories such as cycle, green/ESG, etc., had different fund inflow/outflow situations [7][8] Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs - The average weekly returns and fund inflows/outflows of Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs in different categories like technology, finance, etc., are presented. For instance, the technology - themed Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF had a net inflow of 1.76 billion yuan [9][12] 3. Equity ETFs - The report provides statistics on the number, scale, and trading volume of equity ETFs, including different index - corresponding funds, their scale, scale proportion, trading volume, and trading volume proportion [13][14] 4. Overseas ETFs Weekly Fund Flows - Overseas ETF funds had a net inflow of 2.055 billion yuan in the past week. Large - cap style targets like CSI 300 and CSI A500 had significant capital inflows, with 1.562 billion yuan and 1.51 billion yuan respectively. The electronics industry had the most concentrated capital inflow of 384 million yuan [16][23] Individual Stock Capital Inflows - Among individual stocks, Kweichow Moutai had the largest capital inflow of 65 million yuan, followed by Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited with 44 million yuan [16][17]

Group 1: Banking and Wealth Management - The scale of bank wealth management products has decreased by approximately 815 billion yuan, with 14 major wealth management companies managing a total of 24.59 trillion yuan as of the end of January 2026, marking a decline for the second consecutive month since reaching a peak in November 2025 [1][2] - Despite the decline, there is optimism in the industry as low fixed deposit rates and a large amount of fixed deposits maturing in 2026 may lead to a reallocation of household wealth towards wealth management products [1] - Sales of bank wealth management products surged before the Spring Festival, with some products breaking sales records, indicating a potential recovery in the market [1] Group 2: Private Equity and Investment - The number of domestic private equity firms managing over 10 billion yuan has reached a record high of 122, increasing by 10 from the end of December 2025 [1] - Eight new private equity firms entered the 10 billion yuan club in January 2026, showcasing a growing trend in the private equity sector [1] Group 3: Energy Market - The EIA's short-term energy outlook report predicts that Brent crude oil prices will average $58 per barrel in 2026, up from a previous estimate of $56 per barrel, while WTI crude oil prices are expected to average $53.42 per barrel, an increase from $52.21 per barrel [2] Group 4: Silver Market - The World Silver Association forecasts that the silver market will experience a supply deficit for the sixth consecutive year in 2026, with a projected shortfall of 67 million ounces [3] - Global silver demand is expected to remain stable, driven by robust retail investment, which may offset declines in other key demand areas such as jewelry and industrial use [3] Group 5: IPO Market - The Hong Kong IPO market has been active in 2026, with fundraising exceeding 79 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of over 1220% [3][4] - As of February 10, 2026, 422 companies are queued for IPOs in Hong Kong, with over 100 having submitted applications since the beginning of the year [3] Group 6: Credit Card Industry - In 2025, 65 credit card centers were closed, surpassing the total number of closures from 2020 to 2024, indicating a significant contraction in the credit card industry [4] - The trend of closing credit card centers is spreading from state-owned and joint-stock banks to city commercial banks, reflecting a shift from expansion to competition in the credit card sector [4] Group 7: Corporate Actions - Ningde Times issued its first green technology innovation bond for 2026, raising 5 billion yuan with a coupon rate of 1.70% [6] - Huazhang Technology plans to acquire 100% of Huayi Microelectronics for 29.96 billion yuan, aiming to enhance its packaging and testing business in the semiconductor sector [10]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the China Securities Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index and its related ETF reflects the market dynamics and investment opportunities within the Greater Bay Area, with notable fluctuations in constituent stocks and trading activity [2][3]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of February 10, 2026, the China Securities Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) decreased by 0.01% [2]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) also saw a decline of 0.13%, with the latest price at 1.52 yuan [2]. - Over the past week, the Greater Bay Area ETF has accumulated a rise of 0.93% [2]. Group 2: Stock Movements - Among the constituent stocks, Zhao Chi Co. led with a gain of 9.96%, followed by Xinlitai with an increase of 6.88%, and Huitai Medical up by 5.15% [2]. - Conversely, Mingyang Smart Energy experienced the largest drop at 4.34%, followed by Xinwei Communication down 4.08%, and Jiejia Weichuang down 3.45% [2]. Group 3: Trading Activity - The trading volume for the Greater Bay Area ETF was active, with a turnover rate of 14.53% and a transaction value of 11.4673 million yuan [2]. - The average daily trading volume over the past week was 2.6276 million yuan [2]. Group 4: Risk and Return Metrics - The maximum drawdown for the Greater Bay Area ETF this year was 5.52%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.02% [2]. - The Sharpe ratio for the Greater Bay Area ETF over the past year was reported at 1.41 as of February 6, 2026 [2]. Group 5: Fee Structure - The management fee for the Greater Bay Area ETF is set at 0.15%, while the custody fee is 0.05% [2]. Group 6: Index Composition - The index closely tracks companies benefiting from the Greater Bay Area's development, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 44.55% of the index [3]. - The top ten stocks include China Ping An, Luxshare Precision, BYD, and others, with varying weight percentages [4].

# 持续强call今年通胀线# 持续看好今年国产AI大行情# 国产AI不止算力和应用 # 上游的核心点在于赢家通吃，# 去年海外也可以是今年的国内 台耀今天发出停产通知，验证目前电子布产能紧俏，产能（E-glass）逐步转向Lowdk，在此背景下，国内具备E- glass&Lowdk生产能力的厂商会持续受益：1）国产上游出货&验证加速；2）同时上游持续紧张将会带动CCL持续 涨价。 1相关标的（CCl+电子布）：华正新材（推荐以来已翻倍）、宏和科技 2其他上游：呈和科技、东材科技、菲利华、德福科技 国产算力链之上游更新0210—持续通胀的上游【东北计算机】 # 持续强call今年通胀线# 持续看好今年国产AI大行情# 国产AI不止算力和应用 # 上游的核心点在于赢家通吃，# 去年海外也可以是今年的国内 台耀今天发出停产通知，验证目前电子布产能紧俏，产能（E-glass）逐步转向Lowdk，在此背景下，国内具备E- glass&Lowdk生产能力的厂商会持续受益：1）国产上游出货&验证加速；2）同 国产算力链之上游更新0210—持续通胀的上游【东北计算机】 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the mixed performance of major indices, with the China Securities Food and Beverage Index declining by 1.16% as of the close on February 10, while certain stocks like Jinhe Industrial and New Noble showed gains [1] - The Tianhong Food and Beverage ETF (159736) experienced a net subscription of 8 million shares and a trading volume exceeding 24 million yuan on the same day, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The Tianhong ETF tracks the China Securities Food and Beverage Index and focuses on leading stocks in high-end and mid-range liquor, as well as other segments like beverages and condiments, with top-weighted stocks including Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1] Group 2 - The news mentions that the "免单卡" (Free Order Card) can be used for purchasing New Year goods, covering a wide range of products from major supermarkets and convenience stores, indicating a shift in consumer purchasing behavior ahead of the Spring Festival [2] - Ping An Securities notes that the food and beverage sector has been performing well, with Moutai's sales recovering and prices stabilizing, as the restaurant supply chain enters a peak stocking season for the Spring Festival [2] - The current market liquidity is described as ample, and with the implementation of macro consumption policies, consumer demand is expected to continue to recover [2]

证 券 研 究 报 告 科技厂商年报业绩预告陆续披露，AI 驱 动业绩增长 ——先进科技主题 20250202-20260208 [Table增_R持at（ing维] 持） [行Ta业ble_Industry] : 电子 日期: shzqdatemark 2026年02月11日 | E-mail: | yanfeng@shzq.com | | --- | --- | | SAC 编号: | S0870525030001 | | 分析师: | 李心语 | | SAC 编号: | S0870525040001 | 行 业 动 态 [最Ta近bl一e_年Qu行o业teP指ic数] 与沪深 300 比较 [T相ab关le报_R告e：portInfo] 《H200 获准对华出口，AI 终端或受益》 《字节发布豆包 AI 手机，关注端侧机会》 《ASICs 寻求 EMIB 新方案，2026 年晶圆 代工产业有望持续景气》 [Tabl主e_要Su观mm点ary] 【市场回顾】 本周上证指数报收 4065.58 点，周涨跌幅为-1.27%；深证成指报 收 13906.73 点，周涨跌幅为-2.11%；创业板指报收 3236. ...

2月8日，泰国举行全国大选，将选举产生500名国会下议院议员。 我们认为尽管短期内政策框架可能调整、市场或出现波动，但大选亦有望成为经济复苏 的催化剂。 泰国2026年大选或将成为政治格局重构的转折点 点击小程序查看报告原文 2023至2026年间，泰国政局经历频繁更迭，三年内先后有三任总理执政。2024年8月，赛塔·他威信（Srettha Thavisin）因内阁任命争议被宪法法院罢免。 继任者佩通坦·钦那瓦（Paetongtarn Shinawatra）执政约一年后，于2025年8月被解除总理职务。同年9月，自豪泰党领袖阿努廷·参威拉军（Anutin Charnvirakul）在与人民党达成联合执政协议后就任总理。为履行此前为争取支持而作出的承诺，阿努廷于2025年12月宣布解散下议院，提前举行大选。 根据2017年宪法，这是首次由民选议员完全主导总理人选与政府组建的选举，军方任命的参议员不再参与总理投票。本次大选同步举行了关于是否修改 2017年宪法的全民公投。截至2月9日中午的初步民调显示，约59.8%的选民支持修宪[1]。 初步计票显示自豪泰党大幅领先 根据选举委员会截至2月9日中午的统计（计票率约 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the combination of technology and cyclical sectors remains a key investment theme, with expectations of PPI turning positive driving EPS growth and liquidity support [1] - The article highlights the importance of focusing on stable growth in end-user sectors and the commercialization of ToB applications, particularly in areas such as computing hardware, energy storage, AI applications, and intelligent driving [1] - The Guotai Science and Innovation ETF (588360) tracks the Science and Innovation 50 Index (931643), which includes 50 large-cap emerging industry companies from the Sci-Tech and ChiNext boards, reflecting the overall performance of representative emerging industries [1] Group 2 - The index focuses on industries such as electronics, power equipment, communications, and biomedicine, emphasizing technological attributes and innovative growth, with a relatively balanced industry allocation [1] - The cyclical sectors are expected to show significant price and valuation elasticity during the phase of PPI turning positive, with reduced competition potentially leading to improved performance in sectors like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery, steel, and building materials [1]

Group 1 - The overall performance of A-shares is expected to continue improving, with a projected net profit growth rate of 26.8% for 2025, indicating a single-digit growth trend [5][23][27] - Approximately 2954 A-share companies have disclosed their 2025 annual performance forecasts, with a disclosure rate of about 54% and a positive forecast rate of 36.9%, which is lower than the mid-year report but higher than the same period last year [12][18][23] - Key sectors expected to see performance improvement include the price increase chain, overseas expansion chain, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sectors, driven by demand from AI and new energy [2][29][30] Group 2 - The major industry performance rankings for 2025 are led by Information Technology, followed by Healthcare, Midstream Manufacturing, Resource Products, Financial Real Estate, and Public Utilities [26][27] - The sectors with the highest expected profit growth include non-bank financials, beauty care, textiles, retail, and non-ferrous metals, with non-bank financials showing a positive forecast rate of 87.5% [18][20] - The price increase chain, which includes industrial metals, energy metals, and chemical products, is expected to benefit from limited capacity expansion and demand driven by AI and new energy, leading to improved performance [29][31] Group 3 - The TMT sector is projected to maintain high growth due to strong demand for AI computing and storage, with specific areas like semiconductors and communication devices expected to see significant profit increases [29][30] - The overseas expansion chain, including automotive parts and medical devices, is anticipated to benefit from stable domestic demand and improving external demand [29][30] - Other sectors such as personal care products, medical services, and seasoning products are also recommended for attention due to their potential for performance improvement [2][29]